Movies

After the shortcomings of this weekend, anyone actually see HGAM3 making 209m in next 4 weeks? {nm} Dorfman Nov 23, 15:19

Yes, I do. It is holiday time and school will be out for a week so I believe it will. {nm} arbybaker Nov 23, 15:25

True.. school here gets out Wednesday.. {nm} Dorfman Nov 23, 15:31

Well, it will do fine Thanksgiving week, but the following weekend is usually one of the worst of the year. RogerMore Nov 23, 16:10

I knew that.. Math is FUNdamental.... :) {nm} Dorfman Nov 24, 04:33

Only the 1st Harry Potter has made more than 200 mil in November between OW and Delist. If HGAM2 couldn't make $209 why would you think JDolphin Nov 23, 17:42

from a November release (not just in the month of November) {nm} JDolphin Nov 23, 17:43

Make that No movie has made 209mil - I was looking at total for HPOT1 not difference - so HGAM2 is the highest I can find at 199 mil {nm} JDolphin Nov 23, 18:47

The first 2 had delist multiples less than 2.26. I don't see how this one is any better. {nm} not2fast Nov 23, 15:37

That's still a big difference.. {nm} Dorfman Nov 23, 15:40

I didn't realize they were that low.. Sheesh thats 55 mil less than current price {nm} Dorfman Nov 23, 15:41

catching fire came out at the same time last year so unless im missing something i cant see it being much different {nm} gibster420 Nov 23, 16:35

Yeah, I agree. Add to that, this one didn't have nearly the positive WOM as CF. {nm} ~JPV~ Nov 23, 17:07

Catching fire also did 55mil more OW {nm} Dorfman Nov 23, 17:16

35M more, not 55M. 123 vs. 158. {nm} Jay_Beezy Nov 23, 18:16

DOH! I knew that. {nm} Dorfman Nov 24, 06:07

To me it seems possible the holidays dont have as much of a decline as the OW giving it a larger multiplier... MattW Nov 23, 17:21

Let's suppose that HGAM3 were to match HGAM2 dollar for dollar from this moment on. HGAM3 would still delist H$10 below its current price. {nm} second gary Nov 23, 17:48

Bingo {nm} Dorfman Nov 23, 17:59

thats a great way to look at it {nm} gibster420 Nov 23, 18:02

And HGAM2 holds the record for Thanksgiving wknd (3 & 5 day) by 7 mil 3day and 16 mil 5 day over the next highest Frozen and by a massive 17 JDolphin Nov 23, 18:58

And HGAM2 wiill still hold the record through this next year {nm} Bleachigo Nov 23, 19:28

Clearly more to be made shorting HGAM3 but it's important to note that anticipation of HGAM4 will be much higher, which = a bigger OW. {nm} eallensbp Nov 23, 21:52

oh who cares about HGAM4 right now. LOL {nm} Dorfman Nov 24, 04:33

Probably somebody who owns the HGAM4 stock and was (at the time) taking a hit? Personally, I don't own it (too much money tied up). {nm} ~JPV~ Nov 24, 09:56