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Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}

Posted by: Facto on May 01, 20:54 in response to second gary's post Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day...

RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high single digits {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:46

[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:48

Here's my wild guess that MTC will be higher on THOR and BRDSM, and lower on Priest. Now, let's put wild guesses to the test.   Facto on May 01, 18:58

But it's surely...   second gary on May 01, 20:34

Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for it, iirc? {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:39

Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day question.   second gary on May 01, 20:49

Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:54

Huh. Hangover and Panda are opening on Thursday? What's that multiplier then, Thursday + (2.2 * 4-day weekend)? {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:13

Yes {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

Argh, weekends like that make by brain hurt. {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:33

Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for STBRW or JUMPB, calling them "modest romantic comedies" (iirc). {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:54

Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:54

Why? You don't state any reasons - BoxOffice.Com said something as to why they think it won't do much business :-) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:56

I don't think so. Twitter has missed lately, but it's quite reliable in predicting underperformers with low tweet counts. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 18:57

yeah the young woman fanbase of the book is INTENSE {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:57

two wedding comedies have never opened against each other different demo or not {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:59

And then Bridesmaids follows the week after. Talk about wedding overload! {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:00

.. but, just to play devil's advocate, it *is* wedding season, no.. ? :-)   Facto on May 01, 20:03

There's a book? :) {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:59

irony, right?   Facto on May 01, 19:00

(and I am of course not talking about notfabio!) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:06

naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm}   islander on May 01, 18:58

Yup, even in 2003, DVORC did 9M full run.. "Le Divorce is a wacky romantic comedy starring Kate Hudson and Naomi Watts." {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:04

that wasnt given even a moderate push domestically and a terrible title {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 19:07

Sure, but it had Kate Hudson on the posters and marquees.. And Something Borrowed is expected to do at least double.   Facto on May 01, 19:09

MBFSG, Oct 2008 delist of 18.75: "Dane Cook and Kate Hudson star in the romantic comedy [My Best Friend's Girl].... " {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:19

Then again, Bride Wars of course delisted at 53.89 February 2009. But was that due to a snappy title and Anne Hathaway (fresh from The Devil   Facto on May 01, 19:11

stbrw also plain, generic, terrible title. bet 5 h-bucks at least one review will lead with "Soemthing Boring" {nm}   islander on May 01, 19:12

Heh :-) "Something boring, snored all through" {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:13

yeah it's pretty bland-looking   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:54

I think it looks dreadful   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:23

Thanks! ;-) What would you say were your favourite "women's movies/chick flicks" of the last 5 years? Devil Wears Prada, for instance?   Facto on May 01, 19:28

I suppose it pushes a 'meek inheriting the earth' button   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:51

I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than MADE OF HONOR in the same frame. {nm}   dsbman on May 01, 18:57

Bingo... the advertising for STBRW has been better and more prevalent even though I'm sure it's just as bad. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:01

We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:01

The BOM poll for STBRW is already starting out markedly weaker, which is a poor sign. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:04

You can't judge women's movies based on BOM Polls... I'd be shocked if they had more than 4 women responding {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

I'm not 100% sure, but feel that I recall that you have overestimated at least a couple women's movies, making similar sounding points?   Facto on May 01, 19:18

If those 4 women answer every womens movie poll on BOM something can be gleaned from it via comparison. {nm}   BionicMoron on May 01, 19:29

actually, *something* fruitful has to come out of the hours I've wasted surfing twitter, and this is it: There are *plenty* of women on Twit   Facto on May 01, 19:34

(snark;) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 23:24

agreed   jane_citizen on May 01, 20:07

So, RS amended numbers. They used to be low 50's for THOR, mid teens for Borrowed and low double digits for Jumping.   PVL Admin on May 01, 19:40

Borrowed and Broom heading south - and in line with BoxOffice.com's predictions. So, MTC should be lower - but we'll see. {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:42

Those are pretty weak numbers for Thor... it opened 82 million world wide... and no one knows about Thor outside america..   b4bad on May 01, 20:41

No way! The bark-o-meter has it lower than Fast5. More to follow later in the week. {nm}   PVL Admin on May 01, 20:54

Thor has more oversea appeal {nm}   xiayun on May 01, 21:01

Now that's just crazy talk...    Facto on May 01, 22:44

I'd suggest Thors Australian popularity is more to do with the fact Chris Hemsworth rose to fame playing a key role    osmosis2003 on May 01, 22:45

makes a lot of sense. Not much love for Thor from the Germans, though - perhaps they remember their previous führer that dug Norse mythology {nm}   Facto on May 02, 00:56

fuhrer/leader - Hitler dug Norse mythology, iirc, as did his favourite composer Richard Wagner ("March of the Valkyries", used in Star Wars,   Facto on May 02, 00:58





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Black Panther (BPNTH) 100000 125.74 (-0.54)         Mother's Day (MTHRS) 100000 22.41 (-1.80)         Papa: Hemingway in Cuba (PAPA) 100000 1.45 (-0.67)         Ghostbusters (GHST3) 100000 79.71 (-2.12)         Annihilation (ANHLT) 5001 25.17 (+0.20)         Keanu (KEANU) 100000 25.25 (+0.06)         Voyage of Time (VYGTM) 50000 2.19 (+0.82)         Table 19 (TBL19) 99999 5.07 (-0.26)         Voyage of Time (VYGTM) 50000 2.19 (+0.82)         Voyage of Time (VYGTM) 50000 2.19 (+0.82)         The Flash (FLASH) 100000 58.10 (-3.94)         Voyage of Time (VYGTM) 50000 2.19 (+0.82)         A Bigger Splash (ABIGS) 25000 2.78 (-0.18)         The Driftless Area (DRFTL) 100000 0.01 (-0.02)         Ratchet & Clank (RATCL) 100000 13.02 (-0.72)         Power Rangers (MMPR) 2501 38.50 (+0.20)         The Lobster (LOBST) 99999 1.28 (-0.05)         Taylor Schilling (TSCHI) 1 21.42 (0.00)         The Wave (TWAVE) 5000 0.18 (-0.06)         The Titan (TTITN) 10001 11.69 (-0.17)         Ratchet & Clank (RATCL) 50001 13.02 (-0.72)         Independence Day: Resurgence (IDAY2) 50000 182.48 (+0.43)         The Family Fang (FFANG) 99999 0.06 (-0.21)         Fast & Furious 9 (FAST9) 100000 153.94 (+3.94)         Fast & Furious 9 (FAST9) 100000 153.94 (+3.94)         My Cousin Rachel (MCRAC) 5001 15.16 (-0.07)         Fast & Furious 9 (FAST9) 100000 153.94 (+3.94)         The Angry Birds Movie (ANGRB) 50000 77.61 (-2.23)         Act of Valor: SWAT (AOVA2) 25000 9.57 (+1.49)         Miss Sloane (SLOAN) 5001 9.63 (-0.04)         X-Force (XFORC) 39000 27.46 (+0.12)         Wreck-It Ralph 2 (RALP2) 30000 68.79 (-6.32)         Fast & Furious 9 (FAST9) 1 153.94 (+3.94)         Wreck-It Ralph 2 (RALP2) 25000 68.79 (-6.32)         Deadpool 2 (DEAD2) 100000 218.78 (-2.00)         Wreck-It Ralph 2 (RALP2) 40000 68.79 (-6.32)         The Jungle Book (JNGLB) 100000 280.16 (+1.45)         A Hologram for the King (HGFTK) 99999 3.69 (+0.28)         Fences (FENCE) 5001 26.74 (-1.85)         A Wrinkle in Time (AWITM) 100000 48.08 (-1.27)         Colette (COLET) 60000 7.63 (+0.29)         Mad Max: The Wasteland (MMAX5) 50000 59.55 (-1.91)         The Batman (TBATM) 10000 197.97 (-1.16)         Winnie the Pooh (WINPO) 100000 46.22 (-3.65)         Toy Story 4 (TOYS4) 100000 266.64 (+1.16)         Wreck-It Ralph 2 (RALP2) 100000 68.79 (-6.32)         Die Hard: Year One (DIEH6) 100000 32.55 (+3.71)         Monster Trucks (MNTRC) 100000 12.27 (-0.10)         The Flash (FLASH) 100000 58.10 (-3.94)         Hitman's Bodyguard (HTMBG) 5001 24.07 (+0.10)