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Whisper Numbers: Twilight takes another bite at Thanksgiving.

Three new family films fight for moviegoers over the long Thanksgiving weekend, but none are expected to overtake current box office title holder The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 [TWLI4]. Although the fanbase has crested, plenty of Twihards remain eager to visit and revisit the wedding of Bella and Edward. Breaking Dawn Part 1 looks to crack around $62 million over the 5-day holiday weekend.

After more than a decade of absence from theaters, The Muppets [MUPET] has return to the scene with the help of star and co-writer Jason Segel [JSEGE]. Kermit, Miss Piggy, and the rest of the gang reunite in their first film since Disney bought The Jim Henson Company in 2004. The Muppets have not been seen much since their last film Muppets From Space bombed in 1999, so Disney has spared no avenues in a marketing blitz to promote the PG-rated film. Playing on the nostalgia of those who grew up with the characters, The Muppets will appeal to adults with and without children. Opening in 3440 theaters, The Muppets could grab $44 million over the long Thanksgiving weekend.

Moviegoers weren’t exactly dancing for the return of Happy Feet Two [HPYF2], which debuted at just half of the original film’s opening With families on holiday, the sequel should hold exceptional and tapped out another $21 million over the 5-day weekend.

Sony teams up with Aardman Studios for the CG-animated Arthur Christmas [ARTHC]. With a crowded marketplace for family fares, the PG-rated film is likely to only attract those with very young children. Sledding into 3367 theaters, Arthur Christmas could deliver $20 million from Wednesday through Sunday.

Director Martin Scorsese [MSCOR] has made Hugo [HUGO] his first 3D family-friendly film. Unfortunately, adults may find the PG-rated film more interesting than children. Paramount has dropped the ball in building awareness for Hugo, and has cut the initial theater locations to just 1227. Hugo has earned rave reviews, which should help the film clock in at $14 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): TWLI4, MUPET, JSEGE, HPYF2, ARTHC, MSCOR, HUGO

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By Box Office Whisperer on Wednesday, November 23, 2011 @ 02:21 PM 7774 views

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Ryan's World the Movie: Titan Un (RYANW) 10000 6.72 (+0.34)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 434 5.87 (-0.02)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 4344 5.87 (-0.02)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 434 8.16 (+0.27)          Barney (BRNEY) 149999 12.88 (+0.74)          White Bird (WHBRD) 150000 15.33 (+0.08)          Tower of Terror (TOWRT) 150000 17.34 (+0.06)          They Found Us (THFUS) 150000 17.22 (+0.06)          The Saint (TSAIN) 100000 16.47 (+0.10)          The Saint (TSAIN) 150000 16.47 (+0.10)          The Invite (TINVT) 150000 15.79 (-0.06)          Deadpool & Wolverine (DEAD3) 1 399.66 (+0.25)          I Know What You Did Last Summer (IKNO4) 900 25.13 (-0.03)          Super Toys (SPTOY) 150000 17.95 (+0.04)          Smurfs (SMRF4) 900 30.51 (-0.03)          The Beast (TBEAS) 150000 17.39 (+0.06)          Ray Gunn (RAYGN) 150000 16.68 (+0.06)          Presence (PRSNC) 150000 15.83 (+0.06)          Planes, Trains and Automobiles (PTAUT) 150000 16.09 (-0.04)          Nuremberg (NUREM) 150000 16.44 (+0.06)          Nobody 2 (NOBO2) 150000 17.27 (+0.06)          Distant (DISTN) 150000 11.24 (-0.12)          Distant (DISTN) 150000 11.24 (-0.12)          Metal Men (METAL) 150000 17.43 (-0.02)          Dance First (DNCFS) 150000 1.84 (0.00)          Verona's Romeo and Juliet (VERAJ) 150000 16.26 (-0.19)          Materialists (MTRLS) 150000 16.48 (-0.06)          Inside Out 2 - Opening Weekend (INOU2.OW) 100000 98.07 (+0.20)          Him aka Goat (GOAT1) 2000 19.90 (+0.06)          Inside Out 2 H$100 Call (INOU2.CA) 25000 2.31 (+0.03)          Legally Blonde 3 (BLON3) 100000 17.05 (-0.10)          Legally Blonde 3 (BLON3) 150000 17.05 (-0.10)          Last Breath (LBRTH) 150000 15.90 (+0.06)          In the Hand of Dante (ITHOD) 150000 15.08 (+0.04)          Insidious 6 (NSID6) 150000 41.46 (+0.53)          Huntington (HNGTN) 150000 15.96 (+0.06)          Honey Don't (HDONT) 150000 16.13 (+0.08)          Insidious 6 (NSID6) 14000 41.46 (+0.53)          Homestead (HMSTD) 150000 15.33 (-0.04)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 150000 16.48 (+0.10)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 150000 17.09 (+0.06)          The Watchers H$15 Call (WATCS.CA) 24999 1.28 (+0.03)          Funny Birds (FUNYB) 149999 0.06 (+0.03)          The Crow (TCROW) 624 22.23 (+0.06)          Gabby's Dollhouse: The Movie (GABYD) 149999 24.34 (-0.06)          Valiant One (VLNT1) 149999 8.20 (-0.06)          The Sequel Fund (SQUEL) 687 20.27 (+0.09)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 18.18 (+0.06)          The Forge (TFORG) 150000 17.97 (-0.06)          The Familiars (FAMIL) 150000 19.10 (-0.06)