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Yes {nm}

Posted by: secretstalker (a.k.a TheWeekendWarrior) on May 01, 19:14 in response to ty97's post Huh. Hangover and Panda are opening on Thursday? What's...

RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high single digits {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:46

[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:48

Here's my wild guess that MTC will be higher on THOR and BRDSM, and lower on Priest. Now, let's put wild guesses to the test.   Facto on May 01, 18:58

But it's surely...   second gary on May 01, 20:34

Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for it, iirc? {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:39

Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day question.   second gary on May 01, 20:49

Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:54

Huh. Hangover and Panda are opening on Thursday? What's that multiplier then, Thursday + (2.2 * 4-day weekend)? {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:13

Yes {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

Argh, weekends like that make by brain hurt. {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:33

Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for STBRW or JUMPB, calling them "modest romantic comedies" (iirc). {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:54

Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:54

Why? You don't state any reasons - BoxOffice.Com said something as to why they think it won't do much business :-) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:56

I don't think so. Twitter has missed lately, but it's quite reliable in predicting underperformers with low tweet counts. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 18:57

yeah the young woman fanbase of the book is INTENSE {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:57

two wedding comedies have never opened against each other different demo or not {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:59

And then Bridesmaids follows the week after. Talk about wedding overload! {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:00

.. but, just to play devil's advocate, it *is* wedding season, no.. ? :-)   Facto on May 01, 20:03

There's a book? :) {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:59

irony, right?   Facto on May 01, 19:00

(and I am of course not talking about notfabio!) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:06

naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm}   islander on May 01, 18:58

Yup, even in 2003, DVORC did 9M full run.. "Le Divorce is a wacky romantic comedy starring Kate Hudson and Naomi Watts." {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:04

that wasnt given even a moderate push domestically and a terrible title {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 19:07

Sure, but it had Kate Hudson on the posters and marquees.. And Something Borrowed is expected to do at least double.   Facto on May 01, 19:09

MBFSG, Oct 2008 delist of 18.75: "Dane Cook and Kate Hudson star in the romantic comedy [My Best Friend's Girl].... " {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:19

Then again, Bride Wars of course delisted at 53.89 February 2009. But was that due to a snappy title and Anne Hathaway (fresh from The Devil   Facto on May 01, 19:11

stbrw also plain, generic, terrible title. bet 5 h-bucks at least one review will lead with "Soemthing Boring" {nm}   islander on May 01, 19:12

Heh :-) "Something boring, snored all through" {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:13

yeah it's pretty bland-looking   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:54

I think it looks dreadful   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:23

Thanks! ;-) What would you say were your favourite "women's movies/chick flicks" of the last 5 years? Devil Wears Prada, for instance?   Facto on May 01, 19:28

I suppose it pushes a 'meek inheriting the earth' button   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:51

I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than MADE OF HONOR in the same frame. {nm}   dsbman on May 01, 18:57

Bingo... the advertising for STBRW has been better and more prevalent even though I'm sure it's just as bad. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:01

We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:01

The BOM poll for STBRW is already starting out markedly weaker, which is a poor sign. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:04

You can't judge women's movies based on BOM Polls... I'd be shocked if they had more than 4 women responding {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

I'm not 100% sure, but feel that I recall that you have overestimated at least a couple women's movies, making similar sounding points?   Facto on May 01, 19:18

If those 4 women answer every womens movie poll on BOM something can be gleaned from it via comparison. {nm}   BionicMoron on May 01, 19:29

actually, *something* fruitful has to come out of the hours I've wasted surfing twitter, and this is it: There are *plenty* of women on Twit   Facto on May 01, 19:34

(snark;) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 23:24

agreed   jane_citizen on May 01, 20:07

So, RS amended numbers. They used to be low 50's for THOR, mid teens for Borrowed and low double digits for Jumping.   PVL Admin on May 01, 19:40

Borrowed and Broom heading south - and in line with BoxOffice.com's predictions. So, MTC should be lower - but we'll see. {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:42

Those are pretty weak numbers for Thor... it opened 82 million world wide... and no one knows about Thor outside america..   b4bad on May 01, 20:41

No way! The bark-o-meter has it lower than Fast5. More to follow later in the week. {nm}   PVL Admin on May 01, 20:54

Thor has more oversea appeal {nm}   xiayun on May 01, 21:01

Now that's just crazy talk...    Facto on May 01, 22:44

I'd suggest Thors Australian popularity is more to do with the fact Chris Hemsworth rose to fame playing a key role    osmosis2003 on May 01, 22:45

makes a lot of sense. Not much love for Thor from the Germans, though - perhaps they remember their previous führer that dug Norse mythology {nm}   Facto on May 02, 00:56

fuhrer/leader - Hitler dug Norse mythology, iirc, as did his favourite composer Richard Wagner ("March of the Valkyries", used in Star Wars,   Facto on May 02, 00:58





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Cantor Exchange
Vacation (VACTN) 50000 43.92 (-2.50)         The Pardon (PARDN) 100000 0.05 (-0.04)         Star Wars: Han Solo Anthology (SWAR2) 67149 240.88 (+8.43)         Prometheus 2 (PRME2) 100000 24.14 (+9.55)         Bad Boys III (BADB3) 24000 27.96 (+0.03)         The Purge 3 (PURG3) 100000 32.65 (+11.39)         Eden (EDEN) 100000 0.01 (-0.08)         Spotlight (SPOTL) 100000 17.45 (+0.55)         Kong: Skull Island (SKULN) 754 45.76 (-0.03)         Inside Out $270M Blockbuster War (NMIND.BW) 19372 28.40 (+0.61)         American Ultra (AULTR) 17200 36.13 (+0.38)         Popeye (POPEY) 33000 29.27 (-0.24)         When Marnie Was There (WMWT) 100000 0.30 (0.00)         Escobar: Paradise Lost (PRDSL) 100000 0.13 (+0.07)         Star Wars: The Force Awakens (STAR7) 1000 376.55 (+1.71)         Prometheus 2 (PRME2) 823 24.14 (+9.55)         Stanford Prison Experiment (SPEXP) 100000 0.26 (+0.16)         The Mechanic: Resurrection (MCHN2) 1000 17.89 (+1.44)         The Walk (TWALK) 19999 42.01 (+0.37)         American Ultra (AULTR) 10000 36.13 (+0.38)         Early Man (ERLYM) 100000 20.00 (0.00)         Captive (CPTIV) 24999 23.41 (+0.04)         Captive (CPTIV) 60000 23.41 (+0.04)         The Purge 3 (PURG3) 100000 32.65 (+11.39)         The Tribes of Palos Verdes (TRBPV) 25000 9.40 (+0.56)         Straight Outta Compton (SOCMP) 26838 91.33 (-3.23)         The Tribes of Palos Verdes (TRBPV) 99990 9.40 (+0.56)         The Purge 3 (PURG3) 100000 32.65 (+11.39)         Deadpool (DEADP) 22000 117.34 (+2.46)         Finding Dory aka Finding Nemo 2 (NEMO2) 5000 195.36 (+0.91)         The New Mutants (NMUTN) 100000 50.54 (-2.65)         Knock Knock (KNCKN) 1 2.46 (-0.08)         Fantastic Four H$50 Put (FANT4.PU) 20000 3.06 (+0.40)         Fantastic Four H$50 Put (FANT4.PU) 20000 3.06 (+0.40)         Ouija 2 (OUIJ2) 60000 20.82 (+1.02)         Birth of the Dragon (BOTDR) 100000 16.21 (-0.42)         Early Man (ERLYM) 20343 20.00 (0.00)         Prometheus 2 (PRME2) 100000 24.14 (+9.55)         A Little Chaos (ALTCH) 5806 0.33 (+0.04)         Inside Out $270M Blockbuster War (NMIND.BW) 14536 28.40 (+0.61)         Knock Knock (KNCKN) 100000 2.46 (-0.08)         Fantastic Four (FANT4) 90000 125.29 (-4.41)         Final Girls (FGRLS) 1 0.91 (-0.07)         Fantastic Four - Opening Weekend (FANT4.OW) 75000 46.63 (-2.41)         Minions $300M Blockbuster Warran (MNION.BW) 20000 11.87 (+0.45)         Final Girls (FGRLS) 100000 0.91 (-0.07)         Blade Runner 2 (BLAD2) 1000 23.78 (-2.09)         Ant-Man $150M Blockbuster Warran (ANTMN.BW) 20000 8.25 (+1.33)         20th Century Women (20CWM) 74999 8.19 (+2.72)         Gambit (GAMBI) 5000 61.75 (+2.86)