ANNOUNCEMENT: Invest in Blockbuster Warrants of Hollywood's biggest moneymakers.

HSX Forums: Movies Board






So, RS amended numbers. They used to be low 50's for THOR, mid teens for Borrowed and low double digits for Jumping.

Posted by: PVL Admin (a.k.a Rocket123) on May 01, 19:40 in response to secretstalker's post RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high...

They are still going to be wrong if their track record holds true... and it will.

RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high single digits {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:46

[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:48

Here's my wild guess that MTC will be higher on THOR and BRDSM, and lower on Priest. Now, let's put wild guesses to the test.   Facto on May 01, 18:58

But it's surely...   second gary on May 01, 20:34

Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for it, iirc? {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:39

Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day question.   second gary on May 01, 20:49

Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:54

Huh. Hangover and Panda are opening on Thursday? What's that multiplier then, Thursday + (2.2 * 4-day weekend)? {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:13

Yes {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

Argh, weekends like that make by brain hurt. {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:33

Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for STBRW or JUMPB, calling them "modest romantic comedies" (iirc). {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:54

Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:54

Why? You don't state any reasons - BoxOffice.Com said something as to why they think it won't do much business :-) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:56

I don't think so. Twitter has missed lately, but it's quite reliable in predicting underperformers with low tweet counts. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 18:57

yeah the young woman fanbase of the book is INTENSE {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:57

two wedding comedies have never opened against each other different demo or not {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:59

And then Bridesmaids follows the week after. Talk about wedding overload! {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:00

.. but, just to play devil's advocate, it *is* wedding season, no.. ? :-)   Facto on May 01, 20:03

There's a book? :) {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:59

irony, right?   Facto on May 01, 19:00

(and I am of course not talking about notfabio!) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:06

naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm}   islander on May 01, 18:58

Yup, even in 2003, DVORC did 9M full run.. "Le Divorce is a wacky romantic comedy starring Kate Hudson and Naomi Watts." {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:04

that wasnt given even a moderate push domestically and a terrible title {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 19:07

Sure, but it had Kate Hudson on the posters and marquees.. And Something Borrowed is expected to do at least double.   Facto on May 01, 19:09

MBFSG, Oct 2008 delist of 18.75: "Dane Cook and Kate Hudson star in the romantic comedy [My Best Friend's Girl].... " {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:19

Then again, Bride Wars of course delisted at 53.89 February 2009. But was that due to a snappy title and Anne Hathaway (fresh from The Devil   Facto on May 01, 19:11

stbrw also plain, generic, terrible title. bet 5 h-bucks at least one review will lead with "Soemthing Boring" {nm}   islander on May 01, 19:12

Heh :-) "Something boring, snored all through" {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:13

yeah it's pretty bland-looking   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:54

I think it looks dreadful   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:23

Thanks! ;-) What would you say were your favourite "women's movies/chick flicks" of the last 5 years? Devil Wears Prada, for instance?   Facto on May 01, 19:28

I suppose it pushes a 'meek inheriting the earth' button   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:51

I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than MADE OF HONOR in the same frame. {nm}   dsbman on May 01, 18:57

Bingo... the advertising for STBRW has been better and more prevalent even though I'm sure it's just as bad. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:01

We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:01

The BOM poll for STBRW is already starting out markedly weaker, which is a poor sign. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:04

You can't judge women's movies based on BOM Polls... I'd be shocked if they had more than 4 women responding {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

I'm not 100% sure, but feel that I recall that you have overestimated at least a couple women's movies, making similar sounding points?   Facto on May 01, 19:18

If those 4 women answer every womens movie poll on BOM something can be gleaned from it via comparison. {nm}   BionicMoron on May 01, 19:29

actually, *something* fruitful has to come out of the hours I've wasted surfing twitter, and this is it: There are *plenty* of women on Twit   Facto on May 01, 19:34

(snark;) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 23:24

agreed   jane_citizen on May 01, 20:07

So, RS amended numbers. They used to be low 50's for THOR, mid teens for Borrowed and low double digits for Jumping.   PVL Admin on May 01, 19:40

Borrowed and Broom heading south - and in line with BoxOffice.com's predictions. So, MTC should be lower - but we'll see. {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:42

Those are pretty weak numbers for Thor... it opened 82 million world wide... and no one knows about Thor outside america..   b4bad on May 01, 20:41

No way! The bark-o-meter has it lower than Fast5. More to follow later in the week. {nm}   PVL Admin on May 01, 20:54

Thor has more oversea appeal {nm}   xiayun on May 01, 21:01

Now that's just crazy talk...    Facto on May 01, 22:44

I'd suggest Thors Australian popularity is more to do with the fact Chris Hemsworth rose to fame playing a key role    osmosis2003 on May 01, 22:45

makes a lot of sense. Not much love for Thor from the Germans, though - perhaps they remember their previous führer that dug Norse mythology {nm}   Facto on May 02, 00:56

fuhrer/leader - Hitler dug Norse mythology, iirc, as did his favourite composer Richard Wagner ("March of the Valkyries", used in Star Wars,   Facto on May 02, 00:58





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
The Sequel Fund (SQUEL) 10000 20.00 (0.00)         John Hawkes (JHAWK) 1 36.13 (-0.08)         Dark Universe aka Justice League (DARKU) 15000 11.10 (-0.36)         Medusa (MEDUS) 2000 25.69 (+0.18)         Fifty Shades Darker (50SH2) 10000 86.81 (+0.43)         Emmanuelle Chriqui (EMCHR) 20000 6.30 (+0.95)         Larrikins (LARIK) 2000 29.82 (+0.33)         Terminator: Genisys (TERM5) 3000 105.08 (-0.10)         Snowden (SNWDN) 99985 25.60 (+2.69)         Melissa McCarthy (MMCCA) 20000 102.23 (-0.35)         Alice Braga (ABRAG) 20000 35.77 (+0.78)         Star Trek Beyond (TREK3) 4000 167.57 (+2.73)         Top Gun 2 (TOPG2) 20000 24.10 (-2.23)         Sullivan Stapleton (SSTAP) 19998 30.76 (-0.13)         Alice Braga (ABRAG) 20000 35.77 (+0.78)         Alice Braga (ABRAG) 20000 35.77 (+0.78)         Home (HOME1) 99990 0.93 (+0.03)         The Gallows (GALOW) 500 29.57 (+0.60)         Mena (MENA) 10000 52.47 (+0.37)         Melissa McCarthy (MMCCA) 20000 102.23 (-0.35)         Me and Earl and the Dying Girl (MEADG) 20000 10.15 (+0.66)         Rebecca Ferguson (RFERG) 20000 80.00 (0.00)         Terence Stamp (TSTAM) 1 16.96 (0.00)         Devil's Night (DEVNT) 99990 1.16 (+0.03)         David Spade (DSPAD) 20000 119.01 (+0.29)         Terence Stamp (TSTAM) 20000 16.96 (0.00)         Max (MAX1) 1000 31.51 (-0.06)         Top Gun 2 (TOPG2) 100000 24.10 (-2.23)         Snowden (SNWDN) 15000 25.60 (+2.69)         Ted 2 (TED2) 32527 80.73 (-5.81)         50 Cent Curtis Jackson (50CEN) 20000 30.78 (+0.96)         Juliette Binoche (JBINO) 20000 40.94 (-0.03)         The Archbishop and the Antichris (ABNAC) 99990 0.88 (+0.04)         David Spade (DSPAD) 20000 119.01 (+0.29)         Ben Mendelsohn (BMEND) 20000 13.31 (-1.54)         The 9th Life of Louis Drax (9LOLD) 99990 2.16 (+0.05)         Billy Bob Thornton (BBTHO) 20000 15.83 (-2.57)         Liam Neeson (LNEES) 20000 34.82 (-0.05)         Jessica Alba (JALBA) 20000 22.05 (+0.20)         Clifford the Big Red Dog (CTBRD) 59000 8.53 (+0.06)         The Sequel Fund (SQUEL) 10000 20.00 (0.00)         Some Kind of Beautiful aka How t (HTMLE) 100000 0.30 (-0.64)         The Ends of the Earth (TEOTE) 412 0.15 (-0.02)         Beau Knapp (BKNAP) 1 16.50 (+0.13)         Snowden (SNWDN) 100000 25.60 (+2.69)         Barry Pepper (BPEPP) 20000 60.07 (-0.66)         Secret in Their Eyes (TSITE) 15000 30.05 (+3.25)         Truth (TRUTD) 99990 5.08 (+0.07)         Pete's Dragon (PDRGN) 10000 44.58 (-0.32)         Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nati (MISS5) 600 169.85 (+0.48)