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huge "difference" :) {nm}

Posted by: Antibody on Jul 02, 14:18 in response to dioneta's post Thats a huge drop from RS for Spiderman.....

mtc 3 day only numbers 8 katy perry 52 spid4 {nm} notfabio Jul 02, 14:13

Thats a huge drop from RS for Spiderman..... {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:15

huge "difference" :) Antibody Jul 02, 14:18

Ha! Yes. {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:19

If the "RS/MTC more than a coincidence thingy" is in effect, not good news for Spidy. BionicMoron, EAP leader Jul 02, 14:20

I guess its how you look at it... It will still likely make over $200M no matter which one is correct {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:22

It does put $200m total into question; who would have thought Ted may end up outgrossing it? {nm} xiayun Jul 02, 15:06

I was just reading your analysis on the film... Do you still feel confident about your Tuesday-Thursday numbers? {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 15:10

Starting to feel my ratio of Tue-to-Thurs vs. OW may be too high, but you're right at mine original blog post had $55m OW xiayun Jul 02, 15:15

Hmmm... What do you think about a Transformers 1 comparison? July 3rd (Tuesday) open... $36M (including mids) {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 15:24

I don't see the opening day coming close to that; more like around $25m {nm} xiayun Jul 02, 21:12

As always... Thx!!! :) {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 21:18

The % difference for Avengers was lower though xiayun Jul 02, 15:18

Nothing for savages? {nm} numbersix_99 Jul 02, 14:26

Yikes. Still don't see it getting anywhere near $250 million. Might struggle to top $200m if MTC is closer (which I think they are) {nm} ShawnMR Jul 02, 14:27

So if I understand the rule correctly, SPID4 should have a <$50m 3 day? {nm} baronblacksheep Jul 02, 14:29

Its not exactly a "rule" and it has been wrong before... It has shown to be a decent barometer though. As always, "Caveat Emptor" :) {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:31

If the opening weekend obeys the rule. (It might not - and it did not for AVNGR). SPID4 is also an unusual case, opening on a Tuesday. Roger More Jul 02, 14:51

It would appear a Tuesday opening could hurt HSX prospects. That's three days of a hot property without the benefit of a multiplier {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:58

All just my opinion, by the way {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:59

It's a definite possibility. It's also what I thought when TFORM opened. I was wrong. (I hate July 4 openers) {nm} Roger More Jul 02, 15:16

12 for savages {nm} notfabio Jul 02, 14:30

Tagging MTC: [SPID4] 52 [KP3D] 8 [SAVAG] 12 (all 3-day only) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jul 03, 07:55





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Hit Man (HTMAN) 150000 2.30 (+0.06)          Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 2337 64.60 (0.00)          Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 2000 64.60 (0.00)          Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 4000 64.60 (0.00)          Passion of the Christ 2: The Res (RESUR) 10000 32.12 (0.00)          Hit Man (HTMAN) 150000 2.30 (+0.06)          Spy x Family Code: White (SPYFM) 321 23.59 (0.00)          Mina Harker aka Dracula - Blumho (DRACU) 150000 4.03 (+0.24)          Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 9999 64.60 (0.00)          Vicious (VICUS) 5000 19.18 (-0.06)          In The Land Of Saints And Sinner (ILSAS) 150000 1.73 (+0.16)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 10000 19.71 (-0.29)          Wicked Little Letters (WCKLL) 1 2.68 (+0.22)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 149999 23.01 (-0.06)          In The Land Of Saints And Sinner (ILSAS) 150000 1.73 (+0.16)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 19.71 (-0.29)          Sasquatch Sunset (SQTCH) 145000 7.92 (-0.20)          Megalopolis (MEGAL) 49999 23.42 (-0.02)          Wicked Little Letters (WCKLL) 84210 2.68 (+0.22)          The Literary Fund (BOOKS) 1 55.75 (0.00)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2.PU) 25000 2.32 (-0.06)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2.PU) 25000 2.32 (-0.06)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2) 50000 153.87 (+0.04)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2) 50000 153.87 (+0.04)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2) 50000 153.87 (+0.04)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2) 50000 153.87 (+0.04)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2) 50000 153.87 (+0.04)          The Opening Weekend Fund (OPENR) 80 97.99 (+0.01)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2) 50000 153.87 (+0.04)          Monkey Man H10 Call (MNKYM.CA) 25000 3.32 (+0.04)          Monkey Man - Opening Weekend (MNKYM.OW) 100000 12.74 (+0.05)          A Simple Favor 2 (ASFA2) 150000 17.11 (+0.40)          A Simple Favor 2 (ASFA2) 150000 17.11 (+0.40)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2) 150000 153.87 (+0.04)          Driving Madeleine (DRVMD) 135 0.53 (0.00)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2.CA) 25000 2.91 (+0.04)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2.OW) 62047 58.36 (+0.01)          Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 3 37.54 (-0.85)          I am Legend 2 (LEGN2) 150000 62.18 (-0.35)          I am Legend 2 (LEGN2) 150000 62.18 (-0.35)          Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 3 37.54 (-0.85)          Rainbow Six (RNBW6) 1 22.69 (-0.05)          Rainbow Six (RNBW6) 150000 22.69 (-0.05)          Cleaner (CENER) 2 20.64 (-0.18)          Cleaner (CENER) 150000 20.64 (-0.18)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 150000 44.49 (+0.01)          A Simple Favor 2 (ASFA2) 150000 17.11 (+0.40)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2) 150000 153.87 (+0.04)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2) 149997 153.87 (+0.04)          Adam Wingard (AWING) 25000 58.54 (+0.17)