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Whisper Numbers: Jason Bourne to beat Bad Moms

Nine years after disappearing from the movie landscape, Jason Bourne [BORN5] returns reuniting Matt Damon [MDAMO] and director Paul Greengrass [PGREE]. The Bourne Ultimatum had seemingly concluded his story and capped off a trilogy with a $69.2 million debut. Wanting to extend the franchise, Universal tapped Jeremy Renner for The Bourne Legacy, which opened to a respectable $38.1 million in 2012. Damon’s presence should bring back some of the original fans, though the murky motivation for Jason Bourne’s reappearance may put off a portion of the audience. Mixed reviews from critics have only confirmed that the PG-13 rated film is an unnecessary sequel. Still, the fifth Bourne is tracking and selling advance tickets similar to the fifth Mission: Impossible, Rogue Nation which opened a year ago with $55.5 million. Playing in 4026 theaters, Jason Bourne should clear $55 million.

Star Trek Beyond [TREK3] felt the fans’ wrath over Into Darkness, but should have better word of mouth. As with most sequels this summer though, Star Trek Beyond looks to power down around 50% in its second weekend to $29 million.

Mila Kunis [MKUNI] and Kristen Bell [KBELL] lead the R-rated comedy Bad Moms [BMOMS]. Ticket presales are pacing ahead of Trainwreck which hit $30 million a year ago. However, Amy Schumer seems to have generated more buzz for Trainwreck than STX has for Bad Moms. Raging in 3215 theaters, Bad Moms may bring home $28 million.

Lionsgate targets millennials with the PG-13 rated thriller Nerve [NERVE]. After a better than expected take of $3.8 million on Wednesday, Nerve should collect another $11 million over the weekend from 2538 locations.

As for the other two sophomore releases, the animated Ice Age: Collision Course [ICEA5] is likely to hold slightly better than 50% for $11 million ,while the horror Lights Out [LITSO] do the opposite at worse than 50% for $10 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): BORN5, MDAMO, PGREE, TREK3, MKUNI, KBELL, BMOMS, NERVE, ICEA5, LITSO

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, July 28, 2016 @ 03:51 PM 2868 views

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The Down Under Fund (AUSIE) 10000 90.20 (-0.02)          Weapons (WEPNS) 150000 22.60 (+0.17)          The Bramford aka Apartment 7A (APT7A) 10000 11.52 (+0.02)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 10 156.99 (+0.53)          Madden (MADEN) 134090 25.00 (0.00)          Sight (SIGHT) 12000 8.82 (-0.02)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          28 Years Later (28LT3) 150000 52.81 (+1.20)          Mike Tyson biopic (MTYSN) 149999 0.06 (-0.01)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          IF (IMGNF) 20000 150.52 (-1.16)          IF (IMGNF) 30000 150.52 (-1.16)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4) 21000 133.78 (-0.28)          Elio (ELIO) 25000 116.78 (-0.87)          IF (IMGNF) 10000 150.52 (-1.16)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Sasquatch Sunset (SQTCH) 150000 4.63 (+0.06)          Kalki 2898 A.D. (KALKI) 7000 7.60 (-0.03)          Tarot (HRSCP) 13000 27.06 (-0.02)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          A Big Bold Beautiful Journey (ABBBJ) 50000 38.99 (-0.09)          Challengers (CHALN) 4000 38.38 (+0.84)          The Return (TRETU) 150000 3.40 (-0.30)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Ronan Boyle and the Bridge of Ri (RBOYL) 50000 23.71 (-0.04)          I Saw the TV Glow (ISTVG) 75000 4.20 (-0.04)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Sight (SIGHT) 9000 8.82 (-0.02)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 100000 45.78 (+0.44)          Madden (MADEN) 116667 25.00 (0.00)          IF (IMGNF) 50000 150.52 (-1.16)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.PU) 25000 2.32 (+0.32)          Sesame Street (SESAM) 30000 3.49 (+0.01)          Madden (MADEN) 33333 25.00 (0.00)          IF (IMGNF) 54000 150.52 (-1.16)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.OW) 100000 47.72 (-2.28)          Send Help (SENDH) 30000 28.42 (0.00)          Boy Band (BOYBN) 150000 32.60 (+0.03)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.CA) 25000 1.68 (-0.32)          Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle (HAIKY) 10000 14.20 (+0.10)          Not Another Church Movie (NACM) 9000 8.88 (+0.03)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 75000 11.42 (-1.13)          Not Another Church Movie (NACM) 4000 8.88 (+0.03)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          IF (IMGNF) 150000 150.52 (-1.16)          IF (IMGNF) 150000 150.52 (-1.16)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4) 10800 133.78 (-0.28)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 11.42 (-1.13)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4) 4000 133.78 (-0.28)