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you are calculating the average percentage error. correctly, I might add. Cheers. {nm}

Posted by: jwammo (a.k.a HSXMetrics) on May 14, 17:31 in response to ShawnMR's post Not sure on the dollar figure, but my calculations are...

Posted below, but felt it would interesting enough to mention alone: MTC has a 2012 accuracy rate of about 76%. RS at 57%.   ShawnMR on May 14, 16:55

I'm not totally sure what the %'s mean. can you tell me the avg variance. Thanks for the info!   jwammo on May 14, 17:03

Not sure on the dollar figure, but my calculations are based on these examples:   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:16

you are calculating the average percentage error. correctly, I might add. Cheers. {nm}   jwammo on May 14, 17:31

uh what?   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:06

Please see Roger's and my replies just a couple of posts down. {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:20

If mid-20s is 25 and mid-single digit is 5, then mid-teens should be 15. {nm}   Antibody on May 14, 17:10

I define "teens" as 13-19, not 11-20 (which I would think to be "mid-double digits"). :) {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:12

Hit enter too soon: 11-20 where 15 be "mid-double digits" {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:13

Wouldn't mid-double digits be between 10-99? Wink {nm}   Jay_Beezy on May 14, 19:56

LOL! Using RS 2012 accuracy %, Battleship could open as high as 86M or as low as 24M. {nm}   thatpj on May 14, 17:10

This is from using the formula 1 - ABS(Predicted Weekend - Actual Weekend)/Actual Weekend.   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Hmmm... supposed to go under alfpaul's post {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Thx for the context at least but still confused   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:20

Agreed - it's not perfect, but it is easy to understand and easy to verify, which are advantages. {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:31

Agreed. My application today was simply to find a min-max for Battleship based on MTC's performance so far this year.   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:33

Yes. And I'll admit there are probably better measurements and/or terminology that can be used here. I'm just using that formula in my   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:19

Gotcha   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:24

So... the clarify... MTCs 27 "should" equate to a $35.53 weekend???? {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:54

*to clarify... I am asking to make sure I understand your position.. :) {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:57





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Sing $225M Blockbuster Warrant (SING.BW) 20000 5.69 (+0.69)         Booster Gold (BOSTG) 100000 29.88 (+5.23)         Doctor Strange 2 (DRST2) 20000 134.77 (+6.50)         Slenderman (SLNDR) 100000 28.44 (-1.83)         I Can Only Imagine (ICOIM) 100000 8.00 (0.00)         The Family Business Fund IV (GENES) 4920 58.31 (+0.15)         The LEGO Batman Movie (LBATM) 100000 191.66 (-0.30)         Manifesto (MNFST) 100000 4.00 (0.00)         I Can Only Imagine (ICOIM) 100000 8.00 (0.00)         Taron Egerton (TEGER) 20000 67.62 (+0.78)         Brigsby Bear (BRGSB) 5000 4.82 (+1.39)         Roma aka Untitled Alfonso Cuaron (ROMA) 100000 9.27 (+1.49)         Taron Egerton (TEGER) 20000 67.62 (+0.78)         N7: 20th Century Women - Best Pi (N7P20C) 20000 3.04 (+0.01)         Monster Trucks (MNTRC) 20000 22.03 (+1.44)         Seth MacFarlane (SMACF) 20000 115.31 (0.00)         CW: Frequency (FREQNC) 10000 10.71 (-0.01)         Scarlett Johansson (SJOHA) 7342 195.78 (+1.15)         Fantastic Beasts 2 (FBST2) 100000 182.50 (-0.37)         Scarlett Johansson (SJOHA) 20000 195.78 (+1.15)         Roma aka Untitled Alfonso Cuaron (ROMA) 5000 9.27 (+1.49)         Scarlett Johansson (SJOHA) 20000 195.78 (+1.15)         Roma aka Untitled Alfonso Cuaron (ROMA) 5000 9.27 (+1.49)         A Monster Calls (AMCAL) 1 4.68 (-0.13)         Matthew McConaughey (MMCCO) 20000 94.25 (+0.41)         Underworld: Blood Wars (UNDW5) 1000 26.85 (-0.01)         Captain Nemo aka 20,000 Leagues (20LUS) 15000 15.28 (+1.52)         Manifesto (MNFST) 100000 4.00 (0.00)         Matthew McConaughey (MMCCO) 20000 94.25 (+0.41)         StarBonds Fund (BONDS) 10000 21.28 (+0.08)         Sony Studio Fund (SONYX) 10000 12.13 (0.00)         Science-Fiction Fund (SCIFI) 10000 53.24 (+0.20)         Ruth Negga (RNEGG) 20000 14.42 (-0.04)         Paramount Studio Fund (PARAX) 10000 21.68 (-0.04)         Lionsgate Studio Fund (LGFX) 10000 16.34 (+0.23)         Clark Gregg (CGREG) 20000 82.14 (-0.40)         Latino Fund Siete (LATIN) 10000 66.62 (+0.02)         Fox Studio Fund (FOXX) 10000 19.89 (-0.02)         Disney Studio Fund (DISNX) 10000 27.64 (+0.57)         Booster Gold (BOSTG) 10000 29.88 (+5.23)         Leslie Jones (LJONE) 20000 88.80 (+1.00)         The Masterpiece (DSART) 100000 13.57 (-0.22)         Sing (SING) 58757 222.09 (+2.88)         Leslie Jones (LJONE) 20000 88.80 (+1.00)         The Masterpiece (DSART) 100000 13.57 (-0.22)         Doctor Strange 2 (DRST2) 100000 134.77 (+6.50)         I Can Only Imagine (ICOIM) 100000 8.00 (0.00)         Inhumans (INHUM) 25000 12.03 (+0.01)         Jennifer Hudson (JHUDS) 20000 39.34 (+0.49)         Manifesto (MNFST) 100000 4.00 (0.00)