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Please see Roger's and my replies just a couple of posts down. {nm}

Posted by: ShawnMR on May 14, 17:20 in response to alfpaulytd2012's post uh what?

Posted below, but felt it would interesting enough to mention alone: MTC has a 2012 accuracy rate of about 76%. RS at 57%. ShawnMR May 14, 16:55

I'm not totally sure what the %'s mean. can you tell me the avg variance. Thanks for the info! jwammo May 14, 17:03

Not sure on the dollar figure, but my calculations are based on these examples: ShawnMR May 14, 17:16

you are calculating the average percentage error. correctly, I might add. Cheers. {nm} jwammo May 14, 17:31

uh what? alfpaulytd2012 May 14, 17:06

Please see Roger's and my replies just a couple of posts down. ShawnMR May 14, 17:20

If mid-20s is 25 and mid-single digit is 5, then mid-teens should be 15. {nm} Antibody May 14, 17:10

I define "teens" as 13-19, not 11-20 (which I would think to be "mid-double digits"). :) {nm} ShawnMR May 14, 17:12

Hit enter too soon: 11-20 where 15 be "mid-double digits" {nm} ShawnMR May 14, 17:13

Wouldn't mid-double digits be between 10-99? Wink {nm} Jay_Beezy May 14, 19:56

LOL! Using RS 2012 accuracy %, Battleship could open as high as 86M or as low as 24M. {nm} thatpj May 14, 17:10

This is from using the formula 1 - ABS(Predicted Weekend - Actual Weekend)/Actual Weekend. RogerMore May 14, 17:15

Hmmm... supposed to go under alfpaul's post {nm} RogerMore May 14, 17:15

Thx for the context at least but still confused alfpaulytd2012 May 14, 17:20

Agreed - it's not perfect, but it is easy to understand and easy to verify, which are advantages. {nm} RogerMore May 14, 17:31

Agreed. My application today was simply to find a min-max for Battleship based on MTC's performance so far this year. ShawnMR May 14, 17:33

Yes. And I'll admit there are probably better measurements and/or terminology that can be used here. I'm just using that formula in my ShawnMR May 14, 17:19

Gotcha alfpaulytd2012 May 14, 17:24

So... the clarify... MTCs 27 "should" equate to a $35.53 weekend???? {nm} dioneta May 14, 22:54

*to clarify... I am asking to make sure I understand your position.. :) {nm} dioneta May 14, 22:57





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Trap House (TRAPH) 150000 18.77 (+0.77)          Bill Nighy (BNIGH) 25000 35.26 (-0.12)          With Love (WOLOV) 149999 27.96 (+1.00)          With Love (WOLOV) 150000 27.96 (+1.00)          With Love (WOLOV) 150000 27.96 (+1.00)          Trap House (TRAPH) 150000 18.77 (+0.77)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2.BW) 25000 5.93 (+0.04)          Last Breath (LBRTH) 2000 11.81 (+0.60)          Challengers (CHALN) 500 34.52 (0.00)          Last Breath (LBRTH) 2000 11.81 (+0.60)          Trap House (TRAPH) 2000 18.77 (+0.77)          Trap House (TRAPH) 2000 18.77 (+0.77)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 1000 51.41 (+0.43)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 1000 51.41 (+0.43)          Anora (ANORA) 150000 2.82 (-0.36)          Afterburn (AFBRN) 1 18.71 (0.00)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 100 51.41 (+0.43)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 100 51.41 (+0.43)          In The Lost Lands (INTLL) 100 11.34 (0.00)          The Last Showgirl (TLSHG) 1 4.73 (0.00)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 25000 51.41 (+0.43)          Sting (STNG) 150000 2.01 (-0.02)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 50000 51.41 (+0.43)          We Grown Now (WGNOW) 150000 0.58 (-0.01)          Trap House (TRAPH) 150000 18.77 (+0.77)          Anora (ANORA) 150000 2.82 (-0.36)          Shayda (SHDYA) 150000 0.04 (+0.01)          Trap House (TRAPH) 50000 18.77 (+0.77)          Antony Starr (ASTRR) 25000 7.22 (-0.05)          Trap House (TRAPH) 25000 18.77 (+0.77)          Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy (BJON4) 150000 9.36 (-0.14)          Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy (BJON4) 150000 9.36 (-0.14)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 50000 32.79 (+0.14)          In a Violent Nature (IAVNT) 150000 4.30 (+0.41)          Eleanor the Great (ELANO) 100000 8.59 (+0.03)          Dirty Dancing sequel (DANC3) 150000 33.37 (-0.81)          Dirty Dancing sequel (DANC3) 150000 33.37 (-0.81)          Star Trek Origin Story (TREK4) 600 69.81 (0.00)          Challengers (CHALN) 1200 34.52 (0.00)          Challengers H$10 Put (CHALN.PU) 25000 0.90 (-0.02)          In a Violent Nature (IAVNT) 5000 4.30 (+0.41)          In a Violent Nature (IAVNT) 14000 4.30 (+0.41)          Challengers H$10 Call (CHALN.CA) 25000 3.52 (+0.02)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 1 51.41 (+0.43)          Challengers - Opening Weekend (CHALN.OW) 100000 13.06 (+0.04)          In a Violent Nature (IAVNT) 4000 4.30 (+0.41)          The History Of Sound (HISND) 9000 3.06 (+0.02)          Firebrand (FRBRN) 2000 1.86 (-0.02)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 28325 32.79 (+0.14)          Trap House (TRAPH) 150000 18.77 (+0.77)