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Here's my wild guess that MTC will be higher on THOR and BRDSM, and lower on Priest. Now, let's put wild guesses to the test.
Bookmark it, or whatever. This is based on absolutely nothing but my personal expectations/guesses. If I get all three right, it'll strengthen my belief in my own internal radar, if nothing else..
RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high single digits {nm} on May 01, 18:46
[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day {nm} on May 01, 18:48
Here's my wild guess that MTC will be higher on THOR and BRDSM, and lower on Priest. Now, let's put wild guesses to the test. on May 01, 18:58
But it's surely... on May 01, 20:34
Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for it, iirc? {nm} on May 01, 20:39
Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day question. on May 01, 20:49
Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm} on May 01, 20:54
Huh. Hangover and Panda are opening on Thursday? What's that multiplier then, Thursday + (2.2 * 4-day weekend)? {nm} on May 01, 19:13
Yes {nm} on May 01, 19:14
Argh, weekends like that make by brain hurt. {nm} on May 01, 19:33
Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for STBRW or JUMPB, calling them "modest romantic comedies" (iirc). {nm} on May 01, 18:54
Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm} on May 01, 18:54
Why? You don't state any reasons - BoxOffice.Com said something as to why they think it won't do much business :-) {nm} on May 01, 18:56
I don't think so. Twitter has missed lately, but it's quite reliable in predicting underperformers with low tweet counts. {nm} on May 01, 18:57
yeah the young woman fanbase of the book is INTENSE {nm} on May 01, 18:57
two wedding comedies have never opened against each other different demo or not {nm} on May 01, 18:59
And then Bridesmaids follows the week after. Talk about wedding overload! {nm} on May 01, 19:00
.. but, just to play devil's advocate, it *is* wedding season, no.. ? :-) on May 01, 20:03
There's a book? :) {nm} on May 01, 18:59
irony, right? on May 01, 19:00
(and I am of course not talking about notfabio!) {nm} on May 01, 19:06
naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm} on May 01, 18:58
Yup, even in 2003, DVORC did 9M full run.. "Le Divorce is a wacky romantic comedy starring Kate Hudson and Naomi Watts." {nm} on May 01, 19:04
that wasnt given even a moderate push domestically and a terrible title {nm} on May 01, 19:07
Sure, but it had Kate Hudson on the posters and marquees.. And Something Borrowed is expected to do at least double. on May 01, 19:09
MBFSG, Oct 2008 delist of 18.75: "Dane Cook and Kate Hudson star in the romantic comedy [My Best Friend's Girl].... " {nm} on May 01, 19:19
Then again, Bride Wars of course delisted at 53.89 February 2009. But was that due to a snappy title and Anne Hathaway (fresh from The Devil on May 01, 19:11
stbrw also plain, generic, terrible title. bet 5 h-bucks at least one review will lead with "Soemthing Boring" {nm} on May 01, 19:12
Heh :-) "Something boring, snored all through" {nm} on May 01, 19:13
yeah it's pretty bland-looking on May 01, 19:54
I think it looks dreadful on May 01, 19:23
Thanks! ;-) What would you say were your favourite "women's movies/chick flicks" of the last 5 years? Devil Wears Prada, for instance? on May 01, 19:28
I suppose it pushes a 'meek inheriting the earth' button on May 01, 19:51
I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than MADE OF HONOR in the same frame. {nm} on May 01, 18:57
Bingo... the advertising for STBRW has been better and more prevalent even though I'm sure it's just as bad. {nm} on May 01, 19:01
We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm} on May 01, 19:01
The BOM poll for STBRW is already starting out markedly weaker, which is a poor sign. {nm} on May 01, 19:04
You can't judge women's movies based on BOM Polls... I'd be shocked if they had more than 4 women responding {nm} on May 01, 19:14
I'm not 100% sure, but feel that I recall that you have overestimated at least a couple women's movies, making similar sounding points? on May 01, 19:18
If those 4 women answer every womens movie poll on BOM something can be gleaned from it via comparison. {nm} on May 01, 19:29
actually, *something* fruitful has to come out of the hours I've wasted surfing twitter, and this is it: There are *plenty* of women on Twit on May 01, 19:34
(snark;) {nm} on May 01, 23:24
agreed on May 01, 20:07
So, RS amended numbers. They used to be low 50's for THOR, mid teens for Borrowed and low double digits for Jumping. on May 01, 19:40
Borrowed and Broom heading south - and in line with BoxOffice.com's predictions. So, MTC should be lower - but we'll see. {nm} on May 01, 19:42
Those are pretty weak numbers for Thor... it opened 82 million world wide... and no one knows about Thor outside america.. on May 01, 20:41
No way! The bark-o-meter has it lower than Fast5. More to follow later in the week. {nm} on May 01, 20:54
Thor has more oversea appeal {nm} on May 01, 21:01
Now that's just crazy talk... on May 01, 22:44
I'd suggest Thors Australian popularity is more to do with the fact Chris Hemsworth rose to fame playing a key role on May 01, 22:45
makes a lot of sense. Not much love for Thor from the Germans, though - perhaps they remember their previous führer that dug Norse mythology {nm} on May 02, 00:56
fuhrer/leader - Hitler dug Norse mythology, iirc, as did his favourite composer Richard Wagner ("March of the Valkyries", used in Star Wars, on May 02, 00:58
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