HSX Forums: Movies Board






you are calculating the average percentage error. correctly, I might add. Cheers. {nm}

Posted by: jwammo (a.k.a HSXMetrics) on May 14, 17:31 in response to ShawnMR's post Not sure on the dollar figure, but my calculations are...

Posted below, but felt it would interesting enough to mention alone: MTC has a 2012 accuracy rate of about 76%. RS at 57%.   ShawnMR on May 14, 16:55

I'm not totally sure what the %'s mean. can you tell me the avg variance. Thanks for the info!   jwammo on May 14, 17:03

Not sure on the dollar figure, but my calculations are based on these examples:   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:16

you are calculating the average percentage error. correctly, I might add. Cheers. {nm}   jwammo on May 14, 17:31

uh what?   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:06

Please see Roger's and my replies just a couple of posts down. {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:20

If mid-20s is 25 and mid-single digit is 5, then mid-teens should be 15. {nm}   Antibody on May 14, 17:10

I define "teens" as 13-19, not 11-20 (which I would think to be "mid-double digits"). :) {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:12

Hit enter too soon: 11-20 where 15 be "mid-double digits" {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:13

Wouldn't mid-double digits be between 10-99? Wink {nm}   Jay_Beezy on May 14, 19:56

LOL! Using RS 2012 accuracy %, Battleship could open as high as 86M or as low as 24M. {nm}   thatpj on May 14, 17:10

This is from using the formula 1 - ABS(Predicted Weekend - Actual Weekend)/Actual Weekend.   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Hmmm... supposed to go under alfpaul's post {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Thx for the context at least but still confused   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:20

Agreed - it's not perfect, but it is easy to understand and easy to verify, which are advantages. {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:31

Agreed. My application today was simply to find a min-max for Battleship based on MTC's performance so far this year.   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:33

Yes. And I'll admit there are probably better measurements and/or terminology that can be used here. I'm just using that formula in my   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:19

Gotcha   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:24

So... the clarify... MTCs 27 "should" equate to a $35.53 weekend???? {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:54

*to clarify... I am asking to make sure I understand your position.. :) {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:57





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Hands of Stone (HNDST) 39000 11.98 (-0.23)         The Light Between Oceans H$10 Ca (TLBOC.CA) 1 2.00 (0.00)         Gal Gadot (GGADO) 20000 150.88 (+0.57)         The Light Between Oceans - Openi (TLBOC.OW) 1 10.00 (0.00)         The Light Between Oceans - Openi (TLBOC.OW) 1 10.00 (0.00)         Shock and Awe (SHAWE) 100000 15.00 (0.00)         Morgan - Opening Weekend Fri-Mon (MORGN.OW) 1 15.00 (0.00)         The Light Between Oceans H$10 Pu (TLBOC.PU) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Doctor Strange (DRSTR) 14782 183.35 (+0.09)         The Light Between Oceans H$10 Pu (TLBOC.PU) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Rings aka The Ring 3 (RING3) 100 29.40 (+3.85)         Detective Pikachu (PIKAC) 99999 63.03 (+3.09)         Rings aka The Ring 3 (RING3) 50000 29.40 (+3.85)         The Disappointments Room (DSPRM) 100000 6.21 (+3.03)         Shock and Awe (SHAWE) 25000 15.00 (0.00)         Morgan H15 Put Fri-Mon (MORGN.PU) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Morgan H15 Put Fri-Mon (MORGN.PU) 1 2.00 (0.00)         Kingsglaive: Final Fantasy XV (KFFXV) 100000 1.45 (+0.84)         Morgan H$15 Call Fri-Mon (MORGN.CA) 1 2.00 (0.00)         Don't Breathe H$10 Call (AMITD.CA) 1 3.42 (+0.06)         The Light Between Oceans H$10 Pu (TLBOC.PU) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         The Light Between Oceans - Openi (TLBOC.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)         Inhumans (INHUM) 15000 17.94 (-0.14)         Don't Breathe - Opening Weekend (AMITD.OW) 1 13.32 (+0.31)         The Light Between Oceans H$10 Ca (TLBOC.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Morgan H15 Put Fri-Mon (MORGN.PU) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Daisy Ridley (DRIDL) 1 146.47 (-1.14)         Don't Breathe H$10 Put (AMITD.PU) 1 1.18 (-0.08)         Shock and Awe (SHAWE) 100000 15.00 (0.00)         Morgan H$15 Call Fri-Mon (MORGN.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Rings aka The Ring 3 (RING3) 100000 29.40 (+3.85)         Rings aka The Ring 3 (RING3) 100000 29.40 (+3.85)         Mechanic: Resurrection - Opening (MCHN2.OW) 1 8.08 (-0.20)         The Late Bloomer (LBLMR) 100000 0.18 (+0.02)         Star Wars: Episode IX (STAR9) 375 519.00 (+1.20)         Mechanic: Resurrection H$10 Call (MCHN2.CA) 1 1.48 (-0.09)         Shock and Awe (SHAWE) 100000 15.00 (0.00)         Hands of Stone - Opening Weekend (HNDST.OW) 89964 3.87 (-0.21)         The Light Between Oceans H$10 Ca (TLBOC.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Hands of Stone - Opening Weekend (HNDST.OW) 1 3.87 (-0.21)         Hands of Stone H$5 Call (HNDST.CA) 1 1.69 (-0.04)         Morgan H15 Put Fri-Mon (MORGN.PU) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Morgan - Opening Weekend Fri-Mon (MORGN.OW) 100000 15.00 (0.00)         Morgan - Opening Weekend Fri-Mon (MORGN.OW) 100000 15.00 (0.00)         Kingsglaive: Final Fantasy XV (KFFXV) 100000 1.45 (+0.84)         Morgan H$15 Call Fri-Mon (MORGN.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Morgan H15 Put Fri-Mon (MORGN.PU) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Aimee Teegarden (ATEEG) 20000 12.46 (-0.05)         Shock and Awe (SHAWE) 100000 15.00 (0.00)         Morgan H$15 Call Fri-Mon (MORGN.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)