HSX Forums: Movies Board






The % difference for Avengers was lower though

Posted by: xiayun on Jul 02, 15:18 in response to BionicMoron, EAP leader's post If the "RS/MTC more than a coincidence thingy"...

but this year we have seen numerous instances where the actual ended up falling in between MTC and RS when the two differed by quite a bit, so the "rule" may need a modification eventually. :)

 

mtc 3 day only numbers 8 katy perry 52 spid4 {nm}   notfabio on Jul 02, 14:13

Thats a huge drop from RS for Spiderman..... {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:15

huge "difference" :) {nm}   Antibody on Jul 02, 14:18

Ha! Yes. {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:19

If the "RS/MTC more than a coincidence thingy" is in effect, not good news for Spidy.   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 02, 14:20

I guess its how you look at it... It will still likely make over $200M no matter which one is correct {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:22

It does put $200m total into question; who would have thought Ted may end up outgrossing it? {nm}   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:06

I was just reading your analysis on the film... Do you still feel confident about your Tuesday-Thursday numbers? {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 15:10

Starting to feel my ratio of Tue-to-Thurs vs. OW may be too high, but you're right at mine original blog post had $55m OW   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:15

Hmmm... What do you think about a Transformers 1 comparison? July 3rd (Tuesday) open... $36M (including mids) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 15:24

I don't see the opening day coming close to that; more like around $25m {nm}   xiayun on Jul 02, 21:12

As always... Thx!!! :) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 21:18

The % difference for Avengers was lower though   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:18

Nothing for savages? {nm}   numbersix_99 on Jul 02, 14:26

Yikes. Still don't see it getting anywhere near $250 million. Might struggle to top $200m if MTC is closer (which I think they are) {nm}   ShawnMR on Jul 02, 14:27

So if I understand the rule correctly, SPID4 should have a <$50m 3 day? {nm}   baronblacksheep on Jul 02, 14:29

Its not exactly a "rule" and it has been wrong before... It has shown to be a decent barometer though. As always, "Caveat Emptor" :) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:31

If the opening weekend obeys the rule. (It might not - and it did not for AVNGR). SPID4 is also an unusual case, opening on a Tuesday.   Roger More on Jul 02, 14:51

It would appear a Tuesday opening could hurt HSX prospects. That's three days of a hot property without the benefit of a multiplier {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:58

All just my opinion, by the way {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:59

It's a definite possibility. It's also what I thought when TFORM opened. I was wrong. (I hate July 4 openers) {nm}   Roger More on Jul 02, 15:16

12 for savages {nm}   notfabio on Jul 02, 14:30

Tagging MTC: [SPID4] 52 [KP3D] 8 [SAVAG] 12 (all 3-day only) {nm}   accountant_4_Jesus on Jul 03, 07:55





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
Untitled Darren Aronofsky (UDARO) 1 26.31 (-1.37)         Despicable Me 3 (DESM3) 99999 184.23 (+0.01)         Lupita Nyong'o (LNYON) 20000 122.92 (+0.28)         Planetarium (PLNTM) 1 1.55 (0.00)         Inhumans (INHUM) 1 47.42 (0.00)         Hail, Caesar! (HAILC) 1 26.83 (+0.69)         Pride and Prejudice and Zombies (PRDPZ) 100000 12.97 (+0.40)         Cate Blanchett (CBLAN) 20000 128.63 (0.00)         Zoolander No. 2 H$30 Call Fri-Mo (ZOOL2.CA) 1000 1.93 (0.00)         Gael Garcia Bernal (GGBER) 20000 2.78 (-0.03)         The Light Between Oceans (TLBOC) 1 11.24 (-0.40)         Mike & Dave Need Wedding Dates (MDNWD) 100000 30.44 (+1.29)         Submergence (SUBMG) 50000 9.36 (-0.01)         Popeye (POPEY) 100000 23.43 (+0.46)         Zoolander No. 2 (ZOOL2) 10001 60.65 (+0.90)         Untitled Darren Aronofsky (UDARO) 50000 26.31 (-1.37)         Untitled Darren Aronofsky (UDARO) 100000 26.31 (-1.37)         Cate Blanchett (CBLAN) 20000 128.63 (0.00)         Hail, Caesar! (HAILC) 100000 26.83 (+0.69)         Die Hard: Year One (DIEH6) 100000 35.09 (+0.85)         Skiptrace (SKPTR) 100000 4.26 (-0.04)         Aquaman (AQUMN) 100000 86.76 (+0.20)         Popeye (POPEY) 100000 23.43 (+0.46)         Zoolander No. 2 - Opening Weeken (ZOOL2.OW) 100 27.19 (-0.34)         The Invisible Man (INVSB) 100000 11.18 (-1.10)         Pride and Prejudice and Zombies (PRDPZ) 100000 12.97 (+0.40)         Amusement Park (AMUSM) 100000 41.35 (-0.12)         Sleepless Night (SLPLS) 100000 12.80 (+0.79)         Die Hard: Year One (DIEH6) 99999 35.09 (+0.85)         Hail, Caesar! (HAILC) 100000 26.83 (+0.69)         Hail, Caesar! (HAILC) 100000 26.83 (+0.69)         Universal Studio Fund (UNIVX) 25 43.25 (-0.10)         Hunter Killer (HNTKL) 25000 11.98 (-0.06)         Hunter Killer (HNTKL) 100000 11.98 (-0.06)         Sleepless Night (SLPLS) 1320 12.80 (+0.79)         Die Hard: Year One (DIEH6) 100000 35.09 (+0.85)         Sleepless Night (SLPLS) 100000 12.80 (+0.79)         Sleepless Night (SLPLS) 100000 12.80 (+0.79)         The Remake Fund (DJAVU) 22 40.46 (-0.22)         The Light Between Oceans (TLBOC) 100000 11.24 (-0.40)         The Light Between Oceans (TLBOC) 100000 11.24 (-0.40)         The Invisible Man (INVSB) 100000 11.18 (-1.10)         Mike & Dave Need Wedding Dates (MDNWD) 50000 30.44 (+1.29)         The Odyssey (ODYSY) 100000 26.28 (+0.79)         Dheepan (DHEEP) 100000 1.83 (+0.20)         The Invisible Man (INVSB) 99900 11.18 (-1.10)         The Death and Life of John F. Do (DLJFD) 100000 8.77 (-0.40)         The Death and Life of John F. Do (DLJFD) 100000 8.77 (-0.40)         The Flash (FLASH) 5000 43.84 (0.00)         Just Mercy (JMRCY) 24999 7.25 (+0.32)