HSX Forums: Movies Board






All just my opinion, by the way {nm}

Posted by: dioneta on Jul 02, 14:59 in response to dioneta's post It would appear a Tuesday opening could hurt HSX...

mtc 3 day only numbers 8 katy perry 52 spid4 {nm}   notfabio on Jul 02, 14:13

Thats a huge drop from RS for Spiderman..... {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:15

huge "difference" :) {nm}   Antibody on Jul 02, 14:18

Ha! Yes. {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:19

If the "RS/MTC more than a coincidence thingy" is in effect, not good news for Spidy.   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 02, 14:20

I guess its how you look at it... It will still likely make over $200M no matter which one is correct {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:22

It does put $200m total into question; who would have thought Ted may end up outgrossing it? {nm}   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:06

I was just reading your analysis on the film... Do you still feel confident about your Tuesday-Thursday numbers? {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 15:10

Starting to feel my ratio of Tue-to-Thurs vs. OW may be too high, but you're right at mine original blog post had $55m OW   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:15

Hmmm... What do you think about a Transformers 1 comparison? July 3rd (Tuesday) open... $36M (including mids) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 15:24

I don't see the opening day coming close to that; more like around $25m {nm}   xiayun on Jul 02, 21:12

As always... Thx!!! :) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 21:18

The % difference for Avengers was lower though   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:18

Nothing for savages? {nm}   numbersix_99 on Jul 02, 14:26

Yikes. Still don't see it getting anywhere near $250 million. Might struggle to top $200m if MTC is closer (which I think they are) {nm}   ShawnMR on Jul 02, 14:27

So if I understand the rule correctly, SPID4 should have a <$50m 3 day? {nm}   baronblacksheep on Jul 02, 14:29

Its not exactly a "rule" and it has been wrong before... It has shown to be a decent barometer though. As always, "Caveat Emptor" :) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:31

If the opening weekend obeys the rule. (It might not - and it did not for AVNGR). SPID4 is also an unusual case, opening on a Tuesday.   Roger More on Jul 02, 14:51

It would appear a Tuesday opening could hurt HSX prospects. That's three days of a hot property without the benefit of a multiplier {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:58

All just my opinion, by the way {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:59

It's a definite possibility. It's also what I thought when TFORM opened. I was wrong. (I hate July 4 openers) {nm}   Roger More on Jul 02, 15:16

12 for savages {nm}   notfabio on Jul 02, 14:30

Tagging MTC: [SPID4] 52 [KP3D] 8 [SAVAG] 12 (all 3-day only) {nm}   accountant_4_Jesus on Jul 03, 07:55





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Michael Pitt (MPITT) 20000 8.62 (-0.08)         The Secret Life of Pets $300M Bl (PETS.BW) 20000 5.00 (0.00)         Anya Taylor-Joy (ATJOY) 20000 19.97 (-0.02)         Their Finest Hour And A Half (TFHAH) 5000 4.52 (+1.57)         The Secret Life of Pets $300M Bl (PETS.BW) 20000 5.00 (0.00)         Ice Age: Collision Course (ICEA5) 100000 58.74 (-2.89)         Anya Taylor-Joy (ATJOY) 20000 19.97 (-0.02)         God Bless the Broken Road (GBTBR) 100000 15.11 (+3.02)         Jason Bourne (BORN5) 100000 151.12 (-3.51)         Sarah Bolger (SBOLG) 20000 19.58 (-0.08)         The War with Grandpa (WARGP) 100000 18.00 (0.00)         Hacksaw Ridge (HSRDG) 100000 12.78 (+1.77)         Birth of the Dragon (BOTDR) 10000 5.31 (+1.93)         Hailee Steinfeld (HSTEI) 20000 32.33 (-0.32)         Jason Bourne H$60 Call (BORN5.CA) 20000 2.37 (-0.17)         Sarah Bolger (SBOLG) 20000 19.58 (-0.08)         Jason Bourne (BORN5) 100000 151.12 (-3.51)         Jason Bourne H$60 Call (BORN5.CA) 20000 2.37 (-0.17)         Tika Sumpter (TSUMP) 20000 59.64 (-0.06)         Jason Bourne H$60 Call (BORN5.CA) 20000 2.37 (-0.17)         The War with Grandpa (WARGP) 1 18.00 (0.00)         Tika Sumpter (TSUMP) 20000 59.64 (-0.06)         The Greatest Showman on Earth (TGSOE) 100000 21.99 (0.00)         Jason Bourne - Opening Weekend (BORN5.OW) 100000 59.79 (-0.33)         The Nutcracker And The Four Real (NUTFR) 100000 55.60 (+0.29)         Anon (ANON) 100000 15.59 (-0.10)         Barry (BARRY) 5000 5.50 (+2.05)         Jason Bourne H$60 Put (BORN5.PU) 20000 3.36 (+0.18)         Going in Style (GOINS) 100000 12.15 (-0.10)         The Secret Life of Pets $300M Bl (PETS.BW) 20000 5.00 (0.00)         Jason Bourne - Opening Weekend (BORN5.OW) 100000 59.79 (-0.33)         The Great Wall (GRTWL) 99999 47.24 (+2.45)         Jason Bourne H$60 Call (BORN5.CA) 20000 2.37 (-0.17)         Jason Bourne - Opening Weekend (BORN5.OW) 100000 59.79 (-0.33)         Barry (BARRY) 100000 5.50 (+2.05)         The Secret Life of Pets $300M Bl (PETS.BW) 20000 5.00 (0.00)         God Bless the Broken Road (GBTBR) 5000 15.11 (+3.02)         Anya Taylor-Joy (ATJOY) 20000 19.97 (-0.02)         Jason Bourne - Opening Weekend (BORN5.OW) 100000 59.79 (-0.33)         Ideal Home (IDLHM) 100000 4.00 (0.00)         Jason Bourne (BORN5) 13798 151.12 (-3.51)         Suicide Squad (SUICD) 100000 312.59 (-0.82)         Sarah Bolger (SBOLG) 20000 19.58 (-0.08)         Jason Bourne - Opening Weekend (BORN5.OW) 100000 59.79 (-0.33)         Jason Bourne H$60 Put (BORN5.PU) 20000 3.36 (+0.18)         The Secret Life of Pets $300M Bl (PETS.BW) 20000 5.00 (0.00)         My Best Friend's Wedding (MYBFW) 100000 1.79 (-0.21)         Winnie the Pooh (WINPO) 10000 31.84 (+3.19)         Tika Sumpter (TSUMP) 20000 59.64 (-0.06)         Weiner (WEINR) 100000 1.86 (+0.07)