HSX Forums: Movies Board






We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm}

Posted by: Facto on May 01, 19:01 in response to dsbman's post I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than...

RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high single digits {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:46

[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:48

Here's my wild guess that MTC will be higher on THOR and BRDSM, and lower on Priest. Now, let's put wild guesses to the test.   Facto on May 01, 18:58

But it's surely...   second gary on May 01, 20:34

Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for it, iirc? {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:39

Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day question.   second gary on May 01, 20:49

Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:54

Huh. Hangover and Panda are opening on Thursday? What's that multiplier then, Thursday + (2.2 * 4-day weekend)? {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:13

Yes {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

Argh, weekends like that make by brain hurt. {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:33

Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for STBRW or JUMPB, calling them "modest romantic comedies" (iirc). {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:54

Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:54

Why? You don't state any reasons - BoxOffice.Com said something as to why they think it won't do much business :-) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:56

I don't think so. Twitter has missed lately, but it's quite reliable in predicting underperformers with low tweet counts. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 18:57

yeah the young woman fanbase of the book is INTENSE {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:57

two wedding comedies have never opened against each other different demo or not {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:59

And then Bridesmaids follows the week after. Talk about wedding overload! {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:00

.. but, just to play devil's advocate, it *is* wedding season, no.. ? :-)   Facto on May 01, 20:03

There's a book? :) {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:59

irony, right?   Facto on May 01, 19:00

(and I am of course not talking about notfabio!) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:06

naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm}   islander on May 01, 18:58

Yup, even in 2003, DVORC did 9M full run.. "Le Divorce is a wacky romantic comedy starring Kate Hudson and Naomi Watts." {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:04

that wasnt given even a moderate push domestically and a terrible title {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 19:07

Sure, but it had Kate Hudson on the posters and marquees.. And Something Borrowed is expected to do at least double.   Facto on May 01, 19:09

MBFSG, Oct 2008 delist of 18.75: "Dane Cook and Kate Hudson star in the romantic comedy [My Best Friend's Girl].... " {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:19

Then again, Bride Wars of course delisted at 53.89 February 2009. But was that due to a snappy title and Anne Hathaway (fresh from The Devil   Facto on May 01, 19:11

stbrw also plain, generic, terrible title. bet 5 h-bucks at least one review will lead with "Soemthing Boring" {nm}   islander on May 01, 19:12

Heh :-) "Something boring, snored all through" {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:13

yeah it's pretty bland-looking   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:54

I think it looks dreadful   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:23

Thanks! ;-) What would you say were your favourite "women's movies/chick flicks" of the last 5 years? Devil Wears Prada, for instance?   Facto on May 01, 19:28

I suppose it pushes a 'meek inheriting the earth' button   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:51

I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than MADE OF HONOR in the same frame. {nm}   dsbman on May 01, 18:57

Bingo... the advertising for STBRW has been better and more prevalent even though I'm sure it's just as bad. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:01

We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:01

The BOM poll for STBRW is already starting out markedly weaker, which is a poor sign. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:04

You can't judge women's movies based on BOM Polls... I'd be shocked if they had more than 4 women responding {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

I'm not 100% sure, but feel that I recall that you have overestimated at least a couple women's movies, making similar sounding points?   Facto on May 01, 19:18

If those 4 women answer every womens movie poll on BOM something can be gleaned from it via comparison. {nm}   BionicMoron on May 01, 19:29

actually, *something* fruitful has to come out of the hours I've wasted surfing twitter, and this is it: There are *plenty* of women on Twit   Facto on May 01, 19:34

(snark;) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 23:24

agreed   jane_citizen on May 01, 20:07

So, RS amended numbers. They used to be low 50's for THOR, mid teens for Borrowed and low double digits for Jumping.   PVL Admin on May 01, 19:40

Borrowed and Broom heading south - and in line with BoxOffice.com's predictions. So, MTC should be lower - but we'll see. {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:42

Those are pretty weak numbers for Thor... it opened 82 million world wide... and no one knows about Thor outside america..   b4bad on May 01, 20:41

No way! The bark-o-meter has it lower than Fast5. More to follow later in the week. {nm}   PVL Admin on May 01, 20:54

Thor has more oversea appeal {nm}   xiayun on May 01, 21:01

Now that's just crazy talk...    Facto on May 01, 22:44

I'd suggest Thors Australian popularity is more to do with the fact Chris Hemsworth rose to fame playing a key role    osmosis2003 on May 01, 22:45

makes a lot of sense. Not much love for Thor from the Germans, though - perhaps they remember their previous führer that dug Norse mythology {nm}   Facto on May 02, 00:56

fuhrer/leader - Hitler dug Norse mythology, iirc, as did his favourite composer Richard Wagner ("March of the Valkyries", used in Star Wars,   Facto on May 02, 00:58





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
Jason Bateman (JBATE) 20000 72.16 (-0.40)         The Glass Castle (GLASC) 100000 5.62 (+0.06)         Courtney B. Vance (CVANC) 20000 51.86 (-0.93)         Splinter Cell (SCELL) 10000 2.55 (-1.89)         In the Deep aka 47 Meters Down (47MDW) 100000 4.57 (+0.06)         Fantastic Beasts and Where to Fi (FBSTS.BW) 20000 7.05 (+0.47)         Kristen Stewart (KSTEW) 20000 5.59 (+0.04)         Friend Request (FRQUS) 100000 2.42 (+0.10)         The Predator (PRED4) 100000 78.42 (+0.10)         A Dog's Purpose (ADOGP) 100000 37.24 (-0.10)         Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 25000 157.21 (+1.23)         How to Talk to Girls at Parties (HTGAP) 100000 2.38 (+0.02)         My Little Pony (MLPNY) 3000 27.00 (+0.03)         Wind River (WNDRV) 29991 14.67 (+0.05)         XX (XX) 100000 1.21 (+0.01)         La La Land (LALAL) 77443 46.27 (+0.86)         Chaos Walking (CHAOW) 100000 50.00 (0.00)         John Lithgow (JLITH) 20000 57.25 (-0.39)         Office Christmas Party (OFCPT) 100000 55.36 (-0.98)         Wind River (WNDRV) 69999 14.67 (+0.05)         Animal Crackers (ANMLC) 55000 20.37 (+0.20)         Mulan (MULN) 100000 127.43 (+0.37)         Meg (MEG) 100000 39.66 (+0.06)         Chaos Walking (CHAOW) 37622 50.00 (0.00)         Ant-Man and the Wasp (ANTM2) 97 142.82 (+0.25)         Rebecca Hall (RBHAL) 20000 57.43 (+0.14)         Scooby-Doo aka S.C.O.O.B. (SCOBY) 100000 36.90 (-0.05)         The Current War (CURNT) 70000 23.90 (+3.02)         Fantastic Beasts 2 (FBST2) 100000 187.29 (+0.22)         Jessica Chastain (JCHAS) 20000 75.20 (-0.20)         Mary Poppins Returns (MPOPN) 100000 95.67 (-0.08)         Michael C. Hall (MHALL) 20000 4.42 (-0.08)         Chaos Walking (CHAOW) 100000 50.00 (0.00)         Bleed For This (BLDFT) 99 4.99 (+0.02)         Pigeon Impossible (PIGEN) 100000 32.25 (0.00)         Playmobil: Robbers, Thieves & Re (PMOBL) 100000 17.24 (+0.10)         Amusement Park (AMUSM) 100000 35.06 (+0.16)         Avengers 4 (AVNG4) 100000 392.29 (-0.05)         All Eyez on Me (TUPAC) 20000 21.63 (+0.40)         The Current War (CURNT) 2000 23.90 (+3.02)         Fast & Furious 9 (FAST9) 100000 173.35 (-0.04)         All Eyez on Me (TUPAC) 69991 21.63 (+0.40)         Chaos Walking (CHAOW) 100000 50.00 (0.00)         Voyage of Time: The IMAX Experie (VYGTM) 11100 0.70 (-0.02)         Light of My Life (LOMLF) 15000 20.24 (+3.42)         The Beguiled (BGUIL) 29991 16.39 (0.00)         The Current War (CURNT) 15000 23.90 (+3.02)         The Beguiled (BGUIL) 39999 16.39 (0.00)         Light of My Life (LOMLF) 100000 20.24 (+3.42)         Light of My Life (LOMLF) 100000 20.24 (+3.42)