DL: HOBT3 11.2 in Tuesday night previews Dec 17, 08:03
that's good, right? Dec 17, 08:07
HOBT2 did 8.8M in late shows $73.6M OW), HOBIT late shows did $13M. ($84.6M OW) {nm} Dec 17, 08:11
thx! Dec 17, 08:16
Remember, both HOBIT and HOBT2 late shows were on a Thursday. LRDR3 back in 2003 did $8M on its Tuesday. {nm} Dec 17, 08:17
And I think we've had the discussion on how Tues night showings can cut into weekend numbers {nm} Dec 17, 08:25
Or tues night showings and wednesday.. {nm} Dec 17, 08:25
Those were midnight showings only, and in 2100 theatres. {nm} Dec 17, 08:30
Widely played at 7 pm here {nm} Dec 17, 08:55
LRDR3? {nm} Dec 17, 09:10
That was the HSX ticker symbol for Return of the King {nm} Dec 17, 09:39
Really? I had no idea. {nm} Dec 17, 10:48
Yup. Advertised in every commercial as well. 7pm. {nm} Dec 17, 09:51
BOM said different at the time Dec 17, 10:48
Yeah I know - I was surprised myself. Figured that would help frontloading ;) {nm} Dec 17, 10:51
Whoops - meant Hobbit at 7pm Tue - not LOTR {nm} Dec 17, 11:08
with that number you know how the weekend adjust is gonna go and you should already have your position set Dec 17, 08:56
Guess this kinda shuts the door on it having an OW in the 60's huh? {nm} Dec 17, 09:17
Anti had some interesting insight - he figures 60% of weekend frontloading... Dec 17, 10:56
yeah I was doing my math all wrong when figuring adjust. Think i'd learn by now not to take 5 day and * by 2.7 {nm} Dec 17, 11:31
well guess if we took anti's 60% Dec 17, 11:59
Not gonna happen ;) {nm} Dec 17, 17:48
FWIW This preview number did not change my OW estimate, only added a few H$ to my adjust estimate. [nm] Dec 17, 09:20
So your OW estimate was only fri-sun? {nm} Dec 17, 09:21
Yes. To be clear, the Opening Weekend Warrant is not tagged Wed-Sun, so I have only included Fri-Sun [nm] Dec 17, 09:27
Are they ever tagged? I thought we just had to go by the market calendar {nm} Dec 17, 09:52
Yes, if there is any variation, the security is tagged like this: 'Frozen - Opening Weekend Wed-Sun' [nm] Dec 17, 10:44
OH so the OW warrant is just that.. Just the fri - sun? {nm} Dec 17, 11:24
or this: 'A Good Day to Die Hard - Opening Weekend Fri-Mon' [nm] Dec 17, 10:45