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Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}

Posted by: Facto on May 01, 20:54 in response to second gary's post Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day...

RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high single digits {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:46

[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:48

Here's my wild guess that MTC will be higher on THOR and BRDSM, and lower on Priest. Now, let's put wild guesses to the test.   Facto on May 01, 18:58

But it's surely...   second gary on May 01, 20:34

Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for it, iirc? {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:39

Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day question.   second gary on May 01, 20:49

Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:54

Huh. Hangover and Panda are opening on Thursday? What's that multiplier then, Thursday + (2.2 * 4-day weekend)? {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:13

Yes {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

Argh, weekends like that make by brain hurt. {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:33

Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for STBRW or JUMPB, calling them "modest romantic comedies" (iirc). {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:54

Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:54

Why? You don't state any reasons - BoxOffice.Com said something as to why they think it won't do much business :-) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:56

I don't think so. Twitter has missed lately, but it's quite reliable in predicting underperformers with low tweet counts. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 18:57

yeah the young woman fanbase of the book is INTENSE {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:57

two wedding comedies have never opened against each other different demo or not {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:59

And then Bridesmaids follows the week after. Talk about wedding overload! {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:00

.. but, just to play devil's advocate, it *is* wedding season, no.. ? :-)   Facto on May 01, 20:03

There's a book? :) {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:59

irony, right?   Facto on May 01, 19:00

(and I am of course not talking about notfabio!) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:06

naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm}   islander on May 01, 18:58

Yup, even in 2003, DVORC did 9M full run.. "Le Divorce is a wacky romantic comedy starring Kate Hudson and Naomi Watts." {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:04

that wasnt given even a moderate push domestically and a terrible title {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 19:07

Sure, but it had Kate Hudson on the posters and marquees.. And Something Borrowed is expected to do at least double.   Facto on May 01, 19:09

MBFSG, Oct 2008 delist of 18.75: "Dane Cook and Kate Hudson star in the romantic comedy [My Best Friend's Girl].... " {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:19

Then again, Bride Wars of course delisted at 53.89 February 2009. But was that due to a snappy title and Anne Hathaway (fresh from The Devil   Facto on May 01, 19:11

stbrw also plain, generic, terrible title. bet 5 h-bucks at least one review will lead with "Soemthing Boring" {nm}   islander on May 01, 19:12

Heh :-) "Something boring, snored all through" {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:13

yeah it's pretty bland-looking   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:54

I think it looks dreadful   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:23

Thanks! ;-) What would you say were your favourite "women's movies/chick flicks" of the last 5 years? Devil Wears Prada, for instance?   Facto on May 01, 19:28

I suppose it pushes a 'meek inheriting the earth' button   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:51

I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than MADE OF HONOR in the same frame. {nm}   dsbman on May 01, 18:57

Bingo... the advertising for STBRW has been better and more prevalent even though I'm sure it's just as bad. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:01

We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:01

The BOM poll for STBRW is already starting out markedly weaker, which is a poor sign. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:04

You can't judge women's movies based on BOM Polls... I'd be shocked if they had more than 4 women responding {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

I'm not 100% sure, but feel that I recall that you have overestimated at least a couple women's movies, making similar sounding points?   Facto on May 01, 19:18

If those 4 women answer every womens movie poll on BOM something can be gleaned from it via comparison. {nm}   BionicMoron on May 01, 19:29

actually, *something* fruitful has to come out of the hours I've wasted surfing twitter, and this is it: There are *plenty* of women on Twit   Facto on May 01, 19:34

(snark;) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 23:24

agreed   jane_citizen on May 01, 20:07

So, RS amended numbers. They used to be low 50's for THOR, mid teens for Borrowed and low double digits for Jumping.   PVL Admin on May 01, 19:40

Borrowed and Broom heading south - and in line with BoxOffice.com's predictions. So, MTC should be lower - but we'll see. {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:42

Those are pretty weak numbers for Thor... it opened 82 million world wide... and no one knows about Thor outside america..   b4bad on May 01, 20:41

No way! The bark-o-meter has it lower than Fast5. More to follow later in the week. {nm}   PVL Admin on May 01, 20:54

Thor has more oversea appeal {nm}   xiayun on May 01, 21:01

Now that's just crazy talk...    Facto on May 01, 22:44

I'd suggest Thors Australian popularity is more to do with the fact Chris Hemsworth rose to fame playing a key role    osmosis2003 on May 01, 22:45

makes a lot of sense. Not much love for Thor from the Germans, though - perhaps they remember their previous führer that dug Norse mythology {nm}   Facto on May 02, 00:56

fuhrer/leader - Hitler dug Norse mythology, iirc, as did his favourite composer Richard Wagner ("March of the Valkyries", used in Star Wars,   Facto on May 02, 00:58





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American Ultra (AULTR) 100000 19.36 (+1.40)         Mad Max: Fury Road $125M Blockbu (MMAX4.BW) 20000 5.00 (0.00)         Joss Whedon (JWHED) 20000 104.68 (-1.26)         Microbe et Gasoil (MCGAS) 100000 4.00 (0.00)         Baywatch: Red Tide (BAYWT) 5000 3.66 (0.00)         Linda Cardellini (LCARD) 20000 48.06 (-2.25)         Playing It Cool (AMSTH) 100000 0.03 (-0.04)         Pitch Perfect 2 $170M Blockbuste (PTCP2.BW) 4000 5.00 (0.00)         Tumbledown (TMBLD) 99999 1.33 (+1.25)         Valerian (VALER) 100000 40.75 (+1.63)         Don Cheadle (DCHEA) 20000 167.65 (-2.17)         Mad Max: Fury Road $125M Blockbu (MMAX4.BW) 20000 5.00 (0.00)         It (IT1) 1000 19.68 (+2.27)         The Face of an Angel (TFOAN) 50000 0.10 (-0.04)         Linda Cardellini (LCARD) 20000 48.06 (-2.25)         Mad Max: Fury Road $125M Blockbu (MMAX4.BW) 20000 5.00 (0.00)         Mark Ruffalo (MRUFF) 1 56.36 (-23.05)         George Clooney (GCLOO) 701 105.93 (+0.33)         Microbe et Gasoil (MCGAS) 100000 4.00 (0.00)         Samuel L. Jackson (SLJAC) 20000 91.79 (-45.94)         Thomas Kretschmann (TKRET) 5000 48.04 (-40.50)         Tink (TINK) 100000 19.75 (+2.09)         Microbe et Gasoil (MCGAS) 1 4.00 (0.00)         Home Sweet Hell (NOHEL) 60000 0.01 (-0.06)         Leighton Meester (LMEES) 20000 22.41 (+5.52)         Star Wars: Episode VIII (STAR8) 1113 300.53 (+1.46)         Samuel L. Jackson (SLJAC) 5000 91.79 (-45.94)         Mark Ruffalo (MRUFF) 20000 56.36 (-23.05)         Pitch Perfect 2 $170M Blockbuste (PTCP2.BW) 20000 5.00 (0.00)         Jurassic World (JURA4) 32655 242.76 (+2.79)         Mark Ruffalo (MRUFF) 20000 56.36 (-23.05)         IInsidious: Chapter 3 - Opening (NSID3.OW) 100000 24.91 (+4.91)         Sofia Vergara (SVERG) 20000 28.00 (-0.35)         Mad Max: Fury Road $125M Blockbu (MMAX4.BW) 20000 5.00 (0.00)         Tumbledown (TMBLD) 100000 1.33 (+1.25)         Sofia Vergara (SVERG) 2 28.00 (-0.35)         It (IT1) 99999 19.68 (+2.27)         Max Von Sydow (MVSYD) 4 77.91 (+0.45)         San Andreas (SANDR) 1243 103.43 (+3.43)         Bad Moms aka Untitled Mann/Apato (BMOMS) 90000 25.00 (0.00)         Green Room (GRNRM) 1 3.50 (+0.20)         Elizabeth Olsen (EOLSE) 5 90.38 (-0.48)         The Secret Life of Houdini (TSLOH) 100000 17.05 (-0.10)         Anthony Mackie (AMACK) 20000 101.39 (-3.81)         Pitch Perfect 2 $170M Blockbuste (PTCP2.BW) 20000 5.00 (0.00)         Mark Ruffalo (MRUFF) 20000 56.36 (-23.05)         Jason Momoa (JMOMO) 10 30.23 (+0.24)         Central Intelligence (CINTL) 100000 34.87 (+0.19)         Aaron Taylor-Johnson (AJOHN) 20000 106.53 (-1.37)         Andy Serkis (ASERK) 5 154.62 (-2.60)