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Star Trek Set to Beam Up Box Office
Predictions for the Weekend of May 17-19, 2013
| Title (Distributor) | HSX Market Forecast | HSX "Whisper" Forecast | FilmGo Forecast | HSX Market 4-Week Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Star Trek Into Darkness (Paramount) | $88.1M | $88.0M | $91.0M | $249.5M |
WEEKEND OVERVIEW
There is only one new film opening in wide release this weekend: Paramount’s Star Trek Into Darkness (HSX: TREK2 H$88.10) , the sequel to 2009’s reboot of the long running sci-fi franchise, warps into theatres. The first film (or eleventh depending on your point of view) cleaned up at the box office four years ago and was very well-received by audiences so expectations for the sequel are sky high. The film will be getting a jump on weekend traffic due to its Thursday release date and should easily be able to soar to a sum north of $100 million over the first four days of release. FilmGo.net is estimating that the Top 10 will generate about $161.3 million over the weekend, up about 20.5% from last year when Marvel’s The Avengers and Battleship led the overall Top 10 to a total of $133.9 million.
Star Trek Into Darkness
Four years after director J.J. Abrams successfully rebooted a dying franchise, the follow up film Star Trek Into Darkness arrives in theatres. The sequel once again stars Chris Pine, Zachary Quinto, Karl Urban and Zoe Saldana in the iconic roles of Captain Kirk, Spock, Bones and Uhura respectively. Abrams is once again in the captain’s chair and if trailers and reviews are any indication, he has once again crafted an excellent Star Trek film. The first film opened with a terrific $79.2 million and the sequel should easily be able to best that this weekend even with a diluted three day weekend take due to the Thursday opening.
Due to upfront demand from fans, a second film most always has a bigger opening weekend when the first film is so well-liked. Four years is a long time in between sequels, but the extended wait has done nothing to dampen the enthusiasm for the film. In fact, anticipation has steadily intensified for the last several months based on the deafening social buzz for the latest adventure of Captain Kirk and company. Tickets have been selling like hotcakes on Fandango with the sci-fi sequel accounting for over 70% of all tickets sold. Reviews have been terrific with the film standing at 88% fresh on Rotten Tomatoes which will only help matters as well. Abrams pulled off a miracle four years ago when he expanded the franchise’s fanbase beyond that of Trekkies, something that didn’t happen for the first 40 years the series existed. Star Trek has now become a four quadrant film series that appeals to both men and women, young and old.
Another huge thing working in the film’s favor is that there are no other new films opening this weekend. There is competition from Iron Man 3 entering its third frame and sophomore The Great Gatsby, but there should be plenty of room for all three films this weekend. HSX traders are predicting an opening of $88 million from Friday to Sunday, while FilmGo.net expects Star Trek Into Darkness to beam up $91 million this weekend for a four day total of $123 million.
Weekend Predictions for Holdover Films
Predictions for the Weekend of May 17-19, 2013
| Title (Distributor) | Week # | Gross to Date | FilmGo Forecast | HSX Market 4-Week Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Great Gatsby (Warner Bros.) | 2 | $63.3M | $21.5M (-57%) | $131.0M |
| Peeples (Lionsgate) | 2 | $5.5M | $1.9M (-58%) | $13.0M |
| Iron Man 3 (Disney) | 3 | $298.8M | $31.9M (-56%) | $410.0M |
| Pain & Gain (Paramount) | 4 | $43.1M | $3.1M (-38%) | $46.5M |
| The Big Wedding (Lionsgate) | 4 | $19.0M | $1.6M (-38%) | $20.0M |
Preview of Films Opening Next Weekend
Predictions for the Weekend of May 24-27, 2013
There are three new films opening in wide release during the extended Memorial Day weekend: Warner Bros. gets a jump on the holiday weekend by releasing R-rated comedy threequel The Hangover Part III (HSX: HNOV3 $72.00) on Thursday. On Friday Universal puts the peddle to the metal with Fast & Furious 6 (HSX: FAST6 $102.00) the sixth installment in the high octane franchise while 20th Century Fox caters to family audiences with the release of animated adventure film Epic (HSX: EPIC $41.80). The Hangover Part III will likely fall off a bit from the last film’s opening because it wasn’t as well-liked as the original film. Fast & Furious 6 should stay on pace with the fifth film in the series and Epic should have a decent start due to a general lack of family films in the marketplace.
| Title (Distributor) | HSX Market Forecast | HSX "Whisper" Forecast | FilmGo Forecast | HSX Market 4-Week Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Hangover Part III (Warner Bros.) | $72.0M | $70.0M | $79.0M | $162.0M |
| Fast & Furious 6 (Unviersal) | $102.0M | $105.0M | $104.0M | $213.0M |
| Epic (Fox) | $41.8M | $41.0M | $42.0M | $82.0M |
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