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Hmmm... supposed to go under alfpaul's post {nm}

Posted by: RogerMore on May 14, 17:15 in response to RogerMore's post This is from using the formula 1 - ABS(Predicted Weekend...

Posted below, but felt it would interesting enough to mention alone: MTC has a 2012 accuracy rate of about 76%. RS at 57%.   ShawnMR on May 14, 16:55

I'm not totally sure what the %'s mean. can you tell me the avg variance. Thanks for the info!   jwammo on May 14, 17:03

Not sure on the dollar figure, but my calculations are based on these examples:   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:16

you are calculating the average percentage error. correctly, I might add. Cheers. {nm}   jwammo on May 14, 17:31

uh what?   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:06

Please see Roger's and my replies just a couple of posts down. {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:20

If mid-20s is 25 and mid-single digit is 5, then mid-teens should be 15. {nm}   Antibody on May 14, 17:10

I define "teens" as 13-19, not 11-20 (which I would think to be "mid-double digits"). :) {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:12

Hit enter too soon: 11-20 where 15 be "mid-double digits" {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:13

Wouldn't mid-double digits be between 10-99? Wink {nm}   Jay_Beezy on May 14, 19:56

LOL! Using RS 2012 accuracy %, Battleship could open as high as 86M or as low as 24M. {nm}   thatpj on May 14, 17:10

This is from using the formula 1 - ABS(Predicted Weekend - Actual Weekend)/Actual Weekend.   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Hmmm... supposed to go under alfpaul's post {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Thx for the context at least but still confused   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:20

Agreed - it's not perfect, but it is easy to understand and easy to verify, which are advantages. {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:31

Agreed. My application today was simply to find a min-max for Battleship based on MTC's performance so far this year.   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:33

Yes. And I'll admit there are probably better measurements and/or terminology that can be used here. I'm just using that formula in my   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:19

Gotcha   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:24

So... the clarify... MTCs 27 "should" equate to a $35.53 weekend???? {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:54

*to clarify... I am asking to make sure I understand your position.. :) {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:57





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Terry Crews (TCREW) 20000 49.08 (-0.53)         We're the Millers (WEMIL) 100000 39.92 (-2.00)         Brit Marling (BMARL) 20000 3.24 (0.00)         True Story (TRUES) 100000 8.50 (-0.43)         Justin Bartha (JBART) 10000 93.98 (-0.10)         Nicole Kidman (NKIDM) 20000 22.49 (0.00)         The Jungle Book (JUNGB) 99999 0.02 (-0.02)         Prodigy (PRODG) 99999 0.02 (+0.01)         Despicable Me 2 (DESM2) 100 188.60 (-0.03)         Toussaint (TOUSN) 100000 0.14 (-0.07)         Elysium (ELYSM) 50000 107.69 (+0.55)         Todd Phillips (TPHIL) 20000 149.39 (-1.14)         Todd Phillips (TPHIL) 20000 149.39 (-1.14)         Saffron Burrows (SBURR) 20000 32.77 (+0.16)         Thanks for Sharing (THFSH) 100000 0.74 (+0.02)         The Hangover Part III (HNOV3) 21 133.56 (-3.15)         Epic (EPIC) 5320 83.95 (+1.89)         The Salvation (SALVT) 99998 6.56 (+1.53)         We're the Millers (WEMIL) 100000 39.92 (-2.00)         Man of Tai Chi (MTCHI) 50000 14.92 (+0.35)         Monster Squad (NCRWL) 99999 0.01 (0.00)         Monster Squad (NCRWL) 99999 0.01 (0.00)         Pitch Perfect 2 (PTCP2) 99998 34.04 (+4.54)         Man of Tai Chi (MTCHI) 50000 14.92 (+0.35)         Fast & Furious 6 (FAST6) 4196 222.82 (-0.51)         I, Frankenstein (IFRNK) 5 27.00 (+2.71)         Jamesy Boy (JMSYB) 57339 0.68 (+0.19)         Blood Ties (BLDTI) 50000 15.57 (+0.79)         Star Trek 3 (TREK3) 100000 138.51 (-2.32)         Fast & Furious 7 (FAST7) 100000 147.49 (+0.56)         Blood Ties (BLDTI) 50000 15.57 (+0.79)         Star Trek 3 (TREK3) 100000 138.51 (-2.32)         Star Trek 3 (TREK3) 50000 138.51 (-2.32)         American Sniper (AMSNP) 100000 47.42 (-2.27)         Monsters 2: Dark Continent (MNST2) 60000 1.60 (+0.02)         Pitch Perfect 2 (PTCP2) 1 34.04 (+4.54)         Fiasco Heights (FIASC) 99999 0.02 (+0.01)         The Wolverine (WOLV2) 1000 171.70 (-0.37)         Jamesy Boy (JMSYB) 100000 0.68 (+0.19)         Star Trek: Into Darkness (TREK2) 16000 199.41 (-1.46)         The Hangover Part III (HNOV3) 100000 133.56 (-3.15)         Star Trek: Into Darkness (TREK2) 18000 199.41 (-1.46)         The Hangover Part III (HNOV3) 1000 133.56 (-3.15)         Amulet (AMULT) 99999 0.02 (-0.01)         American Jesus (AMJES) 99999 0.02 (0.00)         Carol (CARO) 100000 7.44 (+0.99)         Jamesy Boy (JMSYB) 100000 0.68 (+0.19)         The Human Centipede 3 (Final Seq (HUCN3) 20000 0.86 (+0.03)         Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (TMNT1) 20000 78.40 (+0.24)         Maleficent (MALEF) 1000 73.18 (-0.07)