HSX Forum

Movies

Its not exactly a "rule" and it has been wrong before... It has shown to be a decent barometer though. As always, "Caveat Emptor" :) {nm}

Posted by: dioneta on Jul 02, 14:31 in response to baronblacksheep's post So if I understand the rule correctly, SPID4 should have...

mtc 3 day only numbers 8 katy perry 52 spid4 {nm} notfabio Jul 02, 14:13

Thats a huge drop from RS for Spiderman..... {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:15

huge "difference" :) {nm} Antibody Jul 02, 14:18

Ha! Yes. {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:19

If the "RS/MTC more than a coincidence thingy" is in effect, not good news for Spidy. BionicMoron, EAP leader Jul 02, 14:20

I guess its how you look at it... It will still likely make over $200M no matter which one is correct {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:22

It does put $200m total into question; who would have thought Ted may end up outgrossing it? {nm} xiayun Jul 02, 15:06

I was just reading your analysis on the film... Do you still feel confident about your Tuesday-Thursday numbers? {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 15:10

Starting to feel my ratio of Tue-to-Thurs vs. OW may be too high, but you're right at mine original blog post had $55m OW xiayun Jul 02, 15:15

Hmmm... What do you think about a Transformers 1 comparison? July 3rd (Tuesday) open... $36M (including mids) {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 15:24

I don't see the opening day coming close to that; more like around $25m {nm} xiayun Jul 02, 21:12

As always... Thx!!! :) {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 21:18

The % difference for Avengers was lower though xiayun Jul 02, 15:18

Nothing for savages? {nm} numbersix_99 Jul 02, 14:26

Yikes. Still don't see it getting anywhere near $250 million. Might struggle to top $200m if MTC is closer (which I think they are) {nm} ShawnMR Jul 02, 14:27

So if I understand the rule correctly, SPID4 should have a <$50m 3 day? {nm} baronblacksheep Jul 02, 14:29

Its not exactly a "rule" and it has been wrong before... It has shown to be a decent barometer though. As always, "Caveat Emptor" :) dioneta Jul 02, 14:31

If the opening weekend obeys the rule. (It might not - and it did not for AVNGR). SPID4 is also an unusual case, opening on a Tuesday. Roger More Jul 02, 14:51

It would appear a Tuesday opening could hurt HSX prospects. That's three days of a hot property without the benefit of a multiplier {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:58

All just my opinion, by the way {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:59

It's a definite possibility. It's also what I thought when TFORM opened. I was wrong. (I hate July 4 openers) {nm} Roger More Jul 02, 15:16

12 for savages {nm} notfabio Jul 02, 14:30

Tagging MTC: [SPID4] 52 [KP3D] 8 [SAVAG] 12 (all 3-day only) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jul 03, 07:55





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Paul Mescal (PMESC) 2993 2.85 (0.00)          Daddio (DADIO) 16000 3.83 (+0.22)          Claes Bang (CBANG) 1999 8.24 (0.00)          Claes Bang (CBANG) 2999 8.24 (0.00)          With Love (WOLOV) 150000 25.30 (-0.65)          With Love (WOLOV) 150000 25.30 (-0.65)          Georgina Campbell (GCAMP) 2999 20.06 (-0.25)          Georgina Campbell (GCAMP) 1999 20.06 (-0.25)          Daddio (DADIO) 22000 3.83 (+0.22)          Maya Hawke (MHAWK) 1000 55.81 (0.00)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 13.90 (+0.56)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 13.90 (+0.56)          Maya Hawke (MHAWK) 1000 55.81 (0.00)          The Monkey (MONKY) 20000 19.64 (+0.47)          The Ballad of Wallis Island (TBOWI) 1 5.58 (+0.18)          The Monkey (MONKY) 30000 19.64 (+0.47)          The Ballad of Wallis Island (TBOWI) 150000 5.58 (+0.18)          Sasquatch Sunset (SQTCH) 30000 6.47 (+0.22)          With Love (WOLOV) 9200 25.30 (-0.65)          With Love (WOLOV) 58000 25.30 (-0.65)          Nick Offerman (NOFFE) 2999 49.89 (0.00)          Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle (HAIKY) 4000 14.45 (+0.48)          The Nickel Boys (NICKB) 150000 8.11 (+0.21)          Nick Offerman (NOFFE) 5999 49.89 (0.00)          The Nickel Boys (NICKB) 150000 8.11 (+0.21)          Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle (HAIKY) 1200 14.45 (+0.48)          Rumours (RUMRS) 150000 7.09 (+0.22)          Rumours (RUMRS) 150000 7.09 (+0.22)          Jessica Chastain (JCHAS) 100 6.37 (0.00)          The Ballad of Wallis Island (TBOWI) 150000 5.58 (+0.18)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 4000 20.01 (+0.36)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 9200 20.01 (+0.36)          The Ballad of Wallis Island (TBOWI) 150000 5.58 (+0.18)          The Monkey (MONKY) 25000 19.64 (+0.47)          The Monkey (MONKY) 59200 19.64 (+0.47)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 13.90 (+0.56)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 13.90 (+0.56)          Sasquatch Sunset (SQTCH) 120000 6.47 (+0.22)          City on Fire (CTOFR) 30000 25.58 (+0.54)          Sasquatch Sunset (SQTCH) 100000 6.47 (+0.22)          City on Fire (CTOFR) 3200 25.58 (+0.54)          City on Fire (CTOFR) 57600 25.58 (+0.54)          Sasquatch Sunset (SQTCH) 150000 6.47 (+0.22)          Sasquatch Sunset (SQTCH) 150000 6.47 (+0.22)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 3200 13.90 (+0.56)          In a Violent Nature (IAVNT) 150000 4.23 (-0.17)          The Monkey (MONKY) 150000 19.64 (+0.47)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 30000 13.90 (+0.56)          In a Violent Nature (IAVNT) 150000 4.23 (-0.17)          The Monkey (MONKY) 150000 19.64 (+0.47)