SPIN FACTOR® - The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Box office is a four-way battle.



Four new films and a wide expansion compete for moviegoers’ attention in a crowded weekend at the box office. Clint Eastwood [CEAST] may come out slightly ahead of the pack with the baseball drama Trouble with the Curve [TCURV]. Eastwood was much maligned for his speech at the Republican National Convention, but the much talked about routine brought awareness to his first starring role since 2008’s Gran Torino. That film was a $148 million hit, which indicated the 82-year-old still has legions of fans.  Co-stars Amy Adams [AMADA] and Justin Timberlake [JTIMB] should help broaden the demographic for the PG-13 rated sports movie.  Playing in 3212 theaters, Trouble with the Curve could hit $15 million.

Relativity’s House at the End of the Street [ENDST] will test the drawing power of Jennifer Lawrence [JLAWR], coming off the blockbuster The Hunger Games. The PG-13 rated thriller is right in the wheelhouse of its target audience of female teens and young women. Breaking into 3083 theaters, House at the End of the Street may sell for $14 million.

Jake Gyllenhaal [JGYLL] and Michael Pena [MPENA] play LAPD officers in the R-rated actioner End of Watch [ENDWT] shot in a gritty style similar to the TV show COPS. Open Road has marketed the film heavily to sports fans as well as the Hispanic market. The film has earned excellent reviews, which could even bring in the high-brow crowd. End of Watch looks to roll up $14 million from 2730 locations.

Lionsgate’s Dredd 3D [DREDD] stars Karl Urban [KURBA] in the role Sylvester Stallone played in 1995’s Judge Dredd. The R-rated sci-fi actioner’s appeal appears limited to male fans of the genre, where it has to compete against Resident Evil: Retribution [RESE5]. Presiding 2506 theaters, Dredd 3D may execute just $10 million. Resident Evil: Retribution suffered from franchise fatigue as the fifth installment had the worst debut since the original film. The sequel looks to tumble 60% to $8 million in its second weekend.

After a record per theater average opening, The Master [MASTR] expands wide into 788 theaters. Paul Thomas Anderson’s [PTAND] period drama about a Scientology-like religious movement will attract moviegoers eager to check out the first buzzworthy film of the award season. The Master may collect $7 million this weekend.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): CEAST, TCURV, AMADA, JTIMB, ENDST, JLAWR, JGYLL, MPENA, ENDWT, DREDD, KURBA, RESE5, MASTR, PTAND

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, September 20, 2012 @ 04:13 PM        4783 views


Recent Comments

    No recent comments.


Cantor Exchange

@HSXMOVIES on Twitter





Follow HSX on Twitter!

Call of Duty (CODUT) 100000 27.31 (-0.16)         Fast & Furious 9 (FAST9) 100000 152.26 (+2.26)         Fast & Furious 9 (FAST9) 100000 152.26 (+2.26)         Captain America: Civil War (CAPA3) 10435 491.41 (-1.39)         The Jetsons (JETSN) 100000 3.77 (-0.09)         Star Wars: Episode IX (STAR9) 3077 522.11 (+0.05)         Captain America: Civil War (CAPA3) 40713 491.41 (-1.39)         Fast & Furious 9 (FAST9) 30000 152.26 (+2.26)         Money Monster (MONYM) 100000 32.31 (0.00)         Fast & Furious 9 (FAST9) 92 152.26 (+2.26)         Creed 2 (CREE2) 100000 28.01 (+0.04)         Fast & Furious 9 (FAST9) 588 152.26 (+2.26)         Amityville: The Awakening (AMTVL) 100000 12.85 (-0.19)         Absolutely Fabulous: The Movie (ABFAB) 100000 6.39 (+2.44)         Felt (FELT) 666 17.08 (+1.44)         The Bye Bye Man (BYBYM) 100000 25.58 (-0.04)         Men & Chicken (MNCHK) 1 0.70 (0.00)         Me Before You (MBFYU) 100000 20.30 (+0.01)         Substitute Teacher (SUBST) 51000 18.76 (+0.60)         Sky (SKY) 1 0.46 (+0.01)         Me Before You (MBFYU) 100000 20.30 (+0.01)         Captain America: Civil War H$185 (CAPA3.PU) 20000 1.00 (-0.01)         Hardcore Henry (HRDCR) 100000 9.24 (+0.09)         Everybody Wants Some!! (TWITA) 1 3.07 (-0.06)         Indiana Jones 5 (INDI5) 12944 68.97 (+0.15)         The Family Fang (FFANG) 100000 0.20 (-0.07)         Blake Jenner (BJENN) 20000 8.60 (-0.04)         Don’t Think Twice (DTTWC) 50000 1.82 (-0.10)         Extraordinary Journey of the Fak (EJOTF) 100000 4.70 (-0.02)         Extraordinary Journey of the Fak (EJOTF) 100000 4.70 (-0.02)         Wyatt Russell (WRUSS) 20000 49.95 (0.00)         Fast & Furious 9 (FAST9) 5513 152.26 (+2.26)         Table 19 (TBL19) 100000 5.31 (-0.02)         FOX: Grandfathered (GRNDFT) 4571 18.11 (0.00)         Substitute Teacher (SUBST) 100000 18.76 (+0.60)         Don’t Think Twice (DTTWC) 10000 1.82 (-0.10)         FOX: Cooper Barrett’s Guide to (CBGTSL) 18300 11.25 (+0.10)         The Opening Weekend Fund (OPENR) 10000 20.29 (+0.06)         Hotel Mumbai (HTLMB) 100000 9.38 (+0.63)         Substitute Teacher (SUBST) 5000 18.76 (+0.60)         Tomb Raider (TOMB3) 2000 36.69 (+2.34)         Colette (COLET) 50000 9.07 (+1.73)         Captain America: Civil War H$185 (CAPA3.CA) 20000 4.36 (+0.06)         Born To Be Blue (BTBLU) 100000 0.89 (+0.03)         Carmen Ejogo (CEJOG) 20000 35.23 (+0.08)         Looking for Alaska (LKFAK) 50000 5.89 (+0.25)         Captain America: Civil War H$185 (CAPA3.CA) 20000 4.36 (+0.06)         Die Hard: Year One (DIEH6) 3000 31.24 (+2.40)         Substitute Teacher (SUBST) 2000 18.76 (+0.60)         Fast & Furious 9 (FAST9) 2000 152.26 (+2.26)