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The % difference for Avengers was lower though
but this year we have seen numerous instances where the actual ended up falling in between MTC and RS when the two differed by quite a bit, so the "rule" may need a modification eventually. :)
mtc 3 day only numbers 8 katy perry 52 spid4 {nm} on Jul 02, 14:13
Thats a huge drop from RS for Spiderman..... {nm} on Jul 02, 14:15
huge "difference" :) {nm} on Jul 02, 14:18
Ha! Yes. {nm} on Jul 02, 14:19
If the "RS/MTC more than a coincidence thingy" is in effect, not good news for Spidy. on Jul 02, 14:20
I guess its how you look at it... It will still likely make over $200M no matter which one is correct {nm} on Jul 02, 14:22
It does put $200m total into question; who would have thought Ted may end up outgrossing it? {nm} on Jul 02, 15:06
I was just reading your analysis on the film... Do you still feel confident about your Tuesday-Thursday numbers? {nm} on Jul 02, 15:10
Starting to feel my ratio of Tue-to-Thurs vs. OW may be too high, but you're right at mine original blog post had $55m OW on Jul 02, 15:15
Hmmm... What do you think about a Transformers 1 comparison? July 3rd (Tuesday) open... $36M (including mids) {nm} on Jul 02, 15:24
I don't see the opening day coming close to that; more like around $25m {nm} on Jul 02, 21:12
As always... Thx!!! :) {nm} on Jul 02, 21:18
The % difference for Avengers was lower though on Jul 02, 15:18
Nothing for savages? {nm} on Jul 02, 14:26
Yikes. Still don't see it getting anywhere near $250 million. Might struggle to top $200m if MTC is closer (which I think they are) {nm} on Jul 02, 14:27
So if I understand the rule correctly, SPID4 should have a <$50m 3 day? {nm} on Jul 02, 14:29
Its not exactly a "rule" and it has been wrong before... It has shown to be a decent barometer though. As always, "Caveat Emptor" :) {nm} on Jul 02, 14:31
If the opening weekend obeys the rule. (It might not - and it did not for AVNGR). SPID4 is also an unusual case, opening on a Tuesday. on Jul 02, 14:51
It would appear a Tuesday opening could hurt HSX prospects. That's three days of a hot property without the benefit of a multiplier {nm} on Jul 02, 14:58
All just my opinion, by the way {nm} on Jul 02, 14:59
It's a definite possibility. It's also what I thought when TFORM opened. I was wrong. (I hate July 4 openers) {nm} on Jul 02, 15:16
12 for savages {nm} on Jul 02, 14:30
Tagging MTC: [SPID4] 52 [KP3D] 8 [SAVAG] 12 (all 3-day only) {nm} on Jul 03, 07:55
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