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All just my opinion, by the way {nm}

Posted by: dioneta on Jul 02, 14:59 in response to dioneta's post It would appear a Tuesday opening could hurt HSX...

mtc 3 day only numbers 8 katy perry 52 spid4 {nm}   notfabio on Jul 02, 14:13

Thats a huge drop from RS for Spiderman..... {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:15

huge "difference" :) {nm}   Antibody on Jul 02, 14:18

Ha! Yes. {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:19

If the "RS/MTC more than a coincidence thingy" is in effect, not good news for Spidy.   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 02, 14:20

I guess its how you look at it... It will still likely make over $200M no matter which one is correct {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:22

It does put $200m total into question; who would have thought Ted may end up outgrossing it? {nm}   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:06

I was just reading your analysis on the film... Do you still feel confident about your Tuesday-Thursday numbers? {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 15:10

Starting to feel my ratio of Tue-to-Thurs vs. OW may be too high, but you're right at mine original blog post had $55m OW   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:15

Hmmm... What do you think about a Transformers 1 comparison? July 3rd (Tuesday) open... $36M (including mids) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 15:24

I don't see the opening day coming close to that; more like around $25m {nm}   xiayun on Jul 02, 21:12

As always... Thx!!! :) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 21:18

The % difference for Avengers was lower though   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:18

Nothing for savages? {nm}   numbersix_99 on Jul 02, 14:26

Yikes. Still don't see it getting anywhere near $250 million. Might struggle to top $200m if MTC is closer (which I think they are) {nm}   ShawnMR on Jul 02, 14:27

So if I understand the rule correctly, SPID4 should have a <$50m 3 day? {nm}   baronblacksheep on Jul 02, 14:29

Its not exactly a "rule" and it has been wrong before... It has shown to be a decent barometer though. As always, "Caveat Emptor" :) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:31

If the opening weekend obeys the rule. (It might not - and it did not for AVNGR). SPID4 is also an unusual case, opening on a Tuesday.   Roger More on Jul 02, 14:51

It would appear a Tuesday opening could hurt HSX prospects. That's three days of a hot property without the benefit of a multiplier {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:58

All just my opinion, by the way {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:59

It's a definite possibility. It's also what I thought when TFORM opened. I was wrong. (I hate July 4 openers) {nm}   Roger More on Jul 02, 15:16

12 for savages {nm}   notfabio on Jul 02, 14:30

Tagging MTC: [SPID4] 52 [KP3D] 8 [SAVAG] 12 (all 3-day only) {nm}   accountant_4_Jesus on Jul 03, 07:55





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The Hangover Part III (HNOV3) 50000 122.61 (-14.10)         Cloudy with a Chance of Meatball (CWCM2) 4 75.47 (-0.62)         Spectacular Regret (SPREG) 100000 0.04 (-0.08)         Mortal Instruments: City of Bone (CTOFB) 30 39.18 (-0.54)         Step Up 5 (STUP5) 100000 18.00 (0.00)         Brave New World (BRVNW) 99999 5.72 (-0.07)         Step Up 5 (STUP5) 100000 18.00 (0.00)         Horrible Bosses 2 (HBOS2) 5001 24.56 (-0.66)         The Legend of Conan (CONA2) 50 15.24 (-0.09)         Iron Man 3 (IRNM3) 1000 390.86 (-1.52)         Battle Angel Alita (ALITA) 99999 3.94 (+0.44)         The Counselor (CNSLR) 3 41.37 (-0.02)         Vanessa Redgrave (VREDG) 20000 38.25 (+0.16)         Candy Store (CNDYS) 4 19.82 (-0.07)         Pitch Perfect 2 (PTCP2) 2790 29.98 (+0.48)         5 to 7 (5TO7) 100000 9.63 (-0.61)         Cleo (CLEO) 50000 0.01 (0.00)         Only Lovers Left Alive (ONLLA) 100000 2.45 (+0.53)         Compulsion (CMPUL) 120 8.25 (-0.04)         The Wolf of Wall Street (TWOWS) 1618 52.76 (+0.21)         Only Lovers Left Alive (ONLLA) 100000 2.45 (+0.53)         Closed Circuit (CLOSD) 80 14.02 (+0.03)         Vanessa Redgrave (VREDG) 20000 38.25 (+0.16)         Step Up 5 (STUP5) 100000 18.00 (0.00)         The Hobbit: There and Back Again (HOBT3) 20 216.92 (-2.11)         Captain Phillips (CDUTY) 30 39.84 (-0.25)         The Hangover Part III (HNOV3) 100000 122.61 (-14.10)         The Wolf of Wall Street (TWOWS) 1618 52.76 (+0.21)         The Great Gatsby $135M Blockbust (GATSB.BW) 20000 5.00 (0.00)         Reykjavik (REYKJ) 1234 8.37 (+0.01)         Cleopatra (CLEOP) 3 15.87 (-0.04)         Cities (CITIS) 800 1.28 (-0.06)         The Great Gatsby $135M Blockbust (GATSB.BW) 20000 5.00 (0.00)         Resident Evil 6 (RESE6) 100000 21.79 (-0.32)         Elijah Wood (EWOOD) 20000 66.50 (-0.26)         Bobbie Sue (BOBSU) 50000 0.01 (-0.09)         Elijah Wood (EWOOD) 20000 66.50 (-0.26)         August: Osage County (AUGOC) 14 20.62 (-0.20)         Fast & Furious 7 (FAST7) 96221 152.55 (+5.62)         Step Up 5 (STUP5) 100000 18.00 (0.00)         Captain Phillips (CDUTY) 37 39.84 (-0.25)         Jamesy Boy (JMSYB) 100000 1.32 (+0.83)         The Karate Kid 2 (KKID2) 10677 14.13 (+0.03)         World War Z (WWARZ) 10000 137.05 (-0.65)         Kick-Ass 2 (KCKA2) 27904 60.65 (-0.64)         Out of the Furnace (FURNC) 10 19.48 (+0.02)         Legends of Oz: Dorothy's Return (DOFOZ) 4017 16.52 (+0.09)         Star Trek: Into Darkness (TREK2) 100000 197.55 (-3.32)         Now You See Me (NYSME) 100 61.71 (+1.12)         Captain America: The Winter Sold (CAPA2) 3 210.15 (-0.14)