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Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day question.

Posted by: second gary (a.k.a 80181597) on May 01, 20:49 in response to Facto's post Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for...

It would seem unlikely to me that they would offer a 4-day guess which omitted a Thursday opening figure.

RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high single digits {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:46

[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:48

Here's my wild guess that MTC will be higher on THOR and BRDSM, and lower on Priest. Now, let's put wild guesses to the test.   Facto on May 01, 18:58

But it's surely...   second gary on May 01, 20:34

Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for it, iirc? {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:39

Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day question.   second gary on May 01, 20:49

Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:54

Huh. Hangover and Panda are opening on Thursday? What's that multiplier then, Thursday + (2.2 * 4-day weekend)? {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:13

Yes {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

Argh, weekends like that make by brain hurt. {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:33

Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for STBRW or JUMPB, calling them "modest romantic comedies" (iirc). {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:54

Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:54

Why? You don't state any reasons - BoxOffice.Com said something as to why they think it won't do much business :-) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:56

I don't think so. Twitter has missed lately, but it's quite reliable in predicting underperformers with low tweet counts. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 18:57

yeah the young woman fanbase of the book is INTENSE {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:57

two wedding comedies have never opened against each other different demo or not {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:59

And then Bridesmaids follows the week after. Talk about wedding overload! {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:00

.. but, just to play devil's advocate, it *is* wedding season, no.. ? :-)   Facto on May 01, 20:03

There's a book? :) {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:59

irony, right?   Facto on May 01, 19:00

(and I am of course not talking about notfabio!) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:06

naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm}   islander on May 01, 18:58

Yup, even in 2003, DVORC did 9M full run.. "Le Divorce is a wacky romantic comedy starring Kate Hudson and Naomi Watts." {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:04

that wasnt given even a moderate push domestically and a terrible title {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 19:07

Sure, but it had Kate Hudson on the posters and marquees.. And Something Borrowed is expected to do at least double.   Facto on May 01, 19:09

MBFSG, Oct 2008 delist of 18.75: "Dane Cook and Kate Hudson star in the romantic comedy [My Best Friend's Girl].... " {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:19

Then again, Bride Wars of course delisted at 53.89 February 2009. But was that due to a snappy title and Anne Hathaway (fresh from The Devil   Facto on May 01, 19:11

stbrw also plain, generic, terrible title. bet 5 h-bucks at least one review will lead with "Soemthing Boring" {nm}   islander on May 01, 19:12

Heh :-) "Something boring, snored all through" {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:13

yeah it's pretty bland-looking   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:54

I think it looks dreadful   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:23

Thanks! ;-) What would you say were your favourite "women's movies/chick flicks" of the last 5 years? Devil Wears Prada, for instance?   Facto on May 01, 19:28

I suppose it pushes a 'meek inheriting the earth' button   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:51

I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than MADE OF HONOR in the same frame. {nm}   dsbman on May 01, 18:57

Bingo... the advertising for STBRW has been better and more prevalent even though I'm sure it's just as bad. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:01

We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:01

The BOM poll for STBRW is already starting out markedly weaker, which is a poor sign. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:04

You can't judge women's movies based on BOM Polls... I'd be shocked if they had more than 4 women responding {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

I'm not 100% sure, but feel that I recall that you have overestimated at least a couple women's movies, making similar sounding points?   Facto on May 01, 19:18

If those 4 women answer every womens movie poll on BOM something can be gleaned from it via comparison. {nm}   BionicMoron on May 01, 19:29

actually, *something* fruitful has to come out of the hours I've wasted surfing twitter, and this is it: There are *plenty* of women on Twit   Facto on May 01, 19:34

(snark;) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 23:24

agreed   jane_citizen on May 01, 20:07

So, RS amended numbers. They used to be low 50's for THOR, mid teens for Borrowed and low double digits for Jumping.   PVL Admin on May 01, 19:40

Borrowed and Broom heading south - and in line with BoxOffice.com's predictions. So, MTC should be lower - but we'll see. {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:42

Those are pretty weak numbers for Thor... it opened 82 million world wide... and no one knows about Thor outside america..   b4bad on May 01, 20:41

No way! The bark-o-meter has it lower than Fast5. More to follow later in the week. {nm}   PVL Admin on May 01, 20:54

Thor has more oversea appeal {nm}   xiayun on May 01, 21:01

Now that's just crazy talk...    Facto on May 01, 22:44

I'd suggest Thors Australian popularity is more to do with the fact Chris Hemsworth rose to fame playing a key role    osmosis2003 on May 01, 22:45

makes a lot of sense. Not much love for Thor from the Germans, though - perhaps they remember their previous führer that dug Norse mythology {nm}   Facto on May 02, 00:56

fuhrer/leader - Hitler dug Norse mythology, iirc, as did his favourite composer Richard Wagner ("March of the Valkyries", used in Star Wars,   Facto on May 02, 00:58





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Friday the 13th (FRI12) 72372 17.60 (+0.09)         Chaos Walking (CHAOW) 35000 50.00 (0.00)         Big Trouble in Little China (BTILC) 12374 55.03 (+1.28)         Disobedience (DSOBD) 100000 7.45 (+1.45)         Wargames (WARGM) 100000 7.86 (+1.51)         The Current War (CURNT) 100000 26.08 (+5.20)         Little Shop of Horrors (LSOFH) 99999 8.06 (-1.23)         Tom Holland (TOHOL) 1162 54.51 (+0.30)         Villa Capri (VCAPR) 99999 15.42 (+0.15)         Chaos Walking (CHAOW) 100000 50.00 (0.00)         Big Trouble in Little China (BTILC) 100000 55.03 (+1.28)         It (IT1) 10000 40.28 (+0.27)         Dwayne Johnson (TROCK) 411 160.63 (+0.57)         Little Shop of Horrors (LSOFH) 99999 8.06 (-1.23)         Ana de Armas (ADARM) 1000 16.46 (-0.04)         Splinter Cell (SCELL) 99999 2.64 (-1.80)         Rogue One: A Star Wars Story - O (SW16.OW) 300 165.90 (-0.10)         Wargames (WARGM) 100000 7.86 (+1.51)         Rogue One: A Star Wars Story (SW16) 12321 438.47 (-1.14)         Wargames (WARGM) 100000 7.86 (+1.51)         Noomi Rapace (NRAPA) 1000 34.32 (-0.32)         Wargames (WARGM) 100000 7.86 (+1.51)         Bad Santa 2 (BSNT2) 99999 15.90 (+0.89)         Bad Dads (BDADS) 1 47.03 (-0.06)         Katherine Waterston (KWATE) 1000 31.21 (+0.64)         Finn Wittrock (FWITT) 20000 58.60 (+0.54)         Michael Fassbender (MFASS) 1000 43.49 (+0.54)         Chaos Walking (CHAOW) 100000 50.00 (0.00)         The Current War (CURNT) 99999 26.08 (+5.20)         Chaos Walking (CHAOW) 100000 50.00 (0.00)         The Man with the Iron Heart aka (HHHH) 100000 3.34 (-0.26)         Official Secrets (OFSEC) 100000 9.10 (-0.08)         David Oyelowo (DOYEL) 20000 16.03 (-0.17)         Justice League 2 (JLEA2) 90000 247.11 (-10.17)         Man Down (MDOWN) 100000 0.05 (+0.02)         Wargames (WARGM) 99999 7.86 (+1.51)         Justice League 2 (JLEA2) 100000 247.11 (-10.17)         Going in Style (GOINS) 99999 16.27 (+1.22)         Assassin's Creed H$15 Call (ASCRD.CA) 20000 3.53 (+0.10)         Nocturnal Animals (NOCAN) 100000 14.22 (+0.68)         Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead M (PIRT5) 1 134.57 (0.00)         Chaos Walking (CHAOW) 100000 50.00 (0.00)         Laura Linney (LLINN) 20000 42.11 (+0.53)         Splinter Cell (SCELL) 20000 2.64 (-1.80)         Fantastic Beasts and Where to Fi (FBSTS.BW) 20000 7.13 (+0.55)         Daniel Bruhl (DBRUH) 119 60.56 (+0.14)         Disobedience (DSOBD) 100000 7.45 (+1.45)         Daniel Bruhl (DBRUH) 20000 60.56 (+0.14)         Aaron Taylor-Johnson (AJOHN) 20000 96.88 (+0.20)         Fantastic Beasts and Where to Fi (FBSTS.BW) 20000 7.13 (+0.55)