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Most decently received R-comedy does have legs, however most R-comedy does not have a built in audience like TED.
So yeah, there's a case for either direction.
Official Adjusts on Jul 01, 10:25
time to short both ted & magic mike {nm} on Jul 01, 10:30
Interesting call to action? {nm} on Jul 01, 10:42
Careful there - looks like a call to action. {nm} on Jul 01, 10:43
I would point out that Bad Teacher last year at the end of June delisted with a 2.85 multiplier {nm} on Jul 01, 10:44
Also in June was the Hangover which delisted at 4.07... The point is that you can find reasons for both directions {nm} on Jul 01, 10:53
Most decently received R-comedy does have legs, however most R-comedy does not have a built in audience like TED. on Jul 01, 10:58
Let's get real here. :-) Against SPID4, ICEA4, and BATM3? {nm} on Jul 01, 10:56
ICEA4? What kind of overlap does that have with TED? {nm} on Jul 01, 10:58
I think it's more to do with screen space, All three of those are going to command a good percentage of theater screens {nm} on Jul 01, 11:04
Thing is...how many theaters got multiple prints of Ted or Magic Mike. They don't get squeezed if attendance is there, slower films will. on Jul 01, 11:08
True, just giving what his probable reason was. As my post below says though, I think Ted has a good chance, Magic Mike not as much {nm} on Jul 01, 11:21
I had higher hopes for Magic Mike...but it has begun to feel like Satc2... on Jul 01, 12:00
Worse than SatC2. Before actuals, which may show a worse drop, it sits at No. 9 for percentage of OW coming from Friday... on Jul 01, 14:09
With weekday business being as strong as it is this time of year, something like 35-22-14 on the weekends would be enough on Jul 01, 11:13
That's a possibility, but your average of about 35% drops every weekend is going to be difficult, doable, but difficult. The question is... on Jul 01, 17:50
Yeah, I'm not sure it's going to happen, but screencounts won't be the determining factor. on Jul 01, 19:17
I went to TED with my son instead of Brave and loved it and my daughter went to watch Mike instead of Brave...just kidding..but could have on Jul 01, 11:41
You mean like...Transformers 3, Harry Potter 8 and Captain America??? {nm} on Jul 01, 11:01
Yes, but BDTCH is only delisted at $88, and not the $146, and seemingly frontloaded TED numbers, though. {nm} on Jul 01, 11:14
I think the others point is that they both had the same daily dropoffs OW, barring any strange fluctuations with the final numbers, so it's on Jul 01, 11:27
Why do you think TED is frontloaded, it had an identical OW internal multiplier to Hangover {nm} on Jul 01, 11:29
I did say, "seemingly". I don't have historical data, but from other comments of others on the board the Sat drop off was significant. on Jul 01, 11:36
Yeah, from my standpoint if that Sunday number holds then it bodes well for TED's future prospects, but it could easily be overestimated. {nm} on Jul 01, 11:41
BOM shows the drop as about 13% for both Sat and Sun. Bad Teach was 10% & 24% and Hangover was 10% & 12.4%. on Jul 01, 12:31
A comparable would be WEDCR, which delisted at 143, but it did not have to contend with any major blockbusters in the following weeks. on Jul 01, 11:29
I'd say Magic Mike's the only obvious short, if its Friday to Saturday drop is correct, I doubt if it even gets to the estimate, if that's on Jul 01, 11:03
I note that The Avengers have finally dropped out of the top 10 {nm} on Jul 02, 08:53
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