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It would appear a Tuesday opening could hurt HSX prospects. That's three days of a hot property without the benefit of a multiplier {nm}

Posted by: dioneta on Jul 02, 14:58 in response to Roger More's post If the opening weekend obeys the rule. (It might not -...

mtc 3 day only numbers 8 katy perry 52 spid4 {nm} notfabio Jul 02, 14:13

Thats a huge drop from RS for Spiderman..... {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:15

huge "difference" :) {nm} Antibody Jul 02, 14:18

Ha! Yes. {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:19

If the "RS/MTC more than a coincidence thingy" is in effect, not good news for Spidy. BionicMoron, EAP leader Jul 02, 14:20

I guess its how you look at it... It will still likely make over $200M no matter which one is correct {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:22

It does put $200m total into question; who would have thought Ted may end up outgrossing it? {nm} xiayun Jul 02, 15:06

I was just reading your analysis on the film... Do you still feel confident about your Tuesday-Thursday numbers? {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 15:10

Starting to feel my ratio of Tue-to-Thurs vs. OW may be too high, but you're right at mine original blog post had $55m OW xiayun Jul 02, 15:15

Hmmm... What do you think about a Transformers 1 comparison? July 3rd (Tuesday) open... $36M (including mids) {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 15:24

I don't see the opening day coming close to that; more like around $25m {nm} xiayun Jul 02, 21:12

As always... Thx!!! :) {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 21:18

The % difference for Avengers was lower though xiayun Jul 02, 15:18

Nothing for savages? {nm} numbersix_99 Jul 02, 14:26

Yikes. Still don't see it getting anywhere near $250 million. Might struggle to top $200m if MTC is closer (which I think they are) {nm} ShawnMR Jul 02, 14:27

So if I understand the rule correctly, SPID4 should have a <$50m 3 day? {nm} baronblacksheep Jul 02, 14:29

Its not exactly a "rule" and it has been wrong before... It has shown to be a decent barometer though. As always, "Caveat Emptor" :) {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:31

If the opening weekend obeys the rule. (It might not - and it did not for AVNGR). SPID4 is also an unusual case, opening on a Tuesday. Roger More Jul 02, 14:51

It would appear a Tuesday opening could hurt HSX prospects. That's three days of a hot property without the benefit of a multiplier dioneta Jul 02, 14:58

All just my opinion, by the way {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:59

It's a definite possibility. It's also what I thought when TFORM opened. I was wrong. (I hate July 4 openers) {nm} Roger More Jul 02, 15:16

12 for savages {nm} notfabio Jul 02, 14:30

Tagging MTC: [SPID4] 52 [KP3D] 8 [SAVAG] 12 (all 3-day only) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jul 03, 07:55





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The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 9999 242.63 (+0.21)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 9999 64.22 (+3.23)          Kinds of Kindness (AND) 1000 17.52 (-0.94)          Avatar 3 (AVAT3) 10 414.13 (-0.76)          Sesame Street (SESAM) 1 3.76 (-0.02)          Sesame Street (SESAM) 1 3.76 (-0.02)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 100 224.34 (+0.70)          Sesame Street (SESAM) 74999 3.76 (-0.02)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 100 19.68 (-0.32)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Borderlands (BRDLN) 50000 76.09 (0.00)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2) 10000 150.91 (+1.85)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 150000 139.72 (-0.22)          I Saw the TV Glow (ISTVG) 74995 4.49 (-0.10)          Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 20000 64.22 (+3.23)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 20000 20.00 (0.00)          Theo James (TJAME) 1 26.02 (-0.13)          Jennifer Garner (JEGAR) 1 44.37 (+0.10)          Sesame Street (SESAM) 150000 3.76 (-0.02)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 50000 44.44 (+1.79)          Winnie-the-Pooh: Blood and Honey (WTPB2) 150000 2.21 (-0.26)          King of the Jungle (KOTJN) 150000 0.05 (-0.01)          Winnie-the-Pooh: Blood and Honey (WTPB2) 120000 2.21 (-0.26)          Mercy (MRCY1) 20000 53.56 (+0.42)          Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 49950 64.22 (+3.23)          28 Years Later (28LT3) 30000 46.25 (+0.05)          Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 49950 64.22 (+3.23)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2.PU) 25000 2.74 (+0.13)          Immaculate (IMACU) 1 14.00 (+0.07)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2.CA) 25000 2.54 (+0.11)          The Haunting In Wicker Park aka (TRUEH) 50000 6.37 (-0.04)          Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 100 64.22 (+3.23)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 100 44.44 (+1.79)          Monkey Man H10 Call (MNKYM.CA) 25000 3.22 (+0.20)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 1000 20.00 (0.00)          Greenhouse aka The Uninhabitable (GRENH) 30000 41.97 (-0.16)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 50000 20.00 (0.00)          The Monkey (MONKY) 100 21.80 (+0.98)          Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire (GHST5) 150000 114.28 (-2.24)          Justice Smith (JUSMI) 12500 114.54 (-0.83)          Dune: Part Two $235M Blockbuster (DUNE2.BW) 25000 9.39 (+0.49)          Weekend in Taipei (WKNTP) 150000 14.75 (+1.20)          Weekend in Taipei (WKNTP) 150000 14.75 (+1.20)          A Simple Favor 2 (ASFA2) 1000 17.98 (+0.31)          The Monkey (MONKY) 150000 21.80 (+0.98)          The Monkey (MONKY) 150000 21.80 (+0.98)          Ian McShane (IMCSH) 12500 114.10 (+0.84)