HSX Forums: Movies Board






We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm}

Posted by: Facto on May 01, 19:01 in response to dsbman's post I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than...

RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high single digits {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:46

[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:48

Here's my wild guess that MTC will be higher on THOR and BRDSM, and lower on Priest. Now, let's put wild guesses to the test.   Facto on May 01, 18:58

But it's surely...   second gary on May 01, 20:34

Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for it, iirc? {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:39

Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day question.   second gary on May 01, 20:49

Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:54

Huh. Hangover and Panda are opening on Thursday? What's that multiplier then, Thursday + (2.2 * 4-day weekend)? {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:13

Yes {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

Argh, weekends like that make by brain hurt. {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:33

Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for STBRW or JUMPB, calling them "modest romantic comedies" (iirc). {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:54

Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:54

Why? You don't state any reasons - BoxOffice.Com said something as to why they think it won't do much business :-) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:56

I don't think so. Twitter has missed lately, but it's quite reliable in predicting underperformers with low tweet counts. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 18:57

yeah the young woman fanbase of the book is INTENSE {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:57

two wedding comedies have never opened against each other different demo or not {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:59

And then Bridesmaids follows the week after. Talk about wedding overload! {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:00

.. but, just to play devil's advocate, it *is* wedding season, no.. ? :-)   Facto on May 01, 20:03

There's a book? :) {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:59

irony, right?   Facto on May 01, 19:00

(and I am of course not talking about notfabio!) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:06

naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm}   islander on May 01, 18:58

Yup, even in 2003, DVORC did 9M full run.. "Le Divorce is a wacky romantic comedy starring Kate Hudson and Naomi Watts." {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:04

that wasnt given even a moderate push domestically and a terrible title {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 19:07

Sure, but it had Kate Hudson on the posters and marquees.. And Something Borrowed is expected to do at least double.   Facto on May 01, 19:09

MBFSG, Oct 2008 delist of 18.75: "Dane Cook and Kate Hudson star in the romantic comedy [My Best Friend's Girl].... " {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:19

Then again, Bride Wars of course delisted at 53.89 February 2009. But was that due to a snappy title and Anne Hathaway (fresh from The Devil   Facto on May 01, 19:11

stbrw also plain, generic, terrible title. bet 5 h-bucks at least one review will lead with "Soemthing Boring" {nm}   islander on May 01, 19:12

Heh :-) "Something boring, snored all through" {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:13

yeah it's pretty bland-looking   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:54

I think it looks dreadful   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:23

Thanks! ;-) What would you say were your favourite "women's movies/chick flicks" of the last 5 years? Devil Wears Prada, for instance?   Facto on May 01, 19:28

I suppose it pushes a 'meek inheriting the earth' button   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:51

I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than MADE OF HONOR in the same frame. {nm}   dsbman on May 01, 18:57

Bingo... the advertising for STBRW has been better and more prevalent even though I'm sure it's just as bad. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:01

We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:01

The BOM poll for STBRW is already starting out markedly weaker, which is a poor sign. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:04

You can't judge women's movies based on BOM Polls... I'd be shocked if they had more than 4 women responding {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

I'm not 100% sure, but feel that I recall that you have overestimated at least a couple women's movies, making similar sounding points?   Facto on May 01, 19:18

If those 4 women answer every womens movie poll on BOM something can be gleaned from it via comparison. {nm}   BionicMoron on May 01, 19:29

actually, *something* fruitful has to come out of the hours I've wasted surfing twitter, and this is it: There are *plenty* of women on Twit   Facto on May 01, 19:34

(snark;) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 23:24

agreed   jane_citizen on May 01, 20:07

So, RS amended numbers. They used to be low 50's for THOR, mid teens for Borrowed and low double digits for Jumping.   PVL Admin on May 01, 19:40

Borrowed and Broom heading south - and in line with BoxOffice.com's predictions. So, MTC should be lower - but we'll see. {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:42

Those are pretty weak numbers for Thor... it opened 82 million world wide... and no one knows about Thor outside america..   b4bad on May 01, 20:41

No way! The bark-o-meter has it lower than Fast5. More to follow later in the week. {nm}   PVL Admin on May 01, 20:54

Thor has more oversea appeal {nm}   xiayun on May 01, 21:01

Now that's just crazy talk...    Facto on May 01, 22:44

I'd suggest Thors Australian popularity is more to do with the fact Chris Hemsworth rose to fame playing a key role    osmosis2003 on May 01, 22:45

makes a lot of sense. Not much love for Thor from the Germans, though - perhaps they remember their previous führer that dug Norse mythology {nm}   Facto on May 02, 00:56

fuhrer/leader - Hitler dug Norse mythology, iirc, as did his favourite composer Richard Wagner ("March of the Valkyries", used in Star Wars,   Facto on May 02, 00:58





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Toy Story 4 (TOYS4) 100000 284.60 (+0.67)         Star Trek Beyond (TREK3) 60000 159.92 (-1.00)         Bruce Willis (BWILL) 20000 37.75 (+0.16)         Seann William Scott (SWSCO) 20000 57.36 (-0.13)         The Long Home (LNGHM) 100000 0.54 (+0.01)         Josh Hartnett (JHART) 10 12.75 (+0.04)         Ice Age: Collision Course (ICEA5) 100000 62.49 (+5.79)         Marrowbone (MRWBN) 100000 17.86 (-0.87)         Nerve (NERVE) 2500 17.94 (-0.02)         Colin Farrell (CFARR) 20000 45.02 (-0.13)         The Duel (BWOHL) 99999 0.13 (+0.04)         Steven Spielberg (SSPIE) 20000 60.13 (0.00)         Ice Age: Collision Course (ICEA5) 100000 62.49 (+5.79)         Flash Gordon (FLSHG) 40000 2.46 (+0.03)         Christoph Waltz (CWALT) 20000 78.45 (-0.20)         Blair Witch aka The Woods (WOODS) 100000 42.64 (+1.57)         Dark Universe aka Justice League (DARKU) 99999 9.88 (-0.05)         Sofia Boutella (SBOUT) 20000 93.37 (-0.40)         Kong: Skull Island (SKULN) 2500 115.61 (+0.36)         Untitled Detroit Project (DETRT) 2000 22.36 (-0.10)         Sofia Boutella (SBOUT) 20000 93.37 (-0.40)         Star Trek Beyond (TREK3) 100000 159.92 (-1.00)         Emojimovie: Express Yourself (EMOJI) 800 59.57 (+0.06)         Hands of Stone (HNDST) 6000 17.15 (+0.09)         Ice Age: Collision Course (ICEA5) 100000 62.49 (+5.79)         Bobby Cannavale (BCANN) 400 73.33 (-0.26)         Jason Bourne - Opening Weekend (BORN5.OW) 2500 63.40 (-0.31)         Jennifer Lawrence (JLAWR) 62 96.83 (+0.20)         Ice Age: Collision Course (ICEA5) 1805 62.49 (+5.79)         Suicide Squad (SUICD) 10000 308.09 (-0.30)         Ice Age: Collision Course (ICEA5) 5000 62.49 (+5.79)         Star Trek Beyond (TREK3) 4000 159.92 (-1.00)         Jason Bourne (BORN5) 1000 151.63 (+2.19)         Rogue One: A Star Wars Story (SW16) 1 404.86 (-0.25)         Star Wars: Han Solo Anthology (SWAR2) 2000 344.08 (+0.01)         Star Wars: Episode VIII (STAR8) 3000 594.94 (+0.40)         Bill Hader (BHADE) 104 133.20 (-0.29)         Jacob's Ladder (JLADR) 100000 15.77 (+0.17)         Jacob's Ladder (JLADR) 100000 15.77 (+0.17)         Ice Age: Collision Course (ICEA5) 35000 62.49 (+5.79)         Ice Age: Collision Course (ICEA5) 20000 62.49 (+5.79)         Pigeon Impossible (PIGEN) 40000 42.34 (-1.69)         The Comic Fund (COMIC) 1 21.52 (-0.01)         Hancock 2 (HANC2) 70000 1.28 (+0.03)         Intelligent Life (INTLF) 100000 18.89 (-0.10)         Intelligent Life (INTLF) 100000 18.89 (-0.10)         Hands of Stone (HNDST) 100000 17.15 (+0.09)         Hands of Stone (HNDST) 100000 17.15 (+0.09)         Jackpot (JCKPT) 100000 16.46 (-0.15)         Jackpot (JCKPT) 100000 16.46 (-0.15)