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Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for it, iirc? {nm}

Posted by: Facto on May 01, 20:39 in response to second gary's post But it's surely...

RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high single digits {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:46

[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:48

Here's my wild guess that MTC will be higher on THOR and BRDSM, and lower on Priest. Now, let's put wild guesses to the test.   Facto on May 01, 18:58

But it's surely...   second gary on May 01, 20:34

Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for it, iirc? {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:39

Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day question.   second gary on May 01, 20:49

Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:54

Huh. Hangover and Panda are opening on Thursday? What's that multiplier then, Thursday + (2.2 * 4-day weekend)? {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:13

Yes {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

Argh, weekends like that make by brain hurt. {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:33

Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for STBRW or JUMPB, calling them "modest romantic comedies" (iirc). {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:54

Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:54

Why? You don't state any reasons - BoxOffice.Com said something as to why they think it won't do much business :-) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:56

I don't think so. Twitter has missed lately, but it's quite reliable in predicting underperformers with low tweet counts. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 18:57

yeah the young woman fanbase of the book is INTENSE {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:57

two wedding comedies have never opened against each other different demo or not {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:59

And then Bridesmaids follows the week after. Talk about wedding overload! {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:00

.. but, just to play devil's advocate, it *is* wedding season, no.. ? :-)   Facto on May 01, 20:03

There's a book? :) {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:59

irony, right?   Facto on May 01, 19:00

(and I am of course not talking about notfabio!) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:06

naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm}   islander on May 01, 18:58

Yup, even in 2003, DVORC did 9M full run.. "Le Divorce is a wacky romantic comedy starring Kate Hudson and Naomi Watts." {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:04

that wasnt given even a moderate push domestically and a terrible title {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 19:07

Sure, but it had Kate Hudson on the posters and marquees.. And Something Borrowed is expected to do at least double.   Facto on May 01, 19:09

MBFSG, Oct 2008 delist of 18.75: "Dane Cook and Kate Hudson star in the romantic comedy [My Best Friend's Girl].... " {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:19

Then again, Bride Wars of course delisted at 53.89 February 2009. But was that due to a snappy title and Anne Hathaway (fresh from The Devil   Facto on May 01, 19:11

stbrw also plain, generic, terrible title. bet 5 h-bucks at least one review will lead with "Soemthing Boring" {nm}   islander on May 01, 19:12

Heh :-) "Something boring, snored all through" {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:13

yeah it's pretty bland-looking   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:54

I think it looks dreadful   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:23

Thanks! ;-) What would you say were your favourite "women's movies/chick flicks" of the last 5 years? Devil Wears Prada, for instance?   Facto on May 01, 19:28

I suppose it pushes a 'meek inheriting the earth' button   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:51

I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than MADE OF HONOR in the same frame. {nm}   dsbman on May 01, 18:57

Bingo... the advertising for STBRW has been better and more prevalent even though I'm sure it's just as bad. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:01

We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:01

The BOM poll for STBRW is already starting out markedly weaker, which is a poor sign. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:04

You can't judge women's movies based on BOM Polls... I'd be shocked if they had more than 4 women responding {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

I'm not 100% sure, but feel that I recall that you have overestimated at least a couple women's movies, making similar sounding points?   Facto on May 01, 19:18

If those 4 women answer every womens movie poll on BOM something can be gleaned from it via comparison. {nm}   BionicMoron on May 01, 19:29

actually, *something* fruitful has to come out of the hours I've wasted surfing twitter, and this is it: There are *plenty* of women on Twit   Facto on May 01, 19:34

(snark;) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 23:24

agreed   jane_citizen on May 01, 20:07

So, RS amended numbers. They used to be low 50's for THOR, mid teens for Borrowed and low double digits for Jumping.   PVL Admin on May 01, 19:40

Borrowed and Broom heading south - and in line with BoxOffice.com's predictions. So, MTC should be lower - but we'll see. {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:42

Those are pretty weak numbers for Thor... it opened 82 million world wide... and no one knows about Thor outside america..   b4bad on May 01, 20:41

No way! The bark-o-meter has it lower than Fast5. More to follow later in the week. {nm}   PVL Admin on May 01, 20:54

Thor has more oversea appeal {nm}   xiayun on May 01, 21:01

Now that's just crazy talk...    Facto on May 01, 22:44

I'd suggest Thors Australian popularity is more to do with the fact Chris Hemsworth rose to fame playing a key role    osmosis2003 on May 01, 22:45

makes a lot of sense. Not much love for Thor from the Germans, though - perhaps they remember their previous führer that dug Norse mythology {nm}   Facto on May 02, 00:56

fuhrer/leader - Hitler dug Norse mythology, iirc, as did his favourite composer Richard Wagner ("March of the Valkyries", used in Star Wars,   Facto on May 02, 00:58





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Unbroken H$20 Call (UBRKN.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Jeffrey Wright (JWRIG) 19999 100.68 (+0.19)         The Gambler - Opening Weekend (GMBLR.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)         Unbroken - Opening Weekend (UBRKN.OW) 100000 20.00 (0.00)         Alvin and the Chipmunks 4 (ALVN4) 100000 34.31 (+2.67)         The BFG (TBFG) 100000 58.49 (-0.15)         Into the Woods - Opening Weekend (INTWD.OW) 100000 35.00 (0.00)         Into the Woods H$35 Call (INTWD.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Pete's Dragon (PDRGN) 100000 33.67 (-0.26)         The Amazing Spider-Man 3 (SPID6) 50000 85.29 (-1.90)         Alvin and the Chipmunks 4 (ALVN4) 80000 34.31 (+2.67)         Pete's Dragon (PDRGN) 100000 33.67 (-0.26)         Jeffrey Wright (JWRIG) 19999 100.68 (+0.19)         The Interview (NTRVW) 50000 24.95 (-25.60)         The Interview (NTRVW) 1000 24.95 (-25.60)         Jesse McCartney (JSMCC) 20000 138.34 (-0.85)         Lizzy Caplan (LCAPL) 19999 21.48 (-1.19)         Star Wars: Episode VIII (STAR8) 5585 229.16 (-5.91)         Gregory the Nuisance aka Pyongya (GREGN) 100000 16.05 (-2.61)         The Interview (NTRVW) 100000 24.95 (-25.60)         Hard Boiled (HBOIL) 100000 0.03 (+0.02)         The Interview (NTRVW) 100000 24.95 (-25.60)         The Interview (NTRVW) 79046 24.95 (-25.60)         Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio (PNOCH) 5835 4.44 (-0.03)         The Amazing Spider-Man 3 (SPID6) 80000 85.29 (-1.90)         The Hobbit: The Battle of the Fi (HOBT3) 20000 195.00 (+5.27)         The Hobbit: The Battle of the Fi (HOBT3) 2000 195.00 (+5.27)         The Amazing Spider-Man 3 (SPID6) 100000 85.29 (-1.90)         Bad Boys III (BADB3) 100000 22.34 (-3.76)         Dakota Johnson (DJOHN) 19995 59.97 (-0.01)         The African-American Fund (AFRAM) 10000 20.05 (+0.05)         The Gambler H$10 Call (GMBLR.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Gregory the Nuisance aka Pyongya (GREGN) 100000 16.05 (-2.61)         Passengers (PSSNG) 100000 7.70 (+0.10)         The Amazing Spider-Man 3 (SPID6) 2493 85.29 (-1.90)         The Redemption Of Cain (RCAIN) 555 5.59 (-0.10)         Gregory the Nuisance aka Pyongya (GREGN) 100000 16.05 (-2.61)         Robopocalypse (RCLPS) 99445 24.89 (-0.19)         Josh Hutcherson (JHUTC) 20000 177.81 (-2.65)         The Reach (REACH) 100000 1.28 (+0.02)         Alvin and the Chipmunks 4 (ALVN4) 30000 34.31 (+2.67)         Relanxious (RELAN) 555 0.49 (-0.04)         Silence (SILEN) 100000 13.00 (-0.07)         N5: Nightcrawler - Best Picture (N5PNTC) 5000 3.68 (-0.11)         The Interview (NTRVW) 100000 24.95 (-25.60)         Finding Dory aka Finding Nemo 2 (NEMO2) 100000 177.62 (+0.37)         Finding Dory aka Finding Nemo 2 (NEMO2) 99998 177.62 (+0.37)         Storks (STORK) 100000 14.52 (-0.14)         The Interview (NTRVW) 100000 24.95 (-25.60)         Wild Card (HEAT) 100000 0.63 (-0.06)