ANNOUNCEMENT: AwardOptions predicted 7 out of 8 Oscar winners.

HSX Forums: Movies Board






We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm}

Posted by: Facto on May 01, 19:01 in response to dsbman's post I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than...

RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high single digits {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:46

[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:48

Here's my wild guess that MTC will be higher on THOR and BRDSM, and lower on Priest. Now, let's put wild guesses to the test.   Facto on May 01, 18:58

But it's surely...   second gary on May 01, 20:34

Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for it, iirc? {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:39

Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day question.   second gary on May 01, 20:49

Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:54

Huh. Hangover and Panda are opening on Thursday? What's that multiplier then, Thursday + (2.2 * 4-day weekend)? {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:13

Yes {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

Argh, weekends like that make by brain hurt. {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:33

Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for STBRW or JUMPB, calling them "modest romantic comedies" (iirc). {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:54

Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:54

Why? You don't state any reasons - BoxOffice.Com said something as to why they think it won't do much business :-) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:56

I don't think so. Twitter has missed lately, but it's quite reliable in predicting underperformers with low tweet counts. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 18:57

yeah the young woman fanbase of the book is INTENSE {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:57

two wedding comedies have never opened against each other different demo or not {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:59

And then Bridesmaids follows the week after. Talk about wedding overload! {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:00

.. but, just to play devil's advocate, it *is* wedding season, no.. ? :-)   Facto on May 01, 20:03

There's a book? :) {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:59

irony, right?   Facto on May 01, 19:00

(and I am of course not talking about notfabio!) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:06

naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm}   islander on May 01, 18:58

Yup, even in 2003, DVORC did 9M full run.. "Le Divorce is a wacky romantic comedy starring Kate Hudson and Naomi Watts." {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:04

that wasnt given even a moderate push domestically and a terrible title {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 19:07

Sure, but it had Kate Hudson on the posters and marquees.. And Something Borrowed is expected to do at least double.   Facto on May 01, 19:09

MBFSG, Oct 2008 delist of 18.75: "Dane Cook and Kate Hudson star in the romantic comedy [My Best Friend's Girl].... " {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:19

Then again, Bride Wars of course delisted at 53.89 February 2009. But was that due to a snappy title and Anne Hathaway (fresh from The Devil   Facto on May 01, 19:11

stbrw also plain, generic, terrible title. bet 5 h-bucks at least one review will lead with "Soemthing Boring" {nm}   islander on May 01, 19:12

Heh :-) "Something boring, snored all through" {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:13

yeah it's pretty bland-looking   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:54

I think it looks dreadful   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:23

Thanks! ;-) What would you say were your favourite "women's movies/chick flicks" of the last 5 years? Devil Wears Prada, for instance?   Facto on May 01, 19:28

I suppose it pushes a 'meek inheriting the earth' button   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:51

I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than MADE OF HONOR in the same frame. {nm}   dsbman on May 01, 18:57

Bingo... the advertising for STBRW has been better and more prevalent even though I'm sure it's just as bad. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:01

We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:01

The BOM poll for STBRW is already starting out markedly weaker, which is a poor sign. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:04

You can't judge women's movies based on BOM Polls... I'd be shocked if they had more than 4 women responding {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

I'm not 100% sure, but feel that I recall that you have overestimated at least a couple women's movies, making similar sounding points?   Facto on May 01, 19:18

If those 4 women answer every womens movie poll on BOM something can be gleaned from it via comparison. {nm}   BionicMoron on May 01, 19:29

actually, *something* fruitful has to come out of the hours I've wasted surfing twitter, and this is it: There are *plenty* of women on Twit   Facto on May 01, 19:34

(snark;) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 23:24

agreed   jane_citizen on May 01, 20:07

So, RS amended numbers. They used to be low 50's for THOR, mid teens for Borrowed and low double digits for Jumping.   PVL Admin on May 01, 19:40

Borrowed and Broom heading south - and in line with BoxOffice.com's predictions. So, MTC should be lower - but we'll see. {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:42

Those are pretty weak numbers for Thor... it opened 82 million world wide... and no one knows about Thor outside america..   b4bad on May 01, 20:41

No way! The bark-o-meter has it lower than Fast5. More to follow later in the week. {nm}   PVL Admin on May 01, 20:54

Thor has more oversea appeal {nm}   xiayun on May 01, 21:01

Now that's just crazy talk...    Facto on May 01, 22:44

I'd suggest Thors Australian popularity is more to do with the fact Chris Hemsworth rose to fame playing a key role    osmosis2003 on May 01, 22:45

makes a lot of sense. Not much love for Thor from the Germans, though - perhaps they remember their previous führer that dug Norse mythology {nm}   Facto on May 02, 00:56

fuhrer/leader - Hitler dug Norse mythology, iirc, as did his favourite composer Richard Wagner ("March of the Valkyries", used in Star Wars,   Facto on May 02, 00:58





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
The Secret in Their Eyes (TSITE) 79999 24.83 (+2.86)         Snowden (SNWDN) 10000 29.13 (+0.21)         The Strange Adventures of H.P. L (SAHPL) 99998 0.02 (-0.01)         The Infiltrator (NFILT) 15000 20.48 (-0.13)         The Secret Life of Houdini (TSLOH) 99996 35.34 (+8.32)         Mark Duplass (MDUPL) 20000 42.43 (+0.14)         The Secret Life of Houdini (TSLOH) 99999 35.34 (+8.32)         Arms and the Dudes (ARMDU) 15000 32.95 (+4.69)         Mark Duplass (MDUPL) 20000 42.43 (+0.14)         The Lazarus Effect (LAZAR) 100000 27.05 (-2.74)         Focus (FOCUZ) 50000 52.43 (-1.99)         The Secret Life of Houdini (TSLOH) 45000 35.34 (+8.32)         Untitled Rogen/Gordon-Levitt X-M (XMAS) 2800 42.99 (-0.33)         Evan Peters (EPETE) 20000 81.09 (0.00)         The Lazarus Effect (LAZAR) 15000 27.05 (-2.74)         The Bronze (BRONZ) 96871 8.51 (+1.53)         Stephanie (STEPH) 100000 22.79 (+2.79)         The Lazarus Effect (LAZAR) 99999 27.05 (-2.74)         Untitled Rogen/Gordon-Levitt X-M (XMAS) 3000 42.99 (-0.33)         Thunder Run (THNDR) 77765 0.18 (-0.07)         The Crow (TCROW) 60000 15.31 (+4.70)         The Divergent Series: Allegiant (DVRG3) 100000 118.97 (+1.06)         Unfinished Business (BSTRP) 500 29.89 (-2.20)         The Lazarus Effect (LAZAR) 100000 27.05 (-2.74)         The Lazarus Effect (LAZAR) 100000 27.05 (-2.74)         The Second Best Exotic Marigold (BEMH2) 100000 25.88 (+2.25)         Sandman (SANDM) 15000 23.94 (-0.32)         The Lazarus Effect (LAZAR) 99999 27.05 (-2.74)         In the Heights (INHTS) 100000 0.02 (-0.01)         Donald Glover (DOGLO) 7750 26.08 (-0.19)         Robopocalypse (RCLPS) 10000 32.25 (-0.13)         CW: Jane the Virgin (JANETV) 1000 18.13 (-0.17)         World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 19476 42.98 (+2.50)         The Bronze (BRONZ) 50000 8.51 (+1.53)         FOX: Empire (EMPIRE) 10000 14.30 (+0.09)         Wicked (WICKD) 100000 26.33 (+0.65)         The Secret Life of Houdini (TSLOH) 100000 35.34 (+8.32)         American Assassin (AMASN) 77765 0.32 (-0.03)         The Secret in Their Eyes (TSITE) 100000 24.83 (+2.86)         Out of the Dark (ODARK) 100000 0.22 (0.00)         Serena (SERNA) 100000 1.34 (-0.01)         Manny (MANNY) 92015 0.24 (+0.07)         Captain Fantastic (CFANT) 100000 2.27 (-0.06)         Adam Strange (ADAMS) 50000 0.01 (-0.03)         The Bronze (BRONZ) 100000 8.51 (+1.53)         The Bronze (BRONZ) 100000 8.51 (+1.53)         Anubis (ANUBS) 100000 17.54 (+0.07)         Dev Patel (DPATE) 20000 71.77 (-0.66)         Brimstone (BRMST) 10000 6.00 (0.00)         Blade Runner 2 (BLAD2) 150 33.30 (+13.29)