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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 1855 views

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Ezra (INAPB) 150000 5.04 (+0.21)          Joachim Ronning (JRONN) 25000 74.34 (+0.50)          Front Room (FRTRM) 150000 7.31 (-0.16)          Joachim Ronning (JRONN) 25000 74.34 (+0.50)          Heretic (HERTC) 150000 18.44 (-0.18)          Just Cause (JCAUS) 150000 3.87 (-0.18)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 150000 5.79 (-0.10)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 149999 5.79 (-0.10)          We Live in Time (WLITM) 149999 8.99 (-0.04)          Didi (DIDI) 149999 4.65 (-0.03)          The Dead Don't Hurt (TDDH) 149999 1.92 (0.00)          Ryan's World the Movie: Titan Un (RYANW) 150000 6.72 (+0.34)          Barney (BRNEY) 150000 12.88 (+0.74)          Barney (BRNEY) 150000 12.88 (+0.74)          Tank Girl (TANKG) 1193 13.24 (-0.04)          Babygirl (BBGRL) 150000 9.89 (-0.05)          Babygirl (BBGRL) 150000 9.89 (-0.05)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 150000 8.16 (+0.27)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 150000 8.16 (+0.27)          Ryan's World the Movie: Titan Un (RYANW) 10000 6.72 (+0.34)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 434 5.79 (-0.10)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 4344 5.79 (-0.10)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 434 8.16 (+0.27)          Barney (BRNEY) 149999 12.88 (+0.74)          White Bird (WHBRD) 150000 15.33 (+0.08)          Tower of Terror (TOWRT) 150000 17.32 (+0.04)          They Found Us (THFUS) 150000 17.22 (+0.06)          The Saint (TSAIN) 100000 16.47 (+0.10)          The Saint (TSAIN) 150000 16.47 (+0.10)          The Invite (TINVT) 150000 15.81 (-0.04)          Deadpool & Wolverine (DEAD3) 1 399.66 (+0.25)          I Know What You Did Last Summer (IKNO4) 900 25.13 (-0.03)          Super Toys (SPTOY) 150000 17.93 (+0.02)          Smurfs (SMRF4) 900 30.51 (-0.03)          The Beast (TBEAS) 150000 17.39 (+0.06)          Ray Gunn (RAYGN) 150000 16.68 (+0.06)          Presence (PRSNC) 150000 15.83 (+0.06)          Planes, Trains and Automobiles (PTAUT) 150000 16.09 (-0.04)          Nuremberg (NUREM) 150000 16.44 (+0.06)          Nobody 2 (NOBO2) 150000 17.27 (+0.06)          Distant (DISTN) 150000 11.24 (-0.12)          Distant (DISTN) 150000 11.24 (-0.12)          Metal Men (METAL) 150000 17.41 (-0.04)          Dance First (DNCFS) 150000 1.84 (0.00)          Verona's Romeo and Juliet (VERAJ) 150000 16.26 (-0.19)          Materialists (MTRLS) 150000 16.48 (-0.06)          Inside Out 2 - Opening Weekend (INOU2.OW) 100000 98.07 (+0.20)          Him aka Goat (GOAT1) 2000 19.90 (+0.06)          Inside Out 2 H$100 Call (INOU2.CA) 25000 2.31 (+0.03)          Legally Blonde 3 (BLON3) 100000 17.05 (-0.10)