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Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}

Posted by: Facto on May 01, 20:54 in response to second gary's post Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day...

RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high single digits {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:46

[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:48

Here's my wild guess that MTC will be higher on THOR and BRDSM, and lower on Priest. Now, let's put wild guesses to the test.   Facto on May 01, 18:58

But it's surely...   second gary on May 01, 20:34

Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for it, iirc? {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:39

Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day question.   second gary on May 01, 20:49

Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:54

Huh. Hangover and Panda are opening on Thursday? What's that multiplier then, Thursday + (2.2 * 4-day weekend)? {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:13

Yes {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

Argh, weekends like that make by brain hurt. {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:33

Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for STBRW or JUMPB, calling them "modest romantic comedies" (iirc). {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:54

Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:54

Why? You don't state any reasons - BoxOffice.Com said something as to why they think it won't do much business :-) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:56

I don't think so. Twitter has missed lately, but it's quite reliable in predicting underperformers with low tweet counts. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 18:57

yeah the young woman fanbase of the book is INTENSE {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:57

two wedding comedies have never opened against each other different demo or not {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:59

And then Bridesmaids follows the week after. Talk about wedding overload! {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:00

.. but, just to play devil's advocate, it *is* wedding season, no.. ? :-)   Facto on May 01, 20:03

There's a book? :) {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:59

irony, right?   Facto on May 01, 19:00

(and I am of course not talking about notfabio!) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:06

naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm}   islander on May 01, 18:58

Yup, even in 2003, DVORC did 9M full run.. "Le Divorce is a wacky romantic comedy starring Kate Hudson and Naomi Watts." {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:04

that wasnt given even a moderate push domestically and a terrible title {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 19:07

Sure, but it had Kate Hudson on the posters and marquees.. And Something Borrowed is expected to do at least double.   Facto on May 01, 19:09

MBFSG, Oct 2008 delist of 18.75: "Dane Cook and Kate Hudson star in the romantic comedy [My Best Friend's Girl].... " {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:19

Then again, Bride Wars of course delisted at 53.89 February 2009. But was that due to a snappy title and Anne Hathaway (fresh from The Devil   Facto on May 01, 19:11

stbrw also plain, generic, terrible title. bet 5 h-bucks at least one review will lead with "Soemthing Boring" {nm}   islander on May 01, 19:12

Heh :-) "Something boring, snored all through" {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:13

yeah it's pretty bland-looking   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:54

I think it looks dreadful   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:23

Thanks! ;-) What would you say were your favourite "women's movies/chick flicks" of the last 5 years? Devil Wears Prada, for instance?   Facto on May 01, 19:28

I suppose it pushes a 'meek inheriting the earth' button   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:51

I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than MADE OF HONOR in the same frame. {nm}   dsbman on May 01, 18:57

Bingo... the advertising for STBRW has been better and more prevalent even though I'm sure it's just as bad. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:01

We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:01

The BOM poll for STBRW is already starting out markedly weaker, which is a poor sign. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:04

You can't judge women's movies based on BOM Polls... I'd be shocked if they had more than 4 women responding {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

I'm not 100% sure, but feel that I recall that you have overestimated at least a couple women's movies, making similar sounding points?   Facto on May 01, 19:18

If those 4 women answer every womens movie poll on BOM something can be gleaned from it via comparison. {nm}   BionicMoron on May 01, 19:29

actually, *something* fruitful has to come out of the hours I've wasted surfing twitter, and this is it: There are *plenty* of women on Twit   Facto on May 01, 19:34

(snark;) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 23:24

agreed   jane_citizen on May 01, 20:07

So, RS amended numbers. They used to be low 50's for THOR, mid teens for Borrowed and low double digits for Jumping.   PVL Admin on May 01, 19:40

Borrowed and Broom heading south - and in line with BoxOffice.com's predictions. So, MTC should be lower - but we'll see. {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:42

Those are pretty weak numbers for Thor... it opened 82 million world wide... and no one knows about Thor outside america..   b4bad on May 01, 20:41

No way! The bark-o-meter has it lower than Fast5. More to follow later in the week. {nm}   PVL Admin on May 01, 20:54

Thor has more oversea appeal {nm}   xiayun on May 01, 21:01

Now that's just crazy talk...    Facto on May 01, 22:44

I'd suggest Thors Australian popularity is more to do with the fact Chris Hemsworth rose to fame playing a key role    osmosis2003 on May 01, 22:45

makes a lot of sense. Not much love for Thor from the Germans, though - perhaps they remember their previous führer that dug Norse mythology {nm}   Facto on May 02, 00:56

fuhrer/leader - Hitler dug Norse mythology, iirc, as did his favourite composer Richard Wagner ("March of the Valkyries", used in Star Wars,   Facto on May 02, 00:58





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Thor: Ragnarok (THOR3) 10000 130.51 (+0.46)         Johnny Depp (JDEPP) 4000 60.43 (+0.16)         The Invisible Man (INVSB) 990 29.02 (+1.39)         High Wire Act (HWACT) 100000 13.91 (-0.48)         Space Jam 2 (SJAM2) 100000 46.18 (+1.18)         Tumbledown (TMBLD) 30000 0.01 (-0.02)         Creative Control (CCTRL) 15 1.23 (-0.88)         Emperor (EMPRR) 10000 0.08 (-0.05)         The Writer-Director Fund (SCRPT) 100 39.61 (-0.25)         Jack Reacher: Never Go Back (RECH2) 40 66.86 (-0.06)         A Star is Born (ASTAR) 15 11.45 (-1.01)         The Runaround (RUNAR) 100000 7.38 (+2.79)         Mapplethorpe (MPLTH) 9000 2.61 (-0.14)         Where To Invade Next (WTINX) 7440 4.99 (+0.11)         T.J. Miller (TJMIL) 20000 154.03 (+1.15)         The Trade (TTRAD) 30000 0.10 (0.00)         The Darkness aka 6 Miranda Drive (6MRDR) 15 14.50 (-1.17)         Morena Baccarin (MBACC) 20000 73.69 (+1.02)         Bill Pullman (BPULL) 4000 28.33 (+0.25)         Gina Carano (GCARA) 20000 93.69 (+1.96)         Zac Efron (ZEFRO) 20000 41.95 (-0.53)         The Mummy (MUMY4) 10000 62.37 (-0.07)         Term Life (TRMLF) 25000 1.29 (+0.08)         Pandemic (PNDMC) 10000 2.54 (-0.13)         Ed Skrein (ESKRE) 20000 19.13 (+0.52)         Spawn reboot (SPWN2) 40796 0.31 (+0.11)         Ryan Reynolds (RREYN) 20000 52.27 (+1.17)         Felt (FELT) 550 15.39 (+1.13)         London Has Fallen (HFAL2) 30 59.25 (+0.05)         Pete's Dragon (PDRGN) 10000 53.12 (+2.29)         Choose Your Own Adventure (CYOA) 20000 1.35 (+0.04)         The Thousand Miles (TTMIL) 1 10.57 (+1.25)         The Favourite (FVRIT) 2000 6.51 (+1.25)         Hardcore Henry (HRDCR) 1 24.87 (+2.24)         Annabelle 2 (ANAB2) 1 29.38 (+2.29)         Ready Player One (RDYP1) 975 99.41 (0.00)         Dr. Seuss' How the Grinch Stole (HTGSC) 14999 39.76 (-1.51)         Suburbicon (SUBCN) 100000 20.00 (0.00)         The Purge: Election Year aka The (PURG3) 10000 51.92 (-0.46)         Spawn reboot (SPWN2) 100000 0.31 (+0.11)         X-Force (XFORC) 1 13.94 (+0.79)         Exposed (DOGOD) 55000 0.13 (-0.02)         Suburbicon (SUBCN) 100000 20.00 (0.00)         Felt (FELT) 50 15.39 (+1.13)         Elizabeth Banks (EBANK) 20000 91.54 (0.00)         Remember the Goal (RTGOL) 9000 1.65 (0.00)         Russ & Roger Go Beyond (RARGB) 99888 3.69 (-0.04)         Suburbicon (SUBCN) 100000 20.00 (0.00)         Now You See Me 2 (NYSM2) 1000 60.06 (-0.26)         Captain Underpants (CUNDP) 2500 16.20 (-0.13)