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Please see Roger's and my replies just a couple of posts down. {nm}

Posted by: ShawnMR on May 14, 17:20 in response to alfpaulytd2012's post uh what?

Posted below, but felt it would interesting enough to mention alone: MTC has a 2012 accuracy rate of about 76%. RS at 57%.   ShawnMR on May 14, 16:55

I'm not totally sure what the %'s mean. can you tell me the avg variance. Thanks for the info!   jwammo on May 14, 17:03

Not sure on the dollar figure, but my calculations are based on these examples:   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:16

you are calculating the average percentage error. correctly, I might add. Cheers. {nm}   jwammo on May 14, 17:31

uh what?   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:06

Please see Roger's and my replies just a couple of posts down. {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:20

If mid-20s is 25 and mid-single digit is 5, then mid-teens should be 15. {nm}   Antibody on May 14, 17:10

I define "teens" as 13-19, not 11-20 (which I would think to be "mid-double digits"). :) {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:12

Hit enter too soon: 11-20 where 15 be "mid-double digits" {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:13

Wouldn't mid-double digits be between 10-99? Wink {nm}   Jay_Beezy on May 14, 19:56

LOL! Using RS 2012 accuracy %, Battleship could open as high as 86M or as low as 24M. {nm}   thatpj on May 14, 17:10

This is from using the formula 1 - ABS(Predicted Weekend - Actual Weekend)/Actual Weekend.   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Hmmm... supposed to go under alfpaul's post {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Thx for the context at least but still confused   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:20

Agreed - it's not perfect, but it is easy to understand and easy to verify, which are advantages. {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:31

Agreed. My application today was simply to find a min-max for Battleship based on MTC's performance so far this year.   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:33

Yes. And I'll admit there are probably better measurements and/or terminology that can be used here. I'm just using that formula in my   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:19

Gotcha   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:24

So... the clarify... MTCs 27 "should" equate to a $35.53 weekend???? {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:54

*to clarify... I am asking to make sure I understand your position.. :) {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:57





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Idol's Eye (IDOLE) 12500 2.31 (-0.04)         Paddington (PADTN) 100000 38.75 (+0.30)         Dad's Army (DARMY) 100000 3.46 (-0.54)         Their Finest Hour And A Half (TFHAH) 100000 5.41 (-0.59)         Our Kind of Traitor (OKOTR) 99999 1.60 (-0.04)         Yucatan (YUCAT) 100000 28.69 (+3.31)         Central Intelligence (CINTL) 12500 11.49 (+0.02)         Yucatan (YUCAT) 100000 28.69 (+3.31)         Central Intelligence (CINTL) 24000 11.49 (+0.02)         Tiki (TIKI) 25000 0.14 (-0.02)         The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Par (HGAM3) 100000 358.02 (-3.46)         The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Par (HGAM3) 99999 358.02 (-3.46)         Natalie Dormer (NDORM) 225 79.38 (+0.12)         Jessica Chastain (JCHAS) 1 73.23 (-0.13)         The Wedding Ringer (WEDRN) 100000 42.33 (-0.14)         Flanimals (FLANM) 25000 0.11 (-0.03)         Zoolander 2 (ZOOL2) 99999 31.52 (+2.09)         Pete's Dragon (PDRGN) 50000 33.61 (-2.17)         LEGO Batman (LBATM) 50000 98.68 (-1.66)         G.I. JOE 3 (GIJO3) 32500 38.43 (+0.97)         Beverly Hills Cop (BHCP4) 100000 26.33 (-0.37)         Nazi Officer's Wife (NAZWF) 25000 0.17 (-0.01)         The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Par (HGAM3) 100000 358.02 (-3.46)         Transformers 5 (TFRM5) 100000 75.99 (-0.70)         Despicable Me 3 (DESM3) 64648 147.80 (-0.44)         The Persuaders (PRSUD) 25000 0.12 (-0.05)         Dad's Army (DARMY) 100000 3.46 (-0.54)         Queen of the Desert (QDSRT) 100000 0.03 (+0.01)         The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Par (HGAM3) 100000 358.02 (-3.46)         Wild Side aka Mississippi Wild (MSWLD) 25000 0.11 (+0.05)         The Glass Castle (GLASC) 89000 18.18 (+0.59)         The Glass Castle (GLASC) 9999 18.18 (+0.59)         Area 51 (ARE51) 100000 0.03 (+0.01)         Their Finest Hour And A Half (TFHAH) 10000 5.41 (-0.59)         Poltergeist (POLTR) 12500 26.40 (-0.26)         Man Up (MANUP) 99000 4.57 (+1.19)         Man Up (MANUP) 114 4.57 (+1.19)         The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Par (HGAM4) 41 341.73 (+3.22)         Falling Slowly (FSLOW) 25000 0.11 (0.00)         The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Par (HGAM3) 49999 358.02 (-3.46)         The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Par (HGAM4) 100000 341.73 (+3.22)         The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Par (HGAM4) 5000 341.73 (+3.22)         The Croods 2 (CROD2) 100000 47.92 (-1.48)         The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Par (HGAM4) 5000 341.73 (+3.22)         The Croods 2 (CROD2) 100000 47.92 (-1.48)         Mrs. Frisby and the Rats of NIMH (RNIMH) 25000 0.12 (+0.03)         The Good Lie (GDLIE) 99998 3.80 (-0.03)         Big Hero 6 (BHERO) 100000 145.05 (+0.52)         FOX: Gracepoint (GRACEP) 20000 7.67 (-0.03)         Incredible Shrinking Man (ISMAN) 50000 0.02 (0.00)