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Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm}

Posted by: secretstalker (a.k.a TheWeekendWarrior) on May 01, 18:54 in response to Facto's post Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for...

RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high single digits {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:46

[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:48

Here's my wild guess that MTC will be higher on THOR and BRDSM, and lower on Priest. Now, let's put wild guesses to the test.   Facto on May 01, 18:58

But it's surely...   second gary on May 01, 20:34

Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for it, iirc? {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:39

Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day question.   second gary on May 01, 20:49

Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:54

Huh. Hangover and Panda are opening on Thursday? What's that multiplier then, Thursday + (2.2 * 4-day weekend)? {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:13

Yes {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

Argh, weekends like that make by brain hurt. {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:33

Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for STBRW or JUMPB, calling them "modest romantic comedies" (iirc). {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:54

Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:54

Why? You don't state any reasons - BoxOffice.Com said something as to why they think it won't do much business :-) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:56

I don't think so. Twitter has missed lately, but it's quite reliable in predicting underperformers with low tweet counts. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 18:57

yeah the young woman fanbase of the book is INTENSE {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:57

two wedding comedies have never opened against each other different demo or not {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:59

And then Bridesmaids follows the week after. Talk about wedding overload! {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:00

.. but, just to play devil's advocate, it *is* wedding season, no.. ? :-)   Facto on May 01, 20:03

There's a book? :) {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:59

irony, right?   Facto on May 01, 19:00

(and I am of course not talking about notfabio!) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:06

naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm}   islander on May 01, 18:58

Yup, even in 2003, DVORC did 9M full run.. "Le Divorce is a wacky romantic comedy starring Kate Hudson and Naomi Watts." {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:04

that wasnt given even a moderate push domestically and a terrible title {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 19:07

Sure, but it had Kate Hudson on the posters and marquees.. And Something Borrowed is expected to do at least double.   Facto on May 01, 19:09

MBFSG, Oct 2008 delist of 18.75: "Dane Cook and Kate Hudson star in the romantic comedy [My Best Friend's Girl].... " {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:19

Then again, Bride Wars of course delisted at 53.89 February 2009. But was that due to a snappy title and Anne Hathaway (fresh from The Devil   Facto on May 01, 19:11

stbrw also plain, generic, terrible title. bet 5 h-bucks at least one review will lead with "Soemthing Boring" {nm}   islander on May 01, 19:12

Heh :-) "Something boring, snored all through" {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:13

yeah it's pretty bland-looking   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:54

I think it looks dreadful   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:23

Thanks! ;-) What would you say were your favourite "women's movies/chick flicks" of the last 5 years? Devil Wears Prada, for instance?   Facto on May 01, 19:28

I suppose it pushes a 'meek inheriting the earth' button   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:51

I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than MADE OF HONOR in the same frame. {nm}   dsbman on May 01, 18:57

Bingo... the advertising for STBRW has been better and more prevalent even though I'm sure it's just as bad. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:01

We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:01

The BOM poll for STBRW is already starting out markedly weaker, which is a poor sign. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:04

You can't judge women's movies based on BOM Polls... I'd be shocked if they had more than 4 women responding {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

I'm not 100% sure, but feel that I recall that you have overestimated at least a couple women's movies, making similar sounding points?   Facto on May 01, 19:18

If those 4 women answer every womens movie poll on BOM something can be gleaned from it via comparison. {nm}   BionicMoron on May 01, 19:29

actually, *something* fruitful has to come out of the hours I've wasted surfing twitter, and this is it: There are *plenty* of women on Twit   Facto on May 01, 19:34

(snark;) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 23:24

agreed   jane_citizen on May 01, 20:07

So, RS amended numbers. They used to be low 50's for THOR, mid teens for Borrowed and low double digits for Jumping.   PVL Admin on May 01, 19:40

Borrowed and Broom heading south - and in line with BoxOffice.com's predictions. So, MTC should be lower - but we'll see. {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:42

Those are pretty weak numbers for Thor... it opened 82 million world wide... and no one knows about Thor outside america..   b4bad on May 01, 20:41

No way! The bark-o-meter has it lower than Fast5. More to follow later in the week. {nm}   PVL Admin on May 01, 20:54

Thor has more oversea appeal {nm}   xiayun on May 01, 21:01

Now that's just crazy talk...    Facto on May 01, 22:44

I'd suggest Thors Australian popularity is more to do with the fact Chris Hemsworth rose to fame playing a key role    osmosis2003 on May 01, 22:45

makes a lot of sense. Not much love for Thor from the Germans, though - perhaps they remember their previous führer that dug Norse mythology {nm}   Facto on May 02, 00:56

fuhrer/leader - Hitler dug Norse mythology, iirc, as did his favourite composer Richard Wagner ("March of the Valkyries", used in Star Wars,   Facto on May 02, 00:58





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Jimi: All Is By My Side (AIBMS) 100000 3.37 (-0.14)         The LEGO Movie 2 (LEGO2) 38435 100.00 (0.00)         Heavenly Sword (HSWRD) 100000 5.78 (-0.10)         The LEGO Movie 2 (LEGO2) 220 100.00 (0.00)         Snowpiercer (SNWPC) 100000 0.58 (+0.02)         Benedict Cumberbatch (BCUMB) 20000 117.66 (+0.42)         Guardians of the Galaxy (GOTGX) 6 153.95 (-2.37)         Transcendence (TRNSC) 100000 37.23 (-13.06)         They Came Together (TCTOG) 100000 1.01 (-0.04)         View-Master (VIEWM) 100000 0.02 (+0.01)         The Fault in Our Stars (TFIOS) 822 60.13 (-0.16)         La Bare (LBARE) 100000 1.13 (-0.07)         Anthony Mackie (AMACK) 677 42.36 (-0.41)         The LEGO Movie 2 (LEGO2) 100000 100.00 (0.00)         Yves Saint Laurent (YSL) 100000 1.79 (-0.01)         Third Person (3RDPN) 100000 6.42 (0.00)         View-Master (VIEWM) 100000 0.02 (+0.01)         Hellion (HELIN) 100000 2.51 (-0.18)         Greg Kinnear (GKINN) 20000 25.93 (+0.40)         The LEGO Movie 2 (LEGO2) 61565 100.00 (0.00)         The Signal (TSGNL) 100000 6.76 (-0.14)         Cold in July (CNJUL) 2308 1.21 (+0.01)         The LEGO Movie 2 (LEGO2) 1000 100.00 (0.00)         Captain America 3 (CAPA3) 100000 151.94 (-7.46)         The Crow (TCROW) 100000 8.46 (-0.05)         Ant-Man (ANTMN) 400 127.28 (-0.26)         Under the Electric Sky (UESKY) 2222 1.31 (-0.11)         22 Jump Street (21JS2) 391 120.81 (-0.14)         Cole Hauser (CHAUS) 20000 45.88 (-1.60)         Doctor Strange (DRSTR) 25250 52.81 (-0.17)         The LEGO Movie 2 (LEGO2) 100000 100.00 (0.00)         Star Wars: Episode VII (STAR7) 1052 298.63 (-1.71)         Cold in July (CNJUL) 5861 1.21 (+0.01)         Kate Mara (KMARA) 20000 10.03 (-1.59)         American Sniper (AMSNP) 291 31.22 (-0.45)         Bears (BEAR) 99999 15.07 (-3.77)         The LEGO Movie 2 (LEGO2) 100 100.00 (0.00)         Under the Electric Sky (UESKY) 100000 1.31 (-0.11)         La Vida Robot (LVRBT) 33170 5.08 (+1.60)         The Grand Seduction (GSDUC) 100000 1.05 (-0.08)         We Are the Best! (WATB) 100000 1.13 (-0.03)         Night Moves (NTMOV) 100000 3.14 (+0.13)         The Grand Budapest Hotel (GBHTL) 596 43.07 (+0.89)         American Sniper (AMSNP) 81 31.22 (-0.45)         Ted 2 (TED2) 100000 114.96 (-0.38)         The LEGO Movie 2 (LEGO2) 100000 100.00 (0.00)         Cold in July (CNJUL) 100000 1.21 (+0.01)         Tarzan (TARZN) 100000 53.53 (-0.28)         Kung Fu Panda 3 (PAND3) 2754 127.63 (-0.21)         Storks (STORK) 100000 29.55 (-0.34)