ANNOUNCEMENT: Sign-In with Facebook is currently unavailable. Please use your HSX username to login. Sorry about the inconvenience.

HSX Forums: Movies Board






Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}

Posted by: Facto on May 01, 20:54 in response to second gary's post Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day...

RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high single digits {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:46

[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:48

Here's my wild guess that MTC will be higher on THOR and BRDSM, and lower on Priest. Now, let's put wild guesses to the test.   Facto on May 01, 18:58

But it's surely...   second gary on May 01, 20:34

Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for it, iirc? {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:39

Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day question.   second gary on May 01, 20:49

Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:54

Huh. Hangover and Panda are opening on Thursday? What's that multiplier then, Thursday + (2.2 * 4-day weekend)? {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:13

Yes {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

Argh, weekends like that make by brain hurt. {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:33

Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for STBRW or JUMPB, calling them "modest romantic comedies" (iirc). {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:54

Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:54

Why? You don't state any reasons - BoxOffice.Com said something as to why they think it won't do much business :-) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:56

I don't think so. Twitter has missed lately, but it's quite reliable in predicting underperformers with low tweet counts. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 18:57

yeah the young woman fanbase of the book is INTENSE {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:57

two wedding comedies have never opened against each other different demo or not {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:59

And then Bridesmaids follows the week after. Talk about wedding overload! {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:00

.. but, just to play devil's advocate, it *is* wedding season, no.. ? :-)   Facto on May 01, 20:03

There's a book? :) {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:59

irony, right?   Facto on May 01, 19:00

(and I am of course not talking about notfabio!) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:06

naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm}   islander on May 01, 18:58

Yup, even in 2003, DVORC did 9M full run.. "Le Divorce is a wacky romantic comedy starring Kate Hudson and Naomi Watts." {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:04

that wasnt given even a moderate push domestically and a terrible title {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 19:07

Sure, but it had Kate Hudson on the posters and marquees.. And Something Borrowed is expected to do at least double.   Facto on May 01, 19:09

MBFSG, Oct 2008 delist of 18.75: "Dane Cook and Kate Hudson star in the romantic comedy [My Best Friend's Girl].... " {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:19

Then again, Bride Wars of course delisted at 53.89 February 2009. But was that due to a snappy title and Anne Hathaway (fresh from The Devil   Facto on May 01, 19:11

stbrw also plain, generic, terrible title. bet 5 h-bucks at least one review will lead with "Soemthing Boring" {nm}   islander on May 01, 19:12

Heh :-) "Something boring, snored all through" {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:13

yeah it's pretty bland-looking   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:54

I think it looks dreadful   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:23

Thanks! ;-) What would you say were your favourite "women's movies/chick flicks" of the last 5 years? Devil Wears Prada, for instance?   Facto on May 01, 19:28

I suppose it pushes a 'meek inheriting the earth' button   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:51

I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than MADE OF HONOR in the same frame. {nm}   dsbman on May 01, 18:57

Bingo... the advertising for STBRW has been better and more prevalent even though I'm sure it's just as bad. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:01

We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:01

The BOM poll for STBRW is already starting out markedly weaker, which is a poor sign. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:04

You can't judge women's movies based on BOM Polls... I'd be shocked if they had more than 4 women responding {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

I'm not 100% sure, but feel that I recall that you have overestimated at least a couple women's movies, making similar sounding points?   Facto on May 01, 19:18

If those 4 women answer every womens movie poll on BOM something can be gleaned from it via comparison. {nm}   BionicMoron on May 01, 19:29

actually, *something* fruitful has to come out of the hours I've wasted surfing twitter, and this is it: There are *plenty* of women on Twit   Facto on May 01, 19:34

(snark;) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 23:24

agreed   jane_citizen on May 01, 20:07

So, RS amended numbers. They used to be low 50's for THOR, mid teens for Borrowed and low double digits for Jumping.   PVL Admin on May 01, 19:40

Borrowed and Broom heading south - and in line with BoxOffice.com's predictions. So, MTC should be lower - but we'll see. {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:42

Those are pretty weak numbers for Thor... it opened 82 million world wide... and no one knows about Thor outside america..   b4bad on May 01, 20:41

No way! The bark-o-meter has it lower than Fast5. More to follow later in the week. {nm}   PVL Admin on May 01, 20:54

Thor has more oversea appeal {nm}   xiayun on May 01, 21:01

Now that's just crazy talk...    Facto on May 01, 22:44

I'd suggest Thors Australian popularity is more to do with the fact Chris Hemsworth rose to fame playing a key role    osmosis2003 on May 01, 22:45

makes a lot of sense. Not much love for Thor from the Germans, though - perhaps they remember their previous führer that dug Norse mythology {nm}   Facto on May 02, 00:56

fuhrer/leader - Hitler dug Norse mythology, iirc, as did his favourite composer Richard Wagner ("March of the Valkyries", used in Star Wars,   Facto on May 02, 00:58





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
The Dressmaker (DRSMK) 99997 4.62 (+0.13)         Ruth & Alex (RALEX) 20000 8.63 (+0.63)         The Dressmaker (DRSMK) 99997 4.62 (+0.13)         Learning Italian (LRNIT) 29999 0.08 (+0.01)         Rio, I Love You (RIOIL) 100000 0.32 (+0.28)         Jackie Chan (JCHAN) 286 62.28 (-0.13)         Amulet (AMULT) 29999 0.10 (+0.02)         Barbie (BARBI) 100000 3.21 (-0.04)         Kickboxer (KBOXR) 100000 17.12 (0.00)         RentaGhost (RENTA) 100000 0.04 (0.00)         Ratchet and Clank (RATCL) 100000 31.88 (+0.05)         Birdman (BIRDM) 2000 19.18 (-2.72)         When the Game Stands Tall (WTGST) 100000 22.23 (+0.17)         Brotherhood of Rose (BROSE) 8979 0.07 (-0.02)         The Hundred-Foot Journey (THFTJ) 9900 37.36 (-0.45)         We Are Your Friends (WAYFR) 82500 30.17 (-0.74)         Leprechaun: Origins (LPCHN) 100000 0.04 (-0.04)         Dawn of the Planet of the Apes $ (APES2.BW) 7000 9.09 (-0.07)         Dave Bautista (DBAUT) 19999 98.59 (-0.99)         Leprechaun: Origins (LPCHN) 100000 0.04 (-0.04)         Richard Pryor (PRYOR) 874 5.72 (+0.23)         Sin City: A Dame to Kill For (SINC2) 1 14.01 (+0.06)         What If (FWORD) 100000 2.88 (0.00)         Transformers: Age of Extinction (TFRM4.BW) 20000 7.88 (+0.07)         If I Stay (ISTAY) 100000 41.45 (0.00)         Let's Be Cops (LBCOP) 100000 65.24 (+0.20)         Ratchet and Clank (RATCL) 250 31.88 (+0.05)         Rio, I Love You (RIOIL) 100000 0.32 (+0.28)         Transformers: Age of Extinction (TFRM4.BW) 3000 7.88 (+0.07)         The Divergent Series: Insurgent (DVRG2) 100000 140.24 (-0.35)         The Emperor's Children (EMPCH) 865 3.36 (+0.29)         Pioneer (PIONR) 100000 1.24 (+0.02)         Lucy Punch (LPUNC) 20000 8.99 (+0.04)         The Family Fang (FFANG) 100000 3.24 (+0.06)         The Finest Hours (FINHR) 20000 19.05 (-0.92)         Invisible Woman (INVSW) 2000 1.12 (+0.01)         Trainspotting 2 (TSPO2) 100000 1.71 (+0.02)         Blade Runner 2 (BLAD2) 2000 25.31 (+0.46)         Hood (HOOD) 4000 0.04 (-0.01)         Birdman (BIRDM) 2000 19.18 (-2.72)         Trainwreck (TRWRC) 100 42.37 (0.00)         Blade Runner 2 (BLAD2) 2000 25.31 (+0.46)         Pacific Rim 2 (PACR2) 99999 62.49 (-0.93)         Invisible Woman (INVSW) 2000 1.12 (+0.01)         If I Stay (ISTAY) 100000 41.45 (0.00)         Susan Sarandon (SSARA) 20000 23.63 (0.00)         Deadpool (DEADP) 100000 28.50 (-0.15)         Blade Runner 2 (BLAD2) 2000 25.31 (+0.46)         Every Secret Thing (EVSTH) 100000 0.17 (+0.02)         Jungle Book: Origins (JNGBO) 50000 57.86 (+0.16)