HSX Forum

Movies

Most decently received R-comedy does have legs, however most R-comedy does not have a built in audience like TED.

Posted by: BionicMoron on Jul 01, 10:58 in response to dioneta's post Also in June was the Hangover which delisted at 4.07......

So yeah, there's a case for either direction.

Official Adjusts Antibody Jul 01, 10:25

time to short both ted & magic mike {nm} jamesbik333 Jul 01, 10:30

Interesting call to action? {nm} ryancoke2 Jul 01, 10:42

Careful there - looks like a call to action. {nm} grammar Jul 01, 10:43

I would point out that Bad Teacher last year at the end of June delisted with a 2.85 multiplier {nm} dioneta Jul 01, 10:44

Also in June was the Hangover which delisted at 4.07... The point is that you can find reasons for both directions {nm} dioneta Jul 01, 10:53

Most decently received R-comedy does have legs, however most R-comedy does not have a built in audience like TED. BionicMoron Jul 01, 10:58

Let's get real here. :-) Against SPID4, ICEA4, and BATM3? {nm} elchan Jul 01, 10:56

ICEA4? What kind of overlap does that have with TED? {nm} BionicMoron, EAP leader Jul 01, 10:58

I think it's more to do with screen space, All three of those are going to command a good percentage of theater screens {nm} LanceStorm22 Jul 01, 11:04

Thing is...how many theaters got multiple prints of Ted or Magic Mike. They don't get squeezed if attendance is there, slower films will. Catzan Jul 01, 11:08

True, just giving what his probable reason was. As my post below says though, I think Ted has a good chance, Magic Mike not as much {nm} LanceStorm22 Jul 01, 11:21

I had higher hopes for Magic Mike...but it has begun to feel like Satc2... Catzan Jul 01, 12:00

Worse than SatC2. Before actuals, which may show a worse drop, it sits at No. 9 for percentage of OW coming from Friday... LanceStorm22 Jul 01, 14:09

With weekday business being as strong as it is this time of year, something like 35-22-14 on the weekends would be enough BionicMoron, EAP leader Jul 01, 11:13

That's a possibility, but your average of about 35% drops every weekend is going to be difficult, doable, but difficult. The question is... LanceStorm22 Jul 01, 17:50

Yeah, I'm not sure it's going to happen, but screencounts won't be the determining factor. BionicMoron, EAP leader Jul 01, 19:17

I went to TED with my son instead of Brave and loved it and my daughter went to watch Mike instead of Brave...just kidding..but could have b4bad Jul 01, 11:41

You mean like...Transformers 3, Harry Potter 8 and Captain America??? {nm} dioneta Jul 01, 11:01

Yes, but BDTCH is only delisted at $88, and not the $146, and seemingly frontloaded TED numbers, though. {nm} elchan Jul 01, 11:14

I think the others point is that they both had the same daily dropoffs OW, barring any strange fluctuations with the final numbers, so it's LanceStorm22 Jul 01, 11:27

Why do you think TED is frontloaded, it had an identical OW internal multiplier to Hangover {nm} stevie1der328 Jul 01, 11:29

I did say, "seemingly". I don't have historical data, but from other comments of others on the board the Sat drop off was significant. elchan Jul 01, 11:36

Yeah, from my standpoint if that Sunday number holds then it bodes well for TED's future prospects, but it could easily be overestimated. {nm} stevie1der328 Jul 01, 11:41

BOM shows the drop as about 13% for both Sat and Sun. Bad Teach was 10% & 24% and Hangover was 10% & 12.4%. Catzan Jul 01, 12:31

A comparable would be WEDCR, which delisted at 143, but it did not have to contend with any major blockbusters in the following weeks. elchan Jul 01, 11:29

I'd say Magic Mike's the only obvious short, if its Friday to Saturday drop is correct, I doubt if it even gets to the estimate, if that's LanceStorm22 Jul 01, 11:03

I note that The Avengers have finally dropped out of the top 10 {nm} Rednax Jul 02, 08:53





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire (GHST5) 150000 111.56 (-0.22)          Black Bag (BLCBG) 150000 21.09 (+0.53)          Science-Fiction Fund (SCIFI) 20000 81.86 (+0.06)          Nuremberg (NUREM) 1000 17.27 (0.00)          Sleeping Dogs (SDOGS) 1000 2.04 (0.00)          Slingshot (SLNGS) 150000 7.54 (-0.05)          Black Bag (BLCBG) 150000 21.09 (+0.53)          Black Bag (BLCBG) 150000 21.09 (+0.53)          A Big Bold Beautiful Journey (ABBBJ) 150000 35.21 (-0.73)          The Accountant 2 (ACTN2) 419 23.63 (0.00)          Black Bag (BLCBG) 26723 21.09 (+0.53)          Michael Gandolfini (MGAND) 25000 18.17 (-0.10)          Black Bag (BLCBG) 89863 21.09 (+0.53)          The Greatest Hits (GRTHT) 150000 2.09 (+0.01)          Black Bag (BLCBG) 60137 21.09 (+0.53)          A Big Bold Beautiful Journey (ABBBJ) 150000 35.21 (-0.73)          The Crow (TCROW) 50000 24.23 (+0.02)          Untitled M. Night Shyamalan (GDGRD) 5000 27.18 (+1.02)          Untitled M. Night Shyamalan (GDGRD) 10000 27.18 (+1.02)          Vicious (VICUS) 5000 18.35 (+0.66)          The Listener (LSTNR) 75000 0.16 (-0.09)          Rental Family (RNTLF) 10000 14.36 (-0.96)          Fruitcake (FRUTC) 50000 2.38 (-0.04)          Antarctica (ANTRC) 75000 15.75 (+0.83)          The Memory Police (TMEMP) 150000 14.37 (-0.42)          Scarface (SCARF) 1 3.53 (+0.27)          Rental Family (RNTLF) 74999 14.36 (-0.96)          Metal Men (METAL) 149999 18.83 (+0.97)          One Life (1LIFE) 75000 5.23 (-0.27)          Knox Goes Away (KNOXG) 149999 2.08 (+0.06)          High and Low (HILOW) 150000 22.83 (-0.72)          High and Low (HILOW) 150000 22.83 (-0.72)          Rental Family (RNTLF) 150000 14.36 (-0.96)          Rental Family (RNTLF) 150000 14.36 (-0.96)