ANNOUNCEMENT: Trade TVStocks of the new, mid-season network series.

HSX Forums: Movies Board






Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}

Posted by: Facto on May 01, 20:54 in response to second gary's post Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day...

RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high single digits {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:46

[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:48

Here's my wild guess that MTC will be higher on THOR and BRDSM, and lower on Priest. Now, let's put wild guesses to the test.   Facto on May 01, 18:58

But it's surely...   second gary on May 01, 20:34

Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for it, iirc? {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:39

Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day question.   second gary on May 01, 20:49

Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:54

Huh. Hangover and Panda are opening on Thursday? What's that multiplier then, Thursday + (2.2 * 4-day weekend)? {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:13

Yes {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

Argh, weekends like that make by brain hurt. {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:33

Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for STBRW or JUMPB, calling them "modest romantic comedies" (iirc). {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:54

Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:54

Why? You don't state any reasons - BoxOffice.Com said something as to why they think it won't do much business :-) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:56

I don't think so. Twitter has missed lately, but it's quite reliable in predicting underperformers with low tweet counts. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 18:57

yeah the young woman fanbase of the book is INTENSE {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:57

two wedding comedies have never opened against each other different demo or not {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:59

And then Bridesmaids follows the week after. Talk about wedding overload! {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:00

.. but, just to play devil's advocate, it *is* wedding season, no.. ? :-)   Facto on May 01, 20:03

There's a book? :) {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:59

irony, right?   Facto on May 01, 19:00

(and I am of course not talking about notfabio!) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:06

naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm}   islander on May 01, 18:58

Yup, even in 2003, DVORC did 9M full run.. "Le Divorce is a wacky romantic comedy starring Kate Hudson and Naomi Watts." {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:04

that wasnt given even a moderate push domestically and a terrible title {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 19:07

Sure, but it had Kate Hudson on the posters and marquees.. And Something Borrowed is expected to do at least double.   Facto on May 01, 19:09

MBFSG, Oct 2008 delist of 18.75: "Dane Cook and Kate Hudson star in the romantic comedy [My Best Friend's Girl].... " {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:19

Then again, Bride Wars of course delisted at 53.89 February 2009. But was that due to a snappy title and Anne Hathaway (fresh from The Devil   Facto on May 01, 19:11

stbrw also plain, generic, terrible title. bet 5 h-bucks at least one review will lead with "Soemthing Boring" {nm}   islander on May 01, 19:12

Heh :-) "Something boring, snored all through" {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:13

yeah it's pretty bland-looking   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:54

I think it looks dreadful   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:23

Thanks! ;-) What would you say were your favourite "women's movies/chick flicks" of the last 5 years? Devil Wears Prada, for instance?   Facto on May 01, 19:28

I suppose it pushes a 'meek inheriting the earth' button   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:51

I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than MADE OF HONOR in the same frame. {nm}   dsbman on May 01, 18:57

Bingo... the advertising for STBRW has been better and more prevalent even though I'm sure it's just as bad. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:01

We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:01

The BOM poll for STBRW is already starting out markedly weaker, which is a poor sign. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:04

You can't judge women's movies based on BOM Polls... I'd be shocked if they had more than 4 women responding {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

I'm not 100% sure, but feel that I recall that you have overestimated at least a couple women's movies, making similar sounding points?   Facto on May 01, 19:18

If those 4 women answer every womens movie poll on BOM something can be gleaned from it via comparison. {nm}   BionicMoron on May 01, 19:29

actually, *something* fruitful has to come out of the hours I've wasted surfing twitter, and this is it: There are *plenty* of women on Twit   Facto on May 01, 19:34

(snark;) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 23:24

agreed   jane_citizen on May 01, 20:07

So, RS amended numbers. They used to be low 50's for THOR, mid teens for Borrowed and low double digits for Jumping.   PVL Admin on May 01, 19:40

Borrowed and Broom heading south - and in line with BoxOffice.com's predictions. So, MTC should be lower - but we'll see. {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:42

Those are pretty weak numbers for Thor... it opened 82 million world wide... and no one knows about Thor outside america..   b4bad on May 01, 20:41

No way! The bark-o-meter has it lower than Fast5. More to follow later in the week. {nm}   PVL Admin on May 01, 20:54

Thor has more oversea appeal {nm}   xiayun on May 01, 21:01

Now that's just crazy talk...    Facto on May 01, 22:44

I'd suggest Thors Australian popularity is more to do with the fact Chris Hemsworth rose to fame playing a key role    osmosis2003 on May 01, 22:45

makes a lot of sense. Not much love for Thor from the Germans, though - perhaps they remember their previous führer that dug Norse mythology {nm}   Facto on May 02, 00:56

fuhrer/leader - Hitler dug Norse mythology, iirc, as did his favourite composer Richard Wagner ("March of the Valkyries", used in Star Wars,   Facto on May 02, 00:58





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
The Look of Silence (LOSLN) 100000 0.05 (+0.01)         The Letters (LETRS) 40000 1.12 (-0.07)         Captain Marvel (CMARV) 100000 62.57 (+2.57)         Love & Mercy (LVMRC) 100000 4.65 (+0.04)         Spy (SCOPR) 50 85.78 (-0.10)         The Other Side (OTHSD) 99900 0.09 (+0.01)         The Osterman Weekend (OSTER) 99900 0.07 (-0.01)         The Orphanage (ORPHG) 99900 0.04 (+0.03)         The Nutcracker and the Mouse Kin (NUTMK) 99900 0.06 (+0.02)         The Mortal Instruments: City of (CTOF2) 99900 0.04 (+0.01)         Terminator: Genisys (TERM5) 150 105.98 (-0.25)         Star Wars: Rogue One (SW16) 100000 248.05 (+0.77)         The Monster of Florence (MOFLR) 99900 0.05 (+0.02)         Furious 7 (FAST7) 204 328.19 (-0.89)         The Monkey Wrench Gang (MNKWG) 99900 0.08 (+0.01)         The Lovers (SINGU) 99900 0.03 (+0.02)         The Look of Silence (LOSLN) 99900 0.05 (+0.01)         The Long Play (LPLAY) 99900 0.05 (+0.01)         Insidious: Chapter 3 (NSID3) 250 51.46 (+0.01)         The Locals (LOCAL) 99900 0.11 (+0.03)         Life and Adventures of Santa Cla (SANTA) 99900 0.10 (+0.04)         The Last Photograph (LPHOT) 99900 0.04 (+0.02)         Last Friday (FRID4) 397 0.03 (+0.02)         The Last Full Measure (LFMSR) 99900 0.05 (+0.03)         Patriots' Day (PATSD) 100000 18.59 (+0.01)         The Last Days of American Crime (LDAMC) 99900 0.11 (+0.04)         Nerve (NERVE) 100000 22.36 (-0.06)         The Jungle Book (JUNGB) 99900 0.09 (+0.01)         The Little Prince (LPRNC) 100000 26.36 (+0.10)         The Jesuit (JESUT) 99900 0.05 (+0.04)         Beverly Hills Cop (BHCP4) 100000 19.74 (+0.20)         The Insane Laws (NSLAW) 99900 0.03 (+0.02)         Snowden (SNWDN) 100000 26.69 (-0.69)         Entourage (ENTOR) 250 41.29 (-0.13)         Patriots' Day (PATSD) 100000 18.59 (+0.01)         Nerve (NERVE) 100000 22.36 (-0.06)         Incredible Shrinking Man (ISMAN) 99900 0.08 (+0.03)         The Little Prince (LPRNC) 100000 26.36 (+0.10)         The Immortalist (IMORT) 99900 0.04 (+0.02)         Beverly Hills Cop (BHCP4) 100000 19.74 (+0.20)         The Hypnotist (HYPNO) 99900 0.03 (+0.01)         The Little Prince (LPRNC) 100000 26.36 (+0.10)         Robotech (RTECH) 100000 25.10 (-1.36)         Beverly Hills Cop (BHCP4) 100000 19.74 (+0.20)         The Harvest (HRVST) 99900 0.05 (-0.03)         The Happytime Murders (HPTMR) 99900 0.06 (+0.02)         Staten Island Summer (SISUM) 100000 7.91 (+0.38)         The Gunslinger (GUNSL) 99900 0.06 (+0.02)         Grimsby (GRMSB) 100000 20.59 (+0.27)         The Guernsey Literary and Potato (GLPPS) 99900 0.06 (+0.03)