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His comment is about how huge openers do post adjust historically...and the lack of research done by the poster
HPOT8 opened 169.19.....adjusted to 456.81....actual adjust should've been lower.....delist 343.09
Dark Knight opened 158.41...adjusted to 444.40....actual should've been lower....delist 441.63
SPID3 opened 151.12...adjusted to 414.40...delist 307.75
The point I think he was trying to make was that huge openers don't hold onto those big initial gains...in his opinion, the multiplier is impacted by the midnights.
He also made a comment about longevity based on quality.....based on general review of the 3 openers (not including HGAME b/c its not done yet theatrically and I'm not a fangirl)...that seems to be the case.
All movies aren't the same, all situations aren't the same. AVNGR can't do the same business on weekdays as some of those b/c of school and kids probably popped the number diff between AVNGR and Dark Knight. AVNGR has 3D screens and pricing that is in all likelihood larger than those blockbusters. AVNGR doesn't have to compete with upcoming/previous big tentpoles that those movies may or may not have.
End of the day, different circumstances.....but DTX made an accurate point about blockbusters (even if he colored it with a bias that some people don't share)
And did you notice how not one person replies with actual facts to back up a claim?....congrats on making his point for him
There are still 90M shorts on AVNGR. It's gone up. Some brave souls. {nm} May 07, 07:43
Have you noticed that The Avengers has been understimated at every turn? {nm} May 07, 07:51
Yeah, the Best Picture Oscar is probably in the bag. {nm} May 07, 07:53
Oh, I'm sorry, I thought we were talking box office figures and not nominoptions. Please carry on then. {nm} May 07, 07:54
Would you consider Dark Knight to be a shallow, spectacle-laden film? {nm} May 07, 08:04
No. I believe it transcended its genre to substantial degree, thanks in large part to Heath Ledger. {nm} May 07, 08:16
You do realize Joss Whedon didn't direct Buffy the Vampire Slayer, don't you? Not that it matters. {nm} May 07, 08:43
The difference here is that The Avengers is quite entertaining good action/comedy movie likely to have good legs. {nm} May 07, 08:08
Though I don't think using its quality as an argument here, I'm in flippers' team. At least in short tearm. {nm} May 07, 08:09
Which Transformers should I see? The one with 57% fresh, 35%, or 20% fresh on RT? Avengers holding at a paltry 93% fresh, BTW. May 07, 08:13
Oh, I didn't bother with the viewwer's %, just the critics. Fanboys & fangirls skew things too much. May 07, 08:35
Ooh! A cherry-picked bad review, one that coincides with your opinion. Most critics (and viewers) disagree with you. May 07, 10:30
His comment is about how huge openers do post adjust historically...and the lack of research done by the poster May 07, 08:17
Really?! Do you think that any research could have predicted the AVNGR performance? May 07, 08:36
Once again....made NO CALL either way of how its going to do...just giving perspective with actual facts May 07, 08:39
Only $8M for TLKAM. {nm} May 07, 08:47
Yes...and that's 33-60% higher than your EMPHATIC prediction May 07, 08:54
I said $5M-$6M, so it's more like 25%-36% better. Still won't make the $90M delist that it was at last week. ;-) {nm} May 07, 09:15
DRKSH seems like a descent enough movie, but there's AVNGR has too much momentum. May 07, 08:10
Especially Fund Managers, wouldn't you say :) ? Three funds I found long on AVNGR yesterday have all flipped. {nm} May 07, 08:03
I don't find it unreasonable to think that it won't make the 2.7 multiplier with such a big opening. {nm} May 07, 08:06
Given the competition this week, it's not unreasonable to think that it would have another > $100M weekend. May 07, 08:16
yeah, I personally would give it 50/50 on making the multiplier, no conviction either way... {nm} May 07, 08:21
Delists: BATM2 $430/Avatar $430/HPOT8 $343/LRDL3 $312/Titanic $42. {nm} May 07, 08:39
Again, AVNGR has been underestimated, even for the adjust. The total domestic gross is $207.1M May 07, 08:52
You can't even compare Avengers to HGAME? May 07, 09:08
That's post flip. During halt, there were only about 13.918 (you know, just "about") million shares shorted. {nm} May 07, 10:45