Market Announcement: AwardOptions for the Oscar nominees will halt trading Sunday at 1 pm Pacific Time.

HSX Forums: Movies Board






naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm}

Posted by: islander (a.k.a del_USA_islander) on May 01, 18:58 in response to secretstalker's post Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that.

RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high single digits {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:46

[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:48

Here's my wild guess that MTC will be higher on THOR and BRDSM, and lower on Priest. Now, let's put wild guesses to the test.   Facto on May 01, 18:58

But it's surely...   second gary on May 01, 20:34

Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for it, iirc? {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:39

Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day question.   second gary on May 01, 20:49

Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:54

Huh. Hangover and Panda are opening on Thursday? What's that multiplier then, Thursday + (2.2 * 4-day weekend)? {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:13

Yes {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

Argh, weekends like that make by brain hurt. {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:33

Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for STBRW or JUMPB, calling them "modest romantic comedies" (iirc). {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:54

Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:54

Why? You don't state any reasons - BoxOffice.Com said something as to why they think it won't do much business :-) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:56

I don't think so. Twitter has missed lately, but it's quite reliable in predicting underperformers with low tweet counts. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 18:57

yeah the young woman fanbase of the book is INTENSE {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:57

two wedding comedies have never opened against each other different demo or not {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:59

And then Bridesmaids follows the week after. Talk about wedding overload! {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:00

.. but, just to play devil's advocate, it *is* wedding season, no.. ? :-)   Facto on May 01, 20:03

There's a book? :) {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:59

irony, right?   Facto on May 01, 19:00

(and I am of course not talking about notfabio!) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:06

naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm}   islander on May 01, 18:58

Yup, even in 2003, DVORC did 9M full run.. "Le Divorce is a wacky romantic comedy starring Kate Hudson and Naomi Watts." {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:04

that wasnt given even a moderate push domestically and a terrible title {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 19:07

Sure, but it had Kate Hudson on the posters and marquees.. And Something Borrowed is expected to do at least double.   Facto on May 01, 19:09

MBFSG, Oct 2008 delist of 18.75: "Dane Cook and Kate Hudson star in the romantic comedy [My Best Friend's Girl].... " {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:19

Then again, Bride Wars of course delisted at 53.89 February 2009. But was that due to a snappy title and Anne Hathaway (fresh from The Devil   Facto on May 01, 19:11

stbrw also plain, generic, terrible title. bet 5 h-bucks at least one review will lead with "Soemthing Boring" {nm}   islander on May 01, 19:12

Heh :-) "Something boring, snored all through" {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:13

yeah it's pretty bland-looking   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:54

I think it looks dreadful   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:23

Thanks! ;-) What would you say were your favourite "women's movies/chick flicks" of the last 5 years? Devil Wears Prada, for instance?   Facto on May 01, 19:28

I suppose it pushes a 'meek inheriting the earth' button   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:51

I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than MADE OF HONOR in the same frame. {nm}   dsbman on May 01, 18:57

Bingo... the advertising for STBRW has been better and more prevalent even though I'm sure it's just as bad. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:01

We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:01

The BOM poll for STBRW is already starting out markedly weaker, which is a poor sign. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:04

You can't judge women's movies based on BOM Polls... I'd be shocked if they had more than 4 women responding {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

I'm not 100% sure, but feel that I recall that you have overestimated at least a couple women's movies, making similar sounding points?   Facto on May 01, 19:18

If those 4 women answer every womens movie poll on BOM something can be gleaned from it via comparison. {nm}   BionicMoron on May 01, 19:29

actually, *something* fruitful has to come out of the hours I've wasted surfing twitter, and this is it: There are *plenty* of women on Twit   Facto on May 01, 19:34

(snark;) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 23:24

agreed   jane_citizen on May 01, 20:07

So, RS amended numbers. They used to be low 50's for THOR, mid teens for Borrowed and low double digits for Jumping.   PVL Admin on May 01, 19:40

Borrowed and Broom heading south - and in line with BoxOffice.com's predictions. So, MTC should be lower - but we'll see. {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:42

Those are pretty weak numbers for Thor... it opened 82 million world wide... and no one knows about Thor outside america..   b4bad on May 01, 20:41

No way! The bark-o-meter has it lower than Fast5. More to follow later in the week. {nm}   PVL Admin on May 01, 20:54

Thor has more oversea appeal {nm}   xiayun on May 01, 21:01

Now that's just crazy talk...    Facto on May 01, 22:44

I'd suggest Thors Australian popularity is more to do with the fact Chris Hemsworth rose to fame playing a key role    osmosis2003 on May 01, 22:45

makes a lot of sense. Not much love for Thor from the Germans, though - perhaps they remember their previous führer that dug Norse mythology {nm}   Facto on May 02, 00:56

fuhrer/leader - Hitler dug Norse mythology, iirc, as did his favourite composer Richard Wagner ("March of the Valkyries", used in Star Wars,   Facto on May 02, 00:58





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

A7: Fences - Adapted (A7EFEN) 20000 1.37 (-0.03)         Family Guy Movie (FMGUY) 9999 0.52 (+0.01)         A7: Hidden Figures - Adapted (A7EHID) 20000 2.52 (-0.02)         The Kingkiller Chronicle: The Na (KNGKL) 1 54.93 (+4.93)         Family Guy Movie (FMGUY) 99 0.52 (+0.01)         A7: Lion - Adapted (A7ELIO) 20000 3.25 (-0.02)         Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual and Trans (LGBTQ) 10000 15.77 (-0.33)         A7: Moonlight - Adapted (A7EMON) 20000 12.78 (+0.06)         Game Night (GAMEN) 1 33.98 (-2.33)         Inhumans (INHUM) 1999 8.84 (+0.04)         A7: Hell or High Water - Best Pi (A7PHHW) 20000 0.79 (-0.02)         Matthew McConaughey (MMCCO) 16118 68.23 (-0.03)         A7: Michelle Williams - Manchest (A7SMWI) 20000 1.16 (-0.09)         The Wedding Plan (WEDPL) 100000 1.43 (+0.10)         First Man (FIRSM) 1 31.06 (-1.12)         Inhumans (INHUM) 9999 8.84 (+0.04)         James Mangold (JMANG) 20000 91.07 (+0.40)         A7: Naomie Harris - Moonlight - (A7SNHA) 20000 3.62 (+0.03)         Lion (LION) 298 37.88 (-0.13)         Patrick Stewart (PSTEW) 20000 62.50 (-0.26)         A7: Nicole Kidman - Lion - Sup A (A7SNKI) 20000 2.77 (-0.01)         Arctic Justice: Thunder Squad (AJTS) 99998 29.75 (-1.04)         A7: Octavia Spencer - Hidden Fig (A7SOSP) 20000 2.18 (0.00)         Jackie Chan (JCHAN) 20000 39.09 (-0.08)         Arctic Justice: Thunder Squad (AJTS) 99998 29.75 (-1.04)         Blaze (BLAZE) 99998 3.31 (-0.41)         Harvey Keitel (HKEIT) 20000 30.88 (+0.08)         Shantaram (SHANT) 17000 0.09 (-0.01)         Blaze (BLAZE) 99998 3.31 (-0.41)         Radha Mitchell (RMITC) 20000 31.90 (-0.16)         A7: Michael Shannon - Nocturnal (A7RMSH) 20000 2.82 (0.00)         The Solutrean (SOLUT) 99998 19.79 (+1.52)         The Solutrean (SOLUT) 99998 19.79 (+1.52)         X-Men: The New Mutants (NMUTN) 1000 53.46 (-0.34)         A7: Emma Stone - La La Land - Ac (A7CEST) 20000 15.34 (+0.05)         A7: Lucas Hedges - Manchester by (A7RLHE) 20000 2.32 (+0.02)         The Third Wave (3WAVE) 99998 3.45 (-0.69)         Felicity Jones (FJONE) 20000 65.89 (-0.40)         The Third Wave (3WAVE) 99998 3.45 (-0.69)         A7: Jeff Bridges - Hell or High (A7RJBR) 20000 2.50 (-0.07)         Gary Oldman (GOLDM) 20000 58.73 (+0.26)         Mae Whitman (MAWHI) 20000 21.71 (-0.08)         A7: Dev Patel - Lion - Sup Actor (A7RDPA) 20000 2.93 (0.00)         The Foreigner (FRGNR) 99998 17.52 (+1.81)         The Foreigner (FRGNR) 99998 17.52 (+1.81)         Five Against a Bullet (5ABLT) 99998 16.86 (-1.76)         A7: Mahershala Ali - Moonlight - (A7RMAL) 20000 14.06 (+0.05)         Five Against a Bullet (5ABLT) 99998 16.86 (-1.76)         Jordan Peele (JPEEL) 20000 36.96 (0.00)         The Catcher Was A Spy (CWSPY) 99998 12.22 (+1.73)