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you are calculating the average percentage error. correctly, I might add. Cheers. {nm}

Posted by: jwammo (a.k.a HSXMetrics) on May 14, 17:31 in response to ShawnMR's post Not sure on the dollar figure, but my calculations are...

Posted below, but felt it would interesting enough to mention alone: MTC has a 2012 accuracy rate of about 76%. RS at 57%.   ShawnMR on May 14, 16:55

I'm not totally sure what the %'s mean. can you tell me the avg variance. Thanks for the info!   jwammo on May 14, 17:03

Not sure on the dollar figure, but my calculations are based on these examples:   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:16

you are calculating the average percentage error. correctly, I might add. Cheers. {nm}   jwammo on May 14, 17:31

uh what?   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:06

Please see Roger's and my replies just a couple of posts down. {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:20

If mid-20s is 25 and mid-single digit is 5, then mid-teens should be 15. {nm}   Antibody on May 14, 17:10

I define "teens" as 13-19, not 11-20 (which I would think to be "mid-double digits"). :) {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:12

Hit enter too soon: 11-20 where 15 be "mid-double digits" {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:13

Wouldn't mid-double digits be between 10-99? Wink {nm}   Jay_Beezy on May 14, 19:56

LOL! Using RS 2012 accuracy %, Battleship could open as high as 86M or as low as 24M. {nm}   thatpj on May 14, 17:10

This is from using the formula 1 - ABS(Predicted Weekend - Actual Weekend)/Actual Weekend.   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Hmmm... supposed to go under alfpaul's post {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Thx for the context at least but still confused   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:20

Agreed - it's not perfect, but it is easy to understand and easy to verify, which are advantages. {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:31

Agreed. My application today was simply to find a min-max for Battleship based on MTC's performance so far this year.   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:33

Yes. And I'll admit there are probably better measurements and/or terminology that can be used here. I'm just using that formula in my   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:19

Gotcha   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:24

So... the clarify... MTCs 27 "should" equate to a $35.53 weekend???? {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:54

*to clarify... I am asking to make sure I understand your position.. :) {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:57





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Star Wars: Episode VII (STAR7) 4654 254.82 (+1.43)         Aziz Ansari (AANSA) 10000 68.83 (+0.46)         Alice Eve (AEVE) 20000 74.71 (+0.80)         Alice Eve (AEVE) 20000 74.71 (+0.80)         James Bond 24 (JB24) 6701 176.99 (+0.87)         The Last Witch Hunter (TLWH) 100000 30.00 (0.00)         When the Game Stands Tall (WTGST) 1907 17.84 (-0.30)         Michael Chiklis (MCHIK) 20000 48.73 (-0.14)         Michael Chiklis (MCHIK) 20000 48.73 (-0.14)         Tommy Lee Jones (TLJON) 20000 118.24 (-0.85)         The Man from U.N.C.L.E. (UNCLE) 9999 35.34 (+6.17)         Filly Brown (FILYB) 5000 3.97 (-0.06)         The Last Witch Hunter (TLWH) 100000 30.00 (0.00)         Poe (POE) 100000 0.12 (0.00)         Ron Livingston (RLIVI) 20000 37.30 (0.00)         Matthew Fox (MFOX) 20000 36.72 (-0.16)         Passengers (PSSNG) 100000 19.68 (+0.12)         R.I.P.D. (RIPD) 2124 48.10 (-1.53)         Carol (CARO) 100000 6.89 (-0.01)         Step Up 5 (STUP5) 100000 16.65 (-1.35)         Carol (CARO) 50000 6.89 (-0.01)         Carol (CARO) 50000 6.89 (-0.01)         Pixels (PIXEL) 100000 22.78 (+0.42)         Attachment (ATCHM) 1 4.65 (-0.06)         Patrick Wilson (PWILS) 20000 38.48 (+0.08)         R.I.P.D. (RIPD) 500 48.10 (-1.53)         Star Trek: Into Darkness (TREK2) 6802 201.35 (+3.15)         The Man from U.N.C.L.E. (UNCLE) 100000 35.34 (+6.17)         Pixels (PIXEL) 100000 22.78 (+0.42)         James Wan (JWAN) 20000 37.20 (+0.24)         The Last Witch Hunter (TLWH) 100000 30.00 (0.00)         Atlantis Rising (ATLRS) 100000 1.02 (-0.01)         Untitled Cyber Thriller (CYBER) 15000 34.27 (-0.19)         At the Mountains of Madness (MTMAD) 1 6.46 (-0.09)         Fast & Furious 6 (FAST6) 100000 235.04 (+1.92)         At the Mountains of Madness (MTMAD) 100000 6.46 (-0.09)         World War Z (WWARZ) 17448 137.46 (+0.30)         Tyrese Gibson (TYGIB) 10000 166.28 (+1.15)         Asa Butterfield (ABUTT) 200 56.67 (-0.40)         The Great Gatsby $135M Blockbust (GATSB.BW) 20000 5.50 (+0.50)         Tyrese Gibson (TYGIB) 10000 166.28 (+1.15)         Asteroids (ASTRD) 1 6.47 (-0.12)         The Last Witch Hunter (TLWH) 100000 30.00 (0.00)         Asteroids (ASTRD) 100000 6.47 (-0.12)         Ass Backwards (ASBKW) 100000 1.86 (-0.02)         As I Lay Dying (AILDY) 100000 4.21 (-0.06)         No Place on Earth (NOPOE) 100000 0.55 (-0.01)         Kevin Bacon (KBACO) 20000 50.58 (-0.14)         Pitch Perfect 2 (PTCP2) 100000 29.18 (-0.69)         No One Lives (NONLV) 100000 0.24 (+0.03)