HSX Forum

Movies

I was just reading your analysis on the film... Do you still feel confident about your Tuesday-Thursday numbers? {nm}

Posted by: dioneta on Jul 02, 15:10 in response to xiayun's post It does put $200m total into question; who would have...

mtc 3 day only numbers 8 katy perry 52 spid4 {nm} notfabio Jul 02, 14:13

Thats a huge drop from RS for Spiderman..... {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:15

huge "difference" :) {nm} Antibody Jul 02, 14:18

Ha! Yes. {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:19

If the "RS/MTC more than a coincidence thingy" is in effect, not good news for Spidy. BionicMoron, EAP leader Jul 02, 14:20

I guess its how you look at it... It will still likely make over $200M no matter which one is correct {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:22

It does put $200m total into question; who would have thought Ted may end up outgrossing it? {nm} xiayun Jul 02, 15:06

I was just reading your analysis on the film... Do you still feel confident about your Tuesday-Thursday numbers? dioneta Jul 02, 15:10

Starting to feel my ratio of Tue-to-Thurs vs. OW may be too high, but you're right at mine original blog post had $55m OW xiayun Jul 02, 15:15

Hmmm... What do you think about a Transformers 1 comparison? July 3rd (Tuesday) open... $36M (including mids) {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 15:24

I don't see the opening day coming close to that; more like around $25m {nm} xiayun Jul 02, 21:12

As always... Thx!!! :) {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 21:18

The % difference for Avengers was lower though xiayun Jul 02, 15:18

Nothing for savages? {nm} numbersix_99 Jul 02, 14:26

Yikes. Still don't see it getting anywhere near $250 million. Might struggle to top $200m if MTC is closer (which I think they are) {nm} ShawnMR Jul 02, 14:27

So if I understand the rule correctly, SPID4 should have a <$50m 3 day? {nm} baronblacksheep Jul 02, 14:29

Its not exactly a "rule" and it has been wrong before... It has shown to be a decent barometer though. As always, "Caveat Emptor" :) {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:31

If the opening weekend obeys the rule. (It might not - and it did not for AVNGR). SPID4 is also an unusual case, opening on a Tuesday. Roger More Jul 02, 14:51

It would appear a Tuesday opening could hurt HSX prospects. That's three days of a hot property without the benefit of a multiplier {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:58

All just my opinion, by the way {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:59

It's a definite possibility. It's also what I thought when TFORM opened. I was wrong. (I hate July 4 openers) {nm} Roger More Jul 02, 15:16

12 for savages {nm} notfabio Jul 02, 14:30

Tagging MTC: [SPID4] 52 [KP3D] 8 [SAVAG] 12 (all 3-day only) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jul 03, 07:55





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Playdate (PLYDT) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Locked (LOCKD) 60000 6.86 (-0.02)          Thelma (THELM) 75000 3.71 (-0.01)          Honey Don't (HDONT) 50000 17.30 (+1.55)          The Authority (AUTHO) 10000 47.69 (-0.01)          Unstoppable (USTPB) 9999 31.10 (+0.03)          Hard Miles (HRDML) 8000 1.10 (-0.05)          Unstoppable (USTPB) 14999 31.10 (+0.03)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 30000 24.73 (+0.04)          Ryan Gosling (RGOSL) 200 111.97 (+0.33)          KIlling Castro (KILLC) 150000 12.58 (-0.14)          KIlling Castro (KILLC) 150000 12.58 (-0.14)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 59999 24.73 (+0.04)          Novocaine (NOVCN) 45999 24.37 (+0.04)          One Punch Man (1PMAN) 15000 19.11 (+0.07)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 60000 17.32 (+0.15)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 80000 17.32 (+0.15)          Abigail (ABGAL) 150000 51.74 (-2.83)          Bonhoeffer (BNHFR) 59999 9.18 (+0.26)          Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle (HAIKY) 44999 13.94 (+0.41)          The Bad Guys 2 (TBAD2) 15000 68.38 (+0.93)          The Bad Guys 2 (TBAD2) 29999 68.38 (+0.93)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 3000 243.23 (+1.17)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 3000 243.23 (+1.17)          Honey Don't (HDONT) 70000 17.30 (+1.55)          Honey Don't (HDONT) 39999 17.30 (+1.55)          Weekend in Taipei (WKNTP) 150000 12.93 (-0.16)          Weekend in Taipei (WKNTP) 150000 12.93 (-0.16)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 10000 19.90 (-0.85)          Honey Don't (HDONT) 150000 17.30 (+1.55)          Honey Don't (HDONT) 150000 17.30 (+1.55)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 149999 14.57 (-0.43)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 149999 14.57 (-0.43)          CBS: Tracker (TRACKR) 25000 13.52 (+0.21)          Quentin Tarantino (QTARA) 10000 90.54 (+0.35)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 10597 90.71 (+3.88)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 100000 51.50 (-0.38)          War of the Worlds (WAROW) 150000 3.34 (-0.07)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 100000 51.50 (-0.38)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW) 10000 29.12 (-1.17)          FOX: Grimsburg (GRMSBG) 25000 13.39 (-0.21)          FOX: Grimsburg (GRMSBG) 25000 13.39 (-0.21)          Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu (AGINA) 25000 55.17 (+0.16)          Phil Lord (PLORD) 25000 154.52 (+1.50)          Phil Lord (PLORD) 25000 154.52 (+1.50)          Spy x Family Code: White (SPYFM) 150000 20.83 (-0.19)          The Ballad of Wallis Island (TBOWI) 150000 5.49 (-0.32)          Spy x Family Code: White (SPYFM) 150000 20.83 (-0.19)          Tarot H$15 Put (HRSCP.PU) 25000 3.06 (+0.17)          Tarot - Opening Weekend (HRSCP.OW) 100000 13.36 (-0.23)