ANNOUNCEMENT: Sign-In with Facebook is currently unavailable. Please use your HSX username to login. Sorry about the inconvenience.

HSX Forums: Movies Board






The % difference for Avengers was lower though

Posted by: xiayun on Jul 02, 15:18 in response to BionicMoron, EAP leader's post If the "RS/MTC more than a coincidence thingy"...

but this year we have seen numerous instances where the actual ended up falling in between MTC and RS when the two differed by quite a bit, so the "rule" may need a modification eventually. :)

 

mtc 3 day only numbers 8 katy perry 52 spid4 {nm}   notfabio on Jul 02, 14:13

Thats a huge drop from RS for Spiderman..... {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:15

huge "difference" :) {nm}   Antibody on Jul 02, 14:18

Ha! Yes. {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:19

If the "RS/MTC more than a coincidence thingy" is in effect, not good news for Spidy.   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 02, 14:20

I guess its how you look at it... It will still likely make over $200M no matter which one is correct {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:22

It does put $200m total into question; who would have thought Ted may end up outgrossing it? {nm}   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:06

I was just reading your analysis on the film... Do you still feel confident about your Tuesday-Thursday numbers? {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 15:10

Starting to feel my ratio of Tue-to-Thurs vs. OW may be too high, but you're right at mine original blog post had $55m OW   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:15

Hmmm... What do you think about a Transformers 1 comparison? July 3rd (Tuesday) open... $36M (including mids) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 15:24

I don't see the opening day coming close to that; more like around $25m {nm}   xiayun on Jul 02, 21:12

As always... Thx!!! :) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 21:18

The % difference for Avengers was lower though   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:18

Nothing for savages? {nm}   numbersix_99 on Jul 02, 14:26

Yikes. Still don't see it getting anywhere near $250 million. Might struggle to top $200m if MTC is closer (which I think they are) {nm}   ShawnMR on Jul 02, 14:27

So if I understand the rule correctly, SPID4 should have a <$50m 3 day? {nm}   baronblacksheep on Jul 02, 14:29

Its not exactly a "rule" and it has been wrong before... It has shown to be a decent barometer though. As always, "Caveat Emptor" :) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:31

If the opening weekend obeys the rule. (It might not - and it did not for AVNGR). SPID4 is also an unusual case, opening on a Tuesday.   Roger More on Jul 02, 14:51

It would appear a Tuesday opening could hurt HSX prospects. That's three days of a hot property without the benefit of a multiplier {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:58

All just my opinion, by the way {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:59

It's a definite possibility. It's also what I thought when TFORM opened. I was wrong. (I hate July 4 openers) {nm}   Roger More on Jul 02, 15:16

12 for savages {nm}   notfabio on Jul 02, 14:30

Tagging MTC: [SPID4] 52 [KP3D] 8 [SAVAG] 12 (all 3-day only) {nm}   accountant_4_Jesus on Jul 03, 07:55





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
Trainspotting 2 (TSPO2) 100000 1.64 (-0.38)         The Ring 3D (RING3) 25000 6.21 (+0.01)         Ant-Man (ANTMN) 1300 144.56 (+0.06)         After the Fall (ATFAL) 100000 1.50 (+0.19)         The Snowden Files (SNWDN) 1 18.75 (+0.87)         The Snowden Files (SNWDN) 100000 18.75 (+0.87)         Tom Shadyac (TSHAD) 20000 75.43 (+0.20)         The Maze Runner: Scorch Trials (MAZE2) 100000 51.98 (-0.13)         Steve Jobs (SJOBS) 1 28.68 (+1.17)         Suicide Squad (SUICD) 1 116.22 (+1.27)         Steve Jobs (SJOBS) 100000 28.68 (+1.17)         Insidious: Chapter 3 (NSID3) 25000 38.12 (-0.01)         Citizenfour (CTZNF) 1 1.33 (-0.97)         Citizenfour (CTZNF) 100000 1.33 (-0.97)         The Equalizer 2 (EQLZ2) 100000 48.36 (+0.98)         The Hobbit: The Battle of the Fi (HOBT3) 36 235.62 (-0.16)         The Equalizer 2 (EQLZ2) 25000 48.36 (+0.98)         Steve Jobs (SJOBS) 100000 28.68 (+1.17)         Yucatan (YUCAT) 100000 21.78 (+1.39)         Flock of Dudes (FDUDE) 94500 3.37 (-0.03)         The Italian Job 2 aka The Brazil (ITJO2) 8 5.60 (0.00)         The Italian Job 2 aka The Brazil (ITJO2) 992 5.60 (0.00)         The Reach (REACH) 100000 2.17 (-0.04)         The LEGO Movie 2 (LEGO2) 100000 135.70 (+0.25)         Believe Me (BLVME) 100000 0.63 (+0.01)         Highwaymen (HWMEN) 10000 10.75 (+0.01)         Trainspotting 2 (TSPO2) 100000 1.64 (-0.38)         Before We Go (130TR) 25000 1.11 (+0.02)         Trainspotting 2 (TSPO2) 100000 1.64 (-0.38)         Bastille Day (BSTLD) 21 16.95 (0.00)         Steve Jobs (SJOBS) 100000 28.68 (+1.17)         Highwaymen (HWMEN) 25000 10.75 (+0.01)         Shawn Levy (SLEVY) 13000 89.64 (-0.33)         Patrick Wilson (PWILS) 13000 60.48 (+0.08)         The Pyramid (PYRMD) 100000 19.12 (-0.05)         Chris O'Dowd (CODOW) 13000 59.65 (-0.08)         Adam Strange (ADAMS) 100000 0.49 (-0.02)         The Purge 3 (PURG3) 100000 30.29 (-1.50)         Birdman (BIRDM) 100000 22.80 (-1.59)         Suicide Squad (SUICD) 95232 116.22 (+1.27)         Blade Runner 2 (BLAD2) 50000 18.28 (+0.48)         The Snowden Files (SNWDN) 100000 18.75 (+0.87)         Steve Jobs (SJOBS) 100000 28.68 (+1.17)         After the Fall (ATFAL) 100000 1.50 (+0.19)         Suicide Squad (SUICD) 100000 116.22 (+1.27)         The Crow (TCROW) 100000 10.21 (+1.49)         The Equalizer 2 (EQLZ2) 25000 48.36 (+0.98)         Suicide Squad (SUICD) 96441 116.22 (+1.27)         Adam McKay (AMCKA) 19998 93.18 (+0.19)         Citizenfour (CTZNF) 100000 1.33 (-0.97)