HSX Forum

Movies

Wow, I hadn't really taken that into consideration before. It is entirely possible that it could go sub-$50M.

Posted by: accountant_4_Jesus (a.k.a del_SJW_accountant_4_Jesus) on Jun 03, 21:43 in response to xiayun's post A Fri-to-Sat drop is very likely given the release date,...

My opinion is that ~ $55M is the ceiling for the opening weekend. It could end up there, or it could end up lower. From the points you've raised I'm now leaning towards it being lower.

I would not put much weight on the relative strength of PROME's international start comparing to SWHTM's xiayun Jun 03, 20:22

I can rest easy now. Thanks for your analysis, as always. {nm} Tanker Jun 03, 20:32

For a sub-$50M start that would normally mean that Saturday's gross would drop from Friday's, as well as a muted Friday start, wouldn't it? {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jun 03, 21:09

A Fri-to-Sat drop is very likely given the release date, R-rating, and the sci-fi genre; District 9 dropped 10.9% even with its great WOM xiayun Jun 03, 21:27

Wow, I hadn't really taken that into consideration before. It is entirely possible that it could go sub-$50M. accountant_4_Jesus Jun 03, 21:43

If I were trying to make a case for a 70M opening... second gary Jun 03, 21:31

second gary, I'm with you. Might even say 80+ {nm} Ryan_Stewart Jun 03, 21:52

I'm saying there is limited evidence for a 70M opening, and there are real problems in arguing for 70M. I am still... second gary Jun 04, 07:00

Whoever is Ryan Stewart? Also, PROME is no Star Trek. That one had likeable, youthful characters. PROME is a mess, closer to a turd, and not {nm} Facto Jun 03, 21:58

in the least good-spirited. That Lost writer is nothing like JJ Abrams - no, he's a joke, someone who should've never been hired. Sadly. {nm} Facto Jun 03, 22:03

Who should they have hired? You? Did I miss something or are there a bunch of working studio heads on this site? {nm} Ryan_Stewart Jun 03, 22:08

They could have hired someone with actual skills, instead of this irreverent hipster punk (who is hyper-active on twitter). Poor choice. {nm} Facto Jun 03, 22:30

We will see Friday night, as always. {nm} Ryan_Stewart Jun 03, 21:56

Ok, I know Xiayun and A4J are not really trying to manipulate the price, but with two heavy hitters both announcing gross, in the '50s elchan Jun 04, 06:40

Heh, people consider me a "heavy hitter"? That's news to me... :P {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jun 04, 07:43

You take the time to make evidence-based arguments, which... second gary Jun 04, 08:12

Thanks, I appreciate that. I wondered where all those cakes were going to... And no, I'm not sure I'd endorse the hitting part either. :P {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jun 04, 08:17

Don't get a swelled head, it's just a figure of speech. ;-) {nm} elchan Jun 04, 08:18

Depending on who you talk to, my head can't get any more swollen :P {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jun 04, 08:22





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Tarot H$15 Put (HRSCP.PU) 25000 2.70 (+0.70)          The Fall Guy H$50 Call (FALGY.CA) 25000 2.86 (+0.86)          Play Dirty (PLDRT) 9000 26.01 (-0.18)          Tarot H$15 Call (HRSCP.CA) 25000 1.65 (-0.35)          Downtown Owl (DTOWL) 150000 0.33 (-0.11)          The Ballad of Wallis Island (TBOWI) 1000 5.54 (-0.46)          The Fall Guy H$50 Put (FALGY.PU) 25000 2.38 (+0.38)          Materialists (MTRLS) 2000 15.20 (-0.04)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 149999 49.31 (-7.54)          Martin Freeman (MAFRE) 1001 103.37 (+0.66)          Quentin Tarantino (QTARA) 25000 89.65 (-0.46)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 100000 51.17 (+1.17)          Quentin Tarantino (QTARA) 20000 89.65 (-0.46)          Martin Freeman (MAFRE) 1099 103.37 (+0.66)          Maria (MARIA) 3000 12.83 (-0.22)          The Fall Guy H$50 Call (FALGY.CA) 25000 2.86 (+0.86)          The Second Act (SECAC) 10000 1.59 (0.00)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 1073 136.04 (-0.19)          Tarot H$15 Put (HRSCP.PU) 25000 2.70 (+0.70)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Untitled Ryan Coogler Event Movi (URCEM) 600 61.26 (-0.25)          Animal Friends (ANFRN) 7000 52.73 (+0.03)          Tarot - Opening Weekend (HRSCP.OW) 100000 14.15 (-0.85)          Harold and the Purple Crayon (HATPC) 30 32.64 (-0.03)          Downtown Owl (DTOWL) 150000 0.33 (-0.11)          Tarot H$15 Call (HRSCP.CA) 25000 1.65 (-0.35)          The Fall Guy H$50 Call (FALGY.CA) 25000 2.86 (+0.86)          The Nickel Boys (NICKB) 400 8.30 (+0.23)          The Fall Guy H$50 Put (FALGY.PU) 25000 2.38 (+0.38)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 150000 49.31 (-7.54)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 313 51.17 (+1.17)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 100000 51.17 (+1.17)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 5422 241.39 (-0.32)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4) 150000 134.08 (+0.44)          Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire $100 (GHST5.BW) 25000 7.83 (+0.23)          The Fall Guy H$50 Call (FALGY.CA) 25000 2.86 (+0.86)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 3000 49.31 (-7.54)          Rosa Salazar (RSALA) 25000 61.67 (+0.49)          The Forge (TFORG) 10000 17.12 (-0.04)          Rosa Salazar (RSALA) 24999 61.67 (+0.49)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 150000 49.31 (-7.54)          Greenhouse aka The Uninhabitable (GRENH) 2000 50.78 (+0.31)          Greenhouse aka The Uninhabitable (GRENH) 600 50.78 (+0.31)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 6000 49.31 (-7.54)          The Crow (TCROW) 10000 23.15 (-0.02)          Emily Blunt (EBLUN) 25000 138.63 (+0.66)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 150000 49.31 (-7.54)          Animal Friends (ANFRN) 8000 52.73 (+0.03)          Minecraft (MINEC) 2482 95.23 (+0.08)          Christine (CRSTN) 5 36.98 (-0.09)