HOLLYWOOD STOCK EXCHANGE
THE ENTERTAINMENT MARKET
THE ENTERTAINMENT MARKET
see, that's where you always sound like such a noob
assumption 1 again: People go to movies other than the 2 new movies. You were part of the group awhile ago that was chirping about AVNGR taking away the market for the new releases....now other movies are irrelevant to analysis.....can't have it both ways.
assumption 2 again: What people have in their pocket is irrelevant to that point. You said the profit from one comes from the loss of the other. So you are playing to BREAK EVEN. There is no gain to your example and you lose commisions.
assumption 3 again: They don't start at equilibrium. They didn't IPO the same price. They didn't IPO the same date. And that is irrelevant b/c you're buying them now at market pricing. Whatsmore, the market is not set. There could be 80 mill, 110 mill, or 500mill in revenues this weekend. They are all assumptions within this assumption and they are all incorrect.
Models don't start with assumptions....they start with an understanding of the variables so you can get to an assumption.
With so many billionaires, and near billionaires in this game, do little investors like myself really affect the game? {nm} Jun 06, 13:55
Yes, because billionaires cannot buy more shares of a stock than you can. {nm} Jun 06, 14:02
Yes.. But they cannot affect individual stock movement more than you.. and you play "short" OR "long" not simultaneously {nm} Jun 06, 16:47
You can play short AND long. For instance I feel that MADG3 is too low, so play long and if I feel that MADG3 will take a bite Jun 06, 17:44
? Jun 06, 17:56
Yes, sometimes, I scare myself. Here's the logic: Jun 06, 18:09
But they aren't dependent on each other like that. You're returning to your zero-sum supposition, which doesn't hold here. Jun 06, 18:23
There's definitely a correlation in gross for a weekend between the grosses of movies opening the same weekend. Jun 06, 18:34
This is true. And I would take that approach in real life, since I want to be efficient and get my job done quickly. Jun 07, 06:59
lot of jumps in logic Jun 06, 18:26
Wish it was all logic based, but we're talking consumer behaviour, and statistical analysis... Jun 06, 18:49
see, that's where you always sound like such a noob Jun 06, 19:00
But I am a noob, not trying to hide anything. What about the post-AVNGR slump? Jun 06, 19:18
*banging head on desk* {nm} Jun 06, 19:55
Please, no need to hurt yourself over me. ;-) {nm} Jun 06, 20:10
I'd argue the point but its kind of pointless Jun 06, 23:56
Thought that was what I was doing, asking question, through out some ideas, getting responses. Jun 07, 07:58
it only happens when someone doesn't honestly have a question Jun 07, 09:55
Not to belabor a point, but stock performances are not linked in a zero sum fashion... even if you think they are. Jun 07, 10:21
I promise you that unless they inherited a port, every billionaire started off with a $2M just like you did. Jun 06, 14:04
Every investor is sacred, every investor is great Jun 06, 14:13
I know I am, but my who portfolio is probably what you would commission on a trade. ;-) {nm} Jun 06, 15:20
Must be late on my payments, my ISP is skipping words and letters. {nm} Jun 06, 15:34
That was a beautiful sentence. :) {nm} Jun 06, 17:36
Duh, henglish, I lern good time. {nm} Jun 06, 18:13
Easy for you to say. {nm} Jun 06, 17:40