HSX Forums: Movies Board






I think the others point is that they both had the same daily dropoffs OW, barring any strange fluctuations with the final numbers, so it's

Posted by: LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:27 in response to elchan's post Yes, but BDTCH is only delisted at $88, and not the $146,...

a good way to judge this movie.  Especially considering RT scores of both.

Official Adjusts   Antibody on Jul 01, 10:25

time to short both ted & magic mike {nm}   jamesbik333 on Jul 01, 10:30

Interesting call to action? {nm}   ryancoke2 on Jul 01, 10:42

Careful there - looks like a call to action. {nm}   grammar on Jul 01, 10:43

I would point out that Bad Teacher last year at the end of June delisted with a 2.85 multiplier {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 10:44

Also in June was the Hangover which delisted at 4.07... The point is that you can find reasons for both directions {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 10:53

Most decently received R-comedy does have legs, however most R-comedy does not have a built in audience like TED.   BionicMoron on Jul 01, 10:58

Let's get real here. :-) Against SPID4, ICEA4, and BATM3? {nm}   elchan on Jul 01, 10:56

ICEA4? What kind of overlap does that have with TED? {nm}   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 10:58

I think it's more to do with screen space, All three of those are going to command a good percentage of theater screens {nm}   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:04

Thing is...how many theaters got multiple prints of Ted or Magic Mike. They don't get squeezed if attendance is there, slower films will.   Catzan on Jul 01, 11:08

True, just giving what his probable reason was. As my post below says though, I think Ted has a good chance, Magic Mike not as much {nm}   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:21

I had higher hopes for Magic Mike...but it has begun to feel like Satc2...   Catzan on Jul 01, 12:00

Worse than SatC2. Before actuals, which may show a worse drop, it sits at No. 9 for percentage of OW coming from Friday...    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 14:09

With weekday business being as strong as it is this time of year, something like 35-22-14 on the weekends would be enough   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 11:13

That's a possibility, but your average of about 35% drops every weekend is going to be difficult, doable, but difficult. The question is...   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 17:50

Yeah, I'm not sure it's going to happen, but screencounts won't be the determining factor.   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 19:17

I went to TED with my son instead of Brave and loved it and my daughter went to watch Mike instead of Brave...just kidding..but could have    b4bad on Jul 01, 11:41

You mean like...Transformers 3, Harry Potter 8 and Captain America??? {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 11:01

Yes, but BDTCH is only delisted at $88, and not the $146, and seemingly frontloaded TED numbers, though. {nm}   elchan on Jul 01, 11:14

I think the others point is that they both had the same daily dropoffs OW, barring any strange fluctuations with the final numbers, so it's    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:27

Why do you think TED is frontloaded, it had an identical OW internal multiplier to Hangover {nm}   stevie1der328 on Jul 01, 11:29

I did say, "seemingly". I don't have historical data, but from other comments of others on the board the Sat drop off was significant.   elchan on Jul 01, 11:36

Yeah, from my standpoint if that Sunday number holds then it bodes well for TED's future prospects, but it could easily be overestimated. {nm}   stevie1der328 on Jul 01, 11:41

BOM shows the drop as about 13% for both Sat and Sun. Bad Teach was 10% & 24% and Hangover was 10% & 12.4%.   Catzan on Jul 01, 12:31

A comparable would be WEDCR, which delisted at 143, but it did not have to contend with any major blockbusters in the following weeks.   elchan on Jul 01, 11:29

I'd say Magic Mike's the only obvious short, if its Friday to Saturday drop is correct, I doubt if it even gets to the estimate, if that's    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:03

I note that The Avengers have finally dropped out of the top 10 {nm}   Rednax on Jul 02, 08:53





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
Race - Opening Weekend (RACE.OW) 100000 10.08 (+0.08)         Resident Evil: The Final Chapter (RESE6) 100000 23.26 (+1.47)         Untitled Darren Aronofsky (UDARO) 100000 28.44 (+1.63)         Get It While You Can (GIWYC) 100000 2.51 (+0.78)         The Light Between Oceans (TLBOC) 100000 12.56 (-0.47)         Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead M (PIRT5) 10000 115.53 (-0.37)         A Star is Born (ASTAR) 100000 13.74 (+0.24)         Race - Opening Weekend (RACE.OW) 100000 10.08 (+0.08)         Amusement Park (AMUSM) 100000 37.88 (-2.42)         Star Wars: Episode IX (STAR9) 30 455.64 (+0.50)         Mike & Dave Need Wedding Dates (MDNWD) 75000 30.05 (-0.89)         Highwaymen (HWMEN) 100000 0.50 (-0.01)         The Odyssey (ODYSY) 100000 27.80 (+1.02)         The Chronicles of Narnia: The Si (NARN4) 100000 15.23 (+0.40)         Shazam! (SHAZM) 99999 27.76 (0.00)         The Odyssey (ODYSY) 100000 27.80 (+1.02)         Resident Evil: The Final Chapter (RESE6) 35893 23.26 (+1.47)         Deadpool H$60 Put Fri-Mon (DEADP.PU) 2 0.76 (-0.01)         Sherlock Holmes 3 (HOLM3) 100000 9.35 (+0.45)         The Odyssey (ODYSY) 100000 27.80 (+1.02)         Sherlock Holmes 3 (HOLM3) 100000 9.35 (+0.45)         Amusement Park (AMUSM) 100000 37.88 (-2.42)         Amusement Park (AMUSM) 100000 37.88 (-2.42)         Lolo (LOLO) 15000 1.95 (+0.41)         X-Force (XFORC) 100000 9.40 (+0.70)         Deadpool H$60 Call Fri-Mon (DEADP.CA) 16 6.13 (+0.06)         The Invisible Man (INVSB) 100000 28.60 (-2.29)         The Brothers Grimsby (GRMSB) 5000 26.34 (+0.11)         The Young Messiah (CHRST) 5000 20.74 (0.00)         10 Cloverfield Lane aka The Cell (CELAR) 5000 65.06 (+0.07)         20,000 Leagues Under the Sea (20LUS) 100000 6.51 (+0.44)         Michael Caine (MCAIN) 12794 111.67 (-0.18)         Get It While You Can (GIWYC) 100000 2.51 (+0.78)         Race (RACE) 5000 22.24 (-0.07)         Zoolander No. 2 (ZOOL2) 20000 59.50 (+1.25)         Lolo (LOLO) 100000 1.95 (+0.41)         Get Out (GETOU) 100000 15.10 (0.00)         The Light Between Oceans (TLBOC) 10000 12.56 (-0.47)         Samuel L. Jackson (SLJAC) 1166 80.63 (-0.31)         Act of Valor: SWAT (AOVA2) 100000 15.36 (-0.10)         Angelina Jolie Pitt (AJOLI) 1192 77.96 (+0.39)         Deadpool (DEADP) 3254 163.12 (+0.46)         Jack Reynor (JREYN) 20000 73.32 (+0.13)         The Witch - Opening Weekend (TWITC.OW) 100 5.00 (0.00)         Lolo (LOLO) 50000 1.95 (+0.41)         Act of Valor: SWAT (AOVA2) 100000 15.36 (-0.10)         Battlestar Galactica (BGALA) 5000 10.14 (+0.13)         Lolo (LOLO) 93577 1.95 (+0.41)         Lolo (LOLO) 50000 1.95 (+0.41)         How to be Single (HTBSN) 80 39.08 (+0.04)