HSX Forums: Movies Board






naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm}

Posted by: islander (a.k.a del_USA_islander) on May 01, 18:58 in response to secretstalker's post Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that.

RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high single digits {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:46

[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:48

Here's my wild guess that MTC will be higher on THOR and BRDSM, and lower on Priest. Now, let's put wild guesses to the test.   Facto on May 01, 18:58

But it's surely...   second gary on May 01, 20:34

Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for it, iirc? {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:39

Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day question.   second gary on May 01, 20:49

Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:54

Huh. Hangover and Panda are opening on Thursday? What's that multiplier then, Thursday + (2.2 * 4-day weekend)? {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:13

Yes {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

Argh, weekends like that make by brain hurt. {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:33

Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for STBRW or JUMPB, calling them "modest romantic comedies" (iirc). {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:54

Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:54

Why? You don't state any reasons - BoxOffice.Com said something as to why they think it won't do much business :-) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:56

I don't think so. Twitter has missed lately, but it's quite reliable in predicting underperformers with low tweet counts. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 18:57

yeah the young woman fanbase of the book is INTENSE {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:57

two wedding comedies have never opened against each other different demo or not {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:59

And then Bridesmaids follows the week after. Talk about wedding overload! {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:00

.. but, just to play devil's advocate, it *is* wedding season, no.. ? :-)   Facto on May 01, 20:03

There's a book? :) {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:59

irony, right?   Facto on May 01, 19:00

(and I am of course not talking about notfabio!) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:06

naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm}   islander on May 01, 18:58

Yup, even in 2003, DVORC did 9M full run.. "Le Divorce is a wacky romantic comedy starring Kate Hudson and Naomi Watts." {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:04

that wasnt given even a moderate push domestically and a terrible title {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 19:07

Sure, but it had Kate Hudson on the posters and marquees.. And Something Borrowed is expected to do at least double.   Facto on May 01, 19:09

MBFSG, Oct 2008 delist of 18.75: "Dane Cook and Kate Hudson star in the romantic comedy [My Best Friend's Girl].... " {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:19

Then again, Bride Wars of course delisted at 53.89 February 2009. But was that due to a snappy title and Anne Hathaway (fresh from The Devil   Facto on May 01, 19:11

stbrw also plain, generic, terrible title. bet 5 h-bucks at least one review will lead with "Soemthing Boring" {nm}   islander on May 01, 19:12

Heh :-) "Something boring, snored all through" {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:13

yeah it's pretty bland-looking   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:54

I think it looks dreadful   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:23

Thanks! ;-) What would you say were your favourite "women's movies/chick flicks" of the last 5 years? Devil Wears Prada, for instance?   Facto on May 01, 19:28

I suppose it pushes a 'meek inheriting the earth' button   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:51

I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than MADE OF HONOR in the same frame. {nm}   dsbman on May 01, 18:57

Bingo... the advertising for STBRW has been better and more prevalent even though I'm sure it's just as bad. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:01

We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:01

The BOM poll for STBRW is already starting out markedly weaker, which is a poor sign. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:04

You can't judge women's movies based on BOM Polls... I'd be shocked if they had more than 4 women responding {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

I'm not 100% sure, but feel that I recall that you have overestimated at least a couple women's movies, making similar sounding points?   Facto on May 01, 19:18

If those 4 women answer every womens movie poll on BOM something can be gleaned from it via comparison. {nm}   BionicMoron on May 01, 19:29

actually, *something* fruitful has to come out of the hours I've wasted surfing twitter, and this is it: There are *plenty* of women on Twit   Facto on May 01, 19:34

(snark;) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 23:24

agreed   jane_citizen on May 01, 20:07

So, RS amended numbers. They used to be low 50's for THOR, mid teens for Borrowed and low double digits for Jumping.   PVL Admin on May 01, 19:40

Borrowed and Broom heading south - and in line with BoxOffice.com's predictions. So, MTC should be lower - but we'll see. {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:42

Those are pretty weak numbers for Thor... it opened 82 million world wide... and no one knows about Thor outside america..   b4bad on May 01, 20:41

No way! The bark-o-meter has it lower than Fast5. More to follow later in the week. {nm}   PVL Admin on May 01, 20:54

Thor has more oversea appeal {nm}   xiayun on May 01, 21:01

Now that's just crazy talk...    Facto on May 01, 22:44

I'd suggest Thors Australian popularity is more to do with the fact Chris Hemsworth rose to fame playing a key role    osmosis2003 on May 01, 22:45

makes a lot of sense. Not much love for Thor from the Germans, though - perhaps they remember their previous führer that dug Norse mythology {nm}   Facto on May 02, 00:56

fuhrer/leader - Hitler dug Norse mythology, iirc, as did his favourite composer Richard Wagner ("March of the Valkyries", used in Star Wars,   Facto on May 02, 00:58





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
Hunter Killer (HNTKL) 8500 15.95 (+8.36)         Fast 8 aka Furious 8 (FAST8) 78969 269.39 (-0.51)         Free State of Jones (FSJON) 99999 20.69 (-4.19)         Red Sparrow (RSPRW) 100000 52.50 (+1.51)         War of the Planet of the Apes 3 (APES3) 100000 98.30 (-1.43)         Emojimovie: Express Yourself (EMOJI) 100000 45.71 (+2.52)         Nine Lives (9LIVS) 99999 18.43 (-0.25)         The Girl with all the Gifts (GWATG) 3500 5.98 (-1.01)         Bad Boys III (BADB3) 100000 38.49 (+0.35)         White Girl (WHITG) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         Girl Trip (GIRLT) 100000 34.24 (+3.69)         TAU (TAU) 100000 10.00 (0.00)         American Pastoral (AMPST) 100000 10.83 (+5.34)         Collide (ABAHN) 100000 17.85 (-0.27)         Born to Run (BTRUN) 99999 16.37 (-0.79)         The BFG - Opening Weekend Fri-Mo (TBFG.OW) 100000 44.07 (-2.26)         American Pastoral (AMPST) 20000 10.83 (+5.34)         Blake Lively (BLIVE) 20000 64.50 (+0.63)         The Legend of Tarzan - Opening W (TARZN.OW) 100000 25.79 (-0.54)         Under the Silver Lake (UNDSL) 100000 9.08 (-0.92)         The Purge Election Year - Openin (PURG3.OW) 100000 28.97 (-1.08)         Under the Silver Lake (UNDSL) 100000 9.08 (-0.92)         Indiana Jones 5 (INDI5) 100000 72.16 (-0.11)         The Purge Election Year - Openin (PURG3.OW) 100000 28.97 (-1.08)         The Purge: Election Year H$30 Ca (PURG3.CA) 20000 2.49 (-0.14)         Hunter Killer (HNTKL) 100000 15.95 (+8.36)         The Shallows (SHALW) 100000 38.91 (+4.50)         Avengers: Infinity War Part II (AVNG4) 100000 368.12 (+1.01)         Untitled Detroit Project (DETRT) 100000 24.77 (-0.95)         Murder on the Orient Express (MOTOE) 99999 37.24 (-0.04)         Akira (AKIRA) 100000 16.47 (+11.52)         Akira (AKIRA) 100000 16.47 (+11.52)         The BFG - Opening Weekend Fri-Mo (TBFG.OW) 63666 44.07 (-2.26)         Untitled Detroit Project (DETRT) 100000 24.77 (-0.95)         Rogue One: A Star Wars Story (SW16) 100000 390.07 (-1.58)         Akira (AKIRA) 20000 16.47 (+11.52)         Free State of Jones (FSJON) 9999 20.69 (-4.19)         Independence Day: Resurgence (IDAY2) 100000 138.19 (-5.98)         The Space Between Us (OUTTW) 99998 28.18 (-2.11)         The Fundamentals of Caring (RFOCG) 100000 0.11 (+0.09)         You Were Never Really Here (YWNRH) 200 8.85 (-0.28)         Kubo And The Two Strings (KUBO) 100000 27.09 (+3.22)         Finding Dory (NEMO2) 50000 367.35 (+2.88)         Ghostbusters (GHST3) 99999 105.61 (-2.51)         Rogue One: A Star Wars Story (SW16) 100000 390.07 (-1.58)         Transformers 6: Bumblebee (TFRM6) 100000 107.57 (-0.38)         Rogue One: A Star Wars Story (SW16) 100000 390.07 (-1.58)         Finding Dory (NEMO2) 50000 367.35 (+2.88)         Gambit (GAMBI) 10000 33.47 (-0.20)         Central Intelligence (CINTL) 99999 87.11 (+0.56)