HSX Forums: Movies Board






ICEA4? What kind of overlap does that have with TED? {nm}

Posted by: BionicMoron, EAP leader (a.k.a BionicMoron) on Jul 01, 10:58 in response to elchan's post Let's get real here. :-) Against SPID4, ICEA4, and BATM3?

Official Adjusts   Antibody on Jul 01, 10:25

time to short both ted & magic mike {nm}   jamesbik333 on Jul 01, 10:30

Interesting call to action? {nm}   ryancoke2 on Jul 01, 10:42

Careful there - looks like a call to action. {nm}   grammar on Jul 01, 10:43

I would point out that Bad Teacher last year at the end of June delisted with a 2.85 multiplier {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 10:44

Also in June was the Hangover which delisted at 4.07... The point is that you can find reasons for both directions {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 10:53

Most decently received R-comedy does have legs, however most R-comedy does not have a built in audience like TED.   BionicMoron on Jul 01, 10:58

Let's get real here. :-) Against SPID4, ICEA4, and BATM3? {nm}   elchan on Jul 01, 10:56

ICEA4? What kind of overlap does that have with TED? {nm}   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 10:58

I think it's more to do with screen space, All three of those are going to command a good percentage of theater screens {nm}   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:04

Thing is...how many theaters got multiple prints of Ted or Magic Mike. They don't get squeezed if attendance is there, slower films will.   Catzan on Jul 01, 11:08

True, just giving what his probable reason was. As my post below says though, I think Ted has a good chance, Magic Mike not as much {nm}   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:21

I had higher hopes for Magic Mike...but it has begun to feel like Satc2...   Catzan on Jul 01, 12:00

Worse than SatC2. Before actuals, which may show a worse drop, it sits at No. 9 for percentage of OW coming from Friday...    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 14:09

With weekday business being as strong as it is this time of year, something like 35-22-14 on the weekends would be enough   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 11:13

That's a possibility, but your average of about 35% drops every weekend is going to be difficult, doable, but difficult. The question is...   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 17:50

Yeah, I'm not sure it's going to happen, but screencounts won't be the determining factor.   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 19:17

I went to TED with my son instead of Brave and loved it and my daughter went to watch Mike instead of Brave...just kidding..but could have    b4bad on Jul 01, 11:41

You mean like...Transformers 3, Harry Potter 8 and Captain America??? {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 11:01

Yes, but BDTCH is only delisted at $88, and not the $146, and seemingly frontloaded TED numbers, though. {nm}   elchan on Jul 01, 11:14

I think the others point is that they both had the same daily dropoffs OW, barring any strange fluctuations with the final numbers, so it's    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:27

Why do you think TED is frontloaded, it had an identical OW internal multiplier to Hangover {nm}   stevie1der328 on Jul 01, 11:29

I did say, "seemingly". I don't have historical data, but from other comments of others on the board the Sat drop off was significant.   elchan on Jul 01, 11:36

Yeah, from my standpoint if that Sunday number holds then it bodes well for TED's future prospects, but it could easily be overestimated. {nm}   stevie1der328 on Jul 01, 11:41

BOM shows the drop as about 13% for both Sat and Sun. Bad Teach was 10% & 24% and Hangover was 10% & 12.4%.   Catzan on Jul 01, 12:31

A comparable would be WEDCR, which delisted at 143, but it did not have to contend with any major blockbusters in the following weeks.   elchan on Jul 01, 11:29

I'd say Magic Mike's the only obvious short, if its Friday to Saturday drop is correct, I doubt if it even gets to the estimate, if that's    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:03

I note that The Avengers have finally dropped out of the top 10 {nm}   Rednax on Jul 02, 08:53





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
The Legend of Tarzan (TARZN) 100000 57.94 (+9.31)         The Legend of Tarzan (TARZN) 10000 57.94 (+9.31)         The Secret Life of Pets (PETS) 100000 194.35 (+6.00)         The Legend of Tarzan (TARZN) 100000 57.94 (+9.31)         The BFG (TBFG) 1 60.01 (-6.74)         Last Days in the Desert (LDITD) 100000 0.06 (0.00)         Buttercup (BTCUP) 100000 0.02 (-0.10)         Buttercup (BTCUP) 100000 0.02 (-0.10)         Buttercup (BTCUP) 99990 0.02 (-0.10)         Last Days in the Desert (LDITD) 100000 0.06 (0.00)         The Sigma Protocol (SIGMA) 1 0.17 (+0.04)         The Parsifal Mosaic (PARSF) 1 0.16 (-0.02)         Term Life (TRMLF) 100000 0.09 (+0.03)         The Birds (BIRDS) 100000 0.48 (+0.10)         The Insane Laws (NSLAW) 1 0.09 (+0.06)         Bastille Day (BSTLD) 100000 7.68 (-0.02)         Borg vs McEnroe (BVSMC) 100000 8.00 (0.00)         The Brigands of Rattleborge (BRGND) 100000 0.20 (+0.11)         The Dirt (TDIRT) 1 0.14 (-0.01)         The Creed of Violence (CREDV) 1 0.30 (-0.07)         The Secret Life of Pets - Openin (PETS.OW) 7500 74.72 (+1.92)         Term Life (TRMLF) 100000 0.09 (+0.03)         Creature From The Black Lagoon (CRTBL) 1 1.37 (+0.07)         In Order of Disappearance (IODSP) 100000 1.65 (-0.03)         The Birds (BIRDS) 1 0.48 (+0.10)         Rita Hayworth with a Hand Grenad (RHWHG) 99980 1.81 (+0.02)         Marauders (MRAUD) 100000 0.63 (+0.12)         The BFG (TBFG) 750 60.01 (-6.74)         Why Him? (WHYHM) 1 31.65 (+0.14)         Valet Guys (VALTG) 100000 0.37 (+0.06)         Sweet Valley High (SVHI) 1 0.17 (+0.02)         Marauders (MRAUD) 100000 0.63 (+0.12)         Tetris The Movie (TETRS) 1 41.46 (+0.96)         The Legend of Tarzan (TARZN) 10000 57.94 (+9.31)         The Shape Of Water aka Untitled (SHPWT) 1 23.17 (-0.26)         Rings aka The Ring 3 (RING3) 1 22.53 (+0.19)         The Intouchables - remake (NTCHB) 1 8.36 (+0.13)         Black and White (BLAWH) 100000 3.16 (+0.86)         Spaceless (SPACL) 1 0.25 (+0.09)         Hitman's Bodyguard (HTMBG) 1 22.50 (-0.19)         Pele: Birth of a Legend (PELE) 100000 0.53 (+0.07)         Flatliners (FLATL) 1 24.79 (-0.19)         Sinatra (SINAT) 1 0.58 (+0.06)         Why Him? (WHYHM) 100000 31.65 (+0.14)         Why Him? (WHYHM) 99999 31.65 (+0.14)         Rosaline (ROSAL) 1 0.32 (-0.05)         Tetris The Movie (TETRS) 100000 41.46 (+0.96)         Tetris The Movie (TETRS) 99999 41.46 (+0.96)         The Shape Of Water aka Untitled (SHPWT) 100000 23.17 (-0.26)         The Shape Of Water aka Untitled (SHPWT) 99999 23.17 (-0.26)