ANNOUNCEMENT: Trade TVStocks for this season's new network TV series.

HSX Forums: Movies Board






Please see Roger's and my replies just a couple of posts down. {nm}

Posted by: ShawnMR on May 14, 17:20 in response to alfpaulytd2012's post uh what?

Posted below, but felt it would interesting enough to mention alone: MTC has a 2012 accuracy rate of about 76%. RS at 57%.   ShawnMR on May 14, 16:55

I'm not totally sure what the %'s mean. can you tell me the avg variance. Thanks for the info!   jwammo on May 14, 17:03

Not sure on the dollar figure, but my calculations are based on these examples:   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:16

you are calculating the average percentage error. correctly, I might add. Cheers. {nm}   jwammo on May 14, 17:31

uh what?   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:06

Please see Roger's and my replies just a couple of posts down. {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:20

If mid-20s is 25 and mid-single digit is 5, then mid-teens should be 15. {nm}   Antibody on May 14, 17:10

I define "teens" as 13-19, not 11-20 (which I would think to be "mid-double digits"). :) {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:12

Hit enter too soon: 11-20 where 15 be "mid-double digits" {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:13

Wouldn't mid-double digits be between 10-99? Wink {nm}   Jay_Beezy on May 14, 19:56

LOL! Using RS 2012 accuracy %, Battleship could open as high as 86M or as low as 24M. {nm}   thatpj on May 14, 17:10

This is from using the formula 1 - ABS(Predicted Weekend - Actual Weekend)/Actual Weekend.   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Hmmm... supposed to go under alfpaul's post {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Thx for the context at least but still confused   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:20

Agreed - it's not perfect, but it is easy to understand and easy to verify, which are advantages. {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:31

Agreed. My application today was simply to find a min-max for Battleship based on MTC's performance so far this year.   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:33

Yes. And I'll admit there are probably better measurements and/or terminology that can be used here. I'm just using that formula in my   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:19

Gotcha   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:24

So... the clarify... MTCs 27 "should" equate to a $35.53 weekend???? {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:54

*to clarify... I am asking to make sure I understand your position.. :) {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:57





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Par (HGAM3) 54197 315.07 (-17.03)         Mad Max: Fury Road (MMAX4) 3 97.04 (-0.02)         Mission: Impossible 5 (MISS5) 5 126.88 (-0.57)         Cell (CELL) 2 8.43 (-0.04)         Paul Blart: Mall Cop 2 (MALC2) 12 51.51 (-0.56)         The Magnificent Seven (MAGN7) 7 36.60 (-0.25)         The Imitation Game (IMITG) 49 16.83 (-0.79)         The Imitation Game (IMITG) 900 16.83 (-0.79)         By the Sea (BYSEA) 1 19.73 (-0.11)         Live By Night (LVBNT) 87 15.44 (-0.15)         By the Sea (BYSEA) 60000 19.73 (-0.11)         Top Five (FFMUS) 25000 30.14 (+0.07)         The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Par (HGAM4) 25000 324.95 (+0.80)         Exodus: Gods and Kings (EXODU) 50000 93.05 (+3.17)         The LEGO Movie 2 (LEGO2) 399 123.95 (-0.65)         Blood Father (BLDFA) 100000 3.66 (+0.02)         The Theory of Everything (TOEVT) 35000 12.20 (+2.59)         Cinderella (CINDE) 200 118.77 (+3.24)         Zoolander 2 (ZOOL2) 15000 33.41 (+2.75)         LEGO Batman (LBATM) 499 82.83 (-7.18)         Ballers (BALLR) 1 3.24 (-0.09)         The Opening Weekend Fund (OPENR) 10000 19.97 (+1.51)         King Arthur (KARTH) 5 56.42 (-0.28)         Dumb and Dumber To (DUMB3) 3000 81.29 (+0.65)         The Opening Weekend Fund (OPENR) 9999 19.97 (+1.51)         In the Garden of Beasts (ITGOB) 225 5.15 (+0.03)         The Avengers: Age of Ultron (AVNG2) 100000 485.68 (-2.30)         Beetlejuice 2 (BEET2) 2 15.38 (-0.14)         Kickboxer (KBOXR) 1 13.82 (+0.23)         The Hobbit: The Battle of the Fi (HOBT3) 100000 204.23 (-5.11)         The Irishman (IRISH) 900 1.50 (-0.06)         Bone Tomahawk (BTOMH) 1 1.66 (-0.01)         Penguins of Madagascar (PMADG) 100000 107.95 (+4.48)         The Trap (TTRAP) 25000 20.00 (0.00)         Interstellar (NTSTL) 100000 133.69 (+5.06)         Force Majeure (FMAJE) 100000 0.63 (+0.02)         The Intern (INTRN) 75 34.46 (-0.07)         Steve Coogan (SCOOG) 20000 69.69 (+0.27)         Force Majeure (FMAJE) 100000 0.63 (+0.02)         Inherent Vice (INHVC) 5 16.13 (-0.06)         Danny Collins (IMGIN) 12 4.91 (-0.05)         Happy Valley (HPVLY) 50000 0.69 (-0.17)         Oscar Isaac (OISAA) 20000 16.70 (+1.06)         The Big Short (BIGSH) 1 17.95 (-0.26)         Independence Day 2 (IDAY2) 60 89.75 (-1.31)         The Big Short (BIGSH) 30000 17.95 (-0.26)         Toy Story 4 (TOYS4) 1 221.51 (+1.27)         Ice Age 5 (ICEA5) 20 58.55 (-1.08)         Toy Story 4 (TOYS4) 1 221.51 (+1.27)         Star Wars: Episode VII - The For (STAR7) 25000 309.71 (+0.75)