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naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm}

Posted by: islander (a.k.a del_USA_islander) on May 01, 18:58 in response to secretstalker's post Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that.

RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high single digits {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:46

[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:48

Here's my wild guess that MTC will be higher on THOR and BRDSM, and lower on Priest. Now, let's put wild guesses to the test.   Facto on May 01, 18:58

But it's surely...   second gary on May 01, 20:34

Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for it, iirc? {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:39

Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day question.   second gary on May 01, 20:49

Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:54

Huh. Hangover and Panda are opening on Thursday? What's that multiplier then, Thursday + (2.2 * 4-day weekend)? {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:13

Yes {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

Argh, weekends like that make by brain hurt. {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:33

Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for STBRW or JUMPB, calling them "modest romantic comedies" (iirc). {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:54

Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:54

Why? You don't state any reasons - BoxOffice.Com said something as to why they think it won't do much business :-) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:56

I don't think so. Twitter has missed lately, but it's quite reliable in predicting underperformers with low tweet counts. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 18:57

yeah the young woman fanbase of the book is INTENSE {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:57

two wedding comedies have never opened against each other different demo or not {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:59

And then Bridesmaids follows the week after. Talk about wedding overload! {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:00

.. but, just to play devil's advocate, it *is* wedding season, no.. ? :-)   Facto on May 01, 20:03

There's a book? :) {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:59

irony, right?   Facto on May 01, 19:00

(and I am of course not talking about notfabio!) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:06

naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm}   islander on May 01, 18:58

Yup, even in 2003, DVORC did 9M full run.. "Le Divorce is a wacky romantic comedy starring Kate Hudson and Naomi Watts." {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:04

that wasnt given even a moderate push domestically and a terrible title {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 19:07

Sure, but it had Kate Hudson on the posters and marquees.. And Something Borrowed is expected to do at least double.   Facto on May 01, 19:09

MBFSG, Oct 2008 delist of 18.75: "Dane Cook and Kate Hudson star in the romantic comedy [My Best Friend's Girl].... " {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:19

Then again, Bride Wars of course delisted at 53.89 February 2009. But was that due to a snappy title and Anne Hathaway (fresh from The Devil   Facto on May 01, 19:11

stbrw also plain, generic, terrible title. bet 5 h-bucks at least one review will lead with "Soemthing Boring" {nm}   islander on May 01, 19:12

Heh :-) "Something boring, snored all through" {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:13

yeah it's pretty bland-looking   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:54

I think it looks dreadful   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:23

Thanks! ;-) What would you say were your favourite "women's movies/chick flicks" of the last 5 years? Devil Wears Prada, for instance?   Facto on May 01, 19:28

I suppose it pushes a 'meek inheriting the earth' button   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:51

I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than MADE OF HONOR in the same frame. {nm}   dsbman on May 01, 18:57

Bingo... the advertising for STBRW has been better and more prevalent even though I'm sure it's just as bad. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:01

We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:01

The BOM poll for STBRW is already starting out markedly weaker, which is a poor sign. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:04

You can't judge women's movies based on BOM Polls... I'd be shocked if they had more than 4 women responding {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

I'm not 100% sure, but feel that I recall that you have overestimated at least a couple women's movies, making similar sounding points?   Facto on May 01, 19:18

If those 4 women answer every womens movie poll on BOM something can be gleaned from it via comparison. {nm}   BionicMoron on May 01, 19:29

actually, *something* fruitful has to come out of the hours I've wasted surfing twitter, and this is it: There are *plenty* of women on Twit   Facto on May 01, 19:34

(snark;) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 23:24

agreed   jane_citizen on May 01, 20:07

So, RS amended numbers. They used to be low 50's for THOR, mid teens for Borrowed and low double digits for Jumping.   PVL Admin on May 01, 19:40

Borrowed and Broom heading south - and in line with BoxOffice.com's predictions. So, MTC should be lower - but we'll see. {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:42

Those are pretty weak numbers for Thor... it opened 82 million world wide... and no one knows about Thor outside america..   b4bad on May 01, 20:41

No way! The bark-o-meter has it lower than Fast5. More to follow later in the week. {nm}   PVL Admin on May 01, 20:54

Thor has more oversea appeal {nm}   xiayun on May 01, 21:01

Now that's just crazy talk...    Facto on May 01, 22:44

I'd suggest Thors Australian popularity is more to do with the fact Chris Hemsworth rose to fame playing a key role    osmosis2003 on May 01, 22:45

makes a lot of sense. Not much love for Thor from the Germans, though - perhaps they remember their previous führer that dug Norse mythology {nm}   Facto on May 02, 00:56

fuhrer/leader - Hitler dug Norse mythology, iirc, as did his favourite composer Richard Wagner ("March of the Valkyries", used in Star Wars,   Facto on May 02, 00:58





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Before I Go To Sleep (BIGTS) 100000 3.25 (-0.02)         Toy Story 4 (TOYS4) 25000 200.00 (0.00)         Untitled Pets Project (PETS) 3000 33.79 (-0.29)         Yucatan (YUCAT) 100000 32.79 (+7.41)         Dia de los Muertos aka Untitled (DDLM) 1000 29.62 (-0.39)         The Pyramid (PYRMD) 99999 17.28 (+0.07)         The Incredibles 2 (NCRD2) 25000 82.14 (-2.75)         The Incredibles 2 (NCRD2) 20000 82.14 (-2.75)         Family Guy Movie (FMGUY) 1000 4.36 (-0.02)         Toy Story 4 (TOYS4) 27845 200.00 (0.00)         Jungle Book: Origins (JNGBO) 100000 36.31 (-0.76)         Toy Story 4 (TOYS4) 10622 200.00 (0.00)         Ghostbusters (GHST3) 1000 38.74 (-0.19)         Toy Story 4 (TOYS4) 100000 200.00 (0.00)         Toy Story 4 (TOYS4) 100000 200.00 (0.00)         Girls' Night Out (GNOUT) 100000 1.58 (0.00)         Ghost in the Shell (GSHEL) 1000 15.57 (-0.12)         X-Force (XFORC) 50000 13.92 (0.00)         Toy Story 4 (TOYS4) 10622 200.00 (0.00)         X-Force (XFORC) 20000 13.92 (0.00)         Mad Max: Fury Road (MMAX4) 25000 98.04 (-0.14)         Steve Jobs (SJOBS) 60000 18.01 (-3.59)         Toy Story 4 (TOYS4) 100000 200.00 (0.00)         Birdman (BIRDM) 100000 17.03 (+0.91)         The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Par (HGAM3) 6179 350.76 (-10.72)         Birdman (BIRDM) 100000 17.03 (+0.91)         Star Trek 3 (TREK3) 999 142.55 (-2.55)         Toy Story 4 (TOYS4) 7466 200.00 (0.00)         Viral (VIRAL) 39991 12.84 (-0.16)         Yucatan (YUCAT) 100000 32.79 (+7.41)         Man Up (MANUP) 2500 4.63 (+1.25)         Yogi Bear 2 (YOGI2) 50000 6.23 (-0.08)         Viral (VIRAL) 99999 12.84 (-0.16)         Resident Evil: The Final Chapter (RESE6) 1000 9.23 (+0.01)         Yogi Bear 2 (YOGI2) 50000 6.23 (-0.08)         The Stand (STAND) 761 26.20 (+4.94)         Toy Story 4 (TOYS4) 100000 200.00 (0.00)         The Theory of Everything (TOEVT) 100000 9.49 (-0.02)         Todd Phillips (TPHIL) 10 89.48 (+0.80)         Little Boy (LTBOY) 40000 14.68 (-0.17)         Toy Story 4 (TOYS4) 100000 200.00 (0.00)         Star Trek 3 (TREK3) 1999 142.55 (-2.55)         Toy Story 4 (TOYS4) 100000 200.00 (0.00)         Happy Valley (HPVLY) 100000 0.98 (-0.12)         The Theory of Everything (TOEVT) 100000 9.49 (-0.02)         The European Fund (EURO) 5 85.49 (+0.84)         Toy Story 4 (TOYS4) 100000 200.00 (0.00)         Underworld: Next Generation (UNDW5) 1000 18.88 (-0.16)         Toy Story 4 (TOYS4) 100000 200.00 (0.00)         The Flash (FLASH) 1000 56.44 (+0.50)