ANNOUNCEMENT: Sign-In with Facebook is currently unavailable. Please use your HSX username to login. Sorry about the inconvenience.

HSX Forums: Movies Board






The % difference for Avengers was lower though

Posted by: xiayun on Jul 02, 15:18 in response to BionicMoron, EAP leader's post If the "RS/MTC more than a coincidence thingy"...

but this year we have seen numerous instances where the actual ended up falling in between MTC and RS when the two differed by quite a bit, so the "rule" may need a modification eventually. :)

 

mtc 3 day only numbers 8 katy perry 52 spid4 {nm}   notfabio on Jul 02, 14:13

Thats a huge drop from RS for Spiderman..... {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:15

huge "difference" :) {nm}   Antibody on Jul 02, 14:18

Ha! Yes. {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:19

If the "RS/MTC more than a coincidence thingy" is in effect, not good news for Spidy.   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 02, 14:20

I guess its how you look at it... It will still likely make over $200M no matter which one is correct {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:22

It does put $200m total into question; who would have thought Ted may end up outgrossing it? {nm}   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:06

I was just reading your analysis on the film... Do you still feel confident about your Tuesday-Thursday numbers? {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 15:10

Starting to feel my ratio of Tue-to-Thurs vs. OW may be too high, but you're right at mine original blog post had $55m OW   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:15

Hmmm... What do you think about a Transformers 1 comparison? July 3rd (Tuesday) open... $36M (including mids) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 15:24

I don't see the opening day coming close to that; more like around $25m {nm}   xiayun on Jul 02, 21:12

As always... Thx!!! :) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 21:18

The % difference for Avengers was lower though   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:18

Nothing for savages? {nm}   numbersix_99 on Jul 02, 14:26

Yikes. Still don't see it getting anywhere near $250 million. Might struggle to top $200m if MTC is closer (which I think they are) {nm}   ShawnMR on Jul 02, 14:27

So if I understand the rule correctly, SPID4 should have a <$50m 3 day? {nm}   baronblacksheep on Jul 02, 14:29

Its not exactly a "rule" and it has been wrong before... It has shown to be a decent barometer though. As always, "Caveat Emptor" :) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:31

If the opening weekend obeys the rule. (It might not - and it did not for AVNGR). SPID4 is also an unusual case, opening on a Tuesday.   Roger More on Jul 02, 14:51

It would appear a Tuesday opening could hurt HSX prospects. That's three days of a hot property without the benefit of a multiplier {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:58

All just my opinion, by the way {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:59

It's a definite possibility. It's also what I thought when TFORM opened. I was wrong. (I hate July 4 openers) {nm}   Roger More on Jul 02, 15:16

12 for savages {nm}   notfabio on Jul 02, 14:30

Tagging MTC: [SPID4] 52 [KP3D] 8 [SAVAG] 12 (all 3-day only) {nm}   accountant_4_Jesus on Jul 03, 07:55





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
Ruth & Alex (RALEX) 47000 9.24 (+1.24)         Maggie (MAGIE) 100000 16.87 (+1.95)         The Finest Hours (FINHR) 51000 19.38 (-0.59)         Keith Richards Documentary (KEITH) 100000 0.02 (+0.01)         Keeper of the Pinstripes (KPINS) 100000 0.02 (-0.04)         Bad Boys III (BADB3) 55000 38.88 (-0.25)         Ashley Greene (AGREE) 3 101.37 (+0.44)         Untitled Lee Unkrich Film aka Di (DDLM) 44627 42.77 (+0.06)         Stanford Prison Experiment (SPEXP) 50000 3.91 (-0.56)         Stanford Prison Experiment (SPEXP) 50000 3.91 (-0.56)         King Arthur (KARTH) 99999 61.36 (+1.85)         The Disappointments Room (DSPRM) 100000 12.01 (+0.45)         Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles $16 (TMNT1.BW) 20000 5.00 (0.00)         Stanford Prison Experiment (SPEXP) 50000 3.91 (-0.56)         The Disappointments Room (DSPRM) 55000 12.01 (+0.45)         Guardians of the Galaxy $240M Bl (GOTGX.BW) 6000 20.01 (+0.55)         Stanford Prison Experiment (SPEXP) 50000 3.91 (-0.56)         Birdman (BIRDM) 100000 20.33 (-1.57)         The Rewrite aka Untitled Marc La (REWRT) 100000 7.45 (+5.01)         King Arthur (KARTH) 13577 61.36 (+1.85)         Kumiko The Treasure Hunter (KUMKO) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         The Rewrite aka Untitled Marc La (REWRT) 99999 7.45 (+5.01)         Criminal (CRIMN) 100000 20.00 (0.00)         The Humbling (HUMBL) 100000 1.31 (+1.13)         The Humbling (HUMBL) 99999 1.31 (+1.13)         Vacation (VACTN) 99997 32.57 (+4.87)         A Bigger Splash (ABIGS) 50000 6.72 (-0.06)         Leviathan (LEVIA) 70000 1.81 (-0.09)         The Huntsman (SWHT2) 267 51.83 (+0.14)         Vacation (VACTN) 99996 32.57 (+4.87)         G.I. JOE 3 (GIJO3) 45000 32.89 (-1.05)         Criminal (CRIMN) 50000 20.00 (0.00)         The Sports Fund (SPORT) 10000 18.97 (-0.06)         The Sports Fund (SPORT) 10000 18.97 (-0.06)         Pete's Dragon (PDRGN) 99997 34.40 (-1.23)         Sinister 2 (SINI2) 50000 29.16 (0.00)         Stanford Prison Experiment (SPEXP) 99997 3.91 (-0.56)         We Are Your Friends (WAYFR) 99997 30.33 (-0.58)         Criminal (CRIMN) 1500 20.00 (0.00)         El Presidente (ELPRS) 99997 18.33 (-1.95)         The Woman In Black: Angel of Dea (WMBL2) 30000 7.03 (+0.03)         You're Not You (YURNU) 100000 1.68 (+0.42)         Jungle Book: Origins (JNGBO) 25000 58.80 (+1.10)         The Last Witch Hunter (TLWH) 25000 26.74 (+0.38)         Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles $16 (TMNT1.BW) 20000 5.00 (0.00)         Meadowland (MDWLN) 99997 6.00 (0.00)         Kumiko The Treasure Hunter (KUMKO) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         Meadowland (MDWLN) 100000 6.00 (0.00)         Rosewater (ROSWT) 2 3.48 (+2.35)         Criminal (CRIMN) 99997 20.00 (0.00)