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They all have their different sources which tell them basically the same thing, though not exactly the same thing.

Posted by: RogerMore on Mar 17, 09:27 in response to Captain Hindsight's post I don't think that's true. If the trades were getting...

I strongly doubt that DL or any of the other trades do their own independent analysis.

DL: $16.3M for BTATB previews RogerMore Mar 17, 08:33

BELCO - $306K {nm} FabioParme Mar 17, 08:40

BOM uses other BH Tilt for comps Green Inferno 275K, 3.5 million. The Darkness 206, 4.95 million. notfabio Mar 17, 08:52

The female/male skew was far closer than Cinderella/Twilight/Fifty Shades with "around 60% female" {nm} notfabio Mar 17, 08:44

Cinderella started at 77% for "Friday" and evened out to 66% female for the weekend. {nm} notfabio Mar 17, 08:45

Hunger Games appears to be the closest comparison, that crowd was 61% female. Hunger Games was 19.7 (I think maybe just midnights?) {nm} notfabio Mar 17, 08:47

“It’s playing like Star Wars among female audiences.” {nm} slipping jimmy Mar 17, 08:59

So are we going to watch DL low ball us and build the estimate all weekend. Tale as old as time. {nm} 🐨 Mar 17, 08:49

It's not DL doing the low-balling, it's the studio people they get their info from. {nm} RogerMore Mar 17, 08:57

I don't think that's true. If the trades were getting numbers from the studio, why are all the Friday afternoon #s different? Captain Hindsight Mar 17, 09:00

The PM #s from DL, V and THR are really not that different. There are multiple studios, so they may merge their estimates. {nm} Antibody Mar 17, 09:05

DL even tells us if a number came from a rival, which means it came from the releasing studio when DL doesn't tell us. {nm} Antibody Mar 17, 09:07

They all have their different sources which tell them basically the same thing, though not exactly the same thing. RogerMore Mar 17, 09:27

I'm not trying to break the board by putting a really long response without really saying anything of importance but... Captain Hindsight Mar 17, 10:10

200+OW in play? {nm} gogreenytd Mar 17, 08:56

12.27x to get there. Not the most likely outcome, certainly, but not impossible either. {nm} shadowking Mar 17, 09:10

NEMO2 delisted with a 3.13 multiplier. If BTATB has anywhere near the same legs with these OW predictions, it still has tremendous value tomcat90 Mar 17, 09:30

Seems too close to call right now... 12X mult would be 195... but sub-10X and it's right on target. Captain Hindsight Mar 17, 08:57

Yeah, there are valid arguements to be made for 10x as well as 12x. Split the middle and it's a $180M weekend shadowking Mar 17, 09:08





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Rainbow Six (RNBW6) 150000 21.60 (-0.15)          The Exorcism (TGTWP) 150000 1.50 (-0.19)          The Exorcism (TGTWP) 150000 1.50 (-0.19)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 10000 45.53 (-0.81)          The Fall Guy H$50 Put (FALGY.PU) 25000 3.52 (+0.50)          The Return (TRETU) 150000 3.75 (+0.51)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 150000 51.36 (-2.77)          Rainbow Six (RNBW6) 150000 21.60 (-0.15)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.OW) 10000 50.00 (0.00)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 150000 51.36 (-2.77)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 12.14 (+2.14)          The Return (TRETU) 150000 3.75 (+0.51)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 12.14 (+2.14)          The Wager (WAGER) 150000 36.28 (-0.06)          Robot Dreams (RBDRM) 150000 1.68 (+0.03)          We Grown Now (WGNOW) 150000 0.57 (-0.03)          Cuckoo (CUCKO) 14676 5.54 (-0.07)          The Wager (WAGER) 150000 36.28 (-0.06)          Big Thunder Mountain (BTMTN) 150000 34.00 (-0.06)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 12.14 (+2.14)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.OW) 100000 50.00 (0.00)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 12.14 (+2.14)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 4364 27.93 (+1.01)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Big Thunder Mountain (BTMTN) 150000 34.00 (-0.06)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.OW) 100000 50.00 (0.00)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 12.14 (+2.14)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 600 51.36 (-2.77)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 5000 51.36 (-2.77)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 27200 51.36 (-2.77)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Drift (DRFT) 150000 0.60 (-0.16)          Blade (BLAD1) 6000 114.35 (-0.93)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Stealth (STELT) 100000 3.46 (-0.03)          With Love (WOLOV) 4000 28.00 (-0.50)          With Love (WOLOV) 1600 28.00 (-0.50)          The Fall Guy H$50 Call (FALGY.CA) 24999 2.40 (-0.62)          Touch (TOUC) 19200 1.07 (+0.53)          Touch (TOUC) 20800 1.07 (+0.53)          Spawn (SPWN2) 150000 3.45 (-0.10)          Spawn (SPWN2) 100000 3.45 (-0.10)          The Exorcism (TGTWP) 30000 1.50 (-0.19)