ANNOUNCEMENT: Trade Blockbuster Warrants and profit from a movie's long run at the box office.

HSX Forums: Movies Board






True, just giving what his probable reason was. As my post below says though, I think Ted has a good chance, Magic Mike not as much {nm}

Posted by: LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:21 in response to Catzan's post Thing is...how many theaters got multiple prints of Ted...

Official Adjusts   Antibody on Jul 01, 10:25

time to short both ted & magic mike {nm}   jamesbik333 on Jul 01, 10:30

Interesting call to action? {nm}   ryancoke2 on Jul 01, 10:42

Careful there - looks like a call to action. {nm}   grammar on Jul 01, 10:43

I would point out that Bad Teacher last year at the end of June delisted with a 2.85 multiplier {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 10:44

Also in June was the Hangover which delisted at 4.07... The point is that you can find reasons for both directions {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 10:53

Most decently received R-comedy does have legs, however most R-comedy does not have a built in audience like TED.   BionicMoron on Jul 01, 10:58

Let's get real here. :-) Against SPID4, ICEA4, and BATM3? {nm}   elchan on Jul 01, 10:56

ICEA4? What kind of overlap does that have with TED? {nm}   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 10:58

I think it's more to do with screen space, All three of those are going to command a good percentage of theater screens {nm}   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:04

Thing is...how many theaters got multiple prints of Ted or Magic Mike. They don't get squeezed if attendance is there, slower films will.   Catzan on Jul 01, 11:08

True, just giving what his probable reason was. As my post below says though, I think Ted has a good chance, Magic Mike not as much {nm}   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:21

I had higher hopes for Magic Mike...but it has begun to feel like Satc2...   Catzan on Jul 01, 12:00

Worse than SatC2. Before actuals, which may show a worse drop, it sits at No. 9 for percentage of OW coming from Friday...    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 14:09

With weekday business being as strong as it is this time of year, something like 35-22-14 on the weekends would be enough   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 11:13

That's a possibility, but your average of about 35% drops every weekend is going to be difficult, doable, but difficult. The question is...   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 17:50

Yeah, I'm not sure it's going to happen, but screencounts won't be the determining factor.   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 19:17

I went to TED with my son instead of Brave and loved it and my daughter went to watch Mike instead of Brave...just kidding..but could have    b4bad on Jul 01, 11:41

You mean like...Transformers 3, Harry Potter 8 and Captain America??? {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 11:01

Yes, but BDTCH is only delisted at $88, and not the $146, and seemingly frontloaded TED numbers, though. {nm}   elchan on Jul 01, 11:14

I think the others point is that they both had the same daily dropoffs OW, barring any strange fluctuations with the final numbers, so it's    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:27

Why do you think TED is frontloaded, it had an identical OW internal multiplier to Hangover {nm}   stevie1der328 on Jul 01, 11:29

I did say, "seemingly". I don't have historical data, but from other comments of others on the board the Sat drop off was significant.   elchan on Jul 01, 11:36

Yeah, from my standpoint if that Sunday number holds then it bodes well for TED's future prospects, but it could easily be overestimated. {nm}   stevie1der328 on Jul 01, 11:41

BOM shows the drop as about 13% for both Sat and Sun. Bad Teach was 10% & 24% and Hangover was 10% & 12.4%.   Catzan on Jul 01, 12:31

A comparable would be WEDCR, which delisted at 143, but it did not have to contend with any major blockbusters in the following weeks.   elchan on Jul 01, 11:29

I'd say Magic Mike's the only obvious short, if its Friday to Saturday drop is correct, I doubt if it even gets to the estimate, if that's    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:03

I note that The Avengers have finally dropped out of the top 10 {nm}   Rednax on Jul 02, 08:53





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Teresa Palmer (TPALM) 5 39.72 (-0.08)         Dumb and Dumber To (DUMB3) 100000 20.38 (+2.18)         John Cho (JCHO) 5 94.00 (0.00)         John Cho (JCHO) 5 94.00 (0.00)         Bonnie Hunt (BHUNT) 20000 159.74 (0.00)         The World's End (WSEND) 100000 34.81 (+0.05)         Benedict Cumberbatch (BCUMB) 5 107.29 (+0.61)         Guardians of the Galaxy (GOTGX) 56 175.29 (+0.39)         Justin Timberlake (JTIMB) 10000 64.12 (-0.26)         Pacific Rim (PACRM) 200 150.07 (+0.50)         Benedict Cumberbatch (BCUMB) 5 107.29 (+0.61)         Justin Timberlake (JTIMB) 10000 64.12 (-0.26)         The Family Business Fund (GENES) 10000 20.10 (+0.10)         Insidious Chapter 2 (NSID2) 100000 41.82 (+0.27)         Chris Pine (CPINE) 19995 84.56 (0.00)         12 Years A Slave (12SLV) 1500 13.34 (+1.10)         The Dallas Buyers Club (DALBC) 750 14.20 (-0.10)         Hotell (HTELL) 100000 1.90 (-0.10)         Finding Dory aka Finding Nemo 2 (NEMO2) 10000 172.66 (-0.23)         Captain Phillips (CDUTY) 20 37.75 (-0.17)         Terence Stamp (TSTAM) 20000 81.49 (0.00)         Chris Pine (CPINE) 19995 84.56 (0.00)         Walking with Dinosaurs (WDINO) 1500 43.07 (+0.07)         Kung Fu Panda 3 (PAND3) 5000 98.36 (-0.08)         The Fantastic Four (FANT4) 100000 76.37 (+0.39)         Toni Collette (TCOLL) 19999 5.22 (+0.35)         Man of Steel (SUPR2) 100000 322.47 (-1.29)         The Wolf of Wall Street (TWOWS) 15000 62.72 (+0.65)         Rachel Weisz (RWEIS) 20000 61.59 (+0.26)         The Penguins of Madagascar (PMADG) 2500 58.18 (+0.07)         Tyrese Gibson (TYGIB) 20000 191.51 (-2.43)         James McAvoy (JMCAV) 20000 57.65 (-3.19)         Austenland (AUSTN) 500 3.27 (-0.04)         The LEGO Movie (LEGO) 36928 59.17 (+1.28)         Fast & Furious 6 $220M Blockbust (FAST6.BW) 20000 11.45 (+0.20)         Night at the Museum 3 (NMUS3) 5000 72.60 (-0.06)         Maleficent (MALEF) 5842 73.51 (+0.19)         Star Trek Into Darkness $200M Bl (TREK2.BW) 20000 17.57 (-0.04)         Alice in Wonderland 2 (ALCN2) 1 139.63 (+3.70)         The Expendables 3 (XPND3) 2500 48.78 (+0.33)         In the Heart of the Sea (HRTSE) 5000 24.42 (+3.99)         Runner Runner (RUNER) 20000 52.94 (-0.26)         Josh Hutcherson (JHUTC) 20000 104.33 (+1.30)         Elizabeth Olsen (EOLSE) 200 8.76 (-0.04)         Runner Runner (RUNER) 15000 52.94 (-0.26)         Fast & Furious 7 (FAST7) 100000 190.58 (+0.41)         Guardians of the Galaxy (GOTGX) 1000 175.29 (+0.39)         James McAvoy (JMCAV) 19999 57.65 (-3.19)         Anchorman: The Legend Continues (ANCH2) 12000 127.01 (+0.76)         The Intouchables - remake (NTCHB) 100000 14.48 (+0.03)