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also LOTR3 opened on a Wed and had 51 mil for W&T which was not counted in OW - had that opened on Fri, it would have blown away prev Dec {nm}

Posted by: JDolphin on Nov 26, 01:46 in response to second gary's post Why I think "The Hobbit" will beat "I am...

RS says low single digits for [COLC2] and mid teens for [KILTS] {nm} Moviesnob Nov 25, 18:02

I've seen a strangely high number of COLC2 TV ads, not that this means anything. I wonder if even those who saw the 1st remember it. {nm} dsbman Nov 25, 18:09

Here are some futures that should cause some conversation Moviesnob Nov 25, 18:17

no way! {nm} RazorHawk Nov 25, 18:28

I believe... one of the five will prove close; but the other four are low. second gary Nov 25, 18:41

Remember, December openers tend to have lower OW's and great legs. Highest December opener ever is $77MM. GMov Nov 25, 18:44

A good point. second gary Nov 25, 19:28

Fair poins as well...I agree on Parental Guidance...am indifferent on Les Mis...but why may I ask do you think Hobbit will do so well? Seems {nm} GMov Nov 25, 19:50

Why I think "The Hobbit" will beat "I am legend" for best December opening. second gary Nov 25, 20:16

Avatar would likely have opened better but there was a blizzard that hit 1/4 of the country alfpaulytd2012 Nov 25, 20:31

Seems logical. I have checked with some local theaters and seems like presales are solid but nowhere near the tent poles like GMov Nov 25, 20:43

also LOTR3 opened on a Wed and had 51 mil for W&T which was not counted in OW - had that opened on Fri, it would have blown away prev Dec JDolphin Nov 26, 01:46

I'd forgotten the W opening for LRDR3. That's a good point in HOBIT's favour. {nm} second gary Nov 26, 06:45

I got my tickets to The Hobbit High Frame Rate 3D on the 18th Dec...Can't wait.... but I guess I will. Lucas73 Nov 27, 00:38

BTW I was wondering what that OW multiplier will be for the movies opening on the 25th since its a Tuesday... gardavou Nov 25, 19:39

Scroll down to the bottom of this page, find "Glossary." There, if you go to the entry for "Adjust Price"... second gary Nov 25, 19:55

TY gardavou Nov 25, 20:01

I don't suppose they indicate whether the XMas ones are for just the 3 day weekend? {nm} Paul2k Nov 25, 19:08

nope, but good question {nm} Moviesnob Nov 25, 19:14

Hobbit is gravely under predicted there. thatpj Nov 25, 20:50

Like Avatar's 77 mil? {nm} PVL Admin Nov 26, 10:33

Well, I have *seen* KILTS.... {nm} Facto Nov 25, 18:20

Shame Pitt wasn't better. Though I did enjoy Ray Liotta. {nm} He was looting me, ruining me! Nov 25, 18:32

Pitt was ok, turning in another sociopath character, against JGAND. Saw 7 Psychopaths today, and that was more enjoyable. {nm} Facto Nov 26, 16:47





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A Real Pain (ARLPN) 30000 4.96 (-0.10)          Abigail (ABGAL) 150000 54.57 (-0.45)          Don't Tell Mom the Babysitter's (DTMBD) 150000 1.52 (-0.09)          Civil War (CVLWR) 150000 62.02 (-1.59)          Trap (TRAP) 150000 57.87 (+5.15)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 50000 42.14 (-14.71)          Trap (TRAP) 150000 57.87 (+5.15)          June Squibb (JSQUI) 25000 71.45 (-2.92)          June Squibb (JSQUI) 25000 71.45 (-2.92)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Tarot H$15 Put (HRSCP.PU) 25000 2.87 (+0.87)          Tarot - Opening Weekend (HRSCP.OW) 100000 13.59 (-1.41)          Tarot H$15 Call (HRSCP.CA) 25000 1.54 (-0.46)          The Fall Guy H$50 Put (FALGY.PU) 25000 2.53 (+0.53)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 100000 51.88 (+1.88)          The Fall Guy H$50 Call (FALGY.CA) 25000 3.54 (+1.54)          The Ballad of Wallis Island (TBOWI) 150000 5.81 (-0.19)          In a Violent Nature (IAVNT) 150000 3.21 (-0.46)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW.PU) 25000 4.46 (+0.23)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW.PU) 25000 4.46 (+0.23)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW.CA) 25000 0.47 (+0.08)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW.CA) 25000 0.47 (+0.08)          We Grown Now (WGNOW) 150000 0.86 (+0.06)          Sasquatch Sunset (SQTCH) 150000 6.89 (+0.08)          Spy x Family Code: White (SPYFM) 150000 21.02 (-0.40)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 150000 17.17 (-0.19)          David Corenswet (DCORE) 1 39.93 (0.00)          Rashida Jones (RJONE) 25000 72.19 (-0.25)          Not Another Church Movie (NACM) 650 9.32 (0.00)          Untitled M. Night Shyamalan aka (GDGRD) 150000 25.79 (-0.03)          Josh Hartnett (JHART) 25000 56.61 (0.00)          Trap (TRAP) 150000 57.87 (+5.15)          Maria (MARIA) 50000 12.42 (-0.63)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 10000 42.14 (-14.71)          Trap (TRAP) 150000 57.87 (+5.15)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 3550 42.14 (-14.71)          Horizon: An American Saga Chapte (HORZN) 240 90.24 (+0.70)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 150000 42.14 (-14.71)          Ballerina (BLRNA) 150000 69.94 (+0.22)          Sing Sing (SINGS) 45000 2.76 (-0.02)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 14999 133.83 (-2.40)          Save the Green Planet (STGPL) 7000 18.18 (-0.40)          Horizon: An American Saga Chapte (HORZN) 23939 90.24 (+0.70)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 62498 133.83 (-2.40)          Horizon: An American Saga Chapte (HORZN) 78670 90.24 (+0.70)          Relay (RELAY) 149900 4.34 (+0.06)          Cloverfield 2 (CLOV2) 149990 28.58 (+0.21)          The Chronology of Water (CHROW) 60000 0.76 (0.00)          The Chronicles of Narnia (NARN4) 80000 1.03 (+0.03)