ANNOUNCEMENT: Trade Blockbuster Warrants and profit from a movie's long run at the box office.

HSX Forums: Movies Board






Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for it, iirc? {nm}

Posted by: Facto on May 01, 20:39 in response to second gary's post But it's surely...

RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high single digits {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:46

[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:48

Here's my wild guess that MTC will be higher on THOR and BRDSM, and lower on Priest. Now, let's put wild guesses to the test.   Facto on May 01, 18:58

But it's surely...   second gary on May 01, 20:34

Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for it, iirc? {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:39

Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day question.   second gary on May 01, 20:49

Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:54

Huh. Hangover and Panda are opening on Thursday? What's that multiplier then, Thursday + (2.2 * 4-day weekend)? {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:13

Yes {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

Argh, weekends like that make by brain hurt. {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:33

Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for STBRW or JUMPB, calling them "modest romantic comedies" (iirc). {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:54

Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:54

Why? You don't state any reasons - BoxOffice.Com said something as to why they think it won't do much business :-) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:56

I don't think so. Twitter has missed lately, but it's quite reliable in predicting underperformers with low tweet counts. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 18:57

yeah the young woman fanbase of the book is INTENSE {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:57

two wedding comedies have never opened against each other different demo or not {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:59

And then Bridesmaids follows the week after. Talk about wedding overload! {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:00

.. but, just to play devil's advocate, it *is* wedding season, no.. ? :-)   Facto on May 01, 20:03

There's a book? :) {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:59

irony, right?   Facto on May 01, 19:00

(and I am of course not talking about notfabio!) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:06

naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm}   islander on May 01, 18:58

Yup, even in 2003, DVORC did 9M full run.. "Le Divorce is a wacky romantic comedy starring Kate Hudson and Naomi Watts." {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:04

that wasnt given even a moderate push domestically and a terrible title {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 19:07

Sure, but it had Kate Hudson on the posters and marquees.. And Something Borrowed is expected to do at least double.   Facto on May 01, 19:09

MBFSG, Oct 2008 delist of 18.75: "Dane Cook and Kate Hudson star in the romantic comedy [My Best Friend's Girl].... " {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:19

Then again, Bride Wars of course delisted at 53.89 February 2009. But was that due to a snappy title and Anne Hathaway (fresh from The Devil   Facto on May 01, 19:11

stbrw also plain, generic, terrible title. bet 5 h-bucks at least one review will lead with "Soemthing Boring" {nm}   islander on May 01, 19:12

Heh :-) "Something boring, snored all through" {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:13

yeah it's pretty bland-looking   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:54

I think it looks dreadful   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:23

Thanks! ;-) What would you say were your favourite "women's movies/chick flicks" of the last 5 years? Devil Wears Prada, for instance?   Facto on May 01, 19:28

I suppose it pushes a 'meek inheriting the earth' button   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:51

I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than MADE OF HONOR in the same frame. {nm}   dsbman on May 01, 18:57

Bingo... the advertising for STBRW has been better and more prevalent even though I'm sure it's just as bad. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:01

We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:01

The BOM poll for STBRW is already starting out markedly weaker, which is a poor sign. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:04

You can't judge women's movies based on BOM Polls... I'd be shocked if they had more than 4 women responding {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

I'm not 100% sure, but feel that I recall that you have overestimated at least a couple women's movies, making similar sounding points?   Facto on May 01, 19:18

If those 4 women answer every womens movie poll on BOM something can be gleaned from it via comparison. {nm}   BionicMoron on May 01, 19:29

actually, *something* fruitful has to come out of the hours I've wasted surfing twitter, and this is it: There are *plenty* of women on Twit   Facto on May 01, 19:34

(snark;) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 23:24

agreed   jane_citizen on May 01, 20:07

So, RS amended numbers. They used to be low 50's for THOR, mid teens for Borrowed and low double digits for Jumping.   PVL Admin on May 01, 19:40

Borrowed and Broom heading south - and in line with BoxOffice.com's predictions. So, MTC should be lower - but we'll see. {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:42

Those are pretty weak numbers for Thor... it opened 82 million world wide... and no one knows about Thor outside america..   b4bad on May 01, 20:41

No way! The bark-o-meter has it lower than Fast5. More to follow later in the week. {nm}   PVL Admin on May 01, 20:54

Thor has more oversea appeal {nm}   xiayun on May 01, 21:01

Now that's just crazy talk...    Facto on May 01, 22:44

I'd suggest Thors Australian popularity is more to do with the fact Chris Hemsworth rose to fame playing a key role    osmosis2003 on May 01, 22:45

makes a lot of sense. Not much love for Thor from the Germans, though - perhaps they remember their previous führer that dug Norse mythology {nm}   Facto on May 02, 00:56

fuhrer/leader - Hitler dug Norse mythology, iirc, as did his favourite composer Richard Wagner ("March of the Valkyries", used in Star Wars,   Facto on May 02, 00:58





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Carey Mulligan (CMULL) 20000 34.41 (0.00)         Diana (CNFLT) 100000 6.76 (+2.15)         Pitch Perfect 2 (PTCP2) 10000 25.00 (0.00)         Star Trek 3 (TREK3) 99999 143.69 (+5.72)         Megan Fox (MEFOX) 500 57.71 (+0.26)         Adventures of Tintin 2 (TINT2) 100000 26.20 (+0.92)         Brave New World (BRVNW) 100000 6.48 (+2.56)         Rush (RUSH) 100000 39.48 (+1.87)         Fast & Furious 7 (FAST7) 46267 146.77 (+0.34)         Killing Season (KILSN) 100000 0.73 (-0.03)         American Sniper (AMSNP) 99999 50.34 (+6.39)         Star Trek: Into Darkness (TREK2) 99999 198.97 (+7.11)         Epic - Opening Weekend Fri-Mon (EPIC.OW) 98751 38.35 (+0.22)         Brave New World (BRVNW) 50000 6.48 (+2.56)         Taylor Swift (TSWIF) 650 93.28 (-0.40)         Brave New World (BRVNW) 50000 6.48 (+2.56)         5 to 7 (5TO7) 100000 10.58 (+1.48)         Fast & Furious 7 (FAST7) 100000 146.77 (+0.34)         Epic - Opening Weekend Fri-Mon (EPIC.OW) 100000 38.35 (+0.22)         Poltergeist (POLTR) 100000 11.40 (+1.13)         300: Rise of an Empire (XERXE) 100000 87.90 (-0.58)         Brave New World (BRVNW) 100000 6.48 (+2.56)         Epic - Opening Weekend Fri-Mon (EPIC.OW) 100000 38.35 (+0.22)         Travis McGee (TDBGB) 100000 9.81 (+1.03)         Hot Tub Time Machine 2 (HTUB2) 250 26.19 (-0.34)         RoboCop (ROBOC) 100000 62.46 (-0.14)         True Story (TRUES) 100000 8.85 (+0.99)         Horrible Bosses 2 (HBOS2) 100000 25.68 (+0.90)         Grown Ups 2 (GRWN2) 600 74.84 (-0.30)         Sherlock Holmes 3 (HOLM3) 20000 58.98 (-0.78)         American Sniper (AMSNP) 10000 50.34 (+6.39)         Java Heat (JAVAH) 20000 0.01 (0.00)         Rosaline (ROSAL) 45064 9.46 (+1.52)         American Sniper (AMSNP) 50000 50.34 (+6.39)         Jack Ryan (JRYAN) 100000 100.78 (+0.28)         Pitch Perfect 2 (PTCP2) 71406 25.00 (0.00)         Philomena (PHILO) 100000 4.34 (+1.24)         47 Ronin (47RON) 100000 49.22 (+0.20)         Kick-Ass 2 (KCKA2) 100000 61.55 (+0.33)         The Act of Killing (ACKIL) 100000 1.27 (-0.04)         The Muppets... Again! (MUPE2) 25000 52.64 (-0.10)         The Immigrant aka Low Life aka N (LOWLF) 100000 7.42 (+0.45)         The Equalizer (EQLIZ) 100000 32.67 (+0.15)         The Internship (NTERN) 25000 67.09 (-0.84)         The Immigrant aka Low Life aka N (LOWLF) 100000 7.42 (+0.45)         And Now A Word From Our Sponsor (ANWOS) 80000 0.37 (-0.05)         American Sniper (AMSNP) 50000 50.34 (+6.39)         Adventures of Tintin 2 (TINT2) 100000 26.20 (+0.92)         Horrible Bosses 2 (HBOS2) 100000 25.68 (+0.90)         Divergent (DVRGN) 100000 63.39 (+0.46)