Market Announcement: We are working to restore 'Sign In with Facebook'. Please login using your HSX Username.

HSX Forums: Movies Board






The % difference for Avengers was lower though

Posted by: xiayun on Jul 02, 15:18 in response to BionicMoron, EAP leader's post If the "RS/MTC more than a coincidence thingy"...

but this year we have seen numerous instances where the actual ended up falling in between MTC and RS when the two differed by quite a bit, so the "rule" may need a modification eventually. :)

 

mtc 3 day only numbers 8 katy perry 52 spid4 {nm}   notfabio on Jul 02, 14:13

Thats a huge drop from RS for Spiderman..... {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:15

huge "difference" :) {nm}   Antibody on Jul 02, 14:18

Ha! Yes. {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:19

If the "RS/MTC more than a coincidence thingy" is in effect, not good news for Spidy.   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 02, 14:20

I guess its how you look at it... It will still likely make over $200M no matter which one is correct {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:22

It does put $200m total into question; who would have thought Ted may end up outgrossing it? {nm}   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:06

I was just reading your analysis on the film... Do you still feel confident about your Tuesday-Thursday numbers? {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 15:10

Starting to feel my ratio of Tue-to-Thurs vs. OW may be too high, but you're right at mine original blog post had $55m OW   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:15

Hmmm... What do you think about a Transformers 1 comparison? July 3rd (Tuesday) open... $36M (including mids) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 15:24

I don't see the opening day coming close to that; more like around $25m {nm}   xiayun on Jul 02, 21:12

As always... Thx!!! :) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 21:18

The % difference for Avengers was lower though   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:18

Nothing for savages? {nm}   numbersix_99 on Jul 02, 14:26

Yikes. Still don't see it getting anywhere near $250 million. Might struggle to top $200m if MTC is closer (which I think they are) {nm}   ShawnMR on Jul 02, 14:27

So if I understand the rule correctly, SPID4 should have a <$50m 3 day? {nm}   baronblacksheep on Jul 02, 14:29

Its not exactly a "rule" and it has been wrong before... It has shown to be a decent barometer though. As always, "Caveat Emptor" :) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:31

If the opening weekend obeys the rule. (It might not - and it did not for AVNGR). SPID4 is also an unusual case, opening on a Tuesday.   Roger More on Jul 02, 14:51

It would appear a Tuesday opening could hurt HSX prospects. That's three days of a hot property without the benefit of a multiplier {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:58

All just my opinion, by the way {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:59

It's a definite possibility. It's also what I thought when TFORM opened. I was wrong. (I hate July 4 openers) {nm}   Roger More on Jul 02, 15:16

12 for savages {nm}   notfabio on Jul 02, 14:30

Tagging MTC: [SPID4] 52 [KP3D] 8 [SAVAG] 12 (all 3-day only) {nm}   accountant_4_Jesus on Jul 03, 07:55





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Sleight (SLEIG) 100000 6.00 (-1.36)         Tomb Raider (TOMB3) 100000 68.03 (+0.08)         James Franco (JAFRA) 20000 39.00 (-0.32)         Rupture (RUPTR) 150 0.72 (0.00)         Glass aka Unbreakable 2 aka Spli (GLASS) 1 81.99 (+7.23)         Aquaman (AQUMN) 100000 146.68 (+0.14)         Top Gun 2 (TOPG2) 99000 15.70 (+0.97)         Spider-Man: Homecoming (SPID6) 56 243.68 (-0.62)         Lowriders - Opening Weekend (LOWRD.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)         Glass aka Unbreakable 2 aka Spli (GLASS) 45715 81.99 (+7.23)         Born in China (BCHNA) 10000 15.90 (-0.04)         James Franco (JAFRA) 20000 39.00 (-0.32)         James Franco (JAFRA) 20000 39.00 (-0.32)         What Happened to Monday? (WHMON) 100000 1.22 (-0.38)         Ralph Breaks the Internet: Wreck (RALP2) 100000 146.46 (+0.37)         Leap! (LEAP) 100000 8.91 (-0.06)         The Devil in the White City (DITWC) 90000 30.32 (+4.46)         Frozen 2 (FROZ2) 30000 161.89 (+2.53)         The Circle (CIRCL) 100000 38.25 (-1.43)         Leap! (LEAP) 50000 8.91 (-0.06)         Ant-Man and the Wasp (ANTM2) 100000 138.84 (+0.63)         King Arthur: Legend of the Sword (KARTH.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Isle of Dogs (ISLDG) 100000 28.92 (+0.54)         Glass aka Unbreakable 2 aka Spli (GLASS) 99999 81.99 (+7.23)         King Arthur: Legend of the Sword (KARTH.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)         Isle of Dogs (ISLDG) 100000 28.92 (+0.54)         How to be a Latin Lover - Openin (HTBLL.OW) 100000 5.56 (-0.33)         King Arthur: Legend of the Sword (KARTH.PU) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Mulan (MULN) 3710 159.03 (-0.35)         Edge of Tomorrow 2 (EDGT2) 100000 30.65 (-0.19)         Edge of Tomorrow 2 (EDGT2) 100000 30.65 (-0.19)         King Arthur: Legend of the Sword (KARTH.PU) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Die Hard: Year One (DIEH6) 100000 15.23 (-0.25)         Die Hard: Year One (DIEH6) 100000 15.23 (-0.25)         An Inconvenient Sequel (INCV2) 17663 19.19 (+0.19)         Dambusters (DAMBS) 100000 0.71 (-0.03)         An Inconvenient Sequel (INCV2) 67396 19.19 (+0.19)         The House That Jack Built (THTJB) 100000 2.50 (+0.87)         King Arthur: Legend of the Sword (KARTH.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Avengers: Infinity War (AVNG3) 100000 442.76 (-0.03)         Disney Studio Fund (DISNX) 10000 59.09 (+0.59)         Ant-Man and the Wasp (ANTM2) 1000 138.84 (+0.63)         Death Note (DNOTE) 100000 0.19 (+0.04)         Ant-Man and the Wasp (ANTM2) 1000 138.84 (+0.63)         Clifford the Big Red Dog (CTBRD) 100000 1.92 (-0.10)         Clifford the Big Red Dog (CTBRD) 100000 1.92 (-0.10)         Star Wars: Episode IX (STAR9) 2000 603.18 (+2.65)         Creed 2 (CREE2) 100000 18.16 (-0.03)         What Happened to Monday? (WHMON) 100000 1.22 (-0.38)         Creed 2 (CREE2) 100000 18.16 (-0.03)