HSX Forums: Movies Board

actually, *something* fruitful has to come out of the hours I've wasted surfing twitter, and this is it: There are *plenty* of women on Twit

Posted by: Facto on May 01, 19:34 in response to BionicMoron's post If those 4 women answer every womens movie poll on BOM...

-ter, tweeting about movies! SS is dead wrong with his sarcasm on this one - women do use twitter! Perhaps not in the same way that ComicCon type male cinemaphiles use it, but they do indeed tweet about the movies they want to see, and also to recommend others to go see - or gauging interest for someone to tag along with them.

SS has made up his mind that this flick will do better than RS predicts, and I wouldn't be astonished if it did 2M more - but hey, when he's made up his mind, this is the kind of acerbic snart that will follow - and that has no bearing on what actually goes on in the world Tongue out

RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high single digits {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:46

[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:48

Here's my wild guess that MTC will be higher on THOR and BRDSM, and lower on Priest. Now, let's put wild guesses to the test.   Facto on May 01, 18:58

But it's surely...   second gary on May 01, 20:34

Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for it, iirc? {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:39

Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day question.   second gary on May 01, 20:49

Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:54

Huh. Hangover and Panda are opening on Thursday? What's that multiplier then, Thursday + (2.2 * 4-day weekend)? {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:13

Yes {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

Argh, weekends like that make by brain hurt. {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:33

Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for STBRW or JUMPB, calling them "modest romantic comedies" (iirc). {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:54

Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:54

Why? You don't state any reasons - BoxOffice.Com said something as to why they think it won't do much business :-) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:56

I don't think so. Twitter has missed lately, but it's quite reliable in predicting underperformers with low tweet counts. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 18:57

yeah the young woman fanbase of the book is INTENSE {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:57

two wedding comedies have never opened against each other different demo or not {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:59

And then Bridesmaids follows the week after. Talk about wedding overload! {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:00

.. but, just to play devil's advocate, it *is* wedding season, no.. ? :-)   Facto on May 01, 20:03

There's a book? :) {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:59

irony, right?   Facto on May 01, 19:00

(and I am of course not talking about notfabio!) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:06

naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm}   islander on May 01, 18:58

Yup, even in 2003, DVORC did 9M full run.. "Le Divorce is a wacky romantic comedy starring Kate Hudson and Naomi Watts." {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:04

that wasnt given even a moderate push domestically and a terrible title {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 19:07

Sure, but it had Kate Hudson on the posters and marquees.. And Something Borrowed is expected to do at least double.   Facto on May 01, 19:09

MBFSG, Oct 2008 delist of 18.75: "Dane Cook and Kate Hudson star in the romantic comedy [My Best Friend's Girl].... " {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:19

Then again, Bride Wars of course delisted at 53.89 February 2009. But was that due to a snappy title and Anne Hathaway (fresh from The Devil   Facto on May 01, 19:11

stbrw also plain, generic, terrible title. bet 5 h-bucks at least one review will lead with "Soemthing Boring" {nm}   islander on May 01, 19:12

Heh :-) "Something boring, snored all through" {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:13

yeah it's pretty bland-looking   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:54

I think it looks dreadful   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:23

Thanks! ;-) What would you say were your favourite "women's movies/chick flicks" of the last 5 years? Devil Wears Prada, for instance?   Facto on May 01, 19:28

I suppose it pushes a 'meek inheriting the earth' button   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:51

I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than MADE OF HONOR in the same frame. {nm}   dsbman on May 01, 18:57

Bingo... the advertising for STBRW has been better and more prevalent even though I'm sure it's just as bad. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:01

We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:01

The BOM poll for STBRW is already starting out markedly weaker, which is a poor sign. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:04

You can't judge women's movies based on BOM Polls... I'd be shocked if they had more than 4 women responding {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

I'm not 100% sure, but feel that I recall that you have overestimated at least a couple women's movies, making similar sounding points?   Facto on May 01, 19:18

If those 4 women answer every womens movie poll on BOM something can be gleaned from it via comparison. {nm}   BionicMoron on May 01, 19:29

actually, *something* fruitful has to come out of the hours I've wasted surfing twitter, and this is it: There are *plenty* of women on Twit   Facto on May 01, 19:34

(snark;) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 23:24

agreed   jane_citizen on May 01, 20:07

So, RS amended numbers. They used to be low 50's for THOR, mid teens for Borrowed and low double digits for Jumping.   PVL Admin on May 01, 19:40

Borrowed and Broom heading south - and in line with BoxOffice.com's predictions. So, MTC should be lower - but we'll see. {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:42

Those are pretty weak numbers for Thor... it opened 82 million world wide... and no one knows about Thor outside america..   b4bad on May 01, 20:41

No way! The bark-o-meter has it lower than Fast5. More to follow later in the week. {nm}   PVL Admin on May 01, 20:54

Thor has more oversea appeal {nm}   xiayun on May 01, 21:01

Now that's just crazy talk...    Facto on May 01, 22:44

I'd suggest Thors Australian popularity is more to do with the fact Chris Hemsworth rose to fame playing a key role    osmosis2003 on May 01, 22:45

makes a lot of sense. Not much love for Thor from the Germans, though - perhaps they remember their previous führer that dug Norse mythology {nm}   Facto on May 02, 00:56

fuhrer/leader - Hitler dug Norse mythology, iirc, as did his favourite composer Richard Wagner ("March of the Valkyries", used in Star Wars,   Facto on May 02, 00:58

Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
My Best Friend's Wedding (MYBFW) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         A Wrinkle in Time (AWITM) 30000 45.38 (+2.95)         Bad Moms H$25 Call (BMOMS.CA) 20000 2.66 (+0.26)         The Great Wall (GRTWL) 19999 44.79 (+0.77)         Untitled Woody Allen Summer Proj (WASP6) 100000 9.50 (+1.50)         The Great Wall (GRTWL) 99999 44.79 (+0.77)         The Legend of Tarzan $110M Block (TARZN.BW) 20000 9.30 (+0.87)         Star Trek Beyond (TREK3) 5000 151.99 (-3.83)         Dr. Seuss' How the Grinch Stole (HTGSC) 19999 62.69 (-0.24)         Dr. Seuss' How the Grinch Stole (HTGSC) 4 62.69 (-0.24)         Suicide Squad H$120 Put (SUICD.PU) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Suicide Squad H$120 Call (SUICD.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Jason Bourne H$60 Put (BORN5.PU) 20000 3.16 (+0.50)         Suicide Squad - Opening Weekend (SUICD.OW) 100000 120.00 (0.00)         Kong: Skull Island (SKULN) 1500 123.01 (+1.72)         Godzilla 2 (GODZ2) 39999 93.00 (+1.20)         Godzilla 2 (GODZ2) 99999 93.00 (+1.20)         Nerve (NERVE) 29999 29.04 (+1.51)         Will Forte (WFORT) 20000 5.94 (-0.08)         Jason Bourne H$60 Call (BORN5.CA) 20000 2.54 (-0.75)         Amber Heard (AHEAR) 98 31.17 (+0.48)         The Star aka The Lamb (TLAMB) 49999 37.66 (+0.03)         Nerve (NERVE) 100000 29.04 (+1.51)         The Star aka The Lamb (TLAMB) 69999 37.66 (+0.03)         Suicide Squad - Opening Weekend (SUICD.OW) 7500 120.00 (0.00)         Will Arnett (WARNE) 20000 124.65 (+0.85)         Will Arnett (WARNE) 20000 124.65 (+0.85)         The LEGO Movie 2 (LEGO2) 39999 134.76 (+0.37)         Suicide Squad - Opening Weekend (SUICD.OW) 2500 120.00 (0.00)         The LEGO Movie 2 (LEGO2) 59999 134.76 (+0.37)         Cold War 2 (CWAR2) 100000 0.77 (+0.02)         Split (SPLIT) 25000 32.27 (+4.48)         Tim Roth (TROTH) 20000 47.74 (-0.26)         Tim Roth (TROTH) 20000 47.74 (-0.26)         Cara Delevingne (CDELE) 200 55.52 (+0.94)         Louis C.K. (LCK) 20000 71.87 (+1.08)         The Mechanic: Resurrection (MCHN2) 10000 27.48 (-0.19)         I, Tonya (TONYA) 200 15.06 (+4.51)         Untitled Woody Allen Summer Proj (WASP6) 100000 9.50 (+1.50)         Cold War 2 (CWAR2) 100000 0.77 (+0.02)         Sing (SING) 10000 94.97 (+0.47)         Hands of Stone (HNDST) 100000 17.15 (+0.09)         Star Trek Beyond (TREK3) 5000 151.99 (-3.83)         True Crimes (TRCRM) 1000 3.89 (+0.08)         Alien: Covenant aka Prometheus 2 (PRME2) 100 79.05 (+0.43)         Don't Breathe (AMITD) 100000 25.22 (+0.27)         James Bond 25 (JB25) 10000 121.64 (+0.17)         T.I. Tip Harris (THARR) 20000 83.58 (0.00)         Midnight Sun (MDSUN) 20000 0.14 (+0.03)         Kevin Hart (KHART) 20000 91.66 (+0.86)