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Then again, Bride Wars of course delisted at 53.89 February 2009. But was that due to a snappy title and Anne Hathaway (fresh from The Devil

Posted by: Facto on May 01, 19:11 in response to notfabio's post that wasnt given even a moderate push domestically and a...

Wears Prada-success), more than Kate Hudson?

RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high single digits {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:46

[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:48

Here's my wild guess that MTC will be higher on THOR and BRDSM, and lower on Priest. Now, let's put wild guesses to the test.   Facto on May 01, 18:58

But it's surely...   second gary on May 01, 20:34

Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for it, iirc? {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:39

Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day question.   second gary on May 01, 20:49

Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:54

Huh. Hangover and Panda are opening on Thursday? What's that multiplier then, Thursday + (2.2 * 4-day weekend)? {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:13

Yes {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

Argh, weekends like that make by brain hurt. {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:33

Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for STBRW or JUMPB, calling them "modest romantic comedies" (iirc). {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:54

Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:54

Why? You don't state any reasons - BoxOffice.Com said something as to why they think it won't do much business :-) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:56

I don't think so. Twitter has missed lately, but it's quite reliable in predicting underperformers with low tweet counts. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 18:57

yeah the young woman fanbase of the book is INTENSE {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:57

two wedding comedies have never opened against each other different demo or not {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:59

And then Bridesmaids follows the week after. Talk about wedding overload! {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:00

.. but, just to play devil's advocate, it *is* wedding season, no.. ? :-)   Facto on May 01, 20:03

There's a book? :) {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:59

irony, right?   Facto on May 01, 19:00

(and I am of course not talking about notfabio!) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:06

naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm}   islander on May 01, 18:58

Yup, even in 2003, DVORC did 9M full run.. "Le Divorce is a wacky romantic comedy starring Kate Hudson and Naomi Watts." {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:04

that wasnt given even a moderate push domestically and a terrible title {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 19:07

Sure, but it had Kate Hudson on the posters and marquees.. And Something Borrowed is expected to do at least double.   Facto on May 01, 19:09

MBFSG, Oct 2008 delist of 18.75: "Dane Cook and Kate Hudson star in the romantic comedy [My Best Friend's Girl].... " {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:19

Then again, Bride Wars of course delisted at 53.89 February 2009. But was that due to a snappy title and Anne Hathaway (fresh from The Devil   Facto on May 01, 19:11

stbrw also plain, generic, terrible title. bet 5 h-bucks at least one review will lead with "Soemthing Boring" {nm}   islander on May 01, 19:12

Heh :-) "Something boring, snored all through" {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:13

yeah it's pretty bland-looking   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:54

I think it looks dreadful   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:23

Thanks! ;-) What would you say were your favourite "women's movies/chick flicks" of the last 5 years? Devil Wears Prada, for instance?   Facto on May 01, 19:28

I suppose it pushes a 'meek inheriting the earth' button   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:51

I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than MADE OF HONOR in the same frame. {nm}   dsbman on May 01, 18:57

Bingo... the advertising for STBRW has been better and more prevalent even though I'm sure it's just as bad. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:01

We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:01

The BOM poll for STBRW is already starting out markedly weaker, which is a poor sign. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:04

You can't judge women's movies based on BOM Polls... I'd be shocked if they had more than 4 women responding {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

I'm not 100% sure, but feel that I recall that you have overestimated at least a couple women's movies, making similar sounding points?   Facto on May 01, 19:18

If those 4 women answer every womens movie poll on BOM something can be gleaned from it via comparison. {nm}   BionicMoron on May 01, 19:29

actually, *something* fruitful has to come out of the hours I've wasted surfing twitter, and this is it: There are *plenty* of women on Twit   Facto on May 01, 19:34

(snark;) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 23:24

agreed   jane_citizen on May 01, 20:07

So, RS amended numbers. They used to be low 50's for THOR, mid teens for Borrowed and low double digits for Jumping.   PVL Admin on May 01, 19:40

Borrowed and Broom heading south - and in line with BoxOffice.com's predictions. So, MTC should be lower - but we'll see. {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:42

Those are pretty weak numbers for Thor... it opened 82 million world wide... and no one knows about Thor outside america..   b4bad on May 01, 20:41

No way! The bark-o-meter has it lower than Fast5. More to follow later in the week. {nm}   PVL Admin on May 01, 20:54

Thor has more oversea appeal {nm}   xiayun on May 01, 21:01

Now that's just crazy talk...    Facto on May 01, 22:44

I'd suggest Thors Australian popularity is more to do with the fact Chris Hemsworth rose to fame playing a key role    osmosis2003 on May 01, 22:45

makes a lot of sense. Not much love for Thor from the Germans, though - perhaps they remember their previous führer that dug Norse mythology {nm}   Facto on May 02, 00:56

fuhrer/leader - Hitler dug Norse mythology, iirc, as did his favourite composer Richard Wagner ("March of the Valkyries", used in Star Wars,   Facto on May 02, 00:58





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Laurence Fishburne (LFISH) 20000 96.42 (0.00)         Untitled Star Wars (SW16) 5000 198.41 (-0.34)         Rebel Wilson (RBWIL) 20000 38.98 (-0.64)         Shawn Levy (SLEVY) 20000 75.89 (-2.00)         Star Wars: Episode VIII (STAR8) 5000 238.07 (+1.89)         The Hobbit: The Battle of the Fi (HOBT3) 100000 186.20 (+6.68)         Trolls (TROLL) 50000 27.25 (+1.44)         Trolls (TROLL) 50000 27.25 (+1.44)         Salt 2 (SALT2) 100000 1.43 (0.00)         Trolls (TROLL) 50000 27.25 (+1.44)         Trolls (TROLL) 50000 27.25 (+1.44)         Taryn Manning (TMANN) 20000 4.16 (+0.08)         The Hobbit: The Battle of the Fi (HOBT3) 9500 186.20 (+6.68)         Fire and Ice (FRICE) 50000 5.39 (+2.17)         Fire and Ice (FRICE) 50000 5.39 (+2.17)         Forty Thieves (40THV) 250 39.31 (-0.69)         Fire and Ice (FRICE) 50000 5.39 (+2.17)         Inside Out (NMIND) 10000 153.96 (+2.07)         Fire and Ice (FRICE) 50000 5.39 (+2.17)         Ninjago (NJAGO) 1999 38.40 (-0.39)         Annie (ANNIE) 75000 44.01 (-7.12)         Cinderella (CINDE) 83 119.03 (+2.41)         The Intern (INTRN) 50000 31.36 (+3.23)         Inherent Vice (INHVC) 100000 12.34 (-0.40)         Spectre (JB24) 100000 186.71 (-1.55)         The Intern (INTRN) 50000 31.36 (+3.23)         Exodus: Gods and Kings (EXODU) 100000 59.93 (-2.55)         The Huntsman (SWHT2) 14999 41.47 (-0.13)         The Intern (INTRN) 50000 31.36 (+3.23)         The Intern (INTRN) 50000 31.36 (+3.23)         Peter Stormare (PSTOR) 4464 61.14 (+0.29)         Get Hard (GHARD) 100000 72.05 (+1.10)         Independence Day 2 (IDAY2) 1000 89.09 (-1.08)         Night at the Museum: Secret of t (NMUS3) 75000 46.71 (-21.11)         FOX: Empire (EMPIRE) 3000 10.73 (0.00)         The Hobbit: The Battle of the Fi (HOBT3) 5000 186.20 (+6.68)         Star Wars: Episode VIII (STAR8) 100000 238.07 (+1.89)         Finding Dory aka Finding Nemo 2 (NEMO2) 1000 176.91 (-0.32)         The African-American Fund (AFRAM) 10000 22.73 (+0.80)         Night at the Museum: Secret of t (NMUS3) 25000 46.71 (-21.11)         Chris Pratt (CPRAT) 794 125.32 (+0.01)         Alice in Wonderland 2: Through t (ALCN2) 1000 121.23 (-0.74)         The Hobbit: The Battle of the Fi (HOBT3) 2000 186.20 (+6.68)         The Hobbit: The Battle of the Fi (HOBT3) 100000 186.20 (+6.68)         The Hobbit: The Battle of the Fi (HOBT3) 50000 186.20 (+6.68)         Steve Jobs (SJOBS) 50000 24.64 (+0.83)         Wonder Woman (WONDR) 100 96.63 (+0.61)         I Smile Back (ISMBC) 1 1.61 (+0.07)         Christina Ricci (CRICC) 20000 13.92 (+0.05)         Kung Fu Panda 3 (PAND3) 1000 106.30 (-0.48)