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Argh, weekends like that make by brain hurt. {nm}

Posted by: ty97 on May 01, 19:33 in response to secretstalker's post Yes

RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high single digits {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:46

[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:48

Here's my wild guess that MTC will be higher on THOR and BRDSM, and lower on Priest. Now, let's put wild guesses to the test.   Facto on May 01, 18:58

But it's surely...   second gary on May 01, 20:34

Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for it, iirc? {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:39

Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day question.   second gary on May 01, 20:49

Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:54

Huh. Hangover and Panda are opening on Thursday? What's that multiplier then, Thursday + (2.2 * 4-day weekend)? {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:13

Yes {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

Argh, weekends like that make by brain hurt. {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:33

Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for STBRW or JUMPB, calling them "modest romantic comedies" (iirc). {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:54

Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:54

Why? You don't state any reasons - BoxOffice.Com said something as to why they think it won't do much business :-) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:56

I don't think so. Twitter has missed lately, but it's quite reliable in predicting underperformers with low tweet counts. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 18:57

yeah the young woman fanbase of the book is INTENSE {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:57

two wedding comedies have never opened against each other different demo or not {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:59

And then Bridesmaids follows the week after. Talk about wedding overload! {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:00

.. but, just to play devil's advocate, it *is* wedding season, no.. ? :-)   Facto on May 01, 20:03

There's a book? :) {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:59

irony, right?   Facto on May 01, 19:00

(and I am of course not talking about notfabio!) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:06

naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm}   islander on May 01, 18:58

Yup, even in 2003, DVORC did 9M full run.. "Le Divorce is a wacky romantic comedy starring Kate Hudson and Naomi Watts." {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:04

that wasnt given even a moderate push domestically and a terrible title {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 19:07

Sure, but it had Kate Hudson on the posters and marquees.. And Something Borrowed is expected to do at least double.   Facto on May 01, 19:09

MBFSG, Oct 2008 delist of 18.75: "Dane Cook and Kate Hudson star in the romantic comedy [My Best Friend's Girl].... " {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:19

Then again, Bride Wars of course delisted at 53.89 February 2009. But was that due to a snappy title and Anne Hathaway (fresh from The Devil   Facto on May 01, 19:11

stbrw also plain, generic, terrible title. bet 5 h-bucks at least one review will lead with "Soemthing Boring" {nm}   islander on May 01, 19:12

Heh :-) "Something boring, snored all through" {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:13

yeah it's pretty bland-looking   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:54

I think it looks dreadful   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:23

Thanks! ;-) What would you say were your favourite "women's movies/chick flicks" of the last 5 years? Devil Wears Prada, for instance?   Facto on May 01, 19:28

I suppose it pushes a 'meek inheriting the earth' button   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:51

I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than MADE OF HONOR in the same frame. {nm}   dsbman on May 01, 18:57

Bingo... the advertising for STBRW has been better and more prevalent even though I'm sure it's just as bad. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:01

We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:01

The BOM poll for STBRW is already starting out markedly weaker, which is a poor sign. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:04

You can't judge women's movies based on BOM Polls... I'd be shocked if they had more than 4 women responding {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

I'm not 100% sure, but feel that I recall that you have overestimated at least a couple women's movies, making similar sounding points?   Facto on May 01, 19:18

If those 4 women answer every womens movie poll on BOM something can be gleaned from it via comparison. {nm}   BionicMoron on May 01, 19:29

actually, *something* fruitful has to come out of the hours I've wasted surfing twitter, and this is it: There are *plenty* of women on Twit   Facto on May 01, 19:34

(snark;) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 23:24

agreed   jane_citizen on May 01, 20:07

So, RS amended numbers. They used to be low 50's for THOR, mid teens for Borrowed and low double digits for Jumping.   PVL Admin on May 01, 19:40

Borrowed and Broom heading south - and in line with BoxOffice.com's predictions. So, MTC should be lower - but we'll see. {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:42

Those are pretty weak numbers for Thor... it opened 82 million world wide... and no one knows about Thor outside america..   b4bad on May 01, 20:41

No way! The bark-o-meter has it lower than Fast5. More to follow later in the week. {nm}   PVL Admin on May 01, 20:54

Thor has more oversea appeal {nm}   xiayun on May 01, 21:01

Now that's just crazy talk...    Facto on May 01, 22:44

I'd suggest Thors Australian popularity is more to do with the fact Chris Hemsworth rose to fame playing a key role    osmosis2003 on May 01, 22:45

makes a lot of sense. Not much love for Thor from the Germans, though - perhaps they remember their previous führer that dug Norse mythology {nm}   Facto on May 02, 00:56

fuhrer/leader - Hitler dug Norse mythology, iirc, as did his favourite composer Richard Wagner ("March of the Valkyries", used in Star Wars,   Facto on May 02, 00:58





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Section 6 (SECT6) 1 20.00 (0.00)         James Franco (JAFRA) 20000 5.54 (+0.04)         Robopocalypse (RCLPS) 99999 22.76 (+6.15)         Seth MacFarlane (SMACF) 1000 76.82 (+1.19)         The Avengers: Age of Ultron (AVNG2) 1790 392.20 (-0.67)         Shailene Woodley (SWOOD) 5000 66.26 (-1.41)         Captain America 3 (CAPA3) 900 156.80 (+3.99)         NBC: The Blacklist (BLKLST) 19000 21.71 (+0.14)         Scouts vs. Zombies (SVSZ) 1000 29.03 (+2.75)         NBC: The Blacklist (BLKLST) 19000 21.71 (+0.14)         Gone Girl (GONEG) 50000 73.60 (-0.28)         Planet of the Apes 3 (APES3) 100000 88.36 (-2.13)         Popeye (POPEY) 2000 46.36 (+1.13)         Planet of the Apes 3 (APES3) 100000 88.36 (-2.13)         Transcendence (TRNSC) 50000 59.93 (-6.19)         CW: Reign (REIGNW) 20000 19.67 (-0.10)         Transcendence (TRNSC) 30000 59.93 (-6.19)         The Grand Budapest Hotel (GBHTL) 286 41.63 (-0.39)         Captain America 3 (CAPA3) 828 156.80 (+3.99)         Woman in Gold (WMNGO) 100000 14.47 (-0.53)         CW: The Tomorrow People (TMRRWP) 20000 17.63 (-0.16)         Bears (BEAR) 99900 17.32 (-1.67)         Transcendence (TRNSC) 30000 59.93 (-6.19)         Captain America 3 (CAPA3) 100000 156.80 (+3.99)         Peter Dinklage (PDINK) 20000 74.87 (+1.38)         Captain America 3 (CAPA3) 100000 156.80 (+3.99)         Robopocalypse (RCLPS) 100000 22.76 (+6.15)         Shailene Woodley (SWOOD) 1000 66.26 (-1.41)         Brick Mansions (BRCKM) 50000 25.78 (+1.32)         Sinister 2 (SINI2) 50000 21.76 (+4.79)         Sinister 2 (SINI2) 100000 21.76 (+4.79)         Transcendence H$30 Put (TRNSC.PU) 20000 3.86 (+0.47)         Robopocalypse (RCLPS) 28000 22.76 (+6.15)         Sinister 2 (SINI2) 100000 21.76 (+4.79)         The Other Woman H$20 Call (OTHRW.CA) 20000 2.44 (+0.44)         Robopocalypse (RCLPS) 100000 22.76 (+6.15)         Brick Mansions H$10 Call (BRCKM.CA) 20000 2.31 (+0.31)         The Avengers: Age of Ultron (AVNG2) 1000 392.20 (-0.67)         The Quiet Ones H$10 Call (TQONE.CA) 20000 2.29 (+0.29)         Transcendence H$30 Put (TRNSC.PU) 20000 3.86 (+0.47)         Transcendence H$30 Call (TRNSC.CA) 20000 1.07 (-0.34)         Captain America: The Winter Sold (CAPA2.BW) 20000 5.00 (0.00)         A Haunted House 2 - Opening Week (AHAU2.OW) 1000 13.73 (+2.01)         Brick Mansions - Opening Weekend (BRCKM.OW) 60000 9.26 (-0.74)         The Quiet Ones H$10 Call (TQONE.CA) 20000 2.29 (+0.29)         A Haunted House 2 H$10 Put (AHAU2.PU) 20000 1.52 (-0.12)         Captain America: The Winter Sold (CAPA2) 3000 217.01 (-1.34)         Bears - Opening Weekend (BEAR.OW) 10000 6.34 (+0.22)         Transcendence (TRNSC) 100000 59.93 (-6.19)         Bears H$5 Put (BEAR.PU) 19999 1.11 (-0.09)