ANNOUNCEMENT: Blockbuster Warrants let you profit from the long-term box office success of the biggest movies.

HSX Forums: Movies Board






So... the clarify... MTCs 27 "should" equate to a $35.53 weekend???? {nm}

Posted by: dioneta on May 14, 22:54 in response to ShawnMR's post Posted below, but felt it would interesting enough to...

Posted below, but felt it would interesting enough to mention alone: MTC has a 2012 accuracy rate of about 76%. RS at 57%.   ShawnMR on May 14, 16:55

I'm not totally sure what the %'s mean. can you tell me the avg variance. Thanks for the info!   jwammo on May 14, 17:03

Not sure on the dollar figure, but my calculations are based on these examples:   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:16

you are calculating the average percentage error. correctly, I might add. Cheers. {nm}   jwammo on May 14, 17:31

uh what?   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:06

Please see Roger's and my replies just a couple of posts down. {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:20

If mid-20s is 25 and mid-single digit is 5, then mid-teens should be 15. {nm}   Antibody on May 14, 17:10

I define "teens" as 13-19, not 11-20 (which I would think to be "mid-double digits"). :) {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:12

Hit enter too soon: 11-20 where 15 be "mid-double digits" {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:13

Wouldn't mid-double digits be between 10-99? Wink {nm}   Jay_Beezy on May 14, 19:56

LOL! Using RS 2012 accuracy %, Battleship could open as high as 86M or as low as 24M. {nm}   thatpj on May 14, 17:10

This is from using the formula 1 - ABS(Predicted Weekend - Actual Weekend)/Actual Weekend.   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Hmmm... supposed to go under alfpaul's post {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Thx for the context at least but still confused   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:20

Agreed - it's not perfect, but it is easy to understand and easy to verify, which are advantages. {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:31

Agreed. My application today was simply to find a min-max for Battleship based on MTC's performance so far this year.   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:33

Yes. And I'll admit there are probably better measurements and/or terminology that can be used here. I'm just using that formula in my   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:19

Gotcha   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:24

So... the clarify... MTCs 27 "should" equate to a $35.53 weekend???? {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:54

*to clarify... I am asking to make sure I understand your position.. :) {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:57





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
Barbie (BARBI) 10000 13.23 (+13.21)         Transcendence (TRNSC) 100000 24.78 (-2.56)         Bears (BEAR) 100000 13.55 (+0.15)         Deadpool (DEADP) 1 11.54 (-0.05)         Star Trek 3 (TREK3) 10000 158.19 (+1.33)         Deadpool (DEADP) 1 11.54 (-0.05)         SpongeBob SquarePants Movie 2 (SPBO2) 2444 35.06 (-0.05)         Cymbeline (CYMBE) 1 5.89 (-0.10)         Barbie (BARBI) 50000 13.23 (+13.21)         Captain America: The Winter Sold (CAPA2.BW) 20000 10.76 (+0.76)         Cymbeline (CYMBE) 1 5.89 (-0.10)         Maleficent (MALEF) 100000 127.49 (-1.39)         Neighbors (NEIBR) 40000 84.23 (+1.02)         Curve (CURVE) 1 9.42 (-0.24)         The Other Woman H$20 Call (OTHRW.CA) 20000 2.07 (-0.25)         Barbie (BARBI) 100000 13.23 (+13.21)         Curve (CURVE) 1 9.42 (-0.24)         Captain America 3 (CAPA3) 10000 163.17 (+3.48)         Hector And The Search For Happin (HECJR) 99987 2.11 (-0.84)         Barbie (BARBI) 35000 13.23 (+13.21)         Freeheld (FRHLD) 100000 8.00 (0.00)         The Other Woman H$20 Put (OTHRW.PU) 20000 3.05 (+0.23)         Captain Underpants (CUNDP) 1 30.64 (-0.20)         Midnight Rider (MRIDR) 100000 12.32 (-1.59)         Captain Underpants (CUNDP) 1 30.64 (-0.20)         Fantastic Beasts and Where to Fi (FBSTS) 126 78.08 (-4.08)         The City That Sailed (CTSAL) 1 9.03 (-0.02)         The City That Sailed (CTSAL) 1 9.03 (-0.02)         Top Gun 2 (TOPG2) 30000 36.57 (+0.04)         Mortdecai (MRTDC) 100000 36.74 (+1.60)         Guardians of the Galaxy (GOTGX) 100000 149.64 (-0.25)         Jake Johnson (JMJOH) 10000 32.46 (+0.48)         Jake Johnson (JMJOH) 10000 32.46 (+0.48)         Mortdecai (MRTDC) 5000 36.74 (+1.60)         Captain America 3 (CAPA3) 100000 163.17 (+3.48)         Victor Frankenstein (FRNKS) 43238 33.53 (-0.03)         Sebastian Stan (SSTAN) 10000 79.47 (+1.07)         Sebastian Stan (SSTAN) 10000 79.47 (+1.07)         Hands of Stone (HNDST) 10000 13.37 (-0.16)         Fantastic Beasts and Where to Fi (FBSTS) 100000 78.08 (-4.08)         Fantastic Beasts and Where to Fi (FBSTS) 100000 78.08 (-4.08)         Barbie (BARBI) 1 13.23 (+13.21)         Star Trek 3 (TREK3) 100000 158.19 (+1.33)         How to Train Your Dragon 2 (HTYD2) 50000 200.06 (+0.45)         Magic Mike 2 (MGCM2) 10000 50.39 (+0.48)         The LEGO Movie 2 (LEGO2) 24999 136.10 (+7.16)         The Drop (TDROP) 100000 8.82 (-0.08)         National Treasure 3 (NATR3) 24266 30.46 (+8.81)         Freeheld (FRHLD) 100000 8.00 (0.00)         The Amazing Spider-Man 2 H$95 Ca (SPID5.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)