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Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm}

Posted by: secretstalker (a.k.a TheWeekendWarrior) on May 01, 18:54 in response to Facto's post Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for...

RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high single digits {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:46

[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:48

Here's my wild guess that MTC will be higher on THOR and BRDSM, and lower on Priest. Now, let's put wild guesses to the test.   Facto on May 01, 18:58

But it's surely...   second gary on May 01, 20:34

Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for it, iirc? {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:39

Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day question.   second gary on May 01, 20:49

Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:54

Huh. Hangover and Panda are opening on Thursday? What's that multiplier then, Thursday + (2.2 * 4-day weekend)? {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:13

Yes {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

Argh, weekends like that make by brain hurt. {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:33

Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for STBRW or JUMPB, calling them "modest romantic comedies" (iirc). {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:54

Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:54

Why? You don't state any reasons - BoxOffice.Com said something as to why they think it won't do much business :-) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:56

I don't think so. Twitter has missed lately, but it's quite reliable in predicting underperformers with low tweet counts. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 18:57

yeah the young woman fanbase of the book is INTENSE {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:57

two wedding comedies have never opened against each other different demo or not {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:59

And then Bridesmaids follows the week after. Talk about wedding overload! {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:00

.. but, just to play devil's advocate, it *is* wedding season, no.. ? :-)   Facto on May 01, 20:03

There's a book? :) {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:59

irony, right?   Facto on May 01, 19:00

(and I am of course not talking about notfabio!) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:06

naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm}   islander on May 01, 18:58

Yup, even in 2003, DVORC did 9M full run.. "Le Divorce is a wacky romantic comedy starring Kate Hudson and Naomi Watts." {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:04

that wasnt given even a moderate push domestically and a terrible title {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 19:07

Sure, but it had Kate Hudson on the posters and marquees.. And Something Borrowed is expected to do at least double.   Facto on May 01, 19:09

MBFSG, Oct 2008 delist of 18.75: "Dane Cook and Kate Hudson star in the romantic comedy [My Best Friend's Girl].... " {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:19

Then again, Bride Wars of course delisted at 53.89 February 2009. But was that due to a snappy title and Anne Hathaway (fresh from The Devil   Facto on May 01, 19:11

stbrw also plain, generic, terrible title. bet 5 h-bucks at least one review will lead with "Soemthing Boring" {nm}   islander on May 01, 19:12

Heh :-) "Something boring, snored all through" {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:13

yeah it's pretty bland-looking   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:54

I think it looks dreadful   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:23

Thanks! ;-) What would you say were your favourite "women's movies/chick flicks" of the last 5 years? Devil Wears Prada, for instance?   Facto on May 01, 19:28

I suppose it pushes a 'meek inheriting the earth' button   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:51

I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than MADE OF HONOR in the same frame. {nm}   dsbman on May 01, 18:57

Bingo... the advertising for STBRW has been better and more prevalent even though I'm sure it's just as bad. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:01

We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:01

The BOM poll for STBRW is already starting out markedly weaker, which is a poor sign. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:04

You can't judge women's movies based on BOM Polls... I'd be shocked if they had more than 4 women responding {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

I'm not 100% sure, but feel that I recall that you have overestimated at least a couple women's movies, making similar sounding points?   Facto on May 01, 19:18

If those 4 women answer every womens movie poll on BOM something can be gleaned from it via comparison. {nm}   BionicMoron on May 01, 19:29

actually, *something* fruitful has to come out of the hours I've wasted surfing twitter, and this is it: There are *plenty* of women on Twit   Facto on May 01, 19:34

(snark;) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 23:24

agreed   jane_citizen on May 01, 20:07

So, RS amended numbers. They used to be low 50's for THOR, mid teens for Borrowed and low double digits for Jumping.   PVL Admin on May 01, 19:40

Borrowed and Broom heading south - and in line with BoxOffice.com's predictions. So, MTC should be lower - but we'll see. {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:42

Those are pretty weak numbers for Thor... it opened 82 million world wide... and no one knows about Thor outside america..   b4bad on May 01, 20:41

No way! The bark-o-meter has it lower than Fast5. More to follow later in the week. {nm}   PVL Admin on May 01, 20:54

Thor has more oversea appeal {nm}   xiayun on May 01, 21:01

Now that's just crazy talk...    Facto on May 01, 22:44

I'd suggest Thors Australian popularity is more to do with the fact Chris Hemsworth rose to fame playing a key role    osmosis2003 on May 01, 22:45

makes a lot of sense. Not much love for Thor from the Germans, though - perhaps they remember their previous führer that dug Norse mythology {nm}   Facto on May 02, 00:56

fuhrer/leader - Hitler dug Norse mythology, iirc, as did his favourite composer Richard Wagner ("March of the Valkyries", used in Star Wars,   Facto on May 02, 00:58





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Cantor Exchange
Benedict Cumberbatch (BCUMB) 20000 99.89 (-0.84)         Predestination (PDSTN) 100000 6.38 (+2.05)         Toy Story 4 (TOYS4) 62718 213.67 (-2.30)         Colin Firth (CFIRT) 20000 8.46 (-10.90)         Colin Firth (CFIRT) 20000 8.46 (-10.90)         Florence (FLORN) 2850 16.91 (-0.21)         LEGO Batman (LBATM) 100000 84.10 (-1.54)         Kelly Reilly (KREIL) 20000 19.13 (-9.39)         Colin Firth (CFIRT) 20000 8.46 (-10.90)         Jake Gyllenhaal (JGYLL) 8901 36.96 (+0.08)         Colin Firth (CFIRT) 20000 8.46 (-10.90)         The LEGO Movie 2 (LEGO2) 30508 122.23 (-1.14)         Juliette Lewis (JLEWI) 20000 27.65 (-0.12)         Eva Longoria (ELONG) 20000 10.44 (+0.36)         Cook (COOK) 2500 12.58 (-0.17)         Nicole Kidman (NKIDM) 20000 2.01 (-6.48)         Interstellar (NTSTL) 100000 136.73 (-1.61)         Nicole Kidman (NKIDM) 20000 2.01 (-6.48)         Cake (CAKE) 70000 3.28 (+0.52)         Jake Gyllenhaal (JGYLL) 20000 36.96 (+0.08)         Nicole Kidman (NKIDM) 20000 2.01 (-6.48)         Clerks III (CLRK3) 1000 8.04 (-0.12)         Colin Firth (CFIRT) 20000 8.46 (-10.90)         The LEGO Movie 2 (LEGO2) 1 122.23 (-1.14)         Bridget Moynahan (BMOYN) 20000 28.15 (-0.08)         Goosebumps (GBUMP) 50000 22.49 (-1.26)         Goosebumps (GBUMP) 50000 22.49 (-1.26)         Colin Firth (CFIRT) 20000 8.46 (-10.90)         Jason Sudeikis (JSUDE) 20000 69.59 (+0.66)         Jeffrey Wright (JWRIG) 20000 73.49 (+0.52)         The Maze Runner: Scorch Trials (MAZE2) 43560 46.25 (-0.65)         The Sequel Fund (SQUEL) 10000 20.00 (0.00)         Gone Girl $120M Blockbuster Warr (GONEG.BW) 1500 23.83 (+0.52)         Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justi (SUPE2) 6735 299.13 (+0.86)         Adam Brody (ADBRO) 20000 15.82 (+0.08)         Eddie Redmayne (EREDM) 20000 26.72 (-0.01)         The Sequel Fund (SQUEL) 10000 20.00 (0.00)         Goosebumps (GBUMP) 50000 22.49 (-1.26)         Pacific Rim 2 (PACR2) 100000 43.00 (+0.74)         Interstellar $150M Blockbuster W (NTSTL.BW) 10000 9.24 (+0.63)         Goosebumps (GBUMP) 50000 22.49 (-1.26)         Werner Herzog (WHERZ) 20000 24.72 (+1.04)         Aloft aka Cry/Fly (CRYFL) 100000 0.10 (+0.05)         Big Hero 6 $170M Blockbuster War (BHERO.BW) 9800 8.90 (+0.53)         Star Wars: Episode VII - The For (STAR7) 69811 311.44 (+0.97)         Finding Dory aka Finding Nemo 2 (NEMO2) 51372 165.63 (+0.94)         Now You See Me: The Second Act (NYSM2) 100000 50.49 (+1.02)         Colin Firth (CFIRT) 10 8.46 (-10.90)         Nicole Kidman (NKIDM) 20000 2.01 (-6.48)         Nicole Kidman (NKIDM) 20000 2.01 (-6.48)