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It does put $200m total into question; who would have thought Ted may end up outgrossing it? {nm}

Posted by: xiayun on Jul 02, 15:06 in response to dioneta's post I guess its how you look at it... It will still likely...

mtc 3 day only numbers 8 katy perry 52 spid4 {nm}   notfabio on Jul 02, 14:13

Thats a huge drop from RS for Spiderman..... {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:15

huge "difference" :) {nm}   Antibody on Jul 02, 14:18

Ha! Yes. {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:19

If the "RS/MTC more than a coincidence thingy" is in effect, not good news for Spidy.   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 02, 14:20

I guess its how you look at it... It will still likely make over $200M no matter which one is correct {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:22

It does put $200m total into question; who would have thought Ted may end up outgrossing it? {nm}   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:06

I was just reading your analysis on the film... Do you still feel confident about your Tuesday-Thursday numbers? {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 15:10

Starting to feel my ratio of Tue-to-Thurs vs. OW may be too high, but you're right at mine original blog post had $55m OW   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:15

Hmmm... What do you think about a Transformers 1 comparison? July 3rd (Tuesday) open... $36M (including mids) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 15:24

I don't see the opening day coming close to that; more like around $25m {nm}   xiayun on Jul 02, 21:12

As always... Thx!!! :) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 21:18

The % difference for Avengers was lower though   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:18

Nothing for savages? {nm}   numbersix_99 on Jul 02, 14:26

Yikes. Still don't see it getting anywhere near $250 million. Might struggle to top $200m if MTC is closer (which I think they are) {nm}   ShawnMR on Jul 02, 14:27

So if I understand the rule correctly, SPID4 should have a <$50m 3 day? {nm}   baronblacksheep on Jul 02, 14:29

Its not exactly a "rule" and it has been wrong before... It has shown to be a decent barometer though. As always, "Caveat Emptor" :) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:31

If the opening weekend obeys the rule. (It might not - and it did not for AVNGR). SPID4 is also an unusual case, opening on a Tuesday.   Roger More on Jul 02, 14:51

It would appear a Tuesday opening could hurt HSX prospects. That's three days of a hot property without the benefit of a multiplier {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:58

All just my opinion, by the way {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:59

It's a definite possibility. It's also what I thought when TFORM opened. I was wrong. (I hate July 4 openers) {nm}   Roger More on Jul 02, 15:16

12 for savages {nm}   notfabio on Jul 02, 14:30

Tagging MTC: [SPID4] 52 [KP3D] 8 [SAVAG] 12 (all 3-day only) {nm}   accountant_4_Jesus on Jul 03, 07:55





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After Earth - Opening Weekend (1THAE.OW) 100000 45.00 (0.00)         Ben Kingsley (BKING) 20000 109.92 (+0.18)         The European Fund (EURO) 10000 20.00 (0.00)         Speedy Gonzales (SPDYG) 11250 0.01 (-0.01)         Star Trek: Into Darkness (TREK2) 30000 189.36 (-3.64)         After Earth H$45 Call (1THAE.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Now You See Me H$25 Call (NYSME.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Steve Carell (SCARE) 1500 57.66 (-0.14)         The Salvation (SALVT) 100000 6.00 (0.00)         After Earth - Opening Weekend (1THAE.OW) 50000 45.00 (0.00)         Now You See Me H$25 Call (NYSME.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Tommy Lee Jones (TLJON) 20000 120.23 (+0.26)         After Earth H$45 Call (1THAE.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Adrien Brody (ABROD) 1000 11.53 (-0.04)         Angry Birds (ANGRB) 100000 37.24 (+2.42)         The Golden Years Fund (AARP) 10000 20.28 (+0.28)         I am Legend 2 (LEGN2) 100000 5.00 (+0.06)         The European Fund (EURO) 10000 20.00 (0.00)         The Golden Years Fund (AARP) 781 20.28 (+0.28)         Now You See Me - Opening Weekend (NYSME.OW) 30000 25.00 (0.00)         The European Fund (EURO) 10000 20.00 (0.00)         Blonde (BONDE) 44335 3.46 (+1.01)         Trolls (TROLL) 100000 43.29 (-0.14)         Trolls (TROLL) 50000 43.29 (-0.14)         After Earth - Opening Weekend (1THAE.OW) 100000 45.00 (0.00)         Paul Bettany (PBETT) 20000 122.55 (-0.58)         The European Fund (EURO) 10000 20.00 (0.00)         Now You See Me - Opening Weekend (NYSME.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)         Chappie (CHAPI) 50000 42.54 (+4.03)         Now You See Me H$25 Put (NYSME.PU) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (TMNT1) 21922 77.45 (-0.01)         After Earth H$45 Put (1THAE.PU) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         The Salvation (SALVT) 100000 6.00 (0.00)         Chappie (CHAPI) 50000 42.54 (+4.03)         The City That Sailed (CTSAL) 100000 1.52 (+0.02)         Now You See Me H$25 Call (NYSME.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         After Earth H$45 Put (1THAE.PU) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Chappie (CHAPI) 50000 42.54 (+4.03)         Guardians of the Galaxy (GOTGX) 10000 164.18 (-0.27)         Goliath (GOLIA) 100000 3.57 (+0.10)         After Earth - Opening Weekend (1THAE.OW) 100000 45.00 (0.00)         Halo (HALO) 100000 9.47 (+5.03)         Chappie (CHAPI) 100000 42.54 (+4.03)         After Earth H$45 Call (1THAE.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         After Earth H$45 Put (1THAE.PU) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         After Earth H$45 Call (1THAE.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Dracula (DRCYZ) 25000 24.87 (-0.05)         Entourage (ENTOR) 99999 9.28 (+0.06)         Star Trek: Into Darkness (TREK2) 50000 189.36 (-3.64)         After Earth H$45 Call (1THAE.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)