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Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}

Posted by: Facto on May 01, 20:54 in response to second gary's post Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day...

RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high single digits {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:46

[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:48

Here's my wild guess that MTC will be higher on THOR and BRDSM, and lower on Priest. Now, let's put wild guesses to the test.   Facto on May 01, 18:58

But it's surely...   second gary on May 01, 20:34

Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for it, iirc? {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:39

Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day question.   second gary on May 01, 20:49

Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:54

Huh. Hangover and Panda are opening on Thursday? What's that multiplier then, Thursday + (2.2 * 4-day weekend)? {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:13

Yes {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

Argh, weekends like that make by brain hurt. {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:33

Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for STBRW or JUMPB, calling them "modest romantic comedies" (iirc). {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:54

Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:54

Why? You don't state any reasons - BoxOffice.Com said something as to why they think it won't do much business :-) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:56

I don't think so. Twitter has missed lately, but it's quite reliable in predicting underperformers with low tweet counts. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 18:57

yeah the young woman fanbase of the book is INTENSE {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:57

two wedding comedies have never opened against each other different demo or not {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:59

And then Bridesmaids follows the week after. Talk about wedding overload! {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:00

.. but, just to play devil's advocate, it *is* wedding season, no.. ? :-)   Facto on May 01, 20:03

There's a book? :) {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:59

irony, right?   Facto on May 01, 19:00

(and I am of course not talking about notfabio!) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:06

naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm}   islander on May 01, 18:58

Yup, even in 2003, DVORC did 9M full run.. "Le Divorce is a wacky romantic comedy starring Kate Hudson and Naomi Watts." {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:04

that wasnt given even a moderate push domestically and a terrible title {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 19:07

Sure, but it had Kate Hudson on the posters and marquees.. And Something Borrowed is expected to do at least double.   Facto on May 01, 19:09

MBFSG, Oct 2008 delist of 18.75: "Dane Cook and Kate Hudson star in the romantic comedy [My Best Friend's Girl].... " {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:19

Then again, Bride Wars of course delisted at 53.89 February 2009. But was that due to a snappy title and Anne Hathaway (fresh from The Devil   Facto on May 01, 19:11

stbrw also plain, generic, terrible title. bet 5 h-bucks at least one review will lead with "Soemthing Boring" {nm}   islander on May 01, 19:12

Heh :-) "Something boring, snored all through" {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:13

yeah it's pretty bland-looking   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:54

I think it looks dreadful   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:23

Thanks! ;-) What would you say were your favourite "women's movies/chick flicks" of the last 5 years? Devil Wears Prada, for instance?   Facto on May 01, 19:28

I suppose it pushes a 'meek inheriting the earth' button   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:51

I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than MADE OF HONOR in the same frame. {nm}   dsbman on May 01, 18:57

Bingo... the advertising for STBRW has been better and more prevalent even though I'm sure it's just as bad. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:01

We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:01

The BOM poll for STBRW is already starting out markedly weaker, which is a poor sign. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:04

You can't judge women's movies based on BOM Polls... I'd be shocked if they had more than 4 women responding {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

I'm not 100% sure, but feel that I recall that you have overestimated at least a couple women's movies, making similar sounding points?   Facto on May 01, 19:18

If those 4 women answer every womens movie poll on BOM something can be gleaned from it via comparison. {nm}   BionicMoron on May 01, 19:29

actually, *something* fruitful has to come out of the hours I've wasted surfing twitter, and this is it: There are *plenty* of women on Twit   Facto on May 01, 19:34

(snark;) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 23:24

agreed   jane_citizen on May 01, 20:07

So, RS amended numbers. They used to be low 50's for THOR, mid teens for Borrowed and low double digits for Jumping.   PVL Admin on May 01, 19:40

Borrowed and Broom heading south - and in line with BoxOffice.com's predictions. So, MTC should be lower - but we'll see. {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:42

Those are pretty weak numbers for Thor... it opened 82 million world wide... and no one knows about Thor outside america..   b4bad on May 01, 20:41

No way! The bark-o-meter has it lower than Fast5. More to follow later in the week. {nm}   PVL Admin on May 01, 20:54

Thor has more oversea appeal {nm}   xiayun on May 01, 21:01

Now that's just crazy talk...    Facto on May 01, 22:44

I'd suggest Thors Australian popularity is more to do with the fact Chris Hemsworth rose to fame playing a key role    osmosis2003 on May 01, 22:45

makes a lot of sense. Not much love for Thor from the Germans, though - perhaps they remember their previous führer that dug Norse mythology {nm}   Facto on May 02, 00:56

fuhrer/leader - Hitler dug Norse mythology, iirc, as did his favourite composer Richard Wagner ("March of the Valkyries", used in Star Wars,   Facto on May 02, 00:58





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Cantor Exchange
Jonny Weston (JWEST) 20000 20.62 (-0.29)         Alvin and the Chipmunks 4 (ALVN4) 5990 35.86 (+4.22)         World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 2000 41.37 (-0.81)         The Interview (NTRVW) 100000 15.31 (-35.24)         Bad Boys III (BADB3) 73000 22.34 (-3.76)         Matched (MTCHD) 50 1.44 (-0.02)         Zipper (ZIPER) 100000 5.76 (-0.24)         The African-American Fund (AFRAM) 10000 20.04 (+0.04)         Mistress America (MSTAM) 100000 3.13 (-0.87)         The Interview (NTRVW) 66667 15.31 (-35.24)         Star Trek 3 (TREK3) 1000 105.04 (-4.01)         In the Event of a Moon Disaster (EVNMD) 20000 16.31 (-0.19)         The Most Wonderful Time (TMWTM) 20000 4.49 (-0.38)         Night at the Museum: Secret of t (NMUS3.PU) 500 3.48 (+0.31)         The Accountant (ACTNT) 20000 30.09 (-0.41)         Night at the Museum: Secret of t (NMUS3.PU) 500 3.48 (+0.31)         The Equalizer 2 (EQLZ2) 20000 31.83 (-0.66)         Zoolander 2 (ZOOL2) 10000 28.88 (-0.44)         Inside Out (NMIND) 1 151.19 (+0.57)         Pete's Dragon (PDRGN) 5000 33.67 (-0.26)         Into the Woods (INTWD) 1 93.71 (+0.03)         American Jesus (AMJES) 90000 0.01 (0.00)         Star Wars: Episode VIII (STAR8) 2036 229.31 (-5.76)         The Interview (NTRVW) 50000 15.31 (-35.24)         Jonah Hill (JHILL) 20000 153.11 (-0.28)         Beetlejuice 2 (BEET2) 14056 20.02 (+1.94)         The Flash (FLASH) 11 55.46 (-0.26)         Jurassic World (JURA4) 28881 178.86 (+1.40)         The Gambler H$10 Call (GMBLR.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Unbroken H$20 Call (UBRKN.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Into the Woods H$35 Call (INTWD.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Aquaman (AQUMN) 11 72.95 (-0.41)         Gregory the Nuisance aka Pyongya (GREGN) 20000 13.55 (-5.11)         Into the Woods H$35 Put (INTWD.PU) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         The Gambler H$10 Put (GMBLR.PU) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         The Interview (NTRVW) 15000 15.31 (-35.24)         Unbroken H$20 Put (UBRKN.PU) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Gregory the Nuisance aka Pyongya (GREGN) 100000 13.55 (-5.11)         The Croods 2 (CROD2) 11 56.51 (-0.05)         Kung Fu Panda 3 (PAND3) 1 107.11 (+2.18)         Star Trek 3 (TREK3) 50000 105.04 (-4.01)         William Hurt (WHURT) 20000 8.59 (+0.62)         James Franco (JAFRA) 20000 8.83 (-1.10)         Rodrigo Santoro (RSANT) 20000 54.91 (-0.37)         Night at the Museum: Secret of t (NMUS3) 50000 88.58 (-4.72)         Black Panther (BPNTH) 10 68.12 (+0.41)         Annette Bening (ABENI) 20000 3.89 (+0.13)         Inherent Vice (INHVC) 100000 13.01 (-0.01)         Jonny Weston (JWEST) 20000 20.62 (-0.29)         Rhona Mitra (RMITR) 20000 8.37 (+0.20)