Market Announcement: NominOptions will halt trading on Monday at 6 pm Pacific.

HSX Forums: Movies Board






The % difference for Avengers was lower though

Posted by: xiayun on Jul 02, 15:18 in response to BionicMoron, EAP leader's post If the "RS/MTC more than a coincidence thingy"...

but this year we have seen numerous instances where the actual ended up falling in between MTC and RS when the two differed by quite a bit, so the "rule" may need a modification eventually. :)

 

mtc 3 day only numbers 8 katy perry 52 spid4 {nm}   notfabio on Jul 02, 14:13

Thats a huge drop from RS for Spiderman..... {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:15

huge "difference" :) {nm}   Antibody on Jul 02, 14:18

Ha! Yes. {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:19

If the "RS/MTC more than a coincidence thingy" is in effect, not good news for Spidy.   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 02, 14:20

I guess its how you look at it... It will still likely make over $200M no matter which one is correct {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:22

It does put $200m total into question; who would have thought Ted may end up outgrossing it? {nm}   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:06

I was just reading your analysis on the film... Do you still feel confident about your Tuesday-Thursday numbers? {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 15:10

Starting to feel my ratio of Tue-to-Thurs vs. OW may be too high, but you're right at mine original blog post had $55m OW   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:15

Hmmm... What do you think about a Transformers 1 comparison? July 3rd (Tuesday) open... $36M (including mids) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 15:24

I don't see the opening day coming close to that; more like around $25m {nm}   xiayun on Jul 02, 21:12

As always... Thx!!! :) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 21:18

The % difference for Avengers was lower though   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:18

Nothing for savages? {nm}   numbersix_99 on Jul 02, 14:26

Yikes. Still don't see it getting anywhere near $250 million. Might struggle to top $200m if MTC is closer (which I think they are) {nm}   ShawnMR on Jul 02, 14:27

So if I understand the rule correctly, SPID4 should have a <$50m 3 day? {nm}   baronblacksheep on Jul 02, 14:29

Its not exactly a "rule" and it has been wrong before... It has shown to be a decent barometer though. As always, "Caveat Emptor" :) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:31

If the opening weekend obeys the rule. (It might not - and it did not for AVNGR). SPID4 is also an unusual case, opening on a Tuesday.   Roger More on Jul 02, 14:51

It would appear a Tuesday opening could hurt HSX prospects. That's three days of a hot property without the benefit of a multiplier {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:58

All just my opinion, by the way {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:59

It's a definite possibility. It's also what I thought when TFORM opened. I was wrong. (I hate July 4 openers) {nm}   Roger More on Jul 02, 15:16

12 for savages {nm}   notfabio on Jul 02, 14:30

Tagging MTC: [SPID4] 52 [KP3D] 8 [SAVAG] 12 (all 3-day only) {nm}   accountant_4_Jesus on Jul 03, 07:55





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
Robotech (RTECH) 90000 5.54 (-0.12)         Live By Night (LVBNT) 1 11.63 (-0.09)         Artemis Fowl (AFOWL) 100000 8.50 (+2.65)         Damsel (DAMSL) 100000 5.64 (+1.87)         The Babysitter (BBSIT) 1 1.12 (+0.05)         Split (SPLIT) 100000 86.86 (+0.05)         The Bye Bye Man (BYBYM) 1 24.66 (-0.41)         Forty Thieves (40THV) 2 1.45 (+0.01)         Puss In Boots 2 (PUSS2) 90000 5.41 (-0.01)         Underworld: Blood Wars (UNDW5) 1 27.16 (-0.12)         Split (SPLIT) 100000 86.86 (+0.05)         Flying Tigers - Lion Rock (FTIGR) 2 0.47 (-0.02)         Hidden Figures (HIDNF) 1 86.59 (+0.01)         Project XX (PROJ2) 90000 1.33 (+0.05)         Split (SPLIT) 100000 86.86 (+0.05)         Flying Horse (FHORS) 2 0.72 (-0.03)         The Founder (FONDR) 100000 10.07 (+1.31)         The Founder (FONDR) 100000 10.07 (+1.31)         The Uglydolls (UGLYD) 50000 40.80 (+0.80)         A Monster Calls (AMCAL) 1 4.28 (-0.05)         Flash Gordon (FLSHG) 2 1.72 (-0.04)         The Founder (FONDR) 100000 10.07 (+1.31)         The Chronicles of Riddick: Furia (RIDC3) 90000 10.54 (-0.02)         The Uglydolls (UGLYD) 100000 40.80 (+0.80)         The Founder (FONDR) 100000 10.07 (+1.31)         Flag Day (FLAGD) 2 1.92 (-0.01)         Damsel (DAMSL) 100000 5.64 (+1.87)         The Founder (FONDR) 100000 10.07 (+1.31)         Batkid (BATKD) 1 1.96 (+0.03)         Ant-Man and the Wasp (ANTM2) 100000 137.35 (+1.65)         Captive State (CAPST) 100000 23.17 (+2.26)         Five Nights at Freddy's (5NAFD) 2 7.23 (-0.08)         Ant-Man and the Wasp (ANTM2) 100000 137.35 (+1.65)         Prison Love aka Untitled Larry (PRSLV) 90000 3.84 (-0.05)         Resident Evil: The Final Chapter (RESE6) 300 33.69 (-0.29)         Five Against a Bullet (5ABLT) 2 12.95 (+0.10)         Big Trouble in Little China (BTILC) 200 50.10 (-0.26)         First They Killed My Father (FTKMF) 4 0.71 (-0.01)         N7: Sully - Adapted (N7ESUL) 20000 3.63 (-0.02)         Doctor Strange 2 (DRST2) 100000 153.99 (-0.30)         N7: Sully - Adapted (N7ESUL) 20000 3.63 (-0.02)         First Man (FIRSM) 2 30.63 (0.00)         Rememory (REMEM) 15000 6.88 (+1.48)         Daisy Ridley (DRIDL) 20000 92.88 (+0.21)         Slenderman (SLNDR) 100000 27.55 (-1.49)         Fire and Ice (FRICE) 2 0.88 (-0.01)         The Uglydolls (UGLYD) 5000 40.80 (+0.80)         N7: Nocturnal Animals - Adapted (N7ENOC) 19999 10.55 (+0.03)         Marjorie Prime (MARJP) 100000 4.85 (-0.11)         Fire (FIRE) 2 0.46 (-0.01)