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Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}

Posted by: Facto on May 01, 20:54 in response to second gary's post Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day...

RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high single digits {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:46

[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:48

Here's my wild guess that MTC will be higher on THOR and BRDSM, and lower on Priest. Now, let's put wild guesses to the test.   Facto on May 01, 18:58

But it's surely...   second gary on May 01, 20:34

Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for it, iirc? {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:39

Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day question.   second gary on May 01, 20:49

Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:54

Huh. Hangover and Panda are opening on Thursday? What's that multiplier then, Thursday + (2.2 * 4-day weekend)? {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:13

Yes {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

Argh, weekends like that make by brain hurt. {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:33

Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for STBRW or JUMPB, calling them "modest romantic comedies" (iirc). {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:54

Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:54

Why? You don't state any reasons - BoxOffice.Com said something as to why they think it won't do much business :-) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:56

I don't think so. Twitter has missed lately, but it's quite reliable in predicting underperformers with low tweet counts. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 18:57

yeah the young woman fanbase of the book is INTENSE {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:57

two wedding comedies have never opened against each other different demo or not {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:59

And then Bridesmaids follows the week after. Talk about wedding overload! {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:00

.. but, just to play devil's advocate, it *is* wedding season, no.. ? :-)   Facto on May 01, 20:03

There's a book? :) {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:59

irony, right?   Facto on May 01, 19:00

(and I am of course not talking about notfabio!) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:06

naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm}   islander on May 01, 18:58

Yup, even in 2003, DVORC did 9M full run.. "Le Divorce is a wacky romantic comedy starring Kate Hudson and Naomi Watts." {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:04

that wasnt given even a moderate push domestically and a terrible title {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 19:07

Sure, but it had Kate Hudson on the posters and marquees.. And Something Borrowed is expected to do at least double.   Facto on May 01, 19:09

MBFSG, Oct 2008 delist of 18.75: "Dane Cook and Kate Hudson star in the romantic comedy [My Best Friend's Girl].... " {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:19

Then again, Bride Wars of course delisted at 53.89 February 2009. But was that due to a snappy title and Anne Hathaway (fresh from The Devil   Facto on May 01, 19:11

stbrw also plain, generic, terrible title. bet 5 h-bucks at least one review will lead with "Soemthing Boring" {nm}   islander on May 01, 19:12

Heh :-) "Something boring, snored all through" {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:13

yeah it's pretty bland-looking   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:54

I think it looks dreadful   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:23

Thanks! ;-) What would you say were your favourite "women's movies/chick flicks" of the last 5 years? Devil Wears Prada, for instance?   Facto on May 01, 19:28

I suppose it pushes a 'meek inheriting the earth' button   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:51

I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than MADE OF HONOR in the same frame. {nm}   dsbman on May 01, 18:57

Bingo... the advertising for STBRW has been better and more prevalent even though I'm sure it's just as bad. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:01

We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:01

The BOM poll for STBRW is already starting out markedly weaker, which is a poor sign. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:04

You can't judge women's movies based on BOM Polls... I'd be shocked if they had more than 4 women responding {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

I'm not 100% sure, but feel that I recall that you have overestimated at least a couple women's movies, making similar sounding points?   Facto on May 01, 19:18

If those 4 women answer every womens movie poll on BOM something can be gleaned from it via comparison. {nm}   BionicMoron on May 01, 19:29

actually, *something* fruitful has to come out of the hours I've wasted surfing twitter, and this is it: There are *plenty* of women on Twit   Facto on May 01, 19:34

(snark;) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 23:24

agreed   jane_citizen on May 01, 20:07

So, RS amended numbers. They used to be low 50's for THOR, mid teens for Borrowed and low double digits for Jumping.   PVL Admin on May 01, 19:40

Borrowed and Broom heading south - and in line with BoxOffice.com's predictions. So, MTC should be lower - but we'll see. {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:42

Those are pretty weak numbers for Thor... it opened 82 million world wide... and no one knows about Thor outside america..   b4bad on May 01, 20:41

No way! The bark-o-meter has it lower than Fast5. More to follow later in the week. {nm}   PVL Admin on May 01, 20:54

Thor has more oversea appeal {nm}   xiayun on May 01, 21:01

Now that's just crazy talk...    Facto on May 01, 22:44

I'd suggest Thors Australian popularity is more to do with the fact Chris Hemsworth rose to fame playing a key role    osmosis2003 on May 01, 22:45

makes a lot of sense. Not much love for Thor from the Germans, though - perhaps they remember their previous führer that dug Norse mythology {nm}   Facto on May 02, 00:56

fuhrer/leader - Hitler dug Norse mythology, iirc, as did his favourite composer Richard Wagner ("March of the Valkyries", used in Star Wars,   Facto on May 02, 00:58





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Spooks: The Greater Good (SPOKS) 99999 6.03 (+0.20)         Jupiter Ascending (JUPTR) 100000 55.92 (-0.43)         Mississippi Grind (MSGRN) 100000 2.38 (+0.31)         Zeroville (ZEROV) 10000 14.36 (-0.02)         Mike & Dave Need Wedding Dates (MDNWD) 100000 28.01 (+2.17)         Mississippi Grind (MSGRN) 99999 2.38 (+0.31)         National Treasure 3 (NATR3) 99999 10.12 (+0.14)         Selma (SELMA) 20000 43.56 (+0.02)         The Perfect Guy (TPGUY) 52345 20.18 (-0.92)         Timbuktu (TMBKT) 18429 0.43 (0.00)         Spooks: The Greater Good (SPOKS) 100000 6.03 (+0.20)         Zoolander 2 (ZOOL2) 100000 26.73 (-0.18)         The Big Valley (BVALY) 99999 0.49 (-0.01)         A Most Violent Year (AMVYR) 50000 5.00 (-0.02)         Widows (WIDOW) 10000 16.01 (+0.03)         The Revised Fundamentals of Care (RFOCG) 100000 10.39 (+2.39)         The Revised Fundamentals of Care (RFOCG) 100000 10.39 (+2.39)         The Stand (STAND) 100000 26.72 (+0.10)         Concussion aka Game Brain (GAMEB) 200 39.23 (-2.13)         Ricky Stanicky (STNCK) 100000 0.11 (+0.06)         Ricky Stanicky (STNCK) 100000 0.11 (+0.06)         Flash Gordon (FLSHG) 100000 6.13 (+1.86)         Ricky Stanicky (STNCK) 100000 0.11 (+0.06)         The Revised Fundamentals of Care (RFOCG) 10000 10.39 (+2.39)         The Revised Fundamentals of Care (RFOCG) 100000 10.39 (+2.39)         Cinderella (CINDE) 200 149.60 (+0.12)         Me and Earl and the Dying Girl (MEADG) 10000 11.43 (+0.70)         Resident Evil: The Final Chapter (RESE6) 1 14.54 (+1.05)         Ghostbusters (GHST3) 5000 62.13 (-1.49)         Resident Evil: The Final Chapter (RESE6) 100000 14.54 (+1.05)         Indiana Jones 5 (INDI5) 500 51.96 (+1.08)         Hologram for the King (HGFTK) 3555 5.27 (+0.72)         McFarland, USA (MCFAR) 10000 27.45 (+0.10)         Flash Gordon (FLSHG) 99999 6.13 (+1.86)         Jupiter Ascending (JUPTR) 35000 55.92 (-0.43)         Goosebumps (GBUMP) 11111 24.24 (-0.81)         The Perfect Guy (TPGUY) 11111 20.18 (-0.92)         Blonde (BONDE) 10000 1.48 (-0.25)         The Seven Samurai (7SMUR) 99999 1.07 (+0.04)         Blonde (BONDE) 1 1.48 (-0.25)         Blonde (BONDE) 100000 1.48 (-0.25)         Hologram for the King (HGFTK) 53555 5.27 (+0.72)         The Magnificent Seven (MAGN7) 100000 39.87 (+3.25)         Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Wal (BLLHW) 1 19.89 (-1.21)         Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Wal (BLLHW) 50000 19.89 (-1.21)         The Overnight (OVERN) 10000 6.51 (+0.02)         The Jetsons (JETSN) 1 23.15 (-1.45)         The Jetsons (JETSN) 50000 23.15 (-1.45)         Our Brand is Crisis (OBCRS) 10000 23.73 (-0.09)         The Devil and the Deep Blue Sea (DVDBS) 99999 2.04 (-0.03)