ANNOUNCEMENT: Trade Blockbuster Warrants of Hollywood's biggest moneymakers.

HSX Forums: Movies Board






*to clarify... I am asking to make sure I understand your position.. :) {nm}

Posted by: dioneta on May 14, 22:57 in response to dioneta's post So... the clarify... MTCs 27 "should" equate...

Posted below, but felt it would interesting enough to mention alone: MTC has a 2012 accuracy rate of about 76%. RS at 57%.   ShawnMR on May 14, 16:55

I'm not totally sure what the %'s mean. can you tell me the avg variance. Thanks for the info!   jwammo on May 14, 17:03

Not sure on the dollar figure, but my calculations are based on these examples:   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:16

you are calculating the average percentage error. correctly, I might add. Cheers. {nm}   jwammo on May 14, 17:31

uh what?   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:06

Please see Roger's and my replies just a couple of posts down. {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:20

If mid-20s is 25 and mid-single digit is 5, then mid-teens should be 15. {nm}   Antibody on May 14, 17:10

I define "teens" as 13-19, not 11-20 (which I would think to be "mid-double digits"). :) {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:12

Hit enter too soon: 11-20 where 15 be "mid-double digits" {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:13

Wouldn't mid-double digits be between 10-99? Wink {nm}   Jay_Beezy on May 14, 19:56

LOL! Using RS 2012 accuracy %, Battleship could open as high as 86M or as low as 24M. {nm}   thatpj on May 14, 17:10

This is from using the formula 1 - ABS(Predicted Weekend - Actual Weekend)/Actual Weekend.   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Hmmm... supposed to go under alfpaul's post {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Thx for the context at least but still confused   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:20

Agreed - it's not perfect, but it is easy to understand and easy to verify, which are advantages. {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:31

Agreed. My application today was simply to find a min-max for Battleship based on MTC's performance so far this year.   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:33

Yes. And I'll admit there are probably better measurements and/or terminology that can be used here. I'm just using that formula in my   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:19

Gotcha   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:24

So... the clarify... MTCs 27 "should" equate to a $35.53 weekend???? {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:54

*to clarify... I am asking to make sure I understand your position.. :) {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:57





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
Haunted Mansion (HMNSN) 100000 40.66 (+0.66)         20,000 Leagues Under the Sea (20LUS) 4 5.40 (+0.31)         Animated Spider-Man (ASPDR) 99 68.04 (-3.15)         Larrikins (LARIK) 17000 31.54 (-0.15)         The Bourne 5 (BORN5) 49999 84.07 (+5.70)         LEGO Batman (LBATM) 49999 79.74 (-1.01)         The Young and Prodigious Spivet (SPIVT) 1013 0.04 (-0.08)         Jurassic World (JURA4) 100000 218.29 (+4.67)         Tink (TINK) 99999 16.55 (+5.37)         Assassin's Creed (ASCRD) 99999 32.97 (+4.45)         Shazam! (SHAZM) 5000 43.98 (-0.39)         Haunted Mansion (HMNSN) 25000 40.66 (+0.66)         Maze Runner: The Scorch Trials (MAZE2) 1000 75.88 (+0.79)         Anesthesia (ANSTH) 10000 0.76 (-0.05)         Jurassic World (JURA4) 100000 218.29 (+4.67)         The Flash (FLASH) 12000 43.44 (-0.19)         Animated Spider-Man (ASPDR) 20000 68.04 (-3.15)         I Am Wrath (IMWRA) 30000 1.48 (-0.03)         Mad Max: Fury Road (MMAX4) 100000 119.77 (-6.04)         Tomb Raider (TOMB3) 20000 9.07 (-0.09)         Mad Max: Fury Road (MMAX4) 100000 119.77 (-6.04)         Blade Runner 2 (BLAD2) 5000 32.82 (-0.77)         Sandman (SANDM) 15000 17.82 (-0.26)         Tink (TINK) 7344 16.55 (+5.37)         Dr. Seuss' How the Grinch Stole (HTGSC) 12000 59.47 (-0.07)         Beetlejuice 2 (BEET2) 20000 23.37 (-0.20)         Tom's Dad (TOMSD) 15000 6.80 (-0.04)         A Star is Born (ASTAR) 10000 6.08 (-0.06)         The African-American Fund (AFRAM) 10000 21.53 (+0.83)         Prometheus 2 (PRME2) 10000 16.04 (-0.09)         The Bronze (BRONZ) 8000 11.66 (-0.17)         Haunted Mansion (HMNSN) 41 40.66 (+0.66)         Berlin, I Love You (BLILU) 291 1.11 (0.00)         AutoBahn (ABAHN) 10000 18.97 (+0.10)         Haunted Mansion (HMNSN) 100000 40.66 (+0.66)         Selfless (SLFLS) 50000 24.05 (-1.37)         Selfless (SLFLS) 50000 24.05 (-1.37)         Ratchet & Clank (RATCL) 50000 19.99 (-0.85)         Enchanted 2 (ENCH2) 20000 5.50 (-0.12)         Ratchet & Clank (RATCL) 50000 19.99 (-0.85)         Fifty Shades Darker (50SH2) 500 74.97 (-0.89)         Fifty Shades Darker (50SH2) 500 74.97 (-0.89)         Red Light Winter (RLWIN) 100000 0.02 (-0.04)         Red Light Winter (RLWIN) 99990 0.02 (-0.04)         Enchanted 2 (ENCH2) 10000 5.50 (-0.12)         Selfless (SLFLS) 50000 24.05 (-1.37)         Selfless (SLFLS) 50000 24.05 (-1.37)         G.I. JOE 3 (GIJO3) 14999 34.74 (-0.34)         Alien 5 (ALIE5) 11000 42.15 (-0.49)         Insurgent $130M Blockbuster Warr (DVRG2.BW) 10000 3.79 (+0.03)