ANNOUNCEMENT: Sign-In with Facebook is working now.

HSX Forums: Movies Board






Agreed. My application today was simply to find a min-max for Battleship based on MTC's performance so far this year.

Posted by: ShawnMR on May 14, 17:33 in response to RogerMore's post Agreed - it's not perfect, but it is easy to understand...

Still not exact science by any means, but, its interesting to know how close they generally are since we rely on that data so much.

Posted below, but felt it would interesting enough to mention alone: MTC has a 2012 accuracy rate of about 76%. RS at 57%.   ShawnMR on May 14, 16:55

I'm not totally sure what the %'s mean. can you tell me the avg variance. Thanks for the info!   jwammo on May 14, 17:03

Not sure on the dollar figure, but my calculations are based on these examples:   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:16

you are calculating the average percentage error. correctly, I might add. Cheers. {nm}   jwammo on May 14, 17:31

uh what?   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:06

Please see Roger's and my replies just a couple of posts down. {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:20

If mid-20s is 25 and mid-single digit is 5, then mid-teens should be 15. {nm}   Antibody on May 14, 17:10

I define "teens" as 13-19, not 11-20 (which I would think to be "mid-double digits"). :) {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:12

Hit enter too soon: 11-20 where 15 be "mid-double digits" {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:13

Wouldn't mid-double digits be between 10-99? Wink {nm}   Jay_Beezy on May 14, 19:56

LOL! Using RS 2012 accuracy %, Battleship could open as high as 86M or as low as 24M. {nm}   thatpj on May 14, 17:10

This is from using the formula 1 - ABS(Predicted Weekend - Actual Weekend)/Actual Weekend.   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Hmmm... supposed to go under alfpaul's post {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Thx for the context at least but still confused   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:20

Agreed - it's not perfect, but it is easy to understand and easy to verify, which are advantages. {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:31

Agreed. My application today was simply to find a min-max for Battleship based on MTC's performance so far this year.   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:33

Yes. And I'll admit there are probably better measurements and/or terminology that can be used here. I'm just using that formula in my   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:19

Gotcha   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:24

So... the clarify... MTCs 27 "should" equate to a $35.53 weekend???? {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:54

*to clarify... I am asking to make sure I understand your position.. :) {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:57





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
Nightcrawler (NTCRW) 100000 31.69 (+2.53)         Leatherface (LTHFC) 100000 25.00 (0.00)         Nightcrawler - Opening Weekend (NTCRW.OW) 100000 12.10 (+0.48)         Nightcrawler (NTCRW) 100000 31.69 (+2.53)         Interstellar H$60 Call (NTSTL.CA) 20000 3.36 (+0.16)         Robert De Niro (RDENI) 20000 26.38 (+0.24)         Teri Polo (TPOLO) 19999 50.93 (-0.13)         The Bringing (TBRNG) 100000 20.00 (0.00)         Two Days, One Night (2D1NT) 100000 0.13 (0.00)         Rory Culkin (RCULK) 19999 1.84 (-0.03)         Heather Graham (HGRAH) 100 18.41 (0.00)         Brooklyn Bridge (BKBRD) 99999 8.54 (+0.98)         Escobar: Paradise Lost (PRDSL) 100000 3.65 (+1.56)         Nightcrawler H$10 Call (NTCRW.CA) 20000 3.26 (-0.04)         Pride and Prejudice and Zombies (PRDPZ) 1 18.69 (-0.60)         Paul Bettany (PBETT) 20000 112.19 (-0.85)         $40,000 Man (40MAN) 1584 0.06 (-0.01)         Leatherface (LTHFC) 100000 25.00 (0.00)         Before I Go To Sleep (BIGTS) 100000 7.69 (-0.34)         Leatherface (LTHFC) 100000 25.00 (0.00)         Our Brand is Crisis (OBCRS) 9633 31.34 (+6.72)         Lee Pace (LPACE) 20000 231.80 (-0.50)         B.O.O: Bureau of Otherworldly Op (BOOU) 78867 57.85 (+0.03)         The Bringing (TBRNG) 10000 20.00 (0.00)         The Graveyard Book (GRVBK) 50000 3.05 (-2.50)         The Black Phantom (BPHNT) 5000 21.10 (-3.90)         Nightcrawler - Opening Weekend (NTCRW.OW) 100000 12.10 (+0.48)         Leatherface (LTHFC) 1000 25.00 (0.00)         Escobar: Paradise Lost (PRDSL) 100000 3.65 (+1.56)         Ellen Burstyn (EBURS) 20000 14.31 (0.00)         The Graveyard Book (GRVBK) 38751 3.05 (-2.50)         The Equalizer 2 (EQLZ2) 9000 43.97 (+3.23)         Escobar: Paradise Lost (PRDSL) 100000 3.65 (+1.56)         Still Alice (STLAL) 8954 4.81 (-0.18)         Leatherface (LTHFC) 100000 25.00 (0.00)         The Bringing (TBRNG) 100000 20.00 (0.00)         Brooklyn Bridge (BKBRD) 90000 8.54 (+0.98)         The Bringing (TBRNG) 100000 20.00 (0.00)         Captain America: Civil War (CAPA3) 15632 233.90 (+0.17)         Leatherface (LTHFC) 100000 25.00 (0.00)         Sherlock Holmes 3 (HOLM3) 40000 33.38 (+3.58)         Comet (COMET) 45000 1.65 (-0.35)         Tomorrowland (1952) 12563 141.22 (-0.30)         In the Heart of the Sea (HRTSE) 195 40.81 (0.00)         The Purge 3 (PURG3) 30000 34.70 (+4.15)         Leatherface (LTHFC) 1 25.00 (0.00)         Goodbye to All That (GBTAT) 45000 1.66 (-0.34)         Before I Disappear (BIDSP) 45000 1.74 (-0.26)         The Black Phantom (BPHNT) 10000 21.10 (-3.90)         The Graveyard Book (GRVBK) 99999 3.05 (-2.50)