ANNOUNCEMENT: Trade Blockbuster Warrants of Hollywood's biggest moneymakers.

HSX Forums: Movies Board






I think the others point is that they both had the same daily dropoffs OW, barring any strange fluctuations with the final numbers, so it's

Posted by: LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:27 in response to elchan's post Yes, but BDTCH is only delisted at $88, and not the $146,...

a good way to judge this movie.  Especially considering RT scores of both.

Official Adjusts   Antibody on Jul 01, 10:25

time to short both ted & magic mike {nm}   jamesbik333 on Jul 01, 10:30

Interesting call to action? {nm}   ryancoke2 on Jul 01, 10:42

Careful there - looks like a call to action. {nm}   grammar on Jul 01, 10:43

I would point out that Bad Teacher last year at the end of June delisted with a 2.85 multiplier {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 10:44

Also in June was the Hangover which delisted at 4.07... The point is that you can find reasons for both directions {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 10:53

Most decently received R-comedy does have legs, however most R-comedy does not have a built in audience like TED.   BionicMoron on Jul 01, 10:58

Let's get real here. :-) Against SPID4, ICEA4, and BATM3? {nm}   elchan on Jul 01, 10:56

ICEA4? What kind of overlap does that have with TED? {nm}   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 10:58

I think it's more to do with screen space, All three of those are going to command a good percentage of theater screens {nm}   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:04

Thing is...how many theaters got multiple prints of Ted or Magic Mike. They don't get squeezed if attendance is there, slower films will.   Catzan on Jul 01, 11:08

True, just giving what his probable reason was. As my post below says though, I think Ted has a good chance, Magic Mike not as much {nm}   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:21

I had higher hopes for Magic Mike...but it has begun to feel like Satc2...   Catzan on Jul 01, 12:00

Worse than SatC2. Before actuals, which may show a worse drop, it sits at No. 9 for percentage of OW coming from Friday...    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 14:09

With weekday business being as strong as it is this time of year, something like 35-22-14 on the weekends would be enough   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 11:13

That's a possibility, but your average of about 35% drops every weekend is going to be difficult, doable, but difficult. The question is...   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 17:50

Yeah, I'm not sure it's going to happen, but screencounts won't be the determining factor.   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 19:17

I went to TED with my son instead of Brave and loved it and my daughter went to watch Mike instead of Brave...just kidding..but could have    b4bad on Jul 01, 11:41

You mean like...Transformers 3, Harry Potter 8 and Captain America??? {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 11:01

Yes, but BDTCH is only delisted at $88, and not the $146, and seemingly frontloaded TED numbers, though. {nm}   elchan on Jul 01, 11:14

I think the others point is that they both had the same daily dropoffs OW, barring any strange fluctuations with the final numbers, so it's    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:27

Why do you think TED is frontloaded, it had an identical OW internal multiplier to Hangover {nm}   stevie1der328 on Jul 01, 11:29

I did say, "seemingly". I don't have historical data, but from other comments of others on the board the Sat drop off was significant.   elchan on Jul 01, 11:36

Yeah, from my standpoint if that Sunday number holds then it bodes well for TED's future prospects, but it could easily be overestimated. {nm}   stevie1der328 on Jul 01, 11:41

BOM shows the drop as about 13% for both Sat and Sun. Bad Teach was 10% & 24% and Hangover was 10% & 12.4%.   Catzan on Jul 01, 12:31

A comparable would be WEDCR, which delisted at 143, but it did not have to contend with any major blockbusters in the following weeks.   elchan on Jul 01, 11:29

I'd say Magic Mike's the only obvious short, if its Friday to Saturday drop is correct, I doubt if it even gets to the estimate, if that's    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:03

I note that The Avengers have finally dropped out of the top 10 {nm}   Rednax on Jul 02, 08:53





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
Un Gallo con Muchos Huevos (UGCMH) 100000 3.42 (-0.08)         Tomorrowland (1952) 500 91.24 (-0.58)         Tomorrowland (1952) 8893 91.24 (-0.58)         It (IT1) 100000 19.81 (+1.28)         Maggie (MAGIE) 100000 0.11 (+0.09)         Valerian (VALER) 25000 40.81 (+0.81)         XXX: The Return of Xander Cage (XXX3) 50000 7.62 (+0.01)         Bloodshot (BLDSH) 15000 22.54 (+0.70)         Tink (TINK) 100000 16.27 (-0.29)         Poltergeist (POLTR) 100000 58.14 (-0.16)         Piku (PIKU) 100000 1.78 (+0.01)         The Accountant (ACTNT) 100000 32.00 (-0.20)         Shot Caller (SHOTC) 100000 17.85 (+0.77)         The 5th Wave (5WAVE) 100000 24.99 (-0.30)         World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 59661 47.15 (+0.91)         Tim McGraw (TMCGR) 10000 92.80 (+0.20)         Samuel L. Jackson (SLJAC) 20000 135.34 (-0.56)         Tron: Ascension aka Tron: Voyage (TRON3) 100000 43.48 (-0.02)         Tim McGraw (TMCGR) 10000 92.80 (+0.20)         The 39 Clues (39CLU) 100000 0.08 (+0.07)         Samuel L. Jackson (SLJAC) 20000 135.34 (-0.56)         It (IT1) 50000 19.81 (+1.28)         Ladrones (LADR2) 100000 2.43 (-0.11)         Sicario (SICAR) 100000 21.94 (-0.58)         Avatar 2 (AVAT2) 37 267.94 (0.00)         Tink (TINK) 100000 16.27 (-0.29)         My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 (MBFG2) 9854 39.86 (-1.32)         Tomorrowland (1952) 500 91.24 (-0.58)         Tomorrowland (1952) 15000 91.24 (-0.58)         Tomorrowland (1952) 1500 91.24 (-0.58)         Judy Greer (JGREE) 10000 70.10 (+0.12)         The Gift (WERDO) 25000 34.08 (+0.02)         Judy Greer (JGREE) 10000 70.10 (+0.12)         San Andreas (SANDR) 20000 102.99 (-0.31)         Heaven Knows What (HVNKW) 100000 2.40 (-0.05)         Tomorrowland (1952) 5000 91.24 (-0.58)         Before We Go (130TR) 99862 0.16 (+0.06)         G.I. JOE 3 (GIJO3) 40785 34.12 (+0.87)         Popeye (POPEY) 100000 22.14 (+0.95)         Ladrones (LADR2) 100000 2.43 (-0.11)         World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 100000 47.15 (+0.91)         San Andreas (SANDR) 10000 102.99 (-0.31)         Valerian (VALER) 83883 40.81 (+0.81)         The 5th Wave (5WAVE) 100000 24.99 (-0.30)         Valerian (VALER) 16117 40.81 (+0.81)         Maggie (MAGIE) 100000 0.11 (+0.09)         Animated Spider-Man (ASPDR) 10000 67.58 (-0.40)         Animated Spider-Man (ASPDR) 100000 67.58 (-0.40)         Far From The Madding Crowd (FFTMC) 2000 9.41 (-0.59)         Passengers (PSSNG) 100000 26.46 (-0.20)