HSX Forums: Movies Board






Agreed. My application today was simply to find a min-max for Battleship based on MTC's performance so far this year.

Posted by: ShawnMR on May 14, 17:33 in response to RogerMore's post Agreed - it's not perfect, but it is easy to understand...

Still not exact science by any means, but, its interesting to know how close they generally are since we rely on that data so much.

Posted below, but felt it would interesting enough to mention alone: MTC has a 2012 accuracy rate of about 76%. RS at 57%.   ShawnMR on May 14, 16:55

I'm not totally sure what the %'s mean. can you tell me the avg variance. Thanks for the info!   jwammo on May 14, 17:03

Not sure on the dollar figure, but my calculations are based on these examples:   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:16

you are calculating the average percentage error. correctly, I might add. Cheers. {nm}   jwammo on May 14, 17:31

uh what?   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:06

Please see Roger's and my replies just a couple of posts down. {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:20

If mid-20s is 25 and mid-single digit is 5, then mid-teens should be 15. {nm}   Antibody on May 14, 17:10

I define "teens" as 13-19, not 11-20 (which I would think to be "mid-double digits"). :) {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:12

Hit enter too soon: 11-20 where 15 be "mid-double digits" {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:13

Wouldn't mid-double digits be between 10-99? Wink {nm}   Jay_Beezy on May 14, 19:56

LOL! Using RS 2012 accuracy %, Battleship could open as high as 86M or as low as 24M. {nm}   thatpj on May 14, 17:10

This is from using the formula 1 - ABS(Predicted Weekend - Actual Weekend)/Actual Weekend.   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Hmmm... supposed to go under alfpaul's post {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Thx for the context at least but still confused   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:20

Agreed - it's not perfect, but it is easy to understand and easy to verify, which are advantages. {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:31

Agreed. My application today was simply to find a min-max for Battleship based on MTC's performance so far this year.   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:33

Yes. And I'll admit there are probably better measurements and/or terminology that can be used here. I'm just using that formula in my   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:19

Gotcha   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:24

So... the clarify... MTCs 27 "should" equate to a $35.53 weekend???? {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:54

*to clarify... I am asking to make sure I understand your position.. :) {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:57





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

The Kingkiller Chronicle: The Na (KNGKL) 100000 62.59 (-0.14)         The Fate of the Furious (FAST8) 1000 292.75 (+1.56)         X-Men: Supernova (XMEN7) 100000 102.88 (+0.93)         The Glass Castle (GLASC) 134 2.67 (-0.02)         Hugh Jackman (HJACK) 142 88.24 (-0.39)         Logan $200M Blockbuster Warrant (WOLV3.BW) 20000 5.00 (0.00)         Tomb Raider (TOMB3) 1000 61.05 (+0.14)         Chadwick Boseman (CBOSE) 178 72.10 (-0.39)         Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (GOTG2) 40000 331.13 (-0.24)         X-Men: The New Mutants (NMUTN) 5000 56.62 (+0.17)         X-Men: Supernova (XMEN7) 1494 102.88 (+0.93)         Wonder Woman (WONDR) 979 261.35 (-0.41)         X-Men: Supernova (XMEN7) 4000 102.88 (+0.93)         The Post (TPOST) 100000 52.04 (+2.00)         Unbreakable 2 (UNBR2) 445 85.17 (+1.43)         Thor: Ragnarok (THOR3) 178 179.24 (+1.11)         The Batman (TBATM) 445 167.20 (+1.59)         Oscar Isaac (OISAA) 1000 86.25 (+0.41)         Sandman (SANDM) 445 6.03 (+0.07)         Justice League 2 (JLEA2) 445 222.04 (-0.99)         Justice League (JLEAG) 445 331.49 (-1.53)         Peter Rabbit (PRABT) 1000 69.28 (+0.20)         Inhumans (INHUM) 890 10.03 (-0.09)         Frozen 2 (FROZ2) 15000 144.84 (-0.09)         Ghost in the Shell (GSHEL) 445 78.85 (+4.32)         Daisy Ridley (DRIDL) 1000 107.73 (+0.73)         Avengers: Infinity War (AVNG3) 89 439.48 (-0.80)         Avengers 4 (AVNG4) 89 377.67 (+0.24)         Aquaman (AQUMN) 1284 140.68 (+0.32)         Born in China (BCHNA) 100000 14.18 (+0.05)         Animated Spider-Man movie aka Th (ASPDR) 890 37.98 (+0.03)         Fantastic Beasts 2 (FBST2) 1000 175.25 (-0.47)         Emma Watson (EMWAT) 89 93.15 (-0.79)         Johnny Depp (JDEPP) 1000 77.16 (+0.36)         Samson (SAMSN) 100000 8.59 (-0.64)         Underwater (UNDWT) 388 22.76 (-0.45)         Power Rangers (MMPR) 100000 91.29 (-4.29)         Life (LIFEM) 100000 35.66 (-5.83)         Step Sisters (STPSS) 99999 10.00 (-0.12)         Red Sparrow (RSPRW) 890 76.96 (+0.32)         Tron 3 (TRON3) 445 32.84 (+0.05)         Hard Boiled (HBOIL) 99999 1.74 (+0.01)         The Lion King (LIONK) 890 250.17 (+1.00)         Life (LIFEM) 100000 35.66 (-5.83)         Overnight (ON42S) 890 19.17 (-0.03)         The Comedy Fund (FUNNY) 10000 66.28 (+0.05)         American Assassin (AMASN) 5000 20.98 (-0.03)         CHiPs (CHIPS) 100000 16.98 (-1.68)         Doctor Strange 2 (DRST2) 89 130.89 (-0.32)         Extinction (EXTNC) 1000 35.09 (+3.99)