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It's not DL doing the low-balling, it's the studio people they get their info from. {nm}

Posted by: RogerMore on Mar 17, 08:57 in response to 🐨's post So are we going to watch DL low ball us and build the...

DL: $16.3M for BTATB previews RogerMore Mar 17, 08:33

BELCO - $306K {nm} FabioParme Mar 17, 08:40

BOM uses other BH Tilt for comps Green Inferno 275K, 3.5 million. The Darkness 206, 4.95 million. notfabio Mar 17, 08:52

The female/male skew was far closer than Cinderella/Twilight/Fifty Shades with "around 60% female" {nm} notfabio Mar 17, 08:44

Cinderella started at 77% for "Friday" and evened out to 66% female for the weekend. {nm} notfabio Mar 17, 08:45

Hunger Games appears to be the closest comparison, that crowd was 61% female. Hunger Games was 19.7 (I think maybe just midnights?) {nm} notfabio Mar 17, 08:47

“It’s playing like Star Wars among female audiences.” {nm} slipping jimmy Mar 17, 08:59

So are we going to watch DL low ball us and build the estimate all weekend. Tale as old as time. {nm} 🐨 Mar 17, 08:49

It's not DL doing the low-balling, it's the studio people they get their info from. RogerMore Mar 17, 08:57

I don't think that's true. If the trades were getting numbers from the studio, why are all the Friday afternoon #s different? Captain Hindsight Mar 17, 09:00

The PM #s from DL, V and THR are really not that different. There are multiple studios, so they may merge their estimates. {nm} Antibody Mar 17, 09:05

DL even tells us if a number came from a rival, which means it came from the releasing studio when DL doesn't tell us. {nm} Antibody Mar 17, 09:07

They all have their different sources which tell them basically the same thing, though not exactly the same thing. RogerMore Mar 17, 09:27

I'm not trying to break the board by putting a really long response without really saying anything of importance but... Captain Hindsight Mar 17, 10:10

200+OW in play? {nm} gogreenytd Mar 17, 08:56

12.27x to get there. Not the most likely outcome, certainly, but not impossible either. {nm} shadowking Mar 17, 09:10

NEMO2 delisted with a 3.13 multiplier. If BTATB has anywhere near the same legs with these OW predictions, it still has tremendous value tomcat90 Mar 17, 09:30

Seems too close to call right now... 12X mult would be 195... but sub-10X and it's right on target. Captain Hindsight Mar 17, 08:57

Yeah, there are valid arguements to be made for 10x as well as 12x. Split the middle and it's a $180M weekend shadowking Mar 17, 09:08





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Tarot H$15 Put (HRSCP.PU) 25000 2.85 (+0.85)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 100000 51.81 (+1.81)          Abigail (ABGAL) 150000 54.58 (-0.44)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 25 86.76 (+2.18)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Spy x Family Code: White (SPYFM) 300 21.07 (-0.35)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 150000 42.26 (-14.59)          The Naked Gun (NKGUN) 500 34.14 (-1.60)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 150000 42.26 (-14.59)          Civil War (CVLWR) 600 61.82 (-1.79)          Transformers 8 (TFRM8) 1000 93.32 (+0.56)          Now You See Me 3 (NYSM3) 900 27.75 (+0.82)          Transformers One (TFCYB) 1500 78.37 (+3.46)          Trap (TRAP) 1000 57.22 (+4.50)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 7474 42.26 (-14.59)          Co-Parenting (COPRN) 100000 2.90 (0.00)          Abigail (ABGAL) 1000 54.58 (-0.44)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          The Ballad of Wallis Island (TBOWI) 150000 5.79 (-0.21)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 150000 42.26 (-14.59)          Trap (TRAP) 15000 57.22 (+4.50)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 15000 42.26 (-14.59)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 150000 42.26 (-14.59)          Tarot H$15 Put (HRSCP.PU) 100 2.85 (+0.85)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 1000 15.00 (0.00)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2) 150000 168.87 (-0.12)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 100 42.26 (-14.59)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 150000 42.26 (-14.59)          FOX: Krapopolis (KRAPOP) 25000 12.93 (+0.21)          FOX: Krapopolis (KRAPOP) 25000 12.93 (+0.21)          Abigail (ABGAL) 150000 54.58 (-0.44)          Abigail (ABGAL) 150000 54.58 (-0.44)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 1 17.12 (-0.24)          Trap (TRAP) 1 57.22 (+4.50)          IF (IMGNF) 2 155.01 (+1.04)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW) 2 30.16 (+2.52)          Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire $100 (GHST5.BW) 24001 7.97 (+0.37)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 50000 133.84 (-2.39)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 44000 86.76 (+2.18)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 51000 42.26 (-14.59)          The Naked Gun (NKGUN) 19000 34.14 (-1.60)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 150000 42.26 (-14.59)          Trap (TRAP) 38000 57.22 (+4.50)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 11000 133.84 (-2.39)          Transformers One (TFCYB) 150000 78.37 (+3.46)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW) 149001 30.16 (+2.52)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Phil Lord (PLORD) 25000 153.02 (+1.40)          Phil Lord (PLORD) 20000 153.02 (+1.40)          Christopher Miller (CMILL) 20000 164.91 (+1.20)