ANNOUNCEMENT: Trade TVStocks for this season's new network TV series.

HSX Forums: Movies Board






Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day question.

Posted by: second gary (a.k.a 80181597) on May 01, 20:49 in response to Facto's post Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for...

It would seem unlikely to me that they would offer a 4-day guess which omitted a Thursday opening figure.

RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high single digits {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:46

[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:48

Here's my wild guess that MTC will be higher on THOR and BRDSM, and lower on Priest. Now, let's put wild guesses to the test.   Facto on May 01, 18:58

But it's surely...   second gary on May 01, 20:34

Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for it, iirc? {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:39

Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day question.   second gary on May 01, 20:49

Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:54

Huh. Hangover and Panda are opening on Thursday? What's that multiplier then, Thursday + (2.2 * 4-day weekend)? {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:13

Yes {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

Argh, weekends like that make by brain hurt. {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:33

Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for STBRW or JUMPB, calling them "modest romantic comedies" (iirc). {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:54

Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:54

Why? You don't state any reasons - BoxOffice.Com said something as to why they think it won't do much business :-) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:56

I don't think so. Twitter has missed lately, but it's quite reliable in predicting underperformers with low tweet counts. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 18:57

yeah the young woman fanbase of the book is INTENSE {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:57

two wedding comedies have never opened against each other different demo or not {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:59

And then Bridesmaids follows the week after. Talk about wedding overload! {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:00

.. but, just to play devil's advocate, it *is* wedding season, no.. ? :-)   Facto on May 01, 20:03

There's a book? :) {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:59

irony, right?   Facto on May 01, 19:00

(and I am of course not talking about notfabio!) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:06

naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm}   islander on May 01, 18:58

Yup, even in 2003, DVORC did 9M full run.. "Le Divorce is a wacky romantic comedy starring Kate Hudson and Naomi Watts." {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:04

that wasnt given even a moderate push domestically and a terrible title {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 19:07

Sure, but it had Kate Hudson on the posters and marquees.. And Something Borrowed is expected to do at least double.   Facto on May 01, 19:09

MBFSG, Oct 2008 delist of 18.75: "Dane Cook and Kate Hudson star in the romantic comedy [My Best Friend's Girl].... " {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:19

Then again, Bride Wars of course delisted at 53.89 February 2009. But was that due to a snappy title and Anne Hathaway (fresh from The Devil   Facto on May 01, 19:11

stbrw also plain, generic, terrible title. bet 5 h-bucks at least one review will lead with "Soemthing Boring" {nm}   islander on May 01, 19:12

Heh :-) "Something boring, snored all through" {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:13

yeah it's pretty bland-looking   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:54

I think it looks dreadful   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:23

Thanks! ;-) What would you say were your favourite "women's movies/chick flicks" of the last 5 years? Devil Wears Prada, for instance?   Facto on May 01, 19:28

I suppose it pushes a 'meek inheriting the earth' button   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:51

I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than MADE OF HONOR in the same frame. {nm}   dsbman on May 01, 18:57

Bingo... the advertising for STBRW has been better and more prevalent even though I'm sure it's just as bad. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:01

We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:01

The BOM poll for STBRW is already starting out markedly weaker, which is a poor sign. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:04

You can't judge women's movies based on BOM Polls... I'd be shocked if they had more than 4 women responding {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

I'm not 100% sure, but feel that I recall that you have overestimated at least a couple women's movies, making similar sounding points?   Facto on May 01, 19:18

If those 4 women answer every womens movie poll on BOM something can be gleaned from it via comparison. {nm}   BionicMoron on May 01, 19:29

actually, *something* fruitful has to come out of the hours I've wasted surfing twitter, and this is it: There are *plenty* of women on Twit   Facto on May 01, 19:34

(snark;) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 23:24

agreed   jane_citizen on May 01, 20:07

So, RS amended numbers. They used to be low 50's for THOR, mid teens for Borrowed and low double digits for Jumping.   PVL Admin on May 01, 19:40

Borrowed and Broom heading south - and in line with BoxOffice.com's predictions. So, MTC should be lower - but we'll see. {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:42

Those are pretty weak numbers for Thor... it opened 82 million world wide... and no one knows about Thor outside america..   b4bad on May 01, 20:41

No way! The bark-o-meter has it lower than Fast5. More to follow later in the week. {nm}   PVL Admin on May 01, 20:54

Thor has more oversea appeal {nm}   xiayun on May 01, 21:01

Now that's just crazy talk...    Facto on May 01, 22:44

I'd suggest Thors Australian popularity is more to do with the fact Chris Hemsworth rose to fame playing a key role    osmosis2003 on May 01, 22:45

makes a lot of sense. Not much love for Thor from the Germans, though - perhaps they remember their previous führer that dug Norse mythology {nm}   Facto on May 02, 00:56

fuhrer/leader - Hitler dug Norse mythology, iirc, as did his favourite composer Richard Wagner ("March of the Valkyries", used in Star Wars,   Facto on May 02, 00:58





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Wal (BLLHW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)         Three Generations (3GENS) 100000 6.00 (0.00)         G.I. JOE 3 (GIJO3) 2293 37.97 (-0.31)         Project Almanac (ALMNC) 5011 33.96 (-0.15)         Oscar Isaac (OISAA) 730 16.27 (-0.05)         Guardians of the Galaxy 2 (GOTG2) 100000 226.86 (+2.59)         Guardians of the Galaxy 2 (GOTG2) 99999 226.86 (+2.59)         Where in the World is Carmen San (WWCSD) 9990 0.79 (+0.69)         The Croods 2 (CROD2) 1 48.03 (+0.98)         LEGO Batman (LBATM) 100000 84.91 (-1.47)         Deadpool (DEADP) 1346 65.92 (-1.00)         The Croods 2 (CROD2) 2000 48.03 (+0.98)         Penguins of Madagascar (PMADG) 100000 92.69 (-5.74)         Toy Story 4 (TOYS4) 100000 206.15 (-0.08)         Transformers 5 (TFRM5) 99992 71.72 (-0.25)         The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Par (HGAM3) 100000 303.83 (-6.80)         Predestination (PDSTN) 1000 4.72 (+0.47)         Strange Magic (STMGC) 100000 45.80 (+2.27)         Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Wal (BLLHW) 15000 25.00 (0.00)         Transformers 5 (TFRM5) 99999 71.72 (-0.25)         A Perfect Day (APDAY) 35401 5.41 (-1.02)         Wonder Woman (WONDR) 100000 98.99 (+0.07)         Jurassic World (JURA4) 100000 185.06 (+2.63)         The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Par (HGAM3) 87809 303.83 (-6.80)         The Croods 2 (CROD2) 1999 48.03 (+0.98)         Three Generations (3GENS) 50000 6.00 (0.00)         Wonder Woman (WONDR) 99963 98.99 (+0.07)         Independence Day 2 (IDAY2) 6816 107.07 (+6.53)         The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Par (HGAM3) 12191 303.83 (-6.80)         The Trap (TTRAP) 18 19.51 (-0.28)         The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Par (HGAM3) 100000 303.83 (-6.80)         The Interview (NTRVW) 52933 54.26 (-0.03)         Interstellar (NTSTL) 11736 136.38 (-0.53)         G.I. JOE 3 (GIJO3) 102 37.97 (-0.31)         Dumb and Dumber To (DUMB3) 50 77.82 (-0.68)         Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Wal (BLLHW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)         Werner Herzog (WHERZ) 20000 25.95 (+0.64)         Foxcatcher (FOXCT) 1000 13.18 (-0.26)         Penguins of Madagascar (PMADG) 5000 92.69 (-5.74)         Horrible Bosses 2 (HBOS2) 39999 72.93 (-2.65)         Three Generations (3GENS) 100000 6.00 (0.00)         Horrible Bosses 2 (HBOS2) 5000 72.93 (-2.65)         Interstellar (NTSTL) 1000 136.38 (-0.53)         The Search (SERCH) 99999 5.67 (-0.17)         The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Par (HGAM3) 5000 303.83 (-6.80)         The Cellar (CELAR) 99999 19.78 (-0.34)         G.I. JOE 3 (GIJO3) 16087 37.97 (-0.31)         Interstellar (NTSTL) 10000 136.38 (-0.53)         The Yellow Birds (YELOB) 1 7.40 (-0.60)         Assassin's Creed (ASCRD) 99999 14.25 (-0.12)