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A good point.

Posted by: second gary (a.k.a 80181597) on Nov 25, 19:28 in response to GMov's post Remember, December openers tend to have lower OW's and...

But I have to believe HOBIT will challenge that ceiling, well, rout it, actually.  That said it will be good to be online that night, just in case, with an eye to the two sequels.

PGUID and LESMS trailers have both also got audibly good reactions when I've seen them shown this past ten days or so (2-3 times each).  PGUID looks like it is meeting the bar for its genre-group (a gentler entry in the "Meet the Fokkers" line) and LESMS looks like a well-produced and well-sung take on the most widely loved musical of the last forty years.

RS says low single digits for [COLC2] and mid teens for [KILTS] {nm} Moviesnob Nov 25, 18:02

I've seen a strangely high number of COLC2 TV ads, not that this means anything. I wonder if even those who saw the 1st remember it. {nm} dsbman Nov 25, 18:09

Here are some futures that should cause some conversation Moviesnob Nov 25, 18:17

no way! {nm} RazorHawk Nov 25, 18:28

I believe... one of the five will prove close; but the other four are low. second gary Nov 25, 18:41

Remember, December openers tend to have lower OW's and great legs. Highest December opener ever is $77MM. GMov Nov 25, 18:44

A good point. second gary Nov 25, 19:28

Fair poins as well...I agree on Parental Guidance...am indifferent on Les Mis...but why may I ask do you think Hobbit will do so well? Seems {nm} GMov Nov 25, 19:50

Why I think "The Hobbit" will beat "I am legend" for best December opening. second gary Nov 25, 20:16

Avatar would likely have opened better but there was a blizzard that hit 1/4 of the country alfpaulytd2012 Nov 25, 20:31

Seems logical. I have checked with some local theaters and seems like presales are solid but nowhere near the tent poles like GMov Nov 25, 20:43

also LOTR3 opened on a Wed and had 51 mil for W&T which was not counted in OW - had that opened on Fri, it would have blown away prev Dec {nm} JDolphin Nov 26, 01:46

I'd forgotten the W opening for LRDR3. That's a good point in HOBIT's favour. {nm} second gary Nov 26, 06:45

I got my tickets to The Hobbit High Frame Rate 3D on the 18th Dec...Can't wait.... but I guess I will. Lucas73 Nov 27, 00:38

BTW I was wondering what that OW multiplier will be for the movies opening on the 25th since its a Tuesday... gardavou Nov 25, 19:39

Scroll down to the bottom of this page, find "Glossary." There, if you go to the entry for "Adjust Price"... second gary Nov 25, 19:55

TY gardavou Nov 25, 20:01

I don't suppose they indicate whether the XMas ones are for just the 3 day weekend? {nm} Paul2k Nov 25, 19:08

nope, but good question {nm} Moviesnob Nov 25, 19:14

Hobbit is gravely under predicted there. thatpj Nov 25, 20:50

Like Avatar's 77 mil? {nm} PVL Admin Nov 26, 10:33

Well, I have *seen* KILTS.... {nm} Facto Nov 25, 18:20

Shame Pitt wasn't better. Though I did enjoy Ray Liotta. {nm} He was looting me, ruining me! Nov 25, 18:32

Pitt was ok, turning in another sociopath character, against JGAND. Saw 7 Psychopaths today, and that was more enjoyable. {nm} Facto Nov 26, 16:47





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Ariana DeBose (ADEBO) 25000 32.93 (-0.12)          Cuckoo (CUCKO) 150000 3.39 (+0.18)          Civil War H$20 Call (CVLWR.CA) 24999 2.64 (+0.08)          Cuckoo (CUCKO) 150000 3.39 (+0.18)          Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 9999 37.20 (-1.19)          Tank Girl (TANKG) 150000 13.63 (+0.34)          Cuckoo (CUCKO) 150000 3.39 (+0.18)          Late Night with the Devil (LNWTD) 150000 7.22 (+0.02)          Little Shop of Horrors (LSOFH) 150000 6.65 (+0.75)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 150000 21.38 (+1.68)          A Simple Favor 2 (ASFA2) 150000 18.16 (+1.45)          Mina Harker aka Dracula - Blumho (DRACU) 150000 3.99 (+0.20)          Kinds of Kindness (AND) 150000 18.19 (+0.73)          Not Another Church Movie (NACM) 150000 10.40 (+0.44)          Wicked Little Letters (WCKLL) 150000 2.61 (+0.15)          Sasquatch Sunset (SQTCH) 150000 7.90 (-0.22)          Micronauts (MCRON) 150000 7.11 (+0.20)          A Complete Unknown aka Going Ele (GOELC) 150000 17.47 (+0.39)          Weekend in Taipei (WKNTP) 150000 14.17 (-0.31)          Immaculate (IMACU) 29999 14.06 (-0.03)          Save the Green Planet (STGPL) 150000 19.19 (-0.27)          Look Who's Talking (LWTLK) 150000 4.91 (+0.13)          Civil War - Opening Weekend (CVLWR.OW) 99777 21.90 (+0.41)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 10000 21.38 (+1.68)          Civil War H$20 Put (CVLWR.PU) 25000 2.16 (-0.07)          Civil War H$20 Put (CVLWR.PU) 1 2.16 (-0.07)          The First Omen H$10 Call (OMEN1.CA) 24999 2.98 (+0.04)          Megalopolis (MEGAL) 85000 23.65 (+0.21)          In The Land Of Saints And Sinner (ILSAS) 150000 1.76 (+0.19)          The First Omen - Opening Weekend (OMEN1.OW) 99999 12.26 (+0.10)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 19.28 (-0.72)          Greenhouse aka The Uninhabitable (GRENH) 149996 41.64 (-0.09)          The Friend (FREND) 150000 6.25 (+0.03)          Don't Tell Mom the Babysitter's (DTMBD) 150000 2.52 (+0.05)          With Love (WOLOV) 5100 22.51 (+0.02)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 31436 19.28 (-0.72)          Look Who's Talking (LWTLK) 149998 4.91 (+0.13)          A Complete Unknown aka Going Ele (GOELC) 149998 17.47 (+0.39)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2.PU) 25000 2.02 (-0.36)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2.CA) 25000 3.11 (+0.24)          Cuckoo (CUCKO) 9999 3.39 (+0.18)          Cuckoo (CUCKO) 150000 3.39 (+0.18)          A Life of Jesus (ALJES) 149997 18.54 (+0.07)          Michael Chiklis (MCHIK) 25000 13.49 (-0.10)          Kinds of Kindness (AND) 149998 18.19 (+0.73)          Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 29999 64.81 (+0.21)          The First Omen H$10 Call (OMEN1.CA) 1 2.98 (+0.04)          Kinds of Kindness (AND) 149997 18.19 (+0.73)          The First Omen H$10 Put (OMEN1.PU) 25000 1.47 (-0.08)          Dakota Fanning (DFANN) 25000 44.43 (+0.16)