ANNOUNCEMENT: We're currently implementing a solution for the login issue. Thank you for your patience.

HSX Forums: Movies Board






ICEA4? What kind of overlap does that have with TED? {nm}

Posted by: BionicMoron, EAP leader (a.k.a BionicMoron) on Jul 01, 10:58 in response to elchan's post Let's get real here. :-) Against SPID4, ICEA4, and BATM3?

Official Adjusts   Antibody on Jul 01, 10:25

time to short both ted & magic mike {nm}   jamesbik333 on Jul 01, 10:30

Interesting call to action? {nm}   ryancoke2 on Jul 01, 10:42

Careful there - looks like a call to action. {nm}   grammar on Jul 01, 10:43

I would point out that Bad Teacher last year at the end of June delisted with a 2.85 multiplier {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 10:44

Also in June was the Hangover which delisted at 4.07... The point is that you can find reasons for both directions {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 10:53

Most decently received R-comedy does have legs, however most R-comedy does not have a built in audience like TED.   BionicMoron on Jul 01, 10:58

Let's get real here. :-) Against SPID4, ICEA4, and BATM3? {nm}   elchan on Jul 01, 10:56

ICEA4? What kind of overlap does that have with TED? {nm}   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 10:58

I think it's more to do with screen space, All three of those are going to command a good percentage of theater screens {nm}   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:04

Thing is...how many theaters got multiple prints of Ted or Magic Mike. They don't get squeezed if attendance is there, slower films will.   Catzan on Jul 01, 11:08

True, just giving what his probable reason was. As my post below says though, I think Ted has a good chance, Magic Mike not as much {nm}   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:21

I had higher hopes for Magic Mike...but it has begun to feel like Satc2...   Catzan on Jul 01, 12:00

Worse than SatC2. Before actuals, which may show a worse drop, it sits at No. 9 for percentage of OW coming from Friday...    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 14:09

With weekday business being as strong as it is this time of year, something like 35-22-14 on the weekends would be enough   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 11:13

That's a possibility, but your average of about 35% drops every weekend is going to be difficult, doable, but difficult. The question is...   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 17:50

Yeah, I'm not sure it's going to happen, but screencounts won't be the determining factor.   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 19:17

I went to TED with my son instead of Brave and loved it and my daughter went to watch Mike instead of Brave...just kidding..but could have    b4bad on Jul 01, 11:41

You mean like...Transformers 3, Harry Potter 8 and Captain America??? {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 11:01

Yes, but BDTCH is only delisted at $88, and not the $146, and seemingly frontloaded TED numbers, though. {nm}   elchan on Jul 01, 11:14

I think the others point is that they both had the same daily dropoffs OW, barring any strange fluctuations with the final numbers, so it's    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:27

Why do you think TED is frontloaded, it had an identical OW internal multiplier to Hangover {nm}   stevie1der328 on Jul 01, 11:29

I did say, "seemingly". I don't have historical data, but from other comments of others on the board the Sat drop off was significant.   elchan on Jul 01, 11:36

Yeah, from my standpoint if that Sunday number holds then it bodes well for TED's future prospects, but it could easily be overestimated. {nm}   stevie1der328 on Jul 01, 11:41

BOM shows the drop as about 13% for both Sat and Sun. Bad Teach was 10% & 24% and Hangover was 10% & 12.4%.   Catzan on Jul 01, 12:31

A comparable would be WEDCR, which delisted at 143, but it did not have to contend with any major blockbusters in the following weeks.   elchan on Jul 01, 11:29

I'd say Magic Mike's the only obvious short, if its Friday to Saturday drop is correct, I doubt if it even gets to the estimate, if that's    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:03

I note that The Avengers have finally dropped out of the top 10 {nm}   Rednax on Jul 02, 08:53





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
Alien: Covenant aka Prometheus 2 (PRME2) 2 86.67 (-0.05)         The Birth of a Nation H$10 Call (TBOAN.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Kathy Bates (KBATE) 20000 39.84 (-1.06)         The Birth of a Nation - Opening (TBOAN.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)         Middle School: The Worst Years o (MIDSC.PU) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         John Turturro (JTURT) 20000 16.95 (-0.04)         Tracy Morgan (TMORG) 20000 49.82 (-0.14)         The Italian Job 2 aka The Brazil (ITJO2) 100000 0.50 (-0.80)         Middle School: The Worst Years o (MIDSC.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculi (PRGRN) 30 67.72 (-1.97)         Middle School: The Worst Years o (MIDSC.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)         John Krasinski (JKRAS) 20000 36.60 (-0.24)         The Girl on the Train H$30 Put (GRLOT.PU) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         The Girl on the Train H$30 Call (GRLOT.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Max Steel (MAXST) 50000 9.02 (-0.55)         Denis Villeneuve (DVILL) 20000 40.55 (+0.40)         Isla Fisher (IFISH) 20000 70.56 (0.00)         Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead M (PIRT5) 12 123.11 (-1.49)         The Girl on the Train - Opening (GRLOT.OW) 100000 30.00 (0.00)         Euphoria (EUPHO) 100000 4.00 (0.00)         Murder on the Orient Express (MOTOE) 50000 35.01 (+1.80)         Dunkirk (DUNKR) 12994 134.57 (-0.49)         Greg Mottola (GMOTT) 20000 36.58 (0.00)         Scarface (SCARF) 100000 15.60 (+2.08)         Scarface (SCARF) 100000 15.60 (+2.08)         Ballers (BALLR) 3654 13.56 (+0.85)         The Magnificent Seven (MAGN7) 100000 92.54 (+4.19)         The Strangers 2 (STRN2) 100000 10.13 (+8.20)         Rachel Weisz (RWEIS) 20000 72.19 (-2.17)         The Magnificent Seven (MAGN7) 100000 92.54 (+4.19)         The Strangers 2 (STRN2) 100000 10.13 (+8.20)         Denial (DENIL) 90 1.49 (-0.14)         Rachel Weisz (RWEIS) 20000 72.19 (-2.17)         Storks (STORK) 100000 63.38 (+0.27)         David Strathairn (DSTRA) 20000 72.69 (-0.80)         Storks (STORK) 100000 63.38 (+0.27)         Rob Reiner (RREIN) 20000 28.91 (+2.47)         Dunkirk (DUNKR) 22173 134.57 (-0.49)         Dakota Fanning (DFANN) 20000 75.75 (-0.39)         Masterminds (LOMIS) 80 20.12 (-1.71)         Hot Wheels (HOTWH) 100000 12.35 (+12.01)         Paul Giamatti (PGIAM) 20000 4.76 (+2.12)         Deepwater Horizon (DPWTH) 20 50.23 (-1.27)         Rachel Weisz (RWEIS) 20000 72.19 (-2.17)         Charlie Day (CDAY) 20000 120.59 (-0.57)         Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculi (PRGRN) 30 67.72 (-1.97)         Free Fire (FREFR) 100000 6.80 (-0.02)         Alien: Covenant aka Prometheus 2 (PRME2) 25000 86.67 (-0.05)         Captain Nemo aka 20,000 Leagues (20LUS) 12 13.36 (-0.15)         Angry Birds 2 (ANGR2) 11 38.10 (-0.13)