ANNOUNCEMENT: Trade TVStocks of the new, mid-season network series.

HSX Forums: Movies Board






you are calculating the average percentage error. correctly, I might add. Cheers. {nm}

Posted by: jwammo (a.k.a HSXMetrics) on May 14, 17:31 in response to ShawnMR's post Not sure on the dollar figure, but my calculations are...

Posted below, but felt it would interesting enough to mention alone: MTC has a 2012 accuracy rate of about 76%. RS at 57%.   ShawnMR on May 14, 16:55

I'm not totally sure what the %'s mean. can you tell me the avg variance. Thanks for the info!   jwammo on May 14, 17:03

Not sure on the dollar figure, but my calculations are based on these examples:   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:16

you are calculating the average percentage error. correctly, I might add. Cheers. {nm}   jwammo on May 14, 17:31

uh what?   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:06

Please see Roger's and my replies just a couple of posts down. {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:20

If mid-20s is 25 and mid-single digit is 5, then mid-teens should be 15. {nm}   Antibody on May 14, 17:10

I define "teens" as 13-19, not 11-20 (which I would think to be "mid-double digits"). :) {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:12

Hit enter too soon: 11-20 where 15 be "mid-double digits" {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:13

Wouldn't mid-double digits be between 10-99? Wink {nm}   Jay_Beezy on May 14, 19:56

LOL! Using RS 2012 accuracy %, Battleship could open as high as 86M or as low as 24M. {nm}   thatpj on May 14, 17:10

This is from using the formula 1 - ABS(Predicted Weekend - Actual Weekend)/Actual Weekend.   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Hmmm... supposed to go under alfpaul's post {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Thx for the context at least but still confused   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:20

Agreed - it's not perfect, but it is easy to understand and easy to verify, which are advantages. {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:31

Agreed. My application today was simply to find a min-max for Battleship based on MTC's performance so far this year.   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:33

Yes. And I'll admit there are probably better measurements and/or terminology that can be used here. I'm just using that formula in my   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:19

Gotcha   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:24

So... the clarify... MTCs 27 "should" equate to a $35.53 weekend???? {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:54

*to clarify... I am asking to make sure I understand your position.. :) {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:57





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
Invertigo (NVRTG) 1 0.60 (-0.03)         Me and Earl and the Dying Girl (MEADG) 89999 11.57 (+0.03)         Suffragette (SUFRG) 50000 0.49 (+0.01)         Reykjavik (REYKJ) 50000 0.09 (-0.07)         Beasts of No Nation (BSNON) 90001 3.57 (-0.63)         Hard Boiled (HBOIL) 99000 0.06 (+0.05)         Underworld: Next Generation (UNDW5) 30000 12.06 (-0.14)         Invertigo (NVRTG) 1 0.60 (-0.03)         The Forger (FORGR) 95000 0.99 (+0.67)         Driftless Area (DRFTL) 99999 3.05 (+2.02)         Blade Runner 2 (BLAD2) 1000 34.76 (+0.76)         The Raven (TRVEN) 1 0.77 (-0.04)         The Nut Job 2 (NUTJ2) 100000 11.85 (-0.08)         Holland, Michigan (HOLMI) 30000 1.13 (-0.04)         Chappie (CHAPI) 50000 55.67 (-0.77)         Stanford Prison Experiment (SPEXP) 99999 2.52 (+0.81)         Tomb Raider (TOMB3) 1000 17.13 (+0.20)         Sinister 2 (SINI2) 50000 15.95 (+0.08)         Red Squad (REDSQ) 30000 1.02 (-0.01)         The Dark Tower (DRKTW) 80000 7.44 (+0.03)         Stanford Prison Experiment (SPEXP) 100000 2.52 (+0.81)         Dark Places (DRKPL) 1 4.69 (+2.29)         Stanford Prison Experiment (SPEXP) 50000 2.52 (+0.81)         Unfinished Business H$15 Put (BSTRP.PU) 1 3.59 (+0.24)         Hansel and Gretel 2 (HNGW2) 80000 7.41 (+0.01)         The Outskirts (OUTSK) 1 12.66 (+2.66)         The Witch (TWITC) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         Unfinished Business - Opening We (BSTRP.OW) 1 9.38 (-0.24)         All Quiet on the Western Front (AQOWF) 30000 0.58 (-0.03)         Monster Trucks (MNTRC) 50000 37.28 (-0.85)         13 Hours (13HRS) 1 30.22 (+1.16)         Absolutely Anything (ABSAT) 100000 3.00 (+0.02)         Run All Night H$15 Call (ALNIT.CA) 20000 2.14 (+0.14)         Sinister Six (SINST) 1 35.32 (+1.23)         Krampus (KRMPS) 100000 29.64 (+8.72)         Cinderella (CINDE) 25000 161.53 (+0.63)         Suffragette (SUFRG) 30000 0.49 (+0.01)         Sinister Six (SINST) 1 35.32 (+1.23)         Unfinished Business (BSTRP) 100000 24.29 (-0.65)         Reykjavik (REYKJ) 80000 0.09 (-0.07)         Ratchet and Clank (RATCL) 1 24.64 (+4.09)         Dark Places (DRKPL) 100000 4.69 (+2.29)         The Age of Adaline (ADALN) 2000 21.54 (-0.03)         Ratchet and Clank (RATCL) 1 24.64 (+4.09)         Unfinished Business (BSTRP) 50000 24.29 (-0.65)         Chappie (CHAPI) 100000 55.67 (-0.77)         Unfinished Business H$15 Call (BSTRP.CA) 1 0.66 (-0.22)         Cinderella - Opening Weekend (CINDE.OW) 30615 67.24 (+2.24)         Stanford Prison Experiment (SPEXP) 24658 2.52 (+0.81)         Krampus (KRMPS) 1 29.64 (+8.72)