ANNOUNCEMENT: Sign-In with Facebook is currently unavailable. Please use your HSX username to login. Sorry about the inconvenience.

HSX Forums: Movies Board






ICEA4? What kind of overlap does that have with TED? {nm}

Posted by: BionicMoron, EAP leader (a.k.a BionicMoron) on Jul 01, 10:58 in response to elchan's post Let's get real here. :-) Against SPID4, ICEA4, and BATM3?

Official Adjusts   Antibody on Jul 01, 10:25

time to short both ted & magic mike {nm}   jamesbik333 on Jul 01, 10:30

Interesting call to action? {nm}   ryancoke2 on Jul 01, 10:42

Careful there - looks like a call to action. {nm}   grammar on Jul 01, 10:43

I would point out that Bad Teacher last year at the end of June delisted with a 2.85 multiplier {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 10:44

Also in June was the Hangover which delisted at 4.07... The point is that you can find reasons for both directions {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 10:53

Most decently received R-comedy does have legs, however most R-comedy does not have a built in audience like TED.   BionicMoron on Jul 01, 10:58

Let's get real here. :-) Against SPID4, ICEA4, and BATM3? {nm}   elchan on Jul 01, 10:56

ICEA4? What kind of overlap does that have with TED? {nm}   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 10:58

I think it's more to do with screen space, All three of those are going to command a good percentage of theater screens {nm}   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:04

Thing is...how many theaters got multiple prints of Ted or Magic Mike. They don't get squeezed if attendance is there, slower films will.   Catzan on Jul 01, 11:08

True, just giving what his probable reason was. As my post below says though, I think Ted has a good chance, Magic Mike not as much {nm}   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:21

I had higher hopes for Magic Mike...but it has begun to feel like Satc2...   Catzan on Jul 01, 12:00

Worse than SatC2. Before actuals, which may show a worse drop, it sits at No. 9 for percentage of OW coming from Friday...    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 14:09

With weekday business being as strong as it is this time of year, something like 35-22-14 on the weekends would be enough   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 11:13

That's a possibility, but your average of about 35% drops every weekend is going to be difficult, doable, but difficult. The question is...   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 17:50

Yeah, I'm not sure it's going to happen, but screencounts won't be the determining factor.   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 19:17

I went to TED with my son instead of Brave and loved it and my daughter went to watch Mike instead of Brave...just kidding..but could have    b4bad on Jul 01, 11:41

You mean like...Transformers 3, Harry Potter 8 and Captain America??? {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 11:01

Yes, but BDTCH is only delisted at $88, and not the $146, and seemingly frontloaded TED numbers, though. {nm}   elchan on Jul 01, 11:14

I think the others point is that they both had the same daily dropoffs OW, barring any strange fluctuations with the final numbers, so it's    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:27

Why do you think TED is frontloaded, it had an identical OW internal multiplier to Hangover {nm}   stevie1der328 on Jul 01, 11:29

I did say, "seemingly". I don't have historical data, but from other comments of others on the board the Sat drop off was significant.   elchan on Jul 01, 11:36

Yeah, from my standpoint if that Sunday number holds then it bodes well for TED's future prospects, but it could easily be overestimated. {nm}   stevie1der328 on Jul 01, 11:41

BOM shows the drop as about 13% for both Sat and Sun. Bad Teach was 10% & 24% and Hangover was 10% & 12.4%.   Catzan on Jul 01, 12:31

A comparable would be WEDCR, which delisted at 143, but it did not have to contend with any major blockbusters in the following weeks.   elchan on Jul 01, 11:29

I'd say Magic Mike's the only obvious short, if its Friday to Saturday drop is correct, I doubt if it even gets to the estimate, if that's    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:03

I note that The Avengers have finally dropped out of the top 10 {nm}   Rednax on Jul 02, 08:53





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
Transformers 5 (TFRM5) 5000 94.21 (-0.15)         Tracy Morgan (TMORG) 4000 38.99 (+0.07)         The Rut (THRUT) 100000 0.06 (+0.05)         Gone Girl (GONEG) 100000 78.28 (+2.92)         FOX: Red Band Society (RBSOCT) 4578 13.84 (0.00)         Emily the Strange (EMILY) 100000 0.17 (+0.03)         Stretch (STRTC) 100000 0.69 (-0.30)         Dear Eleanor (DELEN) 1 3.35 (-0.65)         Stretch (STRTC) 100000 0.69 (-0.30)         Dear Eleanor (DELEN) 100000 3.35 (-0.65)         Stretch (STRTC) 100000 0.69 (-0.30)         Nick Frost (NFROS) 17707 76.42 (-0.17)         The Bourne 5 (BORN5) 58570 93.51 (-0.29)         Daddy's Home (DHOME) 80567 6.36 (+0.47)         The Family Business Fund Jr. (GENES) 603 80.47 (+0.10)         Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon: (CTHD2) 100000 6.31 (-2.05)         Austin Powers 4 (AUST4) 1026 5.85 (+0.21)         Goosebumps (GBUMP) 95000 33.50 (+0.16)         Ray Liotta (RLIOT) 20000 7.20 (-0.79)         Liana Liberato (LLIBE) 150 15.27 (+0.27)         Ray Liotta (RLIOT) 19999 7.20 (-0.79)         Ray Liotta (RLIOT) 20000 7.20 (-0.79)         The Lobster (LOBST) 1000 0.75 (-0.03)         Angry Birds (ANGRB) 100000 30.18 (+1.68)         Good Luck Anthony Belcher (GLKAB) 100000 0.05 (0.00)         Ted 2 (TED2) 1858 126.59 (+0.52)         American Sniper (AMSNP) 609 41.95 (0.00)         Pierce Brosnan (PBROS) 20000 12.58 (+0.15)         5 to 7 (5TO7) 1000 0.27 (-0.02)         Guardians of the Galaxy 2 (GOTG2) 10000 202.40 (-0.19)         Gone Girl (GONEG) 200 78.28 (+2.92)         The Devil's Hand (OCULT) 10 0.11 (+0.03)         Mila Kunis (MKUNI) 1000 112.51 (+0.69)         Guardians of the Galaxy $240M Bl (GOTGX.BW) 384 41.08 (-0.15)         The Interview (NTRVW) 233 50.93 (-0.13)         The Cellar (CELAR) 50000 32.16 (+2.20)         Avatar 2 (AVAT2) 3 298.33 (+0.67)         Mila Kunis (MKUNI) 1 112.51 (+0.69)         Michael (MICHA) 100000 4.37 (-0.27)         Avatar 2 (AVAT2) 3 298.33 (+0.67)         Joe Pantoliano (JPANT) 20000 26.40 (-0.63)         The Cellar (CELAR) 50000 32.16 (+2.20)         Birdman (BIRDM) 1000 26.55 (+3.84)         Angry Birds (ANGRB) 100000 30.18 (+1.68)         Scott Mescudi (SMESC) 20000 15.26 (+0.08)         Gemini Man (GEMAN) 100000 0.04 (+0.01)         The Equalizer (EQLIZ) 200 84.14 (+0.01)         Will Ferrell (WFERR) 1000 86.59 (-0.19)         Dear White People (DWHTP) 100000 2.40 (-0.03)         Mila Kunis (MKUNI) 3 112.51 (+0.69)