HSX Forum

Movies

Careful there - looks like a call to action. {nm}

Posted by: grammar on Jul 01, 10:43 in response to jamesbik333's post time to short both ted & magic mike

Official Adjusts Antibody Jul 01, 10:25

time to short both ted & magic mike {nm} jamesbik333 Jul 01, 10:30

Interesting call to action? {nm} ryancoke2 Jul 01, 10:42

Careful there - looks like a call to action. grammar Jul 01, 10:43

I would point out that Bad Teacher last year at the end of June delisted with a 2.85 multiplier {nm} dioneta Jul 01, 10:44

Also in June was the Hangover which delisted at 4.07... The point is that you can find reasons for both directions {nm} dioneta Jul 01, 10:53

Most decently received R-comedy does have legs, however most R-comedy does not have a built in audience like TED. BionicMoron Jul 01, 10:58

Let's get real here. :-) Against SPID4, ICEA4, and BATM3? {nm} elchan Jul 01, 10:56

ICEA4? What kind of overlap does that have with TED? {nm} BionicMoron, EAP leader Jul 01, 10:58

I think it's more to do with screen space, All three of those are going to command a good percentage of theater screens {nm} LanceStorm22 Jul 01, 11:04

Thing is...how many theaters got multiple prints of Ted or Magic Mike. They don't get squeezed if attendance is there, slower films will. Catzan Jul 01, 11:08

True, just giving what his probable reason was. As my post below says though, I think Ted has a good chance, Magic Mike not as much {nm} LanceStorm22 Jul 01, 11:21

I had higher hopes for Magic Mike...but it has begun to feel like Satc2... Catzan Jul 01, 12:00

Worse than SatC2. Before actuals, which may show a worse drop, it sits at No. 9 for percentage of OW coming from Friday... LanceStorm22 Jul 01, 14:09

With weekday business being as strong as it is this time of year, something like 35-22-14 on the weekends would be enough BionicMoron, EAP leader Jul 01, 11:13

That's a possibility, but your average of about 35% drops every weekend is going to be difficult, doable, but difficult. The question is... LanceStorm22 Jul 01, 17:50

Yeah, I'm not sure it's going to happen, but screencounts won't be the determining factor. BionicMoron, EAP leader Jul 01, 19:17

I went to TED with my son instead of Brave and loved it and my daughter went to watch Mike instead of Brave...just kidding..but could have b4bad Jul 01, 11:41

You mean like...Transformers 3, Harry Potter 8 and Captain America??? {nm} dioneta Jul 01, 11:01

Yes, but BDTCH is only delisted at $88, and not the $146, and seemingly frontloaded TED numbers, though. {nm} elchan Jul 01, 11:14

I think the others point is that they both had the same daily dropoffs OW, barring any strange fluctuations with the final numbers, so it's LanceStorm22 Jul 01, 11:27

Why do you think TED is frontloaded, it had an identical OW internal multiplier to Hangover {nm} stevie1der328 Jul 01, 11:29

I did say, "seemingly". I don't have historical data, but from other comments of others on the board the Sat drop off was significant. elchan Jul 01, 11:36

Yeah, from my standpoint if that Sunday number holds then it bodes well for TED's future prospects, but it could easily be overestimated. {nm} stevie1der328 Jul 01, 11:41

BOM shows the drop as about 13% for both Sat and Sun. Bad Teach was 10% & 24% and Hangover was 10% & 12.4%. Catzan Jul 01, 12:31

A comparable would be WEDCR, which delisted at 143, but it did not have to contend with any major blockbusters in the following weeks. elchan Jul 01, 11:29

I'd say Magic Mike's the only obvious short, if its Friday to Saturday drop is correct, I doubt if it even gets to the estimate, if that's LanceStorm22 Jul 01, 11:03

I note that The Avengers have finally dropped out of the top 10 {nm} Rednax Jul 02, 08:53





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Lovely, Dark, and Deep (LDADP) 1000 1.50 (0.00)          Deadpool & Wolverine aka Deadpoo (DEAD3) 10000 355.73 (-0.30)          Spaceman (SPACM) 149000 0.27 (+0.01)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2.PU) 25000 2.35 (+0.02)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2.CA) 25000 2.94 (-0.13)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2.OW) 100000 55.52 (-0.21)          Levon's Trade (LEVON) 1 19.06 (0.00)          Ballerina (BLRNA) 3 63.74 (-0.10)          Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire (GHST5) 149323 110.90 (-0.88)          Knox Goes Away (KNOXG) 150000 2.05 (+0.03)          Jumanji sequel (JUMN3) 1 83.60 (+0.09)          Rental Family (RNTLF) 75000 13.89 (-1.43)          Scary Stories To Tell In The Dar (SSTI2) 1 7.04 (+0.02)          Scary Stories To Tell In The Dar (SSTI2) 150000 7.04 (+0.02)          Levon's Trade (LEVON) 150000 19.06 (0.00)          Ballerina (BLRNA) 150000 63.74 (-0.10)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 150000 292.89 (-0.81)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 1 155.91 (-0.11)          Jumanji sequel (JUMN3) 150000 83.60 (+0.09)          Hercules (HRCUL) 100000 30.73 (-0.06)          Huntington (HNGTN) 100000 15.21 (+0.16)          Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire (GHST5) 677 110.90 (-0.88)          The Crow (TCROW) 50000 24.37 (+0.16)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2) 1 145.98 (-0.81)          Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire - Op (GHST5.OW) 359 47.22 (-0.07)          Elio (ELIO) 3 119.86 (-0.11)          Elio (ELIO) 3 119.86 (-0.11)          Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire - Op (GHST5.OW) 99141 47.22 (-0.07)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 1 81.19 (-0.08)          The End We Start From (TEWSF) 150000 0.63 (+0.02)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 1 81.19 (-0.08)          Mickey 17 aka Mickey7 (MCKY7) 3 114.58 (-0.11)          Black Bag (BLCBG) 150000 21.71 (+1.15)          Mickey 17 aka Mickey7 (MCKY7) 3 114.58 (-0.11)          The Threesome (3SOME) 40000 4.37 (+0.01)          Hercules (HRCUL) 1 30.73 (-0.06)          Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire H$45 (GHST5.PU) 25000 3.07 (+0.03)          Hercules (HRCUL) 1 30.73 (-0.06)          The Unbreakable Boy (UNBOY) 3 7.60 (-0.25)          The Unbreakable Boy (UNBOY) 3 7.60 (-0.25)          Deadpool & Wolverine aka Deadpoo (DEAD3) 3 355.73 (-0.30)          Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire H$45 (GHST5.CA) 25000 2.27 (-0.02)          Deadpool & Wolverine aka Deadpoo (DEAD3) 3 355.73 (-0.30)          Avatar 3 (AVAT3) 3 408.25 (-0.50)          Antarctica (ANTRC) 50000 16.13 (+1.21)          Avatar 3 (AVAT3) 3 408.25 (-0.50)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4) 3 138.08 (-0.82)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4) 3 138.08 (-0.82)          Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire - Op (GHST5.OW) 500 47.22 (-0.07)          Possum Trot (PSMTR) 3 14.03 (+0.02)