ANNOUNCEMENT: Trade TVStocks of the new, mid-season network series.

HSX Forums: Movies Board






*to clarify... I am asking to make sure I understand your position.. :) {nm}

Posted by: dioneta on May 14, 22:57 in response to dioneta's post So... the clarify... MTCs 27 "should" equate...

Posted below, but felt it would interesting enough to mention alone: MTC has a 2012 accuracy rate of about 76%. RS at 57%.   ShawnMR on May 14, 16:55

I'm not totally sure what the %'s mean. can you tell me the avg variance. Thanks for the info!   jwammo on May 14, 17:03

Not sure on the dollar figure, but my calculations are based on these examples:   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:16

you are calculating the average percentage error. correctly, I might add. Cheers. {nm}   jwammo on May 14, 17:31

uh what?   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:06

Please see Roger's and my replies just a couple of posts down. {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:20

If mid-20s is 25 and mid-single digit is 5, then mid-teens should be 15. {nm}   Antibody on May 14, 17:10

I define "teens" as 13-19, not 11-20 (which I would think to be "mid-double digits"). :) {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:12

Hit enter too soon: 11-20 where 15 be "mid-double digits" {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:13

Wouldn't mid-double digits be between 10-99? Wink {nm}   Jay_Beezy on May 14, 19:56

LOL! Using RS 2012 accuracy %, Battleship could open as high as 86M or as low as 24M. {nm}   thatpj on May 14, 17:10

This is from using the formula 1 - ABS(Predicted Weekend - Actual Weekend)/Actual Weekend.   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Hmmm... supposed to go under alfpaul's post {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Thx for the context at least but still confused   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:20

Agreed - it's not perfect, but it is easy to understand and easy to verify, which are advantages. {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:31

Agreed. My application today was simply to find a min-max for Battleship based on MTC's performance so far this year.   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:33

Yes. And I'll admit there are probably better measurements and/or terminology that can be used here. I'm just using that formula in my   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:19

Gotcha   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:24

So... the clarify... MTCs 27 "should" equate to a $35.53 weekend???? {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:54

*to clarify... I am asking to make sure I understand your position.. :) {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:57





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
Batkid (BATKD) 100000 16.26 (-0.06)         Cell (CELL) 100000 2.82 (-0.02)         Cop Car (COPCR) 100000 0.79 (+0.37)         Cop Car (COPCR) 100000 0.79 (+0.37)         Avatar 2 (AVAT2) 300 270.93 (-0.82)         Southpaw (SUPAW) 1 29.04 (-1.11)         Captain Underpants (CUNDP) 65243 31.28 (-0.06)         Need for Speed 2 (NFSP2) 59356 20.00 (0.00)         Love and Honor (LVHNR) 100000 0.15 (+0.07)         Ashes (ASHES) 100000 0.15 (+0.03)         Everest (EVRST) 15000 26.37 (+2.67)         World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 100000 29.67 (-0.36)         Need for Speed 2 (NFSP2) 100000 20.00 (0.00)         As Seen on TV Fund: Season 5 (SEETV) 10000 29.08 (+0.25)         Steve Coogan (SCOOG) 20000 58.64 (-0.82)         Need for Speed 2 (NFSP2) 40644 20.00 (0.00)         World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 100000 29.67 (-0.36)         Captain Fantastic (CFANT) 100000 1.27 (+0.03)         Death Note (DNOTE) 15000 6.71 (+6.57)         Need for Speed 2 (NFSP2) 10972 20.00 (0.00)         Sinister Six (SINST) 50000 23.94 (-0.87)         Colossus: The Forbin Project (COLOS) 20000 0.45 (0.00)         Sinister Six (SINST) 50000 23.94 (-0.87)         Vacation (VACTN) 100000 53.58 (+0.18)         Frozen 2 (FROZ2) 1695 152.02 (+4.31)         Sinister Six (SINST) 15000 23.94 (-0.87)         Unexpected (UNEXP) 50000 1.45 (-0.92)         Unexpected (UNEXP) 50000 1.45 (-0.92)         Nine Lives (9LIVS) 100000 21.03 (-0.35)         Hayley Atwell (HATWE) 2 123.63 (+1.14)         Nine Lives (9LIVS) 100000 21.03 (-0.35)         The Wannabe (TWANB) 26171 1.85 (+0.02)         Last Knights (LSKNT) 100000 0.02 (-0.02)         The Shack (SHACK) 29000 20.54 (-1.16)         Nine Lives (9LIVS) 100000 21.03 (-0.35)         Lila and Eve (LILEV) 50000 2.02 (-0.98)         The Jetsons (JETSN) 20000 10.81 (-0.11)         Need for Speed 2 (NFSP2) 100000 20.00 (0.00)         Lila and Eve (LILEV) 50000 2.02 (-0.98)         Death Note (DNOTE) 100000 6.71 (+6.57)         Star Wars: The Force Awakens (STAR7) 4665 346.65 (+0.62)         The 5th Wave (5WAVE) 16000 29.08 (+1.79)         Barbershop 3 (BSHO3) 100000 33.32 (+6.47)         Universal Studio Fund (UNIVX) 5526 88.73 (-0.17)         Barbershop 3 (BSHO3) 100000 33.32 (+6.47)         10,000KM (10KKM) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         The Spectacular Spider-Man (SPID6) 75000 78.80 (+1.79)         The Opening Weekend Fund (OPENR) 10000 50.02 (-0.14)         Captain Marvel (CMARV) 8594 73.01 (+7.76)         Cleopatra (CLEOP) 20000 1.90 (-0.12)