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It's opening weekend included Dec 24, which deflated the OW so the delist multiplier was comparatively high.

Posted by: RogerMore on Nov 15, 18:34 in response to Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin's post The original MUSEM had ~ a 6.2 multiplier from opening to...

NMUS3's opening weekend won't be affected by Christmas - though it will still benefit from Christmas legs.

BO: Long Range Forecast: Taken 3; (The Woman In Black 2: Angel of Death from last week) Oleg Max Nov 15, 08:54

Jebus... that site has Night at the Museum 3 opening at slightly more than 1/2 what HSX pubic does. {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Nov 15, 11:06

1st one opened on the identical wknd before Chrismas in 2006 to 30.4; easy to see why they think NMUS3 would be that low... Oleg Max Nov 15, 11:59

it will have great legs for sure but some traders mistake delist price w/ .ow adjust price... {nm} Oleg Max Nov 15, 12:01

The link says 25M OW. The multiplier is used to estimate delist based on the OW. {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Nov 15, 13:42

right now the play is for ow. how it will delist is based on actual b.o. wknd before christmas is usually not the great, however because Oleg Max Nov 15, 13:52

Yes, understood. Ideally, moviestocks would always play to OW until they adjust, then for DBO. Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Nov 15, 13:56

hence the profit opportunity. one does not get to be #1 by ignoring these... {nm} Oleg Max Nov 15, 14:02

Are we talking about ignoring something? {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Nov 15, 14:13

No, this happens every year. Traders are looking to park their summer profits, and holiday openers are as good an investment as any. RogerMore Nov 15, 14:31

This is a fantastic observation, RogerMore :) {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Nov 16, 15:31

the OW derivative and Sat halt might have minimized the actual adjust on Sun, but not the price changes the week(s) before the adjust {nm} JLDolphin Nov 15, 16:45

Thank you for the reaffirmation, JLD :) {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Nov 16, 15:31

The original MUSEM had ~ a 6.2 multiplier from opening to delist ;) {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Nov 15, 13:49

The 2nd one had a 2.68. {nm} JLDolphin Nov 15, 16:42

2.68 but opened in May. I think Oleg is saying the pattern might be closer to the original because of Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Nov 16, 15:35

It's opening weekend included Dec 24, which deflated the OW so the delist multiplier was comparatively high. RogerMore Nov 15, 18:34





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Playdate (PLYDT) 1 15.00 (0.00)          Inheritance (NHTNC) 13715 3.47 (-0.02)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 1 14.82 (-0.18)          Playdate (PLYDT) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          The Ballad of Wallis Island (TBOWI) 1 5.53 (-0.28)          Sovereign (SOVRN) 5000 7.25 (-0.08)          Honey Don't (HDONT) 49999 16.56 (+0.81)          Honey Don't (HDONT) 29999 16.56 (+0.81)          In a Violent Nature (IAVNT) 10000 4.46 (+1.18)          With Love (WOLOV) 29999 25.22 (+0.71)          In a Violent Nature (IAVNT) 150000 4.46 (+1.18)          Challengers H$10 Call (CHALN.CA) 25000 2.94 (-0.36)          Honey Don't (HDONT) 150000 16.56 (+0.81)          Playdate (PLYDT) 1652 15.00 (0.00)          Playdate (PLYDT) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Playdate (PLYDT) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Honey Don't (HDONT) 150000 16.56 (+0.81)          Honey Don't (HDONT) 12500 16.56 (+0.81)          Sicario 3 (SICA3) 5000 11.30 (-0.04)          My Old Ass (MOLAS) 10000 6.95 (+0.04)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 25000 20.46 (+1.51)          Easy's Waltz (EWLTZ) 1000 13.57 (-0.06)          In a Violent Nature (IAVNT) 500 4.46 (+1.18)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 500 20.03 (-0.72)          Challengers H$10 Put (CHALN.PU) 15000 1.38 (+0.10)          Spider-Man Untitled (SPID9) 11293 312.08 (+1.25)          Challengers H$10 Put (CHALN.PU) 25000 1.38 (+0.10)          Playdate (PLYDT) 3003 15.00 (0.00)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 14.82 (-0.18)          Cuckoo (CUCKO) 10000 5.29 (-0.02)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 14.82 (-0.18)          28 Years Later (28LT3) 72690 49.47 (-0.46)          Challengers H$10 Put (CHALN.PU) 10000 1.38 (+0.10)          Sidekicks (SDKCK) 50000 2.82 (0.00)          Playdate (PLYDT) 3290 15.00 (0.00)          Dune: Part Two $235M Blockbuster (DUNE2.BW) 25000 18.01 (+0.21)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 14.82 (-0.18)          Dune: Part Two $235M Blockbuster (DUNE2.BW) 25000 18.01 (+0.21)          City on Fire (CTOFR) 5000 25.08 (+0.22)          Honey Don't (HDONT) 150000 16.56 (+0.81)          Honey Don't (HDONT) 150000 16.56 (+0.81)          Unsung Heroes H$10 Put (UNSUN.PU) 25000 2.92 (-0.07)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 100000 14.82 (-0.18)          A Simple Favor 2 (ASFA2) 2110 17.69 (+0.04)          Unsung Heroes H$10 Put (UNSUN.PU) 25000 2.92 (-0.07)          Honey Don't (HDONT) 25000 16.56 (+0.81)          The Ballad of Wallis Island (TBOWI) 150000 5.53 (-0.28)          Clint Eastwood (CEAST) 10000 62.39 (-0.10)          Queer (QUEER) 150000 6.09 (+0.03)          Playdate (PLYDT) 150000 15.00 (0.00)