ANNOUNCEMENT: Blockbuster Warrants let you profit from the long-term box office success of the biggest movies.

HSX Forums: Movies Board






Please see Roger's and my replies just a couple of posts down. {nm}

Posted by: ShawnMR on May 14, 17:20 in response to alfpaulytd2012's post uh what?

Posted below, but felt it would interesting enough to mention alone: MTC has a 2012 accuracy rate of about 76%. RS at 57%.   ShawnMR on May 14, 16:55

I'm not totally sure what the %'s mean. can you tell me the avg variance. Thanks for the info!   jwammo on May 14, 17:03

Not sure on the dollar figure, but my calculations are based on these examples:   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:16

you are calculating the average percentage error. correctly, I might add. Cheers. {nm}   jwammo on May 14, 17:31

uh what?   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:06

Please see Roger's and my replies just a couple of posts down. {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:20

If mid-20s is 25 and mid-single digit is 5, then mid-teens should be 15. {nm}   Antibody on May 14, 17:10

I define "teens" as 13-19, not 11-20 (which I would think to be "mid-double digits"). :) {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:12

Hit enter too soon: 11-20 where 15 be "mid-double digits" {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:13

Wouldn't mid-double digits be between 10-99? Wink {nm}   Jay_Beezy on May 14, 19:56

LOL! Using RS 2012 accuracy %, Battleship could open as high as 86M or as low as 24M. {nm}   thatpj on May 14, 17:10

This is from using the formula 1 - ABS(Predicted Weekend - Actual Weekend)/Actual Weekend.   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Hmmm... supposed to go under alfpaul's post {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Thx for the context at least but still confused   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:20

Agreed - it's not perfect, but it is easy to understand and easy to verify, which are advantages. {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:31

Agreed. My application today was simply to find a min-max for Battleship based on MTC's performance so far this year.   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:33

Yes. And I'll admit there are probably better measurements and/or terminology that can be used here. I'm just using that formula in my   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:19

Gotcha   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:24

So... the clarify... MTCs 27 "should" equate to a $35.53 weekend???? {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:54

*to clarify... I am asking to make sure I understand your position.. :) {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:57





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
Radio Free Albemuth (RFALB) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         Whiplash (WHPLS) 99999 7.59 (-0.07)         Independence Day 2 (IDAY2) 100000 119.08 (-0.24)         The Lost Symbol (LSYMB) 100000 4.15 (+1.53)         Whiplash (WHPLS) 100000 7.59 (-0.07)         Stonewall (STNWL) 1 18.00 (0.00)         Stonewall (STNWL) 100000 18.00 (0.00)         The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (SPID5) 1000 255.24 (+2.48)         Stonewall (STNWL) 100000 18.00 (0.00)         Vernon God Little (VGODL) 100000 5.00 (0.00)         Stonewall (STNWL) 100000 18.00 (0.00)         The Rover (ROVER) 1 9.76 (+0.08)         Radio Free Albemuth (RFALB) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         Parts Per Billion (PRBIL) 99999 0.01 (-0.01)         Stonewall (STNWL) 100000 18.00 (0.00)         Jason Bateman (JBATE) 20000 36.79 (-0.11)         Vernon God Little (VGODL) 100000 5.00 (0.00)         Popeye (POPEY) 1 45.28 (+0.06)         Radio Free Albemuth (RFALB) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         How to Train Your Dragon 2 (HTYD2) 1000 199.76 (-0.05)         The Lost Symbol (LSYMB) 99609 4.15 (+1.53)         Macbeth (MCBTH) 99999 14.64 (-0.07)         Barbie (BARBI) 50000 10.90 (-2.49)         Macbeth (MCBTH) 100000 14.64 (-0.07)         Barbie (BARBI) 50000 10.90 (-2.49)         Radio Free Albemuth (RFALB) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         Allison Janney (AJANN) 20000 29.17 (+0.23)         Everest (EVRST) 12000 35.94 (+0.09)         A Monster Calls (AMCAL) 100000 18.88 (-2.99)         The Grand Seduction (GSDUC) 99999 0.99 (-0.03)         X-Men: Days of Future Past (XMEN5) 100000 225.60 (+0.11)         The Grand Seduction (GSDUC) 100000 0.99 (-0.03)         Freeheld (FRHLD) 100000 8.26 (+0.26)         Prima aka Dance of the Mirlitons (DMIRL) 99999 0.35 (-0.04)         Freeheld (FRHLD) 100000 8.26 (+0.26)         Teen Titans (TEENT) 60000 0.04 (0.00)         Prima aka Dance of the Mirlitons (DMIRL) 100000 0.35 (-0.04)         The LEGO Movie 2 (LEGO2) 15000 133.18 (-2.23)         The Wind in the Willow (TWITW) 50000 0.03 (+0.01)         The Cross (TCROS) 60000 0.08 (+0.02)         Crawlspace (CRWSP) 99999 16.24 (-0.07)         The Strangers 2 (STRN2) 60000 0.05 (0.00)         Vera Farmiga (VFARM) 20000 55.09 (+0.13)         The Quiet Ones H$10 Call (TQONE.CA) 47 1.40 (-0.18)         Crawlspace (CRWSP) 100000 16.24 (-0.07)         Andrew Garfield (AGARF) 4281 76.97 (+0.04)         Barbie (BARBI) 21085 10.90 (-2.49)         Deliver Us From Evil (BWRNT) 1 38.20 (+0.25)         Vera Farmiga (VFARM) 20000 55.09 (+0.13)         Vernon God Little (VGODL) 100000 5.00 (0.00)