HSX Forums: Movies Board






Agreed. My application today was simply to find a min-max for Battleship based on MTC's performance so far this year.

Posted by: ShawnMR on May 14, 17:33 in response to RogerMore's post Agreed - it's not perfect, but it is easy to understand...

Still not exact science by any means, but, its interesting to know how close they generally are since we rely on that data so much.

Posted below, but felt it would interesting enough to mention alone: MTC has a 2012 accuracy rate of about 76%. RS at 57%.   ShawnMR on May 14, 16:55

I'm not totally sure what the %'s mean. can you tell me the avg variance. Thanks for the info!   jwammo on May 14, 17:03

Not sure on the dollar figure, but my calculations are based on these examples:   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:16

you are calculating the average percentage error. correctly, I might add. Cheers. {nm}   jwammo on May 14, 17:31

uh what?   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:06

Please see Roger's and my replies just a couple of posts down. {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:20

If mid-20s is 25 and mid-single digit is 5, then mid-teens should be 15. {nm}   Antibody on May 14, 17:10

I define "teens" as 13-19, not 11-20 (which I would think to be "mid-double digits"). :) {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:12

Hit enter too soon: 11-20 where 15 be "mid-double digits" {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:13

Wouldn't mid-double digits be between 10-99? Wink {nm}   Jay_Beezy on May 14, 19:56

LOL! Using RS 2012 accuracy %, Battleship could open as high as 86M or as low as 24M. {nm}   thatpj on May 14, 17:10

This is from using the formula 1 - ABS(Predicted Weekend - Actual Weekend)/Actual Weekend.   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Hmmm... supposed to go under alfpaul's post {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Thx for the context at least but still confused   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:20

Agreed - it's not perfect, but it is easy to understand and easy to verify, which are advantages. {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:31

Agreed. My application today was simply to find a min-max for Battleship based on MTC's performance so far this year.   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:33

Yes. And I'll admit there are probably better measurements and/or terminology that can be used here. I'm just using that formula in my   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:19

Gotcha   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:24

So... the clarify... MTCs 27 "should" equate to a $35.53 weekend???? {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:54

*to clarify... I am asking to make sure I understand your position.. :) {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:57





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
Hacksaw Ridge (HSRDG) 10000 27.23 (+0.13)         Shut In (SHUTN) 15000 18.46 (+0.62)         The Bye Bye Man (BYBYM) 999 20.83 (+0.16)         Halloween Returns (HALW3) 2999 6.29 (+0.02)         Halloween Returns (HALW3) 999 6.29 (+0.02)         The Legend of Conan (CONA2) 2999 3.06 (+0.01)         The Layover (LAYOV) 100000 2.15 (+0.12)         Home Again (HMAGN) 25000 11.71 (-0.43)         The Legend of Conan (CONA2) 999 3.06 (+0.01)         Sausage Party (SAUSG) 5000 87.77 (-0.06)         Before I Wake (SOMNI) 2999 8.14 (+0.07)         Before I Wake (SOMNI) 999 8.14 (+0.07)         Zombieland 2 (ZMBL2) 100000 11.07 (+1.51)         Humbug (HUMBG) 100000 20.02 (+4.19)         Kevin Hart: What Now? (KHWN) 86603 30.38 (+1.30)         Wild Oats (WOATS) 15000 1.10 (+0.16)         Deadpool 2 (DEAD2) 2000 249.45 (+1.38)         Papillon (PAPIL) 100000 18.00 (0.00)         Mother/Daughter (MTDTR) 6841 29.58 (-0.10)         Papillon (PAPIL) 100000 18.00 (0.00)         Masterminds (LOMIS) 3000 25.97 (+0.18)         Monster Trucks (MNTRC) 20000 27.31 (-0.01)         Dark Universe aka Justice League (DARKU) 3000 37.30 (+2.79)         Deadpool 2 (DEAD2) 2000 249.45 (+1.38)         Deepwater Horizon (DPWTH) 3000 41.75 (-0.22)         Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculi (PRGRN) 3000 62.81 (+0.35)         The Invisible Man (INVSB) 20000 15.62 (+4.21)         Justice League 2 (JLEA2) 5947 238.63 (+0.61)         Storks (STORK) 3000 71.14 (-0.15)         Snowden (SNWDN) 3000 22.36 (-0.32)         Triple Frontier (TRPFR) 3578 1.37 (-0.01)         Section 6 (SECT6) 10001 4.81 (-0.21)         The Invisible Man (INVSB) 100000 15.62 (+4.21)         The Invisible Man (INVSB) 100000 15.62 (+4.21)         The Secret Life of Pets 2 (PETS2) 100000 208.17 (-2.23)         Annihilation (ANHLT) 61062 23.71 (-0.17)         Fantastic Beasts and Where to Fi (FBSTS) 70000 261.43 (+1.20)         Star Wars: Han Solo Anthology (SWAR2) 1900 344.66 (+1.03)         Gimme Danger (GIMED) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         Southside With You (SSWYU) 100000 10.97 (+2.71)         American Made aka Mena (MENA) 50000 39.10 (+0.20)         Humbug (HUMBG) 100000 20.02 (+4.19)         The Invisible Man (INVSB) 100000 15.62 (+4.21)         Sully (SULLY) 1 65.95 (-2.11)         Justice League 2 (JLEA2) 4728 238.63 (+0.61)         Sully (SULLY) 6000 65.95 (-2.11)         Sully (SULLY) 10000 65.95 (-2.11)         Justice League 2 (JLEA2) 1 238.63 (+0.61)         Mission: Impossible 6 (MISS6) 99999 70.66 (+0.87)         Don't Breathe (AMITD) 100000 61.12 (-9.35)