ANNOUNCEMENT: Blockbuster Warrants let you profit from the long-term box office success of the biggest movies.

HSX Forums: Movies Board






The % difference for Avengers was lower though

Posted by: xiayun on Jul 02, 15:18 in response to BionicMoron, EAP leader's post If the "RS/MTC more than a coincidence thingy"...

but this year we have seen numerous instances where the actual ended up falling in between MTC and RS when the two differed by quite a bit, so the "rule" may need a modification eventually. :)

 

mtc 3 day only numbers 8 katy perry 52 spid4 {nm}   notfabio on Jul 02, 14:13

Thats a huge drop from RS for Spiderman..... {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:15

huge "difference" :) {nm}   Antibody on Jul 02, 14:18

Ha! Yes. {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:19

If the "RS/MTC more than a coincidence thingy" is in effect, not good news for Spidy.   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 02, 14:20

I guess its how you look at it... It will still likely make over $200M no matter which one is correct {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:22

It does put $200m total into question; who would have thought Ted may end up outgrossing it? {nm}   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:06

I was just reading your analysis on the film... Do you still feel confident about your Tuesday-Thursday numbers? {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 15:10

Starting to feel my ratio of Tue-to-Thurs vs. OW may be too high, but you're right at mine original blog post had $55m OW   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:15

Hmmm... What do you think about a Transformers 1 comparison? July 3rd (Tuesday) open... $36M (including mids) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 15:24

I don't see the opening day coming close to that; more like around $25m {nm}   xiayun on Jul 02, 21:12

As always... Thx!!! :) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 21:18

The % difference for Avengers was lower though   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:18

Nothing for savages? {nm}   numbersix_99 on Jul 02, 14:26

Yikes. Still don't see it getting anywhere near $250 million. Might struggle to top $200m if MTC is closer (which I think they are) {nm}   ShawnMR on Jul 02, 14:27

So if I understand the rule correctly, SPID4 should have a <$50m 3 day? {nm}   baronblacksheep on Jul 02, 14:29

Its not exactly a "rule" and it has been wrong before... It has shown to be a decent barometer though. As always, "Caveat Emptor" :) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:31

If the opening weekend obeys the rule. (It might not - and it did not for AVNGR). SPID4 is also an unusual case, opening on a Tuesday.   Roger More on Jul 02, 14:51

It would appear a Tuesday opening could hurt HSX prospects. That's three days of a hot property without the benefit of a multiplier {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:58

All just my opinion, by the way {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:59

It's a definite possibility. It's also what I thought when TFORM opened. I was wrong. (I hate July 4 openers) {nm}   Roger More on Jul 02, 15:16

12 for savages {nm}   notfabio on Jul 02, 14:30

Tagging MTC: [SPID4] 52 [KP3D] 8 [SAVAG] 12 (all 3-day only) {nm}   accountant_4_Jesus on Jul 03, 07:55





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
Happy Christmas (HPYCH) 1 0.23 (+0.07)         Dark Universe aka Justice League (DARKU) 1500 30.67 (-0.10)         Carol (CARO) 99999 1.21 (+0.04)         The Green Prince (GRNPR) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         Assassin's Creed (ASCRD) 1500 37.12 (-0.25)         Hercules (HERCL) 1 67.74 (+7.64)         Child 44 (CHI44) 100000 16.89 (+0.10)         Hercules (HERCL) 1 67.74 (+7.64)         Shazam! (SHAZM) 10000 30.53 (+1.39)         Assassin's Creed (ASCRD) 100000 37.12 (-0.25)         Straight Outta Compton (SOCMP) 10000 31.23 (+0.04)         Goosebumps (GBUMP) 10000 35.10 (-0.06)         Tron: Voyage (TRON3) 100000 33.84 (+2.44)         I Origins (IORGN) 100000 0.71 (+0.06)         Mad Max: Fury Road (MMAX4) 33454 83.23 (+0.22)         Sandman (SANDM) 50000 37.24 (-4.85)         Serena (SERNA) 100000 6.24 (0.00)         World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 1000 68.39 (-0.14)         Sherlock Holmes 3 (HOLM3) 2000 37.15 (-1.05)         Hot Tub Time Machine 2 (HTUB2) 100000 33.58 (-1.25)         Tron: Voyage (TRON3) 100000 33.84 (+2.44)         Money Monster (MONYM) 100000 22.44 (+2.86)         Cars 3 (CARS3) 99999 118.17 (-2.81)         The Piano Tuner (PTUNE) 75000 1.77 (-0.03)         Money Monster (MONYM) 100000 22.44 (+2.86)         You Belong To Me (YBTME) 75000 6.00 (-0.04)         Ice Age 5 (ICEA5) 1500 74.94 (-0.57)         Before I Go To Sleep (BIGTS) 75000 7.92 (-0.05)         Paradise Lost (PRDSL) 100000 3.29 (+0.85)         Six Billion Dollar Man (6MILL) 75000 3.58 (-0.25)         The Green Prince (GRNPR) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         The Martian (MARTN) 100000 37.43 (-0.57)         Mute (MUTE) 75000 0.80 (-0.04)         Lucy (LUCY) 12500 94.06 (-0.59)         Wargames (WARGM) 100000 31.91 (-0.85)         Eye in the Sky (EYSKY) 15000 12.00 (0.00)         Timeless (TMLES) 100000 5.47 (+1.91)         Hot Tub Time Machine 2 (HTUB2) 100000 33.58 (-1.25)         The Flash (FLASH) 3000 16.47 (-0.02)         Lucy (LUCY) 50000 94.06 (-0.59)         Hercules (HERCL) 100000 67.74 (+7.64)         Hercules (HERCL) 1 67.74 (+7.64)         Inherent Vice (INHVC) 99999 14.93 (0.00)         Rounders 2 (RNDR2) 1000 17.15 (-0.04)         Enchanted 2 (ENCH2) 75000 14.28 (-0.21)         Baby Driver (BDRIV) 75000 6.19 (-0.47)         Hercules (HERCL) 50000 67.74 (+7.64)         Wargames (WARGM) 3000 31.91 (-0.85)         The Ring 3D (RING3) 75000 3.40 (-0.39)         Money Monster (MONYM) 100000 22.44 (+2.86)