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As always... Thx!!! :) {nm}

Posted by: dioneta on Jul 02, 21:18 in response to xiayun's post I don't see the opening day coming close to that; more...

mtc 3 day only numbers 8 katy perry 52 spid4 {nm}   notfabio on Jul 02, 14:13

Thats a huge drop from RS for Spiderman..... {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:15

huge "difference" :) {nm}   Antibody on Jul 02, 14:18

Ha! Yes. {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:19

If the "RS/MTC more than a coincidence thingy" is in effect, not good news for Spidy.   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 02, 14:20

I guess its how you look at it... It will still likely make over $200M no matter which one is correct {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:22

It does put $200m total into question; who would have thought Ted may end up outgrossing it? {nm}   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:06

I was just reading your analysis on the film... Do you still feel confident about your Tuesday-Thursday numbers? {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 15:10

Starting to feel my ratio of Tue-to-Thurs vs. OW may be too high, but you're right at mine original blog post had $55m OW   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:15

Hmmm... What do you think about a Transformers 1 comparison? July 3rd (Tuesday) open... $36M (including mids) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 15:24

I don't see the opening day coming close to that; more like around $25m {nm}   xiayun on Jul 02, 21:12

As always... Thx!!! :) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 21:18

The % difference for Avengers was lower though   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:18

Nothing for savages? {nm}   numbersix_99 on Jul 02, 14:26

Yikes. Still don't see it getting anywhere near $250 million. Might struggle to top $200m if MTC is closer (which I think they are) {nm}   ShawnMR on Jul 02, 14:27

So if I understand the rule correctly, SPID4 should have a <$50m 3 day? {nm}   baronblacksheep on Jul 02, 14:29

Its not exactly a "rule" and it has been wrong before... It has shown to be a decent barometer though. As always, "Caveat Emptor" :) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:31

If the opening weekend obeys the rule. (It might not - and it did not for AVNGR). SPID4 is also an unusual case, opening on a Tuesday.   Roger More on Jul 02, 14:51

It would appear a Tuesday opening could hurt HSX prospects. That's three days of a hot property without the benefit of a multiplier {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:58

All just my opinion, by the way {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:59

It's a definite possibility. It's also what I thought when TFORM opened. I was wrong. (I hate July 4 openers) {nm}   Roger More on Jul 02, 15:16

12 for savages {nm}   notfabio on Jul 02, 14:30

Tagging MTC: [SPID4] 52 [KP3D] 8 [SAVAG] 12 (all 3-day only) {nm}   accountant_4_Jesus on Jul 03, 07:55





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NBC: Bad Judge (BJUDGE) 20000 11.40 (+0.06)         Top Five (FFMUS) 100000 18.90 (+0.01)         Top Five (FFMUS) 100000 18.90 (+0.01)         Hannibal the Conqueror (HANBL) 100000 0.10 (+0.01)         Fire and Ice (FRICE) 100000 3.68 (-1.45)         Fraggle Rock (FRGGL) 90000 0.08 (+0.03)         Beetlejuice 2 (BEET2) 100000 20.01 (+0.08)         Top Five (FFMUS) 100000 18.90 (+0.01)         Annie (ANNIE) 100000 46.98 (+2.97)         Annie (ANNIE) 100000 46.98 (+2.97)         Story of Your Life (SOYLF) 10 25.00 (0.00)         Horrible Bosses 2 (HBOS2) 5000 46.74 (-0.45)         Austin Powers 4 (AUST4) 4440 4.09 (+0.23)         Forty Thieves (40THV) 99999 35.43 (-3.87)         Experimenter (EXPRM) 10 5.00 (0.00)         Reach Me (RECHM) 100000 0.04 (-0.01)         Into the Woods - Opening Weekend (INTWD.OW) 5000 32.56 (+0.64)         Son of a Gun (SOGUN) 100000 0.05 (-0.09)         Story of Your Life (SOYLF) 100000 25.00 (0.00)         Ion (ION) 99999 0.02 (-0.01)         V/H/S: Viral (VHS3) 100000 0.04 (+0.02)         Cars 3 (CARS3) 50000 57.08 (0.00)         Into the Woods (INTWD) 2000 81.07 (+5.85)         N5: JC Chandor - A Most Violent (N5DJCC) 10000 3.86 (-0.02)         Ride (RIDE1) 44721 0.09 (-0.05)         Coming Home (CHOME) 109 0.04 (0.00)         N5: Wild - Best Picture (N5PWLD) 10000 7.99 (-0.08)         N5: Jessica Chastain - A Most V (N5SJCH) 10000 6.35 (0.00)         Goblins (GOBLN) 99334 2.22 (+0.07)         Transformers 5 (TFRM5) 10000 68.56 (-0.35)         Hemingway & Fuentes (HMNFN) 100000 0.08 (-0.03)         Madagascar 4 (MADG4) 25000 67.97 (-0.04)         Hemingway & Fuentes (HMNFN) 100000 0.08 (-0.03)         The Captive (QUNIT) 96398 0.02 (0.00)         Ion (ION) 99999 0.02 (-0.01)         Story of Your Life (SOYLF) 100000 25.00 (0.00)         Experimenter (EXPRM) 100000 5.00 (0.00)         Dragon Blade (DRBLD) 99993 5.45 (+1.32)         Suicide Squad (SUICD) 100000 156.13 (-0.89)         Unbroken (UBRKN) 29708 47.39 (+1.14)         Thor: Ragnorak (THOR3) 100000 145.91 (+0.61)         Two Days, One Night (2D1NT) 5000 0.42 (-0.06)         Annie (ANNIE) 100000 46.98 (+2.97)         Experimenter (EXPRM) 100000 5.00 (0.00)         What We Do in the Shadows (WWDTS) 100000 1.32 (-0.03)         Charlie Day (CDAY) 14825 148.95 (+0.78)         Day One aka To Write Love on Her (TWLHA) 94578 3.37 (-0.13)         The Blue Room (BLURM) 15000 0.23 (-0.02)         Sony Studio Fund (SONYX) 90 10.27 (0.00)         Song of the Sea (SOSEA) 100000 1.35 (-0.12)