HSX Forums: Movies Board






So... the clarify... MTCs 27 "should" equate to a $35.53 weekend???? {nm}

Posted by: dioneta on May 14, 22:54 in response to ShawnMR's post Posted below, but felt it would interesting enough to...

Posted below, but felt it would interesting enough to mention alone: MTC has a 2012 accuracy rate of about 76%. RS at 57%.   ShawnMR on May 14, 16:55

I'm not totally sure what the %'s mean. can you tell me the avg variance. Thanks for the info!   jwammo on May 14, 17:03

Not sure on the dollar figure, but my calculations are based on these examples:   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:16

you are calculating the average percentage error. correctly, I might add. Cheers. {nm}   jwammo on May 14, 17:31

uh what?   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:06

Please see Roger's and my replies just a couple of posts down. {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:20

If mid-20s is 25 and mid-single digit is 5, then mid-teens should be 15. {nm}   Antibody on May 14, 17:10

I define "teens" as 13-19, not 11-20 (which I would think to be "mid-double digits"). :) {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:12

Hit enter too soon: 11-20 where 15 be "mid-double digits" {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:13

Wouldn't mid-double digits be between 10-99? Wink {nm}   Jay_Beezy on May 14, 19:56

LOL! Using RS 2012 accuracy %, Battleship could open as high as 86M or as low as 24M. {nm}   thatpj on May 14, 17:10

This is from using the formula 1 - ABS(Predicted Weekend - Actual Weekend)/Actual Weekend.   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Hmmm... supposed to go under alfpaul's post {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Thx for the context at least but still confused   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:20

Agreed - it's not perfect, but it is easy to understand and easy to verify, which are advantages. {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:31

Agreed. My application today was simply to find a min-max for Battleship based on MTC's performance so far this year.   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:33

Yes. And I'll admit there are probably better measurements and/or terminology that can be used here. I'm just using that formula in my   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:19

Gotcha   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:24

So... the clarify... MTCs 27 "should" equate to a $35.53 weekend???? {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:54

*to clarify... I am asking to make sure I understand your position.. :) {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:57





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
Sleepless Night (SLPLS) 100000 12.14 (+0.07)         A Meyers Christmas (MEYER) 100000 20.31 (-0.93)         Z aka Zorro Reborn (ZOROR) 24999 8.72 (-1.51)         Rita Hayworth with a Hand Grenad (RHWHG) 24999 5.84 (+0.14)         God's Not Dead 2 (GODN2) 100000 21.87 (+2.11)         Bastards (BASTR) 100000 24.65 (+0.08)         Amityville: The Awakening (AMTVL) 100000 15.14 (+0.47)         Die Hard: Year One (DIEH6) 5000 31.07 (-1.46)         Wind River (WNDRV) 33020 15.81 (-0.19)         Conner4real aka Top Secret Untit (CON4R) 100000 12.06 (+0.03)         Me Before You (MBFYU) 100000 23.21 (-0.88)         Memoria (MEMOR) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         Kicks (KICKZ) 100000 4.00 (0.00)         Hail, Caesar! (HAILC) 100000 27.96 (-4.11)         The Shack (SHACK) 50000 21.65 (+3.97)         Goat (GOAT) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         A Monster Calls (AMCAL) 100000 20.51 (+0.16)         The Shack (SHACK) 25000 21.65 (+3.97)         The Accountant (ACTNT) 100000 29.74 (+0.42)         The Girl on the Train (GRLOT) 100000 54.22 (+0.94)         Memoria (MEMOR) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         Kicks (KICKZ) 100000 4.00 (0.00)         Masterminds (LOMIS) 100000 20.61 (+0.10)         Deepwater Horizon (DPWTH) 100000 30.03 (-0.10)         Storks (STORK) 100000 41.82 (0.00)         Sully (SULLY) 100000 34.90 (+0.07)         The Shack (SHACK) 24999 21.65 (+3.97)         Bridget Jones's Baby (BJON3) 100000 21.22 (-0.13)         Patient Zero (PZERO) 100000 18.62 (-0.07)         Pride and Prejudice and Zombies (PRDPZ) 100000 23.96 (-3.50)         Arms and the Dudes (ARMDU) 100000 20.31 (-0.12)         Troublemakers aka Bad Moms aka U (BMOMS) 100000 27.20 (+0.15)         Hail, Caesar! (HAILC) 100000 27.96 (-4.11)         Kubo And The Two Strings (KUBO) 100000 32.51 (-0.26)         Samuel L. Jackson (SLJAC) 20000 84.13 (+0.43)         Spectral (SPTRL) 100000 19.50 (-0.05)         Alexandra Daddario (ADADD) 20000 69.52 (-0.26)         A6: Spotlight - Original (A6OSPO) 15 10.59 (0.00)         Genius (GENUS) 100000 1.21 (-0.03)         The LEGO Movie Sequel (LEGO2) 101 142.22 (-2.51)         A6: Room - Adapted (A6EROM) 25 2.83 (+0.07)         A6: Rooney Mara - Carol - Sup. A (A6SRMA) 15 2.59 (+0.02)         A6: Mark Rylance - Bridge of Spi (A6RMRY) 20 5.44 (+0.11)         A6: Brie Larson - Room - Actress (A6CBLA) 30 12.82 (+0.07)         A6: Leonardo DiCaprio - The Reve (A6ALDI) 25 16.21 (0.00)         Hologram for the King (HGFTK) 99999 2.70 (+0.79)         A6: Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu (A6DAGI) 30 12.32 (+0.04)         Free State of Jones (FSJON) 100000 29.60 (-0.11)         Idris Elba (IELBA) 5000 74.68 (+0.30)         Rio, I Love You (RIOIL) 99999 0.43 (+0.27)