Movies

DL: HOBT3 11.2 in Tuesday night previews Oleg Max Dec 17, 08:03

that's good, right? csbd Dec 17, 08:07

HOBT2 did 8.8M in late shows $73.6M OW), HOBIT late shows did $13M. ($84.6M OW) {nm} RogerMore Dec 17, 08:11

thx! csbd Dec 17, 08:16

Remember, both HOBIT and HOBT2 late shows were on a Thursday. LRDR3 back in 2003 did $8M on its Tuesday. {nm} ~JPV~ Dec 17, 08:17

And I think we've had the discussion on how Tues night showings can cut into weekend numbers {nm} Dorfman Dec 17, 08:25

Or tues night showings and wednesday.. {nm} Dorfman Dec 17, 08:25

Those were midnight showings only, and in 2100 theatres. RogerMore Dec 17, 08:30

Widely played at 7 pm here {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Dec 17, 08:55

LRDR3? {nm} RogerMore Dec 17, 09:10

That was the HSX ticker symbol for Return of the King {nm} ~JPV~ Dec 17, 09:39

Really? I had no idea. {nm} RogerMore Dec 17, 10:48

Yup. Advertised in every commercial as well. 7pm. {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Dec 17, 09:51

BOM said different at the time RogerMore Dec 17, 10:48

Yeah I know - I was surprised myself. Figured that would help frontloading ;) {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Dec 17, 10:51

Whoops - meant Hobbit at 7pm Tue - not LOTR {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Dec 17, 11:08

So opinions from others. When you have an OW and the stock is price it is. Do you bother trying to ride the movement between now and sat? Dorfman Dec 17, 08:28

with that number you know how the weekend adjust is gonna go and you should already have your position set RazorHawk Dec 17, 08:56

That's what I thought.. I know sometimes when it's a lower priced stock there can be some money made riding based on incoming numbers. Dorfman Dec 17, 09:11

Guess this kinda shuts the door on it having an OW in the 60's huh? {nm} Dorfman Dec 17, 09:17

Anti had some interesting insight - he figures 60% of weekend frontloading... Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Dec 17, 10:56

yeah I was doing my math all wrong when figuring adjust. Think i'd learn by now not to take 5 day and * by 2.7 {nm} Dorfman Dec 17, 11:31

i don't see how it would be possible for it to make it's current price... It would have to do 30m and at least 60 over the weekend. {nm} Dorfman Dec 17, 11:34

well guess if we took anti's 60% Dorfman Dec 17, 11:59

Not gonna happen ;) {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Dec 17, 17:48

FWIW This preview number did not change my OW estimate, only added a few H$ to my adjust estimate. [nm] Initech Dec 17, 09:20

So your OW estimate was only fri-sun? {nm} Dorfman Dec 17, 09:21

Yes. To be clear, the Opening Weekend Warrant is not tagged Wed-Sun, so I have only included Fri-Sun [nm] Initech Dec 17, 09:27

Are they ever tagged? I thought we just had to go by the market calendar {nm} Dorfman Dec 17, 09:52

Yes, if there is any variation, the security is tagged like this: 'Frozen - Opening Weekend Wed-Sun' [nm] Initech Dec 17, 10:44

OH so the OW warrant is just that.. Just the fri - sun? {nm} Dorfman Dec 17, 11:24

or this: 'A Good Day to Die Hard - Opening Weekend Fri-Mon' [nm] Initech Dec 17, 10:45