HSX Forums: Movies Board






I think the others point is that they both had the same daily dropoffs OW, barring any strange fluctuations with the final numbers, so it's

Posted by: LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:27 in response to elchan's post Yes, but BDTCH is only delisted at $88, and not the $146,...

a good way to judge this movie.  Especially considering RT scores of both.

Official Adjusts   Antibody on Jul 01, 10:25

time to short both ted & magic mike {nm}   jamesbik333 on Jul 01, 10:30

Interesting call to action? {nm}   ryancoke2 on Jul 01, 10:42

Careful there - looks like a call to action. {nm}   grammar on Jul 01, 10:43

I would point out that Bad Teacher last year at the end of June delisted with a 2.85 multiplier {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 10:44

Also in June was the Hangover which delisted at 4.07... The point is that you can find reasons for both directions {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 10:53

Most decently received R-comedy does have legs, however most R-comedy does not have a built in audience like TED.   BionicMoron on Jul 01, 10:58

Let's get real here. :-) Against SPID4, ICEA4, and BATM3? {nm}   elchan on Jul 01, 10:56

ICEA4? What kind of overlap does that have with TED? {nm}   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 10:58

I think it's more to do with screen space, All three of those are going to command a good percentage of theater screens {nm}   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:04

Thing is...how many theaters got multiple prints of Ted or Magic Mike. They don't get squeezed if attendance is there, slower films will.   Catzan on Jul 01, 11:08

True, just giving what his probable reason was. As my post below says though, I think Ted has a good chance, Magic Mike not as much {nm}   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:21

I had higher hopes for Magic Mike...but it has begun to feel like Satc2...   Catzan on Jul 01, 12:00

Worse than SatC2. Before actuals, which may show a worse drop, it sits at No. 9 for percentage of OW coming from Friday...    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 14:09

With weekday business being as strong as it is this time of year, something like 35-22-14 on the weekends would be enough   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 11:13

That's a possibility, but your average of about 35% drops every weekend is going to be difficult, doable, but difficult. The question is...   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 17:50

Yeah, I'm not sure it's going to happen, but screencounts won't be the determining factor.   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 19:17

I went to TED with my son instead of Brave and loved it and my daughter went to watch Mike instead of Brave...just kidding..but could have    b4bad on Jul 01, 11:41

You mean like...Transformers 3, Harry Potter 8 and Captain America??? {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 11:01

Yes, but BDTCH is only delisted at $88, and not the $146, and seemingly frontloaded TED numbers, though. {nm}   elchan on Jul 01, 11:14

I think the others point is that they both had the same daily dropoffs OW, barring any strange fluctuations with the final numbers, so it's    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:27

Why do you think TED is frontloaded, it had an identical OW internal multiplier to Hangover {nm}   stevie1der328 on Jul 01, 11:29

I did say, "seemingly". I don't have historical data, but from other comments of others on the board the Sat drop off was significant.   elchan on Jul 01, 11:36

Yeah, from my standpoint if that Sunday number holds then it bodes well for TED's future prospects, but it could easily be overestimated. {nm}   stevie1der328 on Jul 01, 11:41

BOM shows the drop as about 13% for both Sat and Sun. Bad Teach was 10% & 24% and Hangover was 10% & 12.4%.   Catzan on Jul 01, 12:31

A comparable would be WEDCR, which delisted at 143, but it did not have to contend with any major blockbusters in the following weeks.   elchan on Jul 01, 11:29

I'd say Magic Mike's the only obvious short, if its Friday to Saturday drop is correct, I doubt if it even gets to the estimate, if that's    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:03

I note that The Avengers have finally dropped out of the top 10 {nm}   Rednax on Jul 02, 08:53





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
The Whole Truth (WHTRU) 100000 0.12 (+0.01)         Ingrid Goes West (INGGW) 100000 7.34 (-0.24)         Two Lovers and a Bear (2LAAB) 100000 0.38 (+0.02)         Fences (FENCE) 3000 43.17 (0.00)         Godforsaken (GDFSK) 100000 12.87 (+0.39)         Umrika (UMRKA) 100000 0.52 (+0.02)         USS Indianapolis: Men of Courage (UIMOC) 100000 0.45 (+0.04)         Substitute Teacher (SUBST) 100000 8.96 (+0.72)         Wild Oats (WOATS) 100000 0.05 (+0.02)         Substitute Teacher (SUBST) 100000 8.96 (+0.72)         Bad Santa 2 (BSNT2) 100000 14.00 (+0.37)         Bad Santa 2 (BSNT2) 100000 14.00 (+0.37)         Ranger's Apprentice (RNGAP) 100000 18.71 (-0.73)         Winchester (WNCHS) 100000 25.22 (-0.97)         Thoroughbred (THORO) 100000 4.37 (+0.11)         Ingrid Goes West (INGGW) 100000 7.34 (-0.24)         The Yellow Birds (YELOB) 100000 4.39 (-0.31)         Wish Upon (WUPON) 100000 15.64 (+0.64)         Shadows (MSHDW) 100000 21.35 (-0.80)         The ExpendaBelles (XPNBL) 99990 2.86 (+0.03)         Warner Bros. Studio Fund (WBROX) 10000 13.23 (0.00)         Universal Studio Fund (UNIVX) 10000 20.98 (-0.02)         The Writer-Director Fund (SCRPT) 10000 61.42 (-0.01)         The Sports Fund (SPORT) 10000 44.73 (+0.01)         Shaun the Sheep Movie 2 (SHEP2) 14504 14.18 (+0.49)         The Writer-Director Fund (SCRPT) 10000 61.42 (-0.01)         The Sports Fund (SPORT) 10000 44.73 (+0.01)         The Opening Weekend Fund (OPENR) 10000 41.49 (-0.01)         The African-American Fund (AFRAM) 10000 97.98 (-0.01)         The Horror Fund 7 (SPOOK) 10000 53.85 (-0.16)         The Sequel Fund (SQUEL) 10000 82.96 (-0.07)         The Comic Fund (COMIC) 10000 26.61 (0.00)         The Animal Fund (ZOO) 10000 57.14 (0.00)         Strong Female Lead Fund (CHICK) 10000 47.18 (+0.06)         Thoroughbred (THORO) 1 4.37 (+0.11)         Magic Camp (MGCMP) 99998 22.73 (+1.65)         Thoroughbred (THORO) 100000 4.37 (+0.11)         Young Hollywood Fund (YOUNG) 10000 65.48 (0.00)         Frank Miller's Ronin (FMRON) 100000 1.12 (+0.25)         Wish Upon (WUPON) 99940 15.64 (+0.64)         The Video Game Fund (GAMER) 10000 36.52 (+0.04)         The Romance Fund (LOVE) 10000 74.38 (-0.02)         Larrikins (LARIK) 94445 46.07 (+0.19)         The Family Business Fund IV (GENES) 10000 56.84 (0.00)         The Comedy Fund (FUNNY) 10000 54.12 (+0.03)         StarBonds Fund (BONDS) 10000 91.12 (-0.01)         Ranger's Apprentice (RNGAP) 5555 18.71 (-0.73)         Science-Fiction Fund (SCIFI) 10000 44.93 (0.00)         The Secret Life of Houdini (TSLOH) 6345 13.44 (-0.40)         Music Fund (XOVER) 10000 69.26 (-0.04)