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Please see Roger's and my replies just a couple of posts down. {nm}

Posted by: ShawnMR on May 14, 17:20 in response to alfpaulytd2012's post uh what?

Posted below, but felt it would interesting enough to mention alone: MTC has a 2012 accuracy rate of about 76%. RS at 57%.   ShawnMR on May 14, 16:55

I'm not totally sure what the %'s mean. can you tell me the avg variance. Thanks for the info!   jwammo on May 14, 17:03

Not sure on the dollar figure, but my calculations are based on these examples:   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:16

you are calculating the average percentage error. correctly, I might add. Cheers. {nm}   jwammo on May 14, 17:31

uh what?   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:06

Please see Roger's and my replies just a couple of posts down. {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:20

If mid-20s is 25 and mid-single digit is 5, then mid-teens should be 15. {nm}   Antibody on May 14, 17:10

I define "teens" as 13-19, not 11-20 (which I would think to be "mid-double digits"). :) {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:12

Hit enter too soon: 11-20 where 15 be "mid-double digits" {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:13

Wouldn't mid-double digits be between 10-99? Wink {nm}   Jay_Beezy on May 14, 19:56

LOL! Using RS 2012 accuracy %, Battleship could open as high as 86M or as low as 24M. {nm}   thatpj on May 14, 17:10

This is from using the formula 1 - ABS(Predicted Weekend - Actual Weekend)/Actual Weekend.   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Hmmm... supposed to go under alfpaul's post {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Thx for the context at least but still confused   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:20

Agreed - it's not perfect, but it is easy to understand and easy to verify, which are advantages. {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:31

Agreed. My application today was simply to find a min-max for Battleship based on MTC's performance so far this year.   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:33

Yes. And I'll admit there are probably better measurements and/or terminology that can be used here. I'm just using that formula in my   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:19

Gotcha   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:24

So... the clarify... MTCs 27 "should" equate to a $35.53 weekend???? {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:54

*to clarify... I am asking to make sure I understand your position.. :) {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:57





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No Blood, No Guts, No Glory (NOBNG) 1 0.09 (0.00)         Genius (GENUS) 100 1.35 (-0.01)         No Blood, No Guts, No Glory (NOBNG) 5000 0.09 (0.00)         Cleopatra (CLEOP) 100000 8.07 (+0.53)         Star Trek Beyond (TREK3) 36 165.28 (+0.18)         Cleopatra (CLEOP) 100000 8.07 (+0.53)         Die Hard: Year One (DIEH6) 100 25.44 (0.00)         Brilliance (BRLNC) 5000 0.64 (-0.01)         Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpoo (FSDDL) 50000 4.56 (-0.12)         Brilliance (BRLNC) 1 0.64 (-0.01)         The Legend of Tarzan (TARZN) 1000 55.88 (+0.85)         Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpoo (FSDDL) 50000 4.56 (-0.12)         Brilliance (BRLNC) 5000 0.64 (-0.01)         Official Secrets (OFSEC) 100000 14.89 (+2.33)         Martin Sheen (MSHEE) 20000 28.46 (-0.08)         The Nutcracker And The Four Real (NUTFR) 50000 48.58 (-0.46)         The Conjuring 2 (CNJU2) 200 96.60 (0.00)         The Nutcracker And The Four Real (NUTFR) 50000 48.58 (-0.46)         Death Wish (DWISH) 100000 14.27 (+2.37)         The Legend of Tarzan H$25 Call F (TARZN.CA) 10000 3.20 (+0.05)         Keith Richards Documentary (KEITH) 5000 0.05 (-0.01)         Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpoo (FSDDL) 100000 4.56 (-0.12)         Keith Richards Documentary (KEITH) 1 0.05 (-0.01)         Keith Richards Documentary (KEITH) 5000 0.05 (-0.01)         Flash Gordon (FLSHG) 24999 3.12 (0.00)         Emojimovie: Express Yourself (EMOJI) 50000 44.22 (-0.13)         Emojimovie: Express Yourself (EMOJI) 50000 44.22 (-0.13)         The BFG - Opening Weekend Fri-Mo (TBFG.OW) 20000 41.97 (-0.04)         Independence Day: Resurgence (IDAY2) 100000 111.19 (-1.13)         The Nutcracker And The Four Real (NUTFR) 50000 48.58 (-0.46)         The Nutcracker And The Four Real (NUTFR) 50000 48.58 (-0.46)         Inhumans (INHUM) 34999 24.02 (-0.12)         Breathe (BREAT) 15000 9.11 (+1.76)         Under the Silver Lake (UNDSL) 15000 10.50 (+1.62)         Jungle (JNGLE) 100000 7.47 (-1.02)         Jungle (JNGLE) 100000 7.47 (-1.02)         Independence Day: Resurgence (IDAY2) 1000 111.19 (-1.13)         The Purge Election Year H$30 Put (PURG3.PU) 20000 2.70 (+0.01)         The Legend of Tarzan H$25 Call F (TARZN.CA) 20000 3.20 (+0.05)         The BFG H$45 Put Fri-Mon (TBFG.PU) 20000 3.11 (+0.02)         The Neon Demon (NEOND) 100000 2.18 (+0.54)         White Girl (WHITG) 20000 1.67 (-0.25)         The Neon Demon (NEOND) 100000 2.18 (+0.54)         American Pastoral (AMPST) 15000 8.25 (-0.88)         Under the Silver Lake (UNDSL) 100000 10.50 (+1.62)         Free State of Jones (FSJON) 10000 19.71 (-1.27)         Jungle (JNGLE) 99999 7.47 (-1.02)         Granite Mountain aka No Exit (NOEXT) 50000 25.30 (+0.85)         Akira (AKIRA) 15000 18.06 (-0.85)         Granite Mountain aka No Exit (NOEXT) 50000 25.30 (+0.85)