ANNOUNCEMENT: Invest in Blockbuster Warrants of Hollywood's biggest moneymakers.

HSX Forums: Movies Board






you are calculating the average percentage error. correctly, I might add. Cheers. {nm}

Posted by: jwammo (a.k.a HSXMetrics) on May 14, 17:31 in response to ShawnMR's post Not sure on the dollar figure, but my calculations are...

Posted below, but felt it would interesting enough to mention alone: MTC has a 2012 accuracy rate of about 76%. RS at 57%.   ShawnMR on May 14, 16:55

I'm not totally sure what the %'s mean. can you tell me the avg variance. Thanks for the info!   jwammo on May 14, 17:03

Not sure on the dollar figure, but my calculations are based on these examples:   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:16

you are calculating the average percentage error. correctly, I might add. Cheers. {nm}   jwammo on May 14, 17:31

uh what?   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:06

Please see Roger's and my replies just a couple of posts down. {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:20

If mid-20s is 25 and mid-single digit is 5, then mid-teens should be 15. {nm}   Antibody on May 14, 17:10

I define "teens" as 13-19, not 11-20 (which I would think to be "mid-double digits"). :) {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:12

Hit enter too soon: 11-20 where 15 be "mid-double digits" {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:13

Wouldn't mid-double digits be between 10-99? Wink {nm}   Jay_Beezy on May 14, 19:56

LOL! Using RS 2012 accuracy %, Battleship could open as high as 86M or as low as 24M. {nm}   thatpj on May 14, 17:10

This is from using the formula 1 - ABS(Predicted Weekend - Actual Weekend)/Actual Weekend.   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Hmmm... supposed to go under alfpaul's post {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Thx for the context at least but still confused   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:20

Agreed - it's not perfect, but it is easy to understand and easy to verify, which are advantages. {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:31

Agreed. My application today was simply to find a min-max for Battleship based on MTC's performance so far this year.   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:33

Yes. And I'll admit there are probably better measurements and/or terminology that can be used here. I'm just using that formula in my   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:19

Gotcha   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:24

So... the clarify... MTCs 27 "should" equate to a $35.53 weekend???? {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:54

*to clarify... I am asking to make sure I understand your position.. :) {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:57





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
Rock the Kasbah (KASBA) 100000 23.76 (-0.10)         World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 8100 55.22 (+0.01)         The Zookeeper's Wife (ZKPWF) 100000 3.73 (-0.04)         Risen aka Clavius (CLAVU) 100000 14.31 (-0.02)         Tarzan (TARZN) 1000 40.59 (+0.06)         By the Sea (BYSEA) 999 19.66 (0.00)         Moonwalkers (MNWLK) 100000 0.26 (-0.02)         The Phenom (TPHNM) 100000 1.18 (-0.02)         Jurassic World (JURA4) 100000 556.29 (-0.25)         The Coldest City (CLDCT) 3000 26.41 (+2.41)         The Forever War (FORVR) 1 31.11 (+1.11)         Mad Max: The Wasteland (MMAX5) 100000 78.12 (+1.29)         Meet Me in Montenegro (MNTNG) 1 1.33 (0.00)         War Machine (WMACH) 1 10.32 (-0.51)         Dark Universe aka Justice League (DARKU) 2000 11.27 (-0.19)         Jurassic World $550M Blockbuster (JURA4.BW) 20000 10.98 (+0.04)         Fifty Shades of Black (50SOB) 100000 24.97 (-1.30)         Bridget Jones's Baby (BJON3) 100000 6.94 (+0.60)         Wolf Totem (WLFTM) 1 1.98 (+0.05)         Bridget Jones's Baby (BJON3) 100000 6.94 (+0.60)         Fifty Shades of Black (50SOB) 100000 24.97 (-1.30)         Mountains May Depart (MTNMD) 1 1.51 (0.00)         Chiraq (CHIRQ) 100000 16.29 (+0.85)         The Coldest City (CLDCT) 1 26.41 (+2.41)         Triple Frontier (TRPFR) 3000 9.56 (-1.19)         Chiraq (CHIRQ) 100000 16.29 (+0.85)         The Runner (TRUNR) 100000 1.31 (-0.69)         Hitman: Agent 47 (HITM2) 100000 24.27 (+1.62)         The Stand (STAND) 100000 24.53 (-0.40)         Hitman: Agent 47 (HITM2) 100000 24.27 (+1.62)         Bronco Belle (BRNCO) 1 9.79 (0.00)         The Coldest City (CLDCT) 100000 26.41 (+2.41)         The Stand (STAND) 100000 24.53 (-0.40)         Universal Studio Fund (UNIVX) 10000 160.94 (+0.03)         The Coldest City (CLDCT) 100000 26.41 (+2.41)         The Runner (TRUNR) 1 1.31 (-0.69)         Triple Frontier (TRPFR) 100000 9.56 (-1.19)         Triple Frontier (TRPFR) 100000 9.56 (-1.19)         Blazing Samurai (BLAZS) 100000 21.29 (-0.50)         Spider-Man: The New Avenger aka (SPID6) 50000 108.76 (-0.31)         Fifty Shades of Black (50SOB) 100000 24.97 (-1.30)         The Shack (SHACK) 100000 22.16 (-1.50)         Top Gun 2 (TOPG2) 100000 24.46 (-1.87)         Blazing Samurai (BLAZS) 100000 21.29 (-0.50)         The Coldest City (CLDCT) 20144 26.41 (+2.41)         Fifty Shades of Black (50SOB) 100000 24.97 (-1.30)         The Shack (SHACK) 100000 22.16 (-1.50)         Top Gun 2 (TOPG2) 68939 24.46 (-1.87)         Every Thing Will Be Fine (ETWBF) 100000 0.04 (+0.01)         Shelter (SHELT) 100000 0.15 (0.00)