ANNOUNCEMENT: Sign-In with Facebook is working now.

HSX Forums: Movies Board






I think the others point is that they both had the same daily dropoffs OW, barring any strange fluctuations with the final numbers, so it's

Posted by: LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:27 in response to elchan's post Yes, but BDTCH is only delisted at $88, and not the $146,...

a good way to judge this movie.  Especially considering RT scores of both.

Official Adjusts   Antibody on Jul 01, 10:25

time to short both ted & magic mike {nm}   jamesbik333 on Jul 01, 10:30

Interesting call to action? {nm}   ryancoke2 on Jul 01, 10:42

Careful there - looks like a call to action. {nm}   grammar on Jul 01, 10:43

I would point out that Bad Teacher last year at the end of June delisted with a 2.85 multiplier {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 10:44

Also in June was the Hangover which delisted at 4.07... The point is that you can find reasons for both directions {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 10:53

Most decently received R-comedy does have legs, however most R-comedy does not have a built in audience like TED.   BionicMoron on Jul 01, 10:58

Let's get real here. :-) Against SPID4, ICEA4, and BATM3? {nm}   elchan on Jul 01, 10:56

ICEA4? What kind of overlap does that have with TED? {nm}   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 10:58

I think it's more to do with screen space, All three of those are going to command a good percentage of theater screens {nm}   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:04

Thing is...how many theaters got multiple prints of Ted or Magic Mike. They don't get squeezed if attendance is there, slower films will.   Catzan on Jul 01, 11:08

True, just giving what his probable reason was. As my post below says though, I think Ted has a good chance, Magic Mike not as much {nm}   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:21

I had higher hopes for Magic Mike...but it has begun to feel like Satc2...   Catzan on Jul 01, 12:00

Worse than SatC2. Before actuals, which may show a worse drop, it sits at No. 9 for percentage of OW coming from Friday...    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 14:09

With weekday business being as strong as it is this time of year, something like 35-22-14 on the weekends would be enough   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 11:13

That's a possibility, but your average of about 35% drops every weekend is going to be difficult, doable, but difficult. The question is...   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 17:50

Yeah, I'm not sure it's going to happen, but screencounts won't be the determining factor.   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 19:17

I went to TED with my son instead of Brave and loved it and my daughter went to watch Mike instead of Brave...just kidding..but could have    b4bad on Jul 01, 11:41

You mean like...Transformers 3, Harry Potter 8 and Captain America??? {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 11:01

Yes, but BDTCH is only delisted at $88, and not the $146, and seemingly frontloaded TED numbers, though. {nm}   elchan on Jul 01, 11:14

I think the others point is that they both had the same daily dropoffs OW, barring any strange fluctuations with the final numbers, so it's    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:27

Why do you think TED is frontloaded, it had an identical OW internal multiplier to Hangover {nm}   stevie1der328 on Jul 01, 11:29

I did say, "seemingly". I don't have historical data, but from other comments of others on the board the Sat drop off was significant.   elchan on Jul 01, 11:36

Yeah, from my standpoint if that Sunday number holds then it bodes well for TED's future prospects, but it could easily be overestimated. {nm}   stevie1der328 on Jul 01, 11:41

BOM shows the drop as about 13% for both Sat and Sun. Bad Teach was 10% & 24% and Hangover was 10% & 12.4%.   Catzan on Jul 01, 12:31

A comparable would be WEDCR, which delisted at 143, but it did not have to contend with any major blockbusters in the following weeks.   elchan on Jul 01, 11:29

I'd say Magic Mike's the only obvious short, if its Friday to Saturday drop is correct, I doubt if it even gets to the estimate, if that's    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:03

I note that The Avengers have finally dropped out of the top 10 {nm}   Rednax on Jul 02, 08:53





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
Elijah Wood (EWOOD) 20000 35.67 (0.00)         Pee-Wee Herman: The Movie (PWHER) 100000 5.51 (+2.58)         Elijah Wood (EWOOD) 20000 35.67 (0.00)         Pride and Prejudice and Zombies (PRDPZ) 100000 19.51 (+6.00)         Two Days, One Night (2D1NT) 99997 0.13 (-0.02)         Doctor Strange (DRSTR) 100000 119.23 (+0.26)         Pride and Prejudice and Zombies (PRDPZ) 100000 19.51 (+6.00)         Ben-Hur (BNHUR) 99999 49.43 (-1.72)         The Avengers: Age of Ultron (AVNG2) 10000 485.34 (+0.69)         Men, Women & Children (MWCHL) 1 3.95 (-0.14)         Men, Women & Children (MWCHL) 72312 3.95 (-0.14)         The Black Phantom (BPHNT) 10000 25.00 (0.00)         Cybernatural (CYBRN) 99999 17.44 (-0.37)         The Taliban Shuffle (TSHUF) 100000 24.29 (+2.21)         Pee-Wee Herman: The Movie (PWHER) 98889 5.51 (+2.58)         The Graveyard Book (GRVBK) 100000 5.69 (+5.57)         Pride and Prejudice and Zombies (PRDPZ) 99999 19.51 (+6.00)         The Graveyard Book (GRVBK) 100000 5.69 (+5.57)         The Taliban Shuffle (TSHUF) 100000 24.29 (+2.21)         The Last Witch Hunter (TLWH) 100000 25.60 (+0.54)         The Black Phantom (BPHNT) 100000 25.00 (0.00)         Steve Jobs (SJOBS) 100000 30.44 (+1.87)         Pride and Prejudice and Zombies (PRDPZ) 100000 19.51 (+6.00)         The Last Witch Hunter (TLWH) 99963 25.60 (+0.54)         The Purge 3 (PURG3) 100000 30.55 (+0.65)         Patient Zero (PZERO) 100000 23.18 (+1.37)         Nightcrawler H$10 Call (NTCRW.CA) 3000 3.30 (-0.08)         Geostorm (GEOST) 100000 41.13 (-0.07)         Nightcrawler (NTCRW) 99900 29.09 (+1.01)         Thor: Ragnorak (THOR3) 1000 139.62 (+4.71)         Low Down (LWDWN) 99998 0.08 (+0.06)         The Equalizer 2 (EQLZ2) 50000 40.37 (-1.21)         Stonehearst Asylum (ELIZG) 99998 0.14 (-0.05)         The Equalizer 2 (EQLZ2) 100000 40.37 (-1.21)         Kill the Messenger (KMSNG) 1 4.78 (-0.15)         Before I Disappear (BIDSP) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         The Black Phantom (BPHNT) 300 25.00 (0.00)         Ex Machina (EXMCH) 100000 8.77 (+1.80)         Ex Machina (EXMCH) 99963 8.77 (+1.80)         Ice Age 5 (ICEA5) 25692 50.10 (+3.06)         Pride and Prejudice and Zombies (PRDPZ) 100000 19.51 (+6.00)         The Graveyard Book (GRVBK) 100000 5.69 (+5.57)         The Graveyard Book (GRVBK) 100000 5.69 (+5.57)         Kahlil Gibran’s The Prophet (KGSTP) 100000 5.28 (-0.40)         Last Weekend (LSWKN) 99998 0.09 (-0.04)         The Black Phantom (BPHNT) 1200 25.00 (0.00)         Jem and the Holograms (JEMHG) 25000 27.72 (-0.03)         Camp X-Ray (CXRAY) 100000 0.02 (-0.01)         Leprechaun: Origins (LPCHN) 100000 0.01 (-0.03)         Brooklyn Bridge (BKBRD) 100000 7.56 (-0.44)