HSX Forum

Movies

BOM said different at the time

Posted by: RogerMore on Dec 17, 10:48 in response to Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin's post Yup. Advertised in every commercial as well. 7pm. {nm}

"The special midnight launch at 2,100 theaters accounted for around $8 million of Return of the King's Wednesday haul. That was double the $4 million that The Two Towers and The Fellowship of the Ring each reaped from their midnight showings."

http://boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=1284

DL: HOBT3 11.2 in Tuesday night previews Oleg Max Dec 17, 08:03

that's good, right? csbd Dec 17, 08:07

HOBT2 did 8.8M in late shows $73.6M OW), HOBIT late shows did $13M. ($84.6M OW) {nm} RogerMore Dec 17, 08:11

thx! csbd Dec 17, 08:16

Remember, both HOBIT and HOBT2 late shows were on a Thursday. LRDR3 back in 2003 did $8M on its Tuesday. {nm} ~JPV~ Dec 17, 08:17

And I think we've had the discussion on how Tues night showings can cut into weekend numbers {nm} Dorfman Dec 17, 08:25

Or tues night showings and wednesday.. {nm} Dorfman Dec 17, 08:25

Those were midnight showings only, and in 2100 theatres. {nm} RogerMore Dec 17, 08:30

Widely played at 7 pm here {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Dec 17, 08:55

LRDR3? {nm} RogerMore Dec 17, 09:10

That was the HSX ticker symbol for Return of the King {nm} ~JPV~ Dec 17, 09:39

Really? I had no idea. {nm} RogerMore Dec 17, 10:48

Yup. Advertised in every commercial as well. 7pm. {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Dec 17, 09:51

BOM said different at the time RogerMore Dec 17, 10:48

Yeah I know - I was surprised myself. Figured that would help frontloading ;) {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Dec 17, 10:51

Whoops - meant Hobbit at 7pm Tue - not LOTR {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Dec 17, 11:08

So opinions from others. When you have an OW and the stock is price it is. Do you bother trying to ride the movement between now and sat? Dorfman Dec 17, 08:28

with that number you know how the weekend adjust is gonna go and you should already have your position set RazorHawk Dec 17, 08:56

That's what I thought.. I know sometimes when it's a lower priced stock there can be some money made riding based on incoming numbers. Dorfman Dec 17, 09:11

Guess this kinda shuts the door on it having an OW in the 60's huh? {nm} Dorfman Dec 17, 09:17

Anti had some interesting insight - he figures 60% of weekend frontloading... Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Dec 17, 10:56

yeah I was doing my math all wrong when figuring adjust. Think i'd learn by now not to take 5 day and * by 2.7 {nm} Dorfman Dec 17, 11:31

i don't see how it would be possible for it to make it's current price... It would have to do 30m and at least 60 over the weekend. {nm} Dorfman Dec 17, 11:34

well guess if we took anti's 60% Dorfman Dec 17, 11:59

Not gonna happen ;) {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Dec 17, 17:48

FWIW This preview number did not change my OW estimate, only added a few H$ to my adjust estimate. [nm] Initech Dec 17, 09:20

So your OW estimate was only fri-sun? {nm} Dorfman Dec 17, 09:21

Yes. To be clear, the Opening Weekend Warrant is not tagged Wed-Sun, so I have only included Fri-Sun [nm] Initech Dec 17, 09:27

Are they ever tagged? I thought we just had to go by the market calendar {nm} Dorfman Dec 17, 09:52

Yes, if there is any variation, the security is tagged like this: 'Frozen - Opening Weekend Wed-Sun' [nm] Initech Dec 17, 10:44

OH so the OW warrant is just that.. Just the fri - sun? {nm} Dorfman Dec 17, 11:24

or this: 'A Good Day to Die Hard - Opening Weekend Fri-Mon' [nm] Initech Dec 17, 10:45





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Arthur the King (ARTKN) 5000 22.57 (+0.04)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 150000 19.07 (-0.93)          The Assessment (ASSMT) 150000 5.63 (-0.03)          One Life (1LIFE) 4945 4.62 (0.00)          One Life (1LIFE) 4945 4.62 (0.00)          City of Dreams aka Dreamer (DEAMR) 10000 4.73 (-0.01)          Thunderbolts (TBOLT) 36443 165.28 (-0.04)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Horizon: An American Saga Chapte (HORZN) 86952 84.82 (-0.11)          Slingshot (SLNGS) 21000 7.53 (+0.03)          Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 150000 64.15 (+3.16)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Blink Twice aka Pussy Island (PUSYL) 21000 19.14 (-0.04)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Harrison Ford (HFORD) 5000 104.54 (+0.06)          28 Years Later (28LT3) 25000 46.13 (-0.07)          They Listen (THEYL) 1600 28.25 (-0.07)          Wicked Little Letters (WCKLL) 150000 2.81 (-0.36)          Civil War H$20 Call (CVLWR.CA) 5428 2.57 (+0.57)          They Listen (THEYL) 7000 28.25 (-0.07)          Fruitcake (FRUTC) 150000 3.58 (+0.09)          Fruitcake (FRUTC) 150000 3.58 (+0.09)          Boy Band (BOYBN) 150000 33.33 (-0.13)          Mercy (MRCY1) 20000 53.40 (+0.26)          Sebastian Stan (SSTAN) 25000 53.49 (-0.16)          Monkey Man (MNKYM) 100000 30.06 (-0.16)          Sebastian Stan (SSTAN) 25000 53.49 (-0.16)          Kung Fu Panda 4 (PAND4) 502 144.69 (-0.04)          Weekend in Taipei (WKNTP) 150000 14.85 (+1.30)          Weekend in Taipei (WKNTP) 150000 14.85 (+1.30)          Kung Fu Panda 4 (PAND4) 1502 144.69 (-0.04)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Cloverfield 2 (CLOV2) 150000 26.38 (+0.43)          Cloverfield 2 (CLOV2) 150000 26.38 (+0.43)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2.CA) 25000 2.54 (+0.11)          Imaginary (IMGNR) 5000 25.75 (-0.01)          On Swift Horses (OSWFH) 150000 5.01 (+0.37)          On Swift Horses (OSWFH) 150000 5.01 (+0.37)          Breathe (BRETE) 150000 4.24 (+0.13)          Imaginary (IMGNR) 15000 25.75 (-0.01)          Breathe (BRETE) 150000 4.24 (+0.13)          Devara Part 1 (DEVAR) 150000 6.50 (+0.12)          Devara Part 1 (DEVAR) 150000 6.50 (+0.12)          Vicious (VICUS) 150000 19.48 (+0.50)          Vicious (VICUS) 150000 19.48 (+0.50)          A Life of Jesus (ALJES) 150000 18.36 (+0.36)          A Life of Jesus (ALJES) 150000 18.36 (+0.36)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2) 23279 150.72 (+1.66)