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two wedding comedies have never opened against each other different demo or not {nm}

Posted by: notfabio on May 01, 18:59 in response to notfabio's post yeah the young woman fanbase of the book is INTENSE

RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high single digits {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:46

[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:48

Here's my wild guess that MTC will be higher on THOR and BRDSM, and lower on Priest. Now, let's put wild guesses to the test.   Facto on May 01, 18:58

But it's surely...   second gary on May 01, 20:34

Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for it, iirc? {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:39

Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day question.   second gary on May 01, 20:49

Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:54

Huh. Hangover and Panda are opening on Thursday? What's that multiplier then, Thursday + (2.2 * 4-day weekend)? {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:13

Yes {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

Argh, weekends like that make by brain hurt. {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:33

Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for STBRW or JUMPB, calling them "modest romantic comedies" (iirc). {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:54

Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:54

Why? You don't state any reasons - BoxOffice.Com said something as to why they think it won't do much business :-) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:56

I don't think so. Twitter has missed lately, but it's quite reliable in predicting underperformers with low tweet counts. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 18:57

yeah the young woman fanbase of the book is INTENSE {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:57

two wedding comedies have never opened against each other different demo or not {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:59

And then Bridesmaids follows the week after. Talk about wedding overload! {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:00

.. but, just to play devil's advocate, it *is* wedding season, no.. ? :-)   Facto on May 01, 20:03

There's a book? :) {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:59

irony, right?   Facto on May 01, 19:00

(and I am of course not talking about notfabio!) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:06

naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm}   islander on May 01, 18:58

Yup, even in 2003, DVORC did 9M full run.. "Le Divorce is a wacky romantic comedy starring Kate Hudson and Naomi Watts." {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:04

that wasnt given even a moderate push domestically and a terrible title {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 19:07

Sure, but it had Kate Hudson on the posters and marquees.. And Something Borrowed is expected to do at least double.   Facto on May 01, 19:09

MBFSG, Oct 2008 delist of 18.75: "Dane Cook and Kate Hudson star in the romantic comedy [My Best Friend's Girl].... " {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:19

Then again, Bride Wars of course delisted at 53.89 February 2009. But was that due to a snappy title and Anne Hathaway (fresh from The Devil   Facto on May 01, 19:11

stbrw also plain, generic, terrible title. bet 5 h-bucks at least one review will lead with "Soemthing Boring" {nm}   islander on May 01, 19:12

Heh :-) "Something boring, snored all through" {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:13

yeah it's pretty bland-looking   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:54

I think it looks dreadful   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:23

Thanks! ;-) What would you say were your favourite "women's movies/chick flicks" of the last 5 years? Devil Wears Prada, for instance?   Facto on May 01, 19:28

I suppose it pushes a 'meek inheriting the earth' button   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:51

I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than MADE OF HONOR in the same frame. {nm}   dsbman on May 01, 18:57

Bingo... the advertising for STBRW has been better and more prevalent even though I'm sure it's just as bad. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:01

We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:01

The BOM poll for STBRW is already starting out markedly weaker, which is a poor sign. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:04

You can't judge women's movies based on BOM Polls... I'd be shocked if they had more than 4 women responding {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

I'm not 100% sure, but feel that I recall that you have overestimated at least a couple women's movies, making similar sounding points?   Facto on May 01, 19:18

If those 4 women answer every womens movie poll on BOM something can be gleaned from it via comparison. {nm}   BionicMoron on May 01, 19:29

actually, *something* fruitful has to come out of the hours I've wasted surfing twitter, and this is it: There are *plenty* of women on Twit   Facto on May 01, 19:34

(snark;) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 23:24

agreed   jane_citizen on May 01, 20:07

So, RS amended numbers. They used to be low 50's for THOR, mid teens for Borrowed and low double digits for Jumping.   PVL Admin on May 01, 19:40

Borrowed and Broom heading south - and in line with BoxOffice.com's predictions. So, MTC should be lower - but we'll see. {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:42

Those are pretty weak numbers for Thor... it opened 82 million world wide... and no one knows about Thor outside america..   b4bad on May 01, 20:41

No way! The bark-o-meter has it lower than Fast5. More to follow later in the week. {nm}   PVL Admin on May 01, 20:54

Thor has more oversea appeal {nm}   xiayun on May 01, 21:01

Now that's just crazy talk...    Facto on May 01, 22:44

I'd suggest Thors Australian popularity is more to do with the fact Chris Hemsworth rose to fame playing a key role    osmosis2003 on May 01, 22:45

makes a lot of sense. Not much love for Thor from the Germans, though - perhaps they remember their previous führer that dug Norse mythology {nm}   Facto on May 02, 00:56

fuhrer/leader - Hitler dug Norse mythology, iirc, as did his favourite composer Richard Wagner ("March of the Valkyries", used in Star Wars,   Facto on May 02, 00:58





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Cantor Exchange
N5: Naomi Watts - St. Vincent - (N5SNWA) 1000 5.57 (+0.01)         Free Fire (FREFR) 20000 13.90 (-1.10)         Stockholm, Pennsylvania (STKPA) 100000 4.41 (-0.59)         The Gambler (GMBLR) 100000 26.95 (-1.97)         The Gambler (GMBLR) 100000 26.95 (-1.97)         The Gambler (GMBLR) 10000 26.95 (-1.97)         Star Wars: Episode VIII (STAR8) 15000 232.85 (+0.85)         Kate Winslet (KWINS) 1000 38.11 (0.00)         Fire and Ice (FRICE) 99999 2.66 (-1.30)         Penguins of Madagascar (PMADG) 100000 62.38 (+0.33)         23 Jump Street (21JS3) 100 68.98 (-0.27)         Katy Perry (KPERR) 2000 50.74 (0.00)         The Pyramid (PYRMD) 100000 2.91 (0.00)         Foxcatcher (FOXCT) 20000 8.22 (+0.01)         Annie (ANNIE) 20000 48.65 (+1.85)         The Hobbit: The Battle of the Fi (HOBT3) 55000 178.73 (-1.55)         The Interview (NTRVW) 100000 12.11 (-1.15)         The Hobbit: The Battle of the Fi (HOBT3) 100000 178.73 (-1.55)         Big Hero 6 $170M Blockbuster War (BHERO.BW) 10750 15.50 (-0.02)         Inherent Vice (INHVC) 100000 12.90 (-0.11)         Force Majeure (FMAJE) 100000 1.04 (+0.01)         The Salvation (SALVT) 100000 0.46 (+0.38)         Adam Scott (ASCOT) 1000 16.56 (-0.04)         Saint Laurent (SLAUR) 100000 0.80 (+0.51)         Saint Laurent (SLAUR) 100000 0.80 (+0.51)         Jonah Hill (JHILL) 50 152.71 (-0.28)         Citizenfour (CTZNF) 100000 1.86 (+0.02)         American Sniper (AMSNP) 1000 56.43 (-0.20)         Magician (MAGCN) 100000 0.75 (+0.02)         Force Majeure (FMAJE) 100000 1.04 (+0.01)         James Franco (JAFRA) 1000 7.45 (-0.16)         Mads Mikkelsen (MMIKK) 20000 5.08 (-0.16)         Stockholm, Pennsylvania (STKPA) 100000 4.41 (-0.59)         Night at the Museum: Secret of t (NMUS3) 100000 73.78 (-0.43)         Will Smith (WSMIT) 322 120.90 (-0.29)         Revenge of the Green Dragons (ROTGD) 100000 0.02 (0.00)         Selma (SELMA) 1000 30.21 (+0.05)         Free Fire (FREFR) 100000 13.90 (-1.10)         Jeffrey Dean Morgan (JDMOR) 20000 11.36 (+0.26)         The African-American Fund (AFRAM) 10000 21.79 (+0.20)         Inferno (NFERN) 14500 57.21 (+0.05)         Kingsman: The Secret Service (TSSRV) 99999 52.59 (-0.05)         Tak3n aka Taken 3 (TAKE3) 1000 78.12 (+0.42)         Yoga Hosers (YOGAH) 3000 9.61 (+0.06)         The 9th Life of Louis Drax (9LOLD) 35000 11.05 (-0.09)         The Woman In Black 2: Angel of D (WMBL2) 4000 17.95 (+0.10)         Learning To Drive (LTDRV) 20000 2.97 (0.00)         The BFG (TBFG) 30000 58.25 (-0.17)         The Intern (INTRN) 900 28.60 (-0.40)         The Perfect Guy (TPGUY) 100000 16.23 (+0.05)