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Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm}

Posted by: secretstalker (a.k.a TheWeekendWarrior) on May 01, 18:54 in response to Facto's post Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for...

RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high single digits {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:46

[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:48

Here's my wild guess that MTC will be higher on THOR and BRDSM, and lower on Priest. Now, let's put wild guesses to the test.   Facto on May 01, 18:58

But it's surely...   second gary on May 01, 20:34

Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for it, iirc? {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:39

Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day question.   second gary on May 01, 20:49

Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:54

Huh. Hangover and Panda are opening on Thursday? What's that multiplier then, Thursday + (2.2 * 4-day weekend)? {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:13

Yes {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

Argh, weekends like that make by brain hurt. {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:33

Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for STBRW or JUMPB, calling them "modest romantic comedies" (iirc). {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:54

Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:54

Why? You don't state any reasons - BoxOffice.Com said something as to why they think it won't do much business :-) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:56

I don't think so. Twitter has missed lately, but it's quite reliable in predicting underperformers with low tweet counts. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 18:57

yeah the young woman fanbase of the book is INTENSE {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:57

two wedding comedies have never opened against each other different demo or not {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:59

And then Bridesmaids follows the week after. Talk about wedding overload! {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:00

.. but, just to play devil's advocate, it *is* wedding season, no.. ? :-)   Facto on May 01, 20:03

There's a book? :) {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:59

irony, right?   Facto on May 01, 19:00

(and I am of course not talking about notfabio!) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:06

naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm}   islander on May 01, 18:58

Yup, even in 2003, DVORC did 9M full run.. "Le Divorce is a wacky romantic comedy starring Kate Hudson and Naomi Watts." {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:04

that wasnt given even a moderate push domestically and a terrible title {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 19:07

Sure, but it had Kate Hudson on the posters and marquees.. And Something Borrowed is expected to do at least double.   Facto on May 01, 19:09

MBFSG, Oct 2008 delist of 18.75: "Dane Cook and Kate Hudson star in the romantic comedy [My Best Friend's Girl].... " {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:19

Then again, Bride Wars of course delisted at 53.89 February 2009. But was that due to a snappy title and Anne Hathaway (fresh from The Devil   Facto on May 01, 19:11

stbrw also plain, generic, terrible title. bet 5 h-bucks at least one review will lead with "Soemthing Boring" {nm}   islander on May 01, 19:12

Heh :-) "Something boring, snored all through" {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:13

yeah it's pretty bland-looking   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:54

I think it looks dreadful   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:23

Thanks! ;-) What would you say were your favourite "women's movies/chick flicks" of the last 5 years? Devil Wears Prada, for instance?   Facto on May 01, 19:28

I suppose it pushes a 'meek inheriting the earth' button   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:51

I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than MADE OF HONOR in the same frame. {nm}   dsbman on May 01, 18:57

Bingo... the advertising for STBRW has been better and more prevalent even though I'm sure it's just as bad. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:01

We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:01

The BOM poll for STBRW is already starting out markedly weaker, which is a poor sign. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:04

You can't judge women's movies based on BOM Polls... I'd be shocked if they had more than 4 women responding {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

I'm not 100% sure, but feel that I recall that you have overestimated at least a couple women's movies, making similar sounding points?   Facto on May 01, 19:18

If those 4 women answer every womens movie poll on BOM something can be gleaned from it via comparison. {nm}   BionicMoron on May 01, 19:29

actually, *something* fruitful has to come out of the hours I've wasted surfing twitter, and this is it: There are *plenty* of women on Twit   Facto on May 01, 19:34

(snark;) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 23:24

agreed   jane_citizen on May 01, 20:07

So, RS amended numbers. They used to be low 50's for THOR, mid teens for Borrowed and low double digits for Jumping.   PVL Admin on May 01, 19:40

Borrowed and Broom heading south - and in line with BoxOffice.com's predictions. So, MTC should be lower - but we'll see. {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:42

Those are pretty weak numbers for Thor... it opened 82 million world wide... and no one knows about Thor outside america..   b4bad on May 01, 20:41

No way! The bark-o-meter has it lower than Fast5. More to follow later in the week. {nm}   PVL Admin on May 01, 20:54

Thor has more oversea appeal {nm}   xiayun on May 01, 21:01

Now that's just crazy talk...    Facto on May 01, 22:44

I'd suggest Thors Australian popularity is more to do with the fact Chris Hemsworth rose to fame playing a key role    osmosis2003 on May 01, 22:45

makes a lot of sense. Not much love for Thor from the Germans, though - perhaps they remember their previous führer that dug Norse mythology {nm}   Facto on May 02, 00:56

fuhrer/leader - Hitler dug Norse mythology, iirc, as did his favourite composer Richard Wagner ("March of the Valkyries", used in Star Wars,   Facto on May 02, 00:58





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Cantor Exchange
NBC: Bad Judge (BJUDGE) 20000 11.40 (+0.06)         Top Five (FFMUS) 100000 18.90 (+0.01)         Top Five (FFMUS) 100000 18.90 (+0.01)         Hannibal the Conqueror (HANBL) 100000 0.10 (+0.01)         Fire and Ice (FRICE) 100000 3.68 (-1.45)         Fraggle Rock (FRGGL) 90000 0.08 (+0.03)         Beetlejuice 2 (BEET2) 100000 20.01 (+0.08)         Top Five (FFMUS) 100000 18.90 (+0.01)         Annie (ANNIE) 100000 46.98 (+2.97)         Annie (ANNIE) 100000 46.98 (+2.97)         Story of Your Life (SOYLF) 10 25.00 (0.00)         Horrible Bosses 2 (HBOS2) 5000 46.74 (-0.45)         Austin Powers 4 (AUST4) 4440 4.09 (+0.23)         Forty Thieves (40THV) 99999 35.43 (-3.87)         Experimenter (EXPRM) 10 5.00 (0.00)         Reach Me (RECHM) 100000 0.04 (-0.01)         Into the Woods - Opening Weekend (INTWD.OW) 5000 32.56 (+0.64)         Son of a Gun (SOGUN) 100000 0.05 (-0.09)         Story of Your Life (SOYLF) 100000 25.00 (0.00)         Ion (ION) 99999 0.02 (-0.01)         V/H/S: Viral (VHS3) 100000 0.04 (+0.02)         Cars 3 (CARS3) 50000 57.08 (0.00)         Into the Woods (INTWD) 2000 81.07 (+5.85)         N5: JC Chandor - A Most Violent (N5DJCC) 10000 3.86 (-0.02)         Ride (RIDE1) 44721 0.09 (-0.05)         Coming Home (CHOME) 109 0.04 (0.00)         N5: Wild - Best Picture (N5PWLD) 10000 7.99 (-0.08)         N5: Jessica Chastain - A Most V (N5SJCH) 10000 6.35 (0.00)         Goblins (GOBLN) 99334 2.22 (+0.07)         Transformers 5 (TFRM5) 10000 68.56 (-0.35)         Hemingway & Fuentes (HMNFN) 100000 0.08 (-0.03)         Madagascar 4 (MADG4) 25000 67.97 (-0.04)         Hemingway & Fuentes (HMNFN) 100000 0.08 (-0.03)         The Captive (QUNIT) 96398 0.02 (0.00)         Ion (ION) 99999 0.02 (-0.01)         Story of Your Life (SOYLF) 100000 25.00 (0.00)         Experimenter (EXPRM) 100000 5.00 (0.00)         Dragon Blade (DRBLD) 99993 5.45 (+1.32)         Suicide Squad (SUICD) 100000 156.13 (-0.89)         Unbroken (UBRKN) 29708 47.39 (+1.14)         Thor: Ragnorak (THOR3) 100000 145.91 (+0.61)         Two Days, One Night (2D1NT) 5000 0.42 (-0.06)         Annie (ANNIE) 100000 46.98 (+2.97)         Experimenter (EXPRM) 100000 5.00 (0.00)         What We Do in the Shadows (WWDTS) 100000 1.32 (-0.03)         Charlie Day (CDAY) 14825 148.95 (+0.78)         Day One aka To Write Love on Her (TWLHA) 94578 3.37 (-0.13)         The Blue Room (BLURM) 15000 0.23 (-0.02)         Sony Studio Fund (SONYX) 90 10.27 (0.00)         Song of the Sea (SOSEA) 100000 1.35 (-0.12)