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you are calculating the average percentage error. correctly, I might add. Cheers. {nm}

Posted by: jwammo (a.k.a HSXMetrics) on May 14, 17:31 in response to ShawnMR's post Not sure on the dollar figure, but my calculations are...

Posted below, but felt it would interesting enough to mention alone: MTC has a 2012 accuracy rate of about 76%. RS at 57%.   ShawnMR on May 14, 16:55

I'm not totally sure what the %'s mean. can you tell me the avg variance. Thanks for the info!   jwammo on May 14, 17:03

Not sure on the dollar figure, but my calculations are based on these examples:   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:16

you are calculating the average percentage error. correctly, I might add. Cheers. {nm}   jwammo on May 14, 17:31

uh what?   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:06

Please see Roger's and my replies just a couple of posts down. {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:20

If mid-20s is 25 and mid-single digit is 5, then mid-teens should be 15. {nm}   Antibody on May 14, 17:10

I define "teens" as 13-19, not 11-20 (which I would think to be "mid-double digits"). :) {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:12

Hit enter too soon: 11-20 where 15 be "mid-double digits" {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:13

Wouldn't mid-double digits be between 10-99? Wink {nm}   Jay_Beezy on May 14, 19:56

LOL! Using RS 2012 accuracy %, Battleship could open as high as 86M or as low as 24M. {nm}   thatpj on May 14, 17:10

This is from using the formula 1 - ABS(Predicted Weekend - Actual Weekend)/Actual Weekend.   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Hmmm... supposed to go under alfpaul's post {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Thx for the context at least but still confused   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:20

Agreed - it's not perfect, but it is easy to understand and easy to verify, which are advantages. {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:31

Agreed. My application today was simply to find a min-max for Battleship based on MTC's performance so far this year.   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:33

Yes. And I'll admit there are probably better measurements and/or terminology that can be used here. I'm just using that formula in my   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:19

Gotcha   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:24

So... the clarify... MTCs 27 "should" equate to a $35.53 weekend???? {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:54

*to clarify... I am asking to make sure I understand your position.. :) {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:57





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Night at the Museum: Secret of t (NMUS3) 99999 116.94 (-3.49)         Steve Jobs (SJOBS) 30000 19.05 (-2.55)         Madame Bovary (BOVRY) 100000 0.90 (-0.02)         Into the Woods (INTWD) 9999 95.79 (-1.26)         Zoolander 2 (ZOOL2) 100000 31.06 (+1.63)         Patient Zero (PZERO) 100000 24.89 (+1.89)         The Summit (SUMIT) 100000 10.42 (-0.03)         Penguins of Madagascar (PMADG) 50000 105.30 (-1.82)         The DUFF (TDUFF) 1 26.56 (+0.12)         Interstellar (NTSTL) 1 127.35 (-3.19)         Toy Story 4 (TOYS4) 100000 200.00 (0.00)         Toy Story 4 (TOYS4) 100000 200.00 (0.00)         XXX: The Return of Xander Cage (XXX3) 100000 17.77 (+0.01)         Toy Story 4 (TOYS4) 100000 200.00 (0.00)         Guardians of the Galaxy 2 (GOTG2) 100000 220.91 (-8.82)         Finding Dory aka Finding Nemo 2 (NEMO2) 9999 167.74 (-2.49)         The Coup (TCOUP) 100000 11.85 (-0.17)         Guardians of the Galaxy 2 (GOTG2) 100000 220.91 (-8.82)         Tomorrowland (1952) 50010 137.37 (-3.15)         National Treasure 3 (NATR3) 50000 13.59 (-0.07)         Yucatan (YUCAT) 99999 33.09 (+7.71)         Tomb Raider (TOMB3) 100000 1.72 (-0.06)         Reach Me (RECHM) 100000 0.63 (+0.04)         Get Hard (GHARD) 75000 67.79 (+0.67)         Toy Story 4 (TOYS4) 100000 200.00 (0.00)         The 3D Fund (IN3D) 1 36.63 (-0.35)         Guardians of the Galaxy 2 (GOTG2) 100000 220.91 (-8.82)         Inside Out (NMIND) 20000 147.66 (-0.29)         Justice League Part One (JLEAG) 100000 226.88 (-4.19)         Mila Kunis (MKUNI) 1 110.15 (-0.28)         Star Trek 3 (TREK3) 100000 141.23 (-3.87)         Strange Magic (STMGC) 75000 42.14 (+2.07)         Ludacris Chris Bridges (LUDAC) 1 88.77 (-0.45)         Captain America: Civil War (CAPA3) 100000 230.36 (-6.26)         Suicide Squad (SUICD) 100000 132.91 (-7.50)         Wolverine 3 (WOLV3) 100000 88.60 (-2.79)         Interstellar (NTSTL) 66666 127.35 (-3.19)         Tomorrowland (1952) 100000 137.37 (-3.15)         NBC: Marry Me (MARYME) 20000 13.39 (-0.28)         NBC: Marry Me (MARYME) 20000 13.39 (-0.28)         99 Homes (99HOM) 99998 4.87 (-0.21)         Suicide Squad (SUICD) 50000 132.91 (-7.50)         J.J. Abrams (JABRA) 1 132.89 (-0.57)         Mary, Mother of Christ (MARYC) 99999 0.12 (+0.04)         Toy Story 4 (TOYS4) 100000 200.00 (0.00)         Anti-Claus aka Comes the Krampus (KRAMP) 1 9.01 (-0.04)         Anti-Claus aka Comes the Krampus (KRAMP) 1 9.01 (-0.04)         Toy Story 4 (TOYS4) 2500 200.00 (0.00)         Christina Ricci (CRICC) 1 11.99 (-0.08)         Ricki and the Flash (RICFL) 1 26.30 (+0.32)