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If those 4 women answer every womens movie poll on BOM something can be gleaned from it via comparison. {nm}

Posted by: BionicMoron on May 01, 19:29 in response to secretstalker's post You can't judge women's movies based on BOM Polls... I'd...

RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high single digits {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:46

[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:48

Here's my wild guess that MTC will be higher on THOR and BRDSM, and lower on Priest. Now, let's put wild guesses to the test.   Facto on May 01, 18:58

But it's surely...   second gary on May 01, 20:34

Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for it, iirc? {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:39

Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day question.   second gary on May 01, 20:49

Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:54

Huh. Hangover and Panda are opening on Thursday? What's that multiplier then, Thursday + (2.2 * 4-day weekend)? {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:13

Yes {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

Argh, weekends like that make by brain hurt. {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:33

Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for STBRW or JUMPB, calling them "modest romantic comedies" (iirc). {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:54

Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:54

Why? You don't state any reasons - BoxOffice.Com said something as to why they think it won't do much business :-) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:56

I don't think so. Twitter has missed lately, but it's quite reliable in predicting underperformers with low tweet counts. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 18:57

yeah the young woman fanbase of the book is INTENSE {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:57

two wedding comedies have never opened against each other different demo or not {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:59

And then Bridesmaids follows the week after. Talk about wedding overload! {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:00

.. but, just to play devil's advocate, it *is* wedding season, no.. ? :-)   Facto on May 01, 20:03

There's a book? :) {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:59

irony, right?   Facto on May 01, 19:00

(and I am of course not talking about notfabio!) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:06

naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm}   islander on May 01, 18:58

Yup, even in 2003, DVORC did 9M full run.. "Le Divorce is a wacky romantic comedy starring Kate Hudson and Naomi Watts." {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:04

that wasnt given even a moderate push domestically and a terrible title {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 19:07

Sure, but it had Kate Hudson on the posters and marquees.. And Something Borrowed is expected to do at least double.   Facto on May 01, 19:09

MBFSG, Oct 2008 delist of 18.75: "Dane Cook and Kate Hudson star in the romantic comedy [My Best Friend's Girl].... " {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:19

Then again, Bride Wars of course delisted at 53.89 February 2009. But was that due to a snappy title and Anne Hathaway (fresh from The Devil   Facto on May 01, 19:11

stbrw also plain, generic, terrible title. bet 5 h-bucks at least one review will lead with "Soemthing Boring" {nm}   islander on May 01, 19:12

Heh :-) "Something boring, snored all through" {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:13

yeah it's pretty bland-looking   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:54

I think it looks dreadful   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:23

Thanks! ;-) What would you say were your favourite "women's movies/chick flicks" of the last 5 years? Devil Wears Prada, for instance?   Facto on May 01, 19:28

I suppose it pushes a 'meek inheriting the earth' button   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:51

I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than MADE OF HONOR in the same frame. {nm}   dsbman on May 01, 18:57

Bingo... the advertising for STBRW has been better and more prevalent even though I'm sure it's just as bad. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:01

We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:01

The BOM poll for STBRW is already starting out markedly weaker, which is a poor sign. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:04

You can't judge women's movies based on BOM Polls... I'd be shocked if they had more than 4 women responding {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

I'm not 100% sure, but feel that I recall that you have overestimated at least a couple women's movies, making similar sounding points?   Facto on May 01, 19:18

If those 4 women answer every womens movie poll on BOM something can be gleaned from it via comparison. {nm}   BionicMoron on May 01, 19:29

actually, *something* fruitful has to come out of the hours I've wasted surfing twitter, and this is it: There are *plenty* of women on Twit   Facto on May 01, 19:34

(snark;) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 23:24

agreed   jane_citizen on May 01, 20:07

So, RS amended numbers. They used to be low 50's for THOR, mid teens for Borrowed and low double digits for Jumping.   PVL Admin on May 01, 19:40

Borrowed and Broom heading south - and in line with BoxOffice.com's predictions. So, MTC should be lower - but we'll see. {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:42

Those are pretty weak numbers for Thor... it opened 82 million world wide... and no one knows about Thor outside america..   b4bad on May 01, 20:41

No way! The bark-o-meter has it lower than Fast5. More to follow later in the week. {nm}   PVL Admin on May 01, 20:54

Thor has more oversea appeal {nm}   xiayun on May 01, 21:01

Now that's just crazy talk...    Facto on May 01, 22:44

I'd suggest Thors Australian popularity is more to do with the fact Chris Hemsworth rose to fame playing a key role    osmosis2003 on May 01, 22:45

makes a lot of sense. Not much love for Thor from the Germans, though - perhaps they remember their previous führer that dug Norse mythology {nm}   Facto on May 02, 00:56

fuhrer/leader - Hitler dug Norse mythology, iirc, as did his favourite composer Richard Wagner ("March of the Valkyries", used in Star Wars,   Facto on May 02, 00:58





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Spy - Opening Weekend (SCOPR.OW) 100000 40.44 (+5.44)         Pitch Perfect 2 $170M Blockbuste (PTCP2.BW) 20000 5.00 (0.00)         B.O.O: Bureau of Otherworldly Op (BOOU) 50000 33.94 (+0.21)         Hayley Atwell (HATWE) 20000 138.37 (-1.30)         Spy (SCOPR) 100000 95.98 (+2.33)         Bloodshot (BLDSH) 100000 19.44 (-2.30)         Aloha (ALOHA) 24999 21.75 (-5.60)         Stratton (STRAT) 100000 11.61 (-1.21)         San Andreas (SANDR) 100000 105.45 (+5.45)         Kevin Hart: What Now? (KHWN) 50000 26.07 (-0.04)         Kevin Hart: What Now? (KHWN) 50000 26.07 (-0.04)         Mad Max: Fury Road $125M Blockbu (MMAX4.BW) 20000 5.00 (0.00)         Valerian (VALER) 100000 40.71 (+1.59)         The D Train (DTRAN) 2500 0.67 (-0.08)         Goosebumps (GBUMP) 100000 24.68 (-0.34)         Pitch Perfect 2 $170M Blockbuste (PTCP2.BW) 20000 5.00 (0.00)         Kevin Hart: What Now? (KHWN) 50000 26.07 (-0.04)         Mad Max: Fury Road $125M Blockbu (MMAX4.BW) 20000 5.00 (0.00)         Serena (SERNA) 10000 0.10 (-0.03)         Kevin Hart: What Now? (KHWN) 50000 26.07 (-0.04)         Aloha (ALOHA) 40000 21.75 (-5.60)         Mad Max: Fury Road $125M Blockbu (MMAX4.BW) 20000 5.00 (0.00)         Microbe et Gasoil (MCGAS) 100000 4.00 (0.00)         It (IT1) 100000 19.96 (+2.55)         Insidious: Chapter 3 H$20 Call (NSID3.CA) 19999 3.39 (+1.39)         The Bronze (BRONZ) 100000 12.05 (+0.59)         Don Cheadle (DCHEA) 20000 167.62 (-2.20)         Pitch Perfect 2 $170M Blockbuste (PTCP2.BW) 20000 5.00 (0.00)         The Bronze (BRONZ) 100000 12.05 (+0.59)         Cop Car (COPCR) 100000 0.84 (+0.37)         Mad Max: Fury Road $125M Blockbu (MMAX4.BW) 20000 5.00 (0.00)         Lila and Eve (LILEV) 5000 1.02 (+0.01)         San Andreas H$40 Call (SANDR.CA) 19999 2.12 (-0.21)         It (IT1) 100000 19.96 (+2.55)         Bad Moms aka Untitled Mann/Apato (BMOMS) 100000 25.00 (0.00)         Aloha (ALOHA) 10100 21.75 (-5.60)         It (IT1) 100000 19.96 (+2.55)         The Spectacular Spider-Man (SPID6) 10000 92.70 (+0.10)         Before I Wake (SOMNI) 100000 15.69 (+0.03)         Bad Moms aka Untitled Mann/Apato (BMOMS) 100000 25.00 (0.00)         War of the Planet of the Apes 3 (APES3) 10000 115.66 (+0.21)         American Ultra (AULTR) 12511 20.97 (+3.01)         Tomorrowland (1952) 10000 91.45 (-2.35)         Spy - Opening Weekend (SCOPR.OW) 5000 40.44 (+5.44)         Robert Downey Jr. (RDOWN) 20000 164.16 (-1.51)         The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Par (HGAM4) 29069 316.42 (+1.16)         Robert Downey Jr. (RDOWN) 20000 164.16 (-1.51)         Ladrones (LADR2) 100000 1.99 (-0.23)         Spy H$35 Put (SCOPR.PU) 20000 3.42 (+1.42)         Bad Moms aka Untitled Mann/Apato (BMOMS) 100000 25.00 (0.00)