Market Announcement: AwardOptions for the Oscar nominees will halt trading Sunday at 1 pm Pacific Time.

HSX Forums: Movies Board






Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}

Posted by: Facto on May 01, 20:54 in response to second gary's post Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day...

RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high single digits {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:46

[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:48

Here's my wild guess that MTC will be higher on THOR and BRDSM, and lower on Priest. Now, let's put wild guesses to the test.   Facto on May 01, 18:58

But it's surely...   second gary on May 01, 20:34

Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for it, iirc? {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:39

Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day question.   second gary on May 01, 20:49

Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:54

Huh. Hangover and Panda are opening on Thursday? What's that multiplier then, Thursday + (2.2 * 4-day weekend)? {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:13

Yes {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

Argh, weekends like that make by brain hurt. {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:33

Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for STBRW or JUMPB, calling them "modest romantic comedies" (iirc). {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:54

Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:54

Why? You don't state any reasons - BoxOffice.Com said something as to why they think it won't do much business :-) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:56

I don't think so. Twitter has missed lately, but it's quite reliable in predicting underperformers with low tweet counts. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 18:57

yeah the young woman fanbase of the book is INTENSE {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:57

two wedding comedies have never opened against each other different demo or not {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:59

And then Bridesmaids follows the week after. Talk about wedding overload! {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:00

.. but, just to play devil's advocate, it *is* wedding season, no.. ? :-)   Facto on May 01, 20:03

There's a book? :) {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:59

irony, right?   Facto on May 01, 19:00

(and I am of course not talking about notfabio!) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:06

naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm}   islander on May 01, 18:58

Yup, even in 2003, DVORC did 9M full run.. "Le Divorce is a wacky romantic comedy starring Kate Hudson and Naomi Watts." {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:04

that wasnt given even a moderate push domestically and a terrible title {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 19:07

Sure, but it had Kate Hudson on the posters and marquees.. And Something Borrowed is expected to do at least double.   Facto on May 01, 19:09

MBFSG, Oct 2008 delist of 18.75: "Dane Cook and Kate Hudson star in the romantic comedy [My Best Friend's Girl].... " {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:19

Then again, Bride Wars of course delisted at 53.89 February 2009. But was that due to a snappy title and Anne Hathaway (fresh from The Devil   Facto on May 01, 19:11

stbrw also plain, generic, terrible title. bet 5 h-bucks at least one review will lead with "Soemthing Boring" {nm}   islander on May 01, 19:12

Heh :-) "Something boring, snored all through" {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:13

yeah it's pretty bland-looking   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:54

I think it looks dreadful   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:23

Thanks! ;-) What would you say were your favourite "women's movies/chick flicks" of the last 5 years? Devil Wears Prada, for instance?   Facto on May 01, 19:28

I suppose it pushes a 'meek inheriting the earth' button   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:51

I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than MADE OF HONOR in the same frame. {nm}   dsbman on May 01, 18:57

Bingo... the advertising for STBRW has been better and more prevalent even though I'm sure it's just as bad. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:01

We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:01

The BOM poll for STBRW is already starting out markedly weaker, which is a poor sign. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:04

You can't judge women's movies based on BOM Polls... I'd be shocked if they had more than 4 women responding {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

I'm not 100% sure, but feel that I recall that you have overestimated at least a couple women's movies, making similar sounding points?   Facto on May 01, 19:18

If those 4 women answer every womens movie poll on BOM something can be gleaned from it via comparison. {nm}   BionicMoron on May 01, 19:29

actually, *something* fruitful has to come out of the hours I've wasted surfing twitter, and this is it: There are *plenty* of women on Twit   Facto on May 01, 19:34

(snark;) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 23:24

agreed   jane_citizen on May 01, 20:07

So, RS amended numbers. They used to be low 50's for THOR, mid teens for Borrowed and low double digits for Jumping.   PVL Admin on May 01, 19:40

Borrowed and Broom heading south - and in line with BoxOffice.com's predictions. So, MTC should be lower - but we'll see. {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:42

Those are pretty weak numbers for Thor... it opened 82 million world wide... and no one knows about Thor outside america..   b4bad on May 01, 20:41

No way! The bark-o-meter has it lower than Fast5. More to follow later in the week. {nm}   PVL Admin on May 01, 20:54

Thor has more oversea appeal {nm}   xiayun on May 01, 21:01

Now that's just crazy talk...    Facto on May 01, 22:44

I'd suggest Thors Australian popularity is more to do with the fact Chris Hemsworth rose to fame playing a key role    osmosis2003 on May 01, 22:45

makes a lot of sense. Not much love for Thor from the Germans, though - perhaps they remember their previous führer that dug Norse mythology {nm}   Facto on May 02, 00:56

fuhrer/leader - Hitler dug Norse mythology, iirc, as did his favourite composer Richard Wagner ("March of the Valkyries", used in Star Wars,   Facto on May 02, 00:58





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

100 Streets (100ST) 99999 0.17 (-0.06)         The Kingkiller Chronicle: The Na (KNGKL) 6002 60.78 (+10.78)         The Kingkiller Chronicle: The Na (KNGKL) 31159 60.78 (+10.78)         NBC: Trial & Error (TRIAER) 20000 10.22 (0.00)         Damien Chazelle (DCHAZ) 20000 28.00 (-0.08)         Emma Stone (ESTON) 20000 30.33 (-0.06)         ABC: Time After Time (TMAFTM) 20000 8.67 (+0.10)         Get Out (GETOU) 100000 77.45 (+6.82)         Ryan Gosling (RGOSL) 20000 38.31 (-0.22)         The Lion King (LIONK) 50000 221.12 (+0.45)         Bright (BRGHT) 100000 1.30 (-0.23)         Bright (BRGHT) 100000 1.30 (-0.23)         Coco (DDLM) 25000 87.15 (-0.46)         X-Men: The New Mutants (NMUTN) 24000 53.22 (-0.58)         Bright (BRGHT) 100000 1.30 (-0.23)         Vin Diesel (VDIES) 20000 114.93 (+1.14)         Rock Dog (ROCDG) 100000 11.07 (+1.60)         The Foreigner (FRGNR) 99999 17.55 (+1.84)         Karen Gillan (KGILL) 20000 89.91 (+0.20)         Everybody Loves Somebody (EBLSB) 40000 3.36 (-0.42)         Captain Marvel (CMARV) 100000 120.53 (-0.25)         First Man (FIRSM) 35000 31.48 (-0.70)         The Kingkiller Chronicle: The Na (KNGKL) 46717 60.78 (+10.78)         Everybody Loves Somebody (EBLSB) 40000 3.36 (-0.42)         John Wick: Chapter 2 (WICK2) 100000 79.65 (+3.45)         Fifty Shades Darker (50SH2) 100000 109.71 (-1.72)         The House of Tomorrow (HOTMR) 99999 5.46 (-0.71)         Bright (BRGHT) 25000 1.30 (-0.23)         I Don’t Feel at Home in This W (IDFAH) 100000 0.01 (-0.04)         The Kingkiller Chronicle: The Na (KNGKL) 99000 60.78 (+10.78)         The Kingkiller Chronicle: The Na (KNGKL) 49500 60.78 (+10.78)         Bright (BRGHT) 100000 1.30 (-0.23)         Bright (BRGHT) 100000 1.30 (-0.23)         Harvey Keitel (HKEIT) 20000 30.48 (-0.32)         Simon vs. The Homo Sapiens Agend (SVHSA) 100000 26.56 (+1.15)         Simon vs. The Homo Sapiens Agend (SVHSA) 100000 26.56 (+1.15)         Nicole Kidman (NKIDM) 20000 13.77 (0.00)         Get Out (GETOU) 100000 77.45 (+6.82)         The Rats of NIMH (RNIMH) 28000 44.61 (+0.16)         Robert De Niro (RDENI) 20000 20.85 (+0.40)         The Zookeeper's Wife (ZKPWF) 1 17.29 (+0.15)         First Man (FIRSM) 100000 31.48 (-0.70)         The Boss Baby (BOSSB) 1 70.88 (-0.20)         When We First Met (WWEFM) 20000 11.70 (-0.07)         Unicorn Store (UNICS) 20000 11.96 (-0.03)         The Kingkiller Chronicle: The Na (KNGKL) 73648 60.78 (+10.78)         Game Night (GAMEN) 100000 35.59 (-0.72)         Game Night (GAMEN) 100000 35.59 (-0.72)         Gambit (GAMBI) 33000 31.37 (-1.02)         The Assignment (TOMBO) 20000 1.34 (-0.05)