ANNOUNCEMENT: NominOptions of this year's leading Oscar contenders in the top 8 categories are now trading.

HSX Forums: Movies Board






Agreed. My application today was simply to find a min-max for Battleship based on MTC's performance so far this year.

Posted by: ShawnMR on May 14, 17:33 in response to RogerMore's post Agreed - it's not perfect, but it is easy to understand...

Still not exact science by any means, but, its interesting to know how close they generally are since we rely on that data so much.

Posted below, but felt it would interesting enough to mention alone: MTC has a 2012 accuracy rate of about 76%. RS at 57%.   ShawnMR on May 14, 16:55

I'm not totally sure what the %'s mean. can you tell me the avg variance. Thanks for the info!   jwammo on May 14, 17:03

Not sure on the dollar figure, but my calculations are based on these examples:   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:16

you are calculating the average percentage error. correctly, I might add. Cheers. {nm}   jwammo on May 14, 17:31

uh what?   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:06

Please see Roger's and my replies just a couple of posts down. {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:20

If mid-20s is 25 and mid-single digit is 5, then mid-teens should be 15. {nm}   Antibody on May 14, 17:10

I define "teens" as 13-19, not 11-20 (which I would think to be "mid-double digits"). :) {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:12

Hit enter too soon: 11-20 where 15 be "mid-double digits" {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:13

Wouldn't mid-double digits be between 10-99? Wink {nm}   Jay_Beezy on May 14, 19:56

LOL! Using RS 2012 accuracy %, Battleship could open as high as 86M or as low as 24M. {nm}   thatpj on May 14, 17:10

This is from using the formula 1 - ABS(Predicted Weekend - Actual Weekend)/Actual Weekend.   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Hmmm... supposed to go under alfpaul's post {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Thx for the context at least but still confused   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:20

Agreed - it's not perfect, but it is easy to understand and easy to verify, which are advantages. {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:31

Agreed. My application today was simply to find a min-max for Battleship based on MTC's performance so far this year.   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:33

Yes. And I'll admit there are probably better measurements and/or terminology that can be used here. I'm just using that formula in my   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:19

Gotcha   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:24

So... the clarify... MTCs 27 "should" equate to a $35.53 weekend???? {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:54

*to clarify... I am asking to make sure I understand your position.. :) {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:57





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
Creed (CREED) 99999 22.67 (+0.94)         Trolls (TROLL) 99999 25.82 (+1.40)         Benedict Cumberbatch (BCUMB) 200 87.16 (+0.21)         Monopoly (MONOP) 100000 0.01 (-0.05)         The Gunman (PGUNM) 19991 24.21 (+0.16)         Steve Coogan (SCOOG) 10000 67.90 (-0.40)         The Hobbit: The Battle of the Fi (HOBT3) 100000 177.67 (-2.61)         The Gunman (PGUNM) 19999 24.21 (+0.16)         Steve Coogan (SCOOG) 10000 67.90 (-0.40)         The Interview (NTRVW) 500 12.38 (-0.88)         The Interview (NTRVW) 76083 12.38 (-0.88)         Forty Thieves (40THV) 100000 40.00 (0.00)         The Hobbit: The Battle of the Fi (HOBT3) 10000 177.67 (-2.61)         Gregory the Nuisance aka Pyongya (GREGN) 2000 5.96 (-0.79)         Rebel Wilson (RBWIL) 10000 40.29 (-1.33)         Rebel Wilson (RBWIL) 10000 40.29 (-1.33)         The Interview (NTRVW) 50000 12.38 (-0.88)         The Interview (NTRVW) 50000 12.38 (-0.88)         Trolls (TROLL) 10000 25.82 (+1.40)         Night at the Museum: Secret of t (NMUS3) 100000 71.84 (-2.37)         Night at the Museum: Secret of t (NMUS3) 100000 71.84 (-2.37)         The Hobbit: The Battle of the Fi (HOBT3) 69999 177.67 (-2.61)         Trolls (TROLL) 10000 25.82 (+1.40)         Rosewater (ROSWT) 3000 2.83 (-0.02)         The Interview (NTRVW) 50000 12.38 (-0.88)         The Interview (NTRVW) 50000 12.38 (-0.88)         Norman Reedus (NREED) 20000 5.17 (+0.04)         Strange Magic (STMGC) 25000 36.66 (+1.32)         Rebel Wilson (RBWIL) 10000 40.29 (-1.33)         Rebel Wilson (RBWIL) 10000 40.29 (-1.33)         Andrew Adamson (ANADA) 20000 130.92 (+0.14)         Nora Dunn (NDUNN) 20000 34.02 (+0.08)         Avatar 2 (AVAT2) 1000 290.21 (-0.49)         The Gambler (GMBLR) 50000 26.62 (-2.30)         The Gambler (GMBLR) 30000 26.62 (-2.30)         Exodus: Gods and Kings (EXODU) 20000 65.62 (-1.69)         Trolls (TROLL) 10000 25.82 (+1.40)         Exodus: Gods and Kings (EXODU) 20000 65.62 (-1.69)         Annie (ANNIE) 1000 49.23 (+2.43)         The Kitchen Sink (KSINK) 100000 5.17 (+0.08)         Mr. Right (MRIGH) 5000 4.39 (-0.06)         LEGO Batman (LBATM) 550 105.17 (-0.37)         Max (MAX1) 10000 29.52 (-0.40)         Max (MAX1) 10000 29.52 (-0.40)         Chappie (CHAPI) 10000 63.38 (-0.40)         The Blue Room (BLURM) 10000 0.22 (+0.03)         The Interview (NTRVW) 99998 12.38 (-0.88)         LEGO Batman (LBATM) 10000 105.17 (-0.37)         The Interview (NTRVW) 33609 12.38 (-0.88)         LEGO Batman (LBATM) 10000 105.17 (-0.37)