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We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm}

Posted by: Facto on May 01, 19:01 in response to dsbman's post I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than...

RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high single digits {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:46

[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:48

Here's my wild guess that MTC will be higher on THOR and BRDSM, and lower on Priest. Now, let's put wild guesses to the test.   Facto on May 01, 18:58

But it's surely...   second gary on May 01, 20:34

Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for it, iirc? {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:39

Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day question.   second gary on May 01, 20:49

Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:54

Huh. Hangover and Panda are opening on Thursday? What's that multiplier then, Thursday + (2.2 * 4-day weekend)? {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:13

Yes {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

Argh, weekends like that make by brain hurt. {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:33

Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for STBRW or JUMPB, calling them "modest romantic comedies" (iirc). {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:54

Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:54

Why? You don't state any reasons - BoxOffice.Com said something as to why they think it won't do much business :-) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:56

I don't think so. Twitter has missed lately, but it's quite reliable in predicting underperformers with low tweet counts. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 18:57

yeah the young woman fanbase of the book is INTENSE {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:57

two wedding comedies have never opened against each other different demo or not {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:59

And then Bridesmaids follows the week after. Talk about wedding overload! {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:00

.. but, just to play devil's advocate, it *is* wedding season, no.. ? :-)   Facto on May 01, 20:03

There's a book? :) {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:59

irony, right?   Facto on May 01, 19:00

(and I am of course not talking about notfabio!) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:06

naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm}   islander on May 01, 18:58

Yup, even in 2003, DVORC did 9M full run.. "Le Divorce is a wacky romantic comedy starring Kate Hudson and Naomi Watts." {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:04

that wasnt given even a moderate push domestically and a terrible title {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 19:07

Sure, but it had Kate Hudson on the posters and marquees.. And Something Borrowed is expected to do at least double.   Facto on May 01, 19:09

MBFSG, Oct 2008 delist of 18.75: "Dane Cook and Kate Hudson star in the romantic comedy [My Best Friend's Girl].... " {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:19

Then again, Bride Wars of course delisted at 53.89 February 2009. But was that due to a snappy title and Anne Hathaway (fresh from The Devil   Facto on May 01, 19:11

stbrw also plain, generic, terrible title. bet 5 h-bucks at least one review will lead with "Soemthing Boring" {nm}   islander on May 01, 19:12

Heh :-) "Something boring, snored all through" {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:13

yeah it's pretty bland-looking   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:54

I think it looks dreadful   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:23

Thanks! ;-) What would you say were your favourite "women's movies/chick flicks" of the last 5 years? Devil Wears Prada, for instance?   Facto on May 01, 19:28

I suppose it pushes a 'meek inheriting the earth' button   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:51

I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than MADE OF HONOR in the same frame. {nm}   dsbman on May 01, 18:57

Bingo... the advertising for STBRW has been better and more prevalent even though I'm sure it's just as bad. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:01

We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:01

The BOM poll for STBRW is already starting out markedly weaker, which is a poor sign. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:04

You can't judge women's movies based on BOM Polls... I'd be shocked if they had more than 4 women responding {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

I'm not 100% sure, but feel that I recall that you have overestimated at least a couple women's movies, making similar sounding points?   Facto on May 01, 19:18

If those 4 women answer every womens movie poll on BOM something can be gleaned from it via comparison. {nm}   BionicMoron on May 01, 19:29

actually, *something* fruitful has to come out of the hours I've wasted surfing twitter, and this is it: There are *plenty* of women on Twit   Facto on May 01, 19:34

(snark;) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 23:24

agreed   jane_citizen on May 01, 20:07

So, RS amended numbers. They used to be low 50's for THOR, mid teens for Borrowed and low double digits for Jumping.   PVL Admin on May 01, 19:40

Borrowed and Broom heading south - and in line with BoxOffice.com's predictions. So, MTC should be lower - but we'll see. {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:42

Those are pretty weak numbers for Thor... it opened 82 million world wide... and no one knows about Thor outside america..   b4bad on May 01, 20:41

No way! The bark-o-meter has it lower than Fast5. More to follow later in the week. {nm}   PVL Admin on May 01, 20:54

Thor has more oversea appeal {nm}   xiayun on May 01, 21:01

Now that's just crazy talk...    Facto on May 01, 22:44

I'd suggest Thors Australian popularity is more to do with the fact Chris Hemsworth rose to fame playing a key role    osmosis2003 on May 01, 22:45

makes a lot of sense. Not much love for Thor from the Germans, though - perhaps they remember their previous führer that dug Norse mythology {nm}   Facto on May 02, 00:56

fuhrer/leader - Hitler dug Norse mythology, iirc, as did his favourite composer Richard Wagner ("March of the Valkyries", used in Star Wars,   Facto on May 02, 00:58





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Krampus (KRMPS) 100000 17.31 (+0.71)         The Interview (NTRVW) 1 8.06 (+1.70)         '71 (71) 100000 1.09 (-0.01)         The Hateful Eight (HATE8) 1 66.57 (+0.13)         Woman in Gold (WMNGO) 100000 9.78 (+0.44)         Selma (SELMA) 100000 30.57 (+0.07)         Free Fire (FREFR) 1234 15.00 (0.00)         Untitled Star Wars (SW16) 50 197.43 (+0.01)         Mad Max: Fury Road (MMAX4) 81 122.59 (+0.30)         Annie - Opening Weekend (ANNIE.OW) 164 15.44 (-0.66)         N5: Foxcatcher - Best Picture (N5PFOX) 20000 4.82 (-0.27)         N5: Foxcatcher - Best Picture (N5PFOX) 20000 4.82 (-0.27)         The Last Photograph (LPHOT) 100000 0.05 (+0.02)         Into the Woods (INTWD) 100000 86.68 (-2.02)         Knight of Cups (KNCUP) 2500 6.74 (+0.07)         Stockholm, Pennsylvania (STKPA) 100000 5.00 (0.00)         Into the Woods (INTWD) 100000 86.68 (-2.02)         N5: Interstellar - Original Scre (N5OINT) 20000 4.55 (-0.14)         Free Fire (FREFR) 100000 15.00 (0.00)         What We Do in the Shadows (WWDTS) 100000 1.42 (-0.03)         N5: Interstellar - Original Scre (N5OINT) 20000 4.55 (-0.14)         The Hobbit: The Battle of the Fi (HOBT3) 100000 185.56 (-6.46)         N5: Tom Wilkinson - Selma - Sup (N5RTWI) 20000 4.64 (-0.17)         The African-American Fund (AFRAM) 10000 20.68 (+0.29)         N5: Laura Dern - Wild - Sup. Ac (N5SLDE) 20000 3.79 (-0.08)         N5: Tom Wilkinson - Selma - Sup (N5RTWI) 20000 4.64 (-0.17)         Ballet 422 (BL422) 100000 1.20 (-0.02)         Stockholm, Pennsylvania (STKPA) 100000 5.00 (0.00)         N5: Foxcatcher - Best Picture (N5PFOX) 20000 4.82 (-0.27)         Shaolin Temple (SLTMP) 100000 20.55 (+0.55)         The Opening Weekend Fund (OPENR) 5000 26.35 (+0.25)         Unbroken - Opening Weekend (UBRKN.OW) 25000 21.01 (-0.62)         Star Wars: Episode VIII (STAR8) 100000 231.16 (+4.01)         Stockholm, Pennsylvania (STKPA) 99998 5.00 (0.00)         Night at the Museum: Secret of t (NMUS3) 100000 82.63 (-3.92)         The Interview (NTRVW) 1 8.06 (+1.70)         Free Fire (FREFR) 99998 15.00 (0.00)         Unbroken - Opening Weekend (UBRKN.OW) 25000 21.01 (-0.62)         Annie (ANNIE) 100000 35.49 (-1.77)         Free Fire (FREFR) 45454 15.00 (0.00)         The Hobbit: The Battle of the Fi (HOBT3) 100000 185.56 (-6.46)         Skiptrace (SKPTR) 100000 6.42 (+1.42)         N5: Bradley Cooper - American Sn (N5ABCO) 20000 6.52 (-0.24)         Stockholm, Pennsylvania (STKPA) 100000 5.00 (0.00)         Annie - Opening Weekend (ANNIE.OW) 35445 15.44 (-0.66)         Dragon Blade (DRBLD) 100000 4.27 (-0.73)         Skiptrace (SKPTR) 21000 6.42 (+1.42)         N5: Tom Wilkinson - Selma - Sup (N5RTWI) 20000 4.64 (-0.17)         Stockholm, Pennsylvania (STKPA) 30000 5.00 (0.00)         N5: Jack O'Connell - Unbroken - (N5AJOC) 20000 3.54 (+0.06)