ANNOUNCEMENT: Trade TVStocks of the new, mid-season network series.

SPIN FACTOR® - The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Four newcomers vie for fourth place.



Hollywood sends four new wide releases to the plate this weekend. However, none are likely to contend for first place at the box office, which will be fought over by three holdover films. Although Dolphin Tale [DLPHN] finished third in its opening weekend, the family film has a chance to ascend to the top spot. The inspiration story has earned excellent word of mouth. Without any new competition for the family audience, Dolphin Tale may only decline around 30% to $13.5 million, which could be enough to prevail in a tight race.

The sports drama Moneyball [MONYB] has garnered great word of mouth as well, and could also move up from its second place finish last week. Baseball fans may opt to stay home and watch the playoffs though, so Moneyball could drop about 35% to $13 million.

With moviegoers still eager to check out The Lion King 3D [TLK3D], the animated re-release looks to collect another $13 million before the Blu-ray arrives on Tuesday.

Cancer movies are usually a bummer at the box office but the dramedy 50/50 [5050] hopes to beat the odds. Joseph Gordon-Levitt [JGORD] plays a young cancer patient while Seth Rogen [SROGE] co-star as his friend who helps him deal with the disease. The likeable cast and favorable reviews should appeal to the hipster target audience. Playing in 2458 theaters, the R-rated 50/50 could score $10 million.

Anna Faris [AFARI] is going through his exes to see if she missed ‘The One’ in the romantic comedy What’s Your Number? [WYNUM]. Chris Evans [CEVAN] coming off Captain America co-stars as a neighbor, who undoubtable will tuern out to be ‘The One’. Ads have been funny and should bring out those looking for R-rated laughs. Dialing into 3002 theaters, What’s Your Number? may ring up $9 million.

The PG-13 rated horror film Dream House [DRMHS] boasts a star-studded cast of Daniel Craig [DCRAI], Rachel Weisz [RWEIS] and Naomi Watts [NWATT]. Unfortunately, the film has been delayed for over a year for reshoots and the final product is not being screened for critics. Instead, Universal hopes to draw an audience by seemingly giving away the movie’s every twist and turn. Shown at 2660 locations, Dream House could sell for $8.5 million.

The faith-based drama Courageous [COURG] follows policemen who turned to religion to overcome a tragedy. Director Alex Kendrick’s previous Christian film Fireproof opened to $6.8 million in 2008. With a built-in audience coming in groups, Courageous could gather $8 million from 1161 theaters. As the only new film with an existing fanbase, Courageous has the best chance to breakout and could even fare the best amongst the new releases.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): DLPHN, MONYB, TLK3D, 5050, JGORD, SROGE, AFARI, WYNUM, CEVAN, DRMHS, DCRAI, RWEIS, NWATT, COURG

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, September 29, 2011 @ 04:28 PM        6450 views


Recent Comments

    No recent comments.


Cantor Exchange

@HSXMOVIES on Twitter





Follow HSX on Twitter!

Larrikins (LARIK) 1 46.01 (+6.01)         Africa (AFRCA) 99999 26.09 (-0.34)         Daniel Craig (DCRAI) 19301 91.17 (+0.59)         Larrikins (LARIK) 1 46.01 (+6.01)         The Maze Runner: Death Cure (MAZE3) 50000 51.77 (-0.49)         Fifty Shades Darker (50SH2) 100000 92.05 (+0.61)         The Man from U.N.C.L.E. (UNCLE) 10000 48.70 (-0.79)         Home (SMEKD) 100000 145.80 (+31.72)         Get Hard (GHARD) 100000 93.45 (+5.16)         Winter's Discontent (WNDIS) 99990 0.02 (-0.02)         Home (SMEKD) 100000 145.80 (+31.72)         Cinderella (CINDE) 10000 167.64 (-1.46)         Insurgent (DVRG2) 100000 126.61 (-2.48)         Home (SMEKD) 100000 145.80 (+31.72)         Hitman: Agent 47 (HITM2) 100000 18.43 (-0.07)         Inside Out (NMIND) 20087 156.32 (+0.37)         Insurgent (DVRG2) 1 126.61 (-2.48)         Aaron Taylor-Johnson (AJOHN) 10 82.17 (-0.05)         Get Hard (GHARD) 630 93.45 (+5.16)         Home (SMEKD) 100000 145.80 (+31.72)         The Legend of Conan (CONA2) 1 3.27 (-0.20)         $40,000 Man (40MAN) 1500 0.04 (-0.05)         The Ends of the Earth (TEOTE) 1 1.02 (-0.12)         The Birth of a Nation (TBOAN) 1000 4.74 (+0.34)         Home (SMEKD) 99999 145.80 (+31.72)         Mike Myers (MMYER) 20000 135.66 (-1.42)         Spectre (JB24) 25026 195.60 (+1.35)         It Follows (ITFLW) 100000 12.80 (+1.33)         It Follows (ITFLW) 1 12.80 (+1.33)         The Ends of the Earth (TEOTE) 1 1.02 (-0.12)         The Longest Ride (LNGST) 100000 34.05 (+0.63)         Tarzan (TARZN) 2000 47.45 (-0.06)         Home (SMEKD) 50000 145.80 (+31.72)         Home (SMEKD) 100000 145.80 (+31.72)         Steve Martin (SMART) 20000 54.34 (+2.90)         Larrikins (LARIK) 100000 46.01 (+6.01)         Get Hard (GHARD) 100000 93.45 (+5.16)         Home (SMEKD) 81852 145.80 (+31.72)         Home (SMEKD) 100000 145.80 (+31.72)         Puss In Boots 2 (PUSS2) 100000 42.02 (+1.02)         Jennifer Lopez (JLOPE) 20000 65.38 (+1.11)         Home (SMEKD) 100000 145.80 (+31.72)         Home (SMEKD) 1000 145.80 (+31.72)         Cinderella (CINDE) 750 167.64 (-1.46)         Story of Your Life (SOYLF) 30000 22.37 (-1.15)         The Croods 2 (CROD2) 40000 54.83 (+1.43)         Mercury (FREDI) 99999 2.37 (-5.57)         Kingsman: The Secret Service $10 (TSSRV.BW) 20000 14.54 (+0.42)         Cinderella $180M Blockbuster War (CINDE.BW) 20000 7.54 (+1.06)         Victor Frankenstein (FRNKS) 40000 33.26 (+0.86)