ANNOUNCEMENT: We're currently implementing a solution for the login issue. Thank you for your patience.

HSX Forums: Movies Board






two wedding comedies have never opened against each other different demo or not {nm}

Posted by: notfabio on May 01, 18:59 in response to notfabio's post yeah the young woman fanbase of the book is INTENSE

RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high single digits {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:46

[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:48

Here's my wild guess that MTC will be higher on THOR and BRDSM, and lower on Priest. Now, let's put wild guesses to the test.   Facto on May 01, 18:58

But it's surely...   second gary on May 01, 20:34

Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for it, iirc? {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:39

Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day question.   second gary on May 01, 20:49

Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:54

Huh. Hangover and Panda are opening on Thursday? What's that multiplier then, Thursday + (2.2 * 4-day weekend)? {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:13

Yes {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

Argh, weekends like that make by brain hurt. {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:33

Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for STBRW or JUMPB, calling them "modest romantic comedies" (iirc). {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:54

Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:54

Why? You don't state any reasons - BoxOffice.Com said something as to why they think it won't do much business :-) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:56

I don't think so. Twitter has missed lately, but it's quite reliable in predicting underperformers with low tweet counts. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 18:57

yeah the young woman fanbase of the book is INTENSE {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:57

two wedding comedies have never opened against each other different demo or not {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:59

And then Bridesmaids follows the week after. Talk about wedding overload! {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:00

.. but, just to play devil's advocate, it *is* wedding season, no.. ? :-)   Facto on May 01, 20:03

There's a book? :) {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:59

irony, right?   Facto on May 01, 19:00

(and I am of course not talking about notfabio!) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:06

naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm}   islander on May 01, 18:58

Yup, even in 2003, DVORC did 9M full run.. "Le Divorce is a wacky romantic comedy starring Kate Hudson and Naomi Watts." {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:04

that wasnt given even a moderate push domestically and a terrible title {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 19:07

Sure, but it had Kate Hudson on the posters and marquees.. And Something Borrowed is expected to do at least double.   Facto on May 01, 19:09

MBFSG, Oct 2008 delist of 18.75: "Dane Cook and Kate Hudson star in the romantic comedy [My Best Friend's Girl].... " {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:19

Then again, Bride Wars of course delisted at 53.89 February 2009. But was that due to a snappy title and Anne Hathaway (fresh from The Devil   Facto on May 01, 19:11

stbrw also plain, generic, terrible title. bet 5 h-bucks at least one review will lead with "Soemthing Boring" {nm}   islander on May 01, 19:12

Heh :-) "Something boring, snored all through" {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:13

yeah it's pretty bland-looking   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:54

I think it looks dreadful   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:23

Thanks! ;-) What would you say were your favourite "women's movies/chick flicks" of the last 5 years? Devil Wears Prada, for instance?   Facto on May 01, 19:28

I suppose it pushes a 'meek inheriting the earth' button   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:51

I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than MADE OF HONOR in the same frame. {nm}   dsbman on May 01, 18:57

Bingo... the advertising for STBRW has been better and more prevalent even though I'm sure it's just as bad. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:01

We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:01

The BOM poll for STBRW is already starting out markedly weaker, which is a poor sign. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:04

You can't judge women's movies based on BOM Polls... I'd be shocked if they had more than 4 women responding {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

I'm not 100% sure, but feel that I recall that you have overestimated at least a couple women's movies, making similar sounding points?   Facto on May 01, 19:18

If those 4 women answer every womens movie poll on BOM something can be gleaned from it via comparison. {nm}   BionicMoron on May 01, 19:29

actually, *something* fruitful has to come out of the hours I've wasted surfing twitter, and this is it: There are *plenty* of women on Twit   Facto on May 01, 19:34

(snark;) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 23:24

agreed   jane_citizen on May 01, 20:07

So, RS amended numbers. They used to be low 50's for THOR, mid teens for Borrowed and low double digits for Jumping.   PVL Admin on May 01, 19:40

Borrowed and Broom heading south - and in line with BoxOffice.com's predictions. So, MTC should be lower - but we'll see. {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:42

Those are pretty weak numbers for Thor... it opened 82 million world wide... and no one knows about Thor outside america..   b4bad on May 01, 20:41

No way! The bark-o-meter has it lower than Fast5. More to follow later in the week. {nm}   PVL Admin on May 01, 20:54

Thor has more oversea appeal {nm}   xiayun on May 01, 21:01

Now that's just crazy talk...    Facto on May 01, 22:44

I'd suggest Thors Australian popularity is more to do with the fact Chris Hemsworth rose to fame playing a key role    osmosis2003 on May 01, 22:45

makes a lot of sense. Not much love for Thor from the Germans, though - perhaps they remember their previous führer that dug Norse mythology {nm}   Facto on May 02, 00:56

fuhrer/leader - Hitler dug Norse mythology, iirc, as did his favourite composer Richard Wagner ("March of the Valkyries", used in Star Wars,   Facto on May 02, 00:58





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
The Girl on the Train H$30 Call (GRLOT.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         The LEGO Movie 2 (LEGO2) 654 125.70 (-0.28)         The Strangers 2 (STRN2) 1 10.41 (+8.48)         The Strangers 2 (STRN2) 25000 10.41 (+8.48)         Euphoria (EUPHO) 100000 4.00 (0.00)         Mute (MUTE) 99000 7.28 (+2.33)         Substitute Teacher (SUBST) 654 9.54 (+0.14)         Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculi (PRGRN) 100000 67.57 (-2.12)         Mute (MUTE) 98000 7.28 (+2.33)         Terminator 2 (TERM6) 14989 10.42 (-0.20)         Hot Wheels (HOTWH) 100000 11.62 (+11.28)         Masterminds (LOMIS) 100000 20.51 (-1.32)         The Best Man Wedding (BESM3) 654 1.64 (+0.11)         Dave Franco (DFRAN) 2000 62.67 (-0.54)         Jurassic World 2 (JURA5) 900 408.45 (+1.50)         Scarface (SCARF) 654 15.80 (+2.28)         Hot Wheels (HOTWH) 100000 11.62 (+11.28)         The Jungle Book 2 (JNGL2) 654 136.03 (+0.62)         Going in Style (GOINS) 1186 10.02 (+0.02)         Justice League 2 (JLEA2) 6215 247.16 (-0.81)         The Brits are Coming (TBACM) 10000 1.11 (+0.04)         Death Wish (DWISH) 1455 16.54 (+2.42)         American Express aka Untitled Na (AMEXP) 100000 16.63 (-0.01)         The Strangers 2 (STRN2) 212 10.41 (+8.48)         Deepwater Horizon (DPWTH) 1 50.20 (-1.30)         Hot Wheels (HOTWH) 20000 11.62 (+11.28)         The Star aka The Lamb (TLAMB) 1 35.99 (-0.10)         Life (LIFEM) 4555 86.06 (+1.55)         Ghost in the Shell (GSHEL) 1 72.53 (+0.08)         Collide (ABAHN) 1 10.21 (-0.21)         Bloodshot (BLDSH) 1 6.99 (+0.05)         Bloodshot (BLDSH) 12 6.99 (+0.05)         Masterminds (LOMIS) 100000 20.51 (-1.32)         Widows (WIDOW) 100000 11.89 (-1.76)         The Strangers 2 (STRN2) 1 10.41 (+8.48)         The Strangers 2 (STRN2) 18 10.41 (+8.48)         Viggo Mortensen (VMORT) 20000 4.35 (+0.20)         Masterminds - Opening Weekend (LOMIS.OW) 100000 7.25 (-0.56)         Masterminds - Opening Weekend (LOMIS.OW) 100000 7.25 (-0.56)         Collide (ABAHN) 1 10.21 (-0.21)         Ghost in the Shell (GSHEL) 1 72.53 (+0.08)         The Star aka The Lamb (TLAMB) 1 35.99 (-0.10)         Widows (WIDOW) 1 11.89 (-1.76)         Deepwater Horizon (DPWTH) 1 50.20 (-1.30)         Widows (WIDOW) 19 11.89 (-1.76)         Detour (DTOUR) 99980 1.57 (+0.14)         Jurassic World 2 (JURA5) 1 408.45 (+1.50)         The Belko Experiment (BELCO) 19 5.92 (+0.02)         The Chronicles of Narnia: The Si (NARN4) 1 16.88 (-0.12)         Act of Valor: SWAT (AOVA2) 99 15.41 (+9.26)