Market Announcement: AwardOptions for the Oscar nominees are now trading.

HSX Forums: Movies Board






As always... Thx!!! :) {nm}

Posted by: dioneta on Jul 02, 21:18 in response to xiayun's post I don't see the opening day coming close to that; more...

mtc 3 day only numbers 8 katy perry 52 spid4 {nm}   notfabio on Jul 02, 14:13

Thats a huge drop from RS for Spiderman..... {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:15

huge "difference" :) {nm}   Antibody on Jul 02, 14:18

Ha! Yes. {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:19

If the "RS/MTC more than a coincidence thingy" is in effect, not good news for Spidy.   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 02, 14:20

I guess its how you look at it... It will still likely make over $200M no matter which one is correct {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:22

It does put $200m total into question; who would have thought Ted may end up outgrossing it? {nm}   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:06

I was just reading your analysis on the film... Do you still feel confident about your Tuesday-Thursday numbers? {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 15:10

Starting to feel my ratio of Tue-to-Thurs vs. OW may be too high, but you're right at mine original blog post had $55m OW   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:15

Hmmm... What do you think about a Transformers 1 comparison? July 3rd (Tuesday) open... $36M (including mids) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 15:24

I don't see the opening day coming close to that; more like around $25m {nm}   xiayun on Jul 02, 21:12

As always... Thx!!! :) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 21:18

The % difference for Avengers was lower though   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:18

Nothing for savages? {nm}   numbersix_99 on Jul 02, 14:26

Yikes. Still don't see it getting anywhere near $250 million. Might struggle to top $200m if MTC is closer (which I think they are) {nm}   ShawnMR on Jul 02, 14:27

So if I understand the rule correctly, SPID4 should have a <$50m 3 day? {nm}   baronblacksheep on Jul 02, 14:29

Its not exactly a "rule" and it has been wrong before... It has shown to be a decent barometer though. As always, "Caveat Emptor" :) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:31

If the opening weekend obeys the rule. (It might not - and it did not for AVNGR). SPID4 is also an unusual case, opening on a Tuesday.   Roger More on Jul 02, 14:51

It would appear a Tuesday opening could hurt HSX prospects. That's three days of a hot property without the benefit of a multiplier {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:58

All just my opinion, by the way {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:59

It's a definite possibility. It's also what I thought when TFORM opened. I was wrong. (I hate July 4 openers) {nm}   Roger More on Jul 02, 15:16

12 for savages {nm}   notfabio on Jul 02, 14:30

Tagging MTC: [SPID4] 52 [KP3D] 8 [SAVAG] 12 (all 3-day only) {nm}   accountant_4_Jesus on Jul 03, 07:55





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

The Case for Christ (TCFCH) 100000 13.64 (-0.15)         Kong: Skull Island - Opening Wee (SKULN.OW) 100000 50.30 (+0.30)         The Guardian Brothers (TGBRO) 100000 14.13 (+0.56)         Split $110M Blockbuster Warrant (SPLIT.BW) 20000 10.39 (+0.08)         Mary Magdalene (MMGDL) 100000 15.32 (+0.60)         Tag (TAG) 100000 25.91 (+1.10)         The Rats of NIMH (RNIMH) 1 38.79 (-1.79)         Kong: Skull Island H$50 Call (SKULN.CA) 20000 2.05 (+0.05)         Blaze (BLAZE) 100000 2.85 (+0.02)         Simon vs. The Homo Sapiens Agend (SVHSA) 1 24.58 (-0.26)         Logan H$60 Call (WOLV3.CA) 20000 4.15 (+0.01)         Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 1 8.49 (-0.65)         Josh Gad (JGAD) 20000 62.51 (+1.13)         Brain on Fire (BROFR) 1 3.58 (-0.78)         The House of Tomorrow (HOTMR) 100000 4.90 (+1.66)         Dumbo (DUMBO) 99000 52.67 (-0.26)         Galveston (GALVS) 100000 6.41 (+0.30)         Scarface (SCARF) 100000 33.89 (-0.06)         Atomic Blonde (CLDCT) 100000 10.54 (+0.19)         Kong: Skull Island H$50 Put (SKULN.PU) 20000 2.12 (+0.12)         Unbreakable 2 (UNBR2) 50000 84.41 (+3.55)         Wish List (WISHL) 100000 0.03 (-0.01)         Wish List (WISHL) 100000 0.03 (-0.01)         The Party (TPRTY) 100000 4.09 (+1.64)         Arctic Justice: Thunder Squad (AJTS) 100000 31.39 (+2.53)         First Man (FIRSM) 50000 30.08 (+0.16)         Tag (TAG) 100000 25.91 (+1.10)         The House of Tomorrow (HOTMR) 100000 4.90 (+1.66)         First Man (FIRSM) 50000 30.08 (+0.16)         The Shack (SHACK) 100000 25.21 (-1.13)         First Man (FIRSM) 100000 30.08 (+0.16)         The House of Tomorrow (HOTMR) 100000 4.90 (+1.66)         The Catcher Was A Spy (CWSPY) 99000 9.98 (0.00)         The House of Tomorrow (HOTMR) 100000 4.90 (+1.66)         Toy Story 4 (TOYS4) 24000 232.36 (-0.57)         The Party (TPRTY) 100000 4.09 (+1.64)         Van Helsing (VANHL) 100000 16.39 (+2.24)         Dune (DUNE) 25000 56.67 (+2.28)         Toby Kebbell (TKEBB) 20000 28.91 (+0.80)         The Bachelors (BACHL) 50000 0.96 (-0.02)         Arctic Justice: Thunder Squad (AJTS) 45000 31.39 (+2.53)         Toby Kebbell (TKEBB) 20000 28.91 (+0.80)         Josh Gad (JGAD) 20000 62.51 (+1.13)         Dune (DUNE) 15000 56.67 (+2.28)         Peter Sarsgaard (PSARS) 20000 33.71 (-0.63)         The Shack (SHACK) 100000 25.21 (-1.13)         In Dubious Battle (DUBTL) 100000 0.18 (+0.05)         The Irishman (IRISH) 100000 11.88 (+1.25)         Josh Gad (JGAD) 20000 62.51 (+1.13)         Josh Gad (JGAD) 20000 62.51 (+1.13)